Game story
In Week 14 of the 2016 NFL season on 2016-12-11, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers took care of business against the New Orleans Saints, pulling away with a 16–11 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.
The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 18 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.
D. Brees (New Orleans Saints) paced the passing game, with -5.87 total EPA, and -1.2% completion percentage over expected.
On the individual side, J. Winston (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +7.22 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.
The momentum swing (-15.7% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when New Orleans Saints changed the game: (:57) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees pass short left intended for 83-W.Snead INTERCEPTED by 37-K.Tandy at NO 47. 37-K.Tandy to NO 47 for no gain (83-W.Snead).
Line score
Final score and points by quarter.
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | — | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Orleans Saints | 0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 3 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 16 |
Stars of the game
Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.
- 1 J. Winston · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Passing · +7.22 total EPA · 34 snaps · +0.21 EPA/play
- 2 C. Brate · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +3.75 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.75 EPA/play
- 3 C. Sims · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +2.27 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.57 EPA/play
- 4 B. Cooks · New Orleans Saints · Receiving · +2.15 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.22 EPA/play
- 5 W. Snead · New Orleans Saints · Receiving · +2.10 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.26 EPA/play
- 6 D. Brees · New Orleans Saints · Rushing · +1.64 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.64 EPA/play
- 7 T. Hightower · New Orleans Saints · Rushing · +1.30 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.19 EPA/play
- 8 T. Cadet · New Orleans Saints · Receiving · +0.86 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.17 EPA/play
Player of the game
FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.
J. Winston — TB · Passing
J. Winston posted the highest total EPA (+7.22) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Tampa Bay Buccaneers's efficiency. Across 34 counted snaps, they averaged +0.21 EPA per play.
The signature play (-5.06 EPA) came from New Orleans Saints: (10:15) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees pass short right intended for 16-B.Coleman INTERCEPTED by 24-B.Grimes (37-K.Tandy) at TB 41. 24-B.Grimes to TB 46 for 5 yards (16-B.Coleman).
Who scored touchdowns and field goals
Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.
Touchdowns
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — D. Martin
Field goals
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — R. Aguayo
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — R. Aguayo
- New Orleans Saints — W. Lutz
- New Orleans Saints — W. Lutz
- New Orleans Saints — W. Lutz
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — R. Aguayo
How it unfolded, quarter by quarter
A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.
The opening quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 3–0. Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the NO 23 (Q1 53:10) — (8:10) (Field Goal formation) 19-R.Aguayo 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.DePaola, Holder-9-B.Anger..
The second quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 10–8. Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the NO 1 (Q2 44:55) — (14:55) 66-L.Wester reported in as eligible. 22-D.Martin left tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the NO 15 (Q2 44:50) — 19-R.Aguayo extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.DePaola, Holder-9-B.Anger.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the NO 21 (Q2 38:30) — (8:30) (Field Goal formation) 19-R.Aguayo 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.DePaola, Holder-9-B.Anger.; New Orleans Saints connected on a field goal from the TB 23 (Q2 35:33) — (5:33) (Field Goal formation) 3-W.Lutz 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Drescher, Holder-6-T.Morstead.; New Orleans Saints registered a safety from the NO 99 (Q2 35:27); New Orleans Saints connected on a field goal from the TB 15 (Q2 30:04) — (:04) (Field Goal formation) 3-W.Lutz 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Drescher, Holder-6-T.Morstead..
The third quarter: New Orleans Saints won the period 3–0. New Orleans Saints connected on a field goal from the TB 4 (Q3 18:39) — (3:39) (Field Goal formation) 3-W.Lutz 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Drescher, Holder-6-T.Morstead..
The fourth quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 3–0. Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the NO 7 (Q4 12:50) — (12:50) (Field Goal formation) 19-R.Aguayo 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.DePaola, Holder-9-B.Anger..
Turning points
Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.
- New Orleans Saints (Q4 0:57) — (:57) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees pass short left intended for 83-W.Snead INTERCEPTED by 37-K.Tandy at NO 47. 37-K.Tandy to NO 47 for no gain (83-W.Snead).
- New Orleans Saints (Q4 10:15) — (10:15) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees pass short right intended for 16-B.Coleman INTERCEPTED by 24-B.Grimes (37-K.Tandy) at TB 41. 24-B.Grimes to TB 46 for 5 yards (16-B.Coleman).
- New Orleans Saints (Q3 21:29) — (6:29) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees pass deep right to 10-B.Cooks to TB 26 for 38 yards (37-K.Tandy).
- New Orleans Saints (Q3 18:39) — (3:39) (Field Goal formation) 3-W.Lutz 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Drescher, Holder-6-T.Morstead.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q3 24:17) — (9:17) (Punt formation) 9-B.Anger punts 57 yards to NO 24, Center-48-A.DePaola. 87-T.Lewis to NO 40 for 16 yards (84-C.Brate). PENALTY on NO-97-S.Barrington, Illegal Block Above the Waist, 10 yards, e
Impact plays
Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.
- New Orleans Saints (Q4 10:15) — (10:15) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees pass short right intended for 16-B.Coleman INTERCEPTED by 24-B.Grimes (37-K.Tandy) at TB 41. 24-B.Grimes to TB 46 for 5 yards (16-B.Coleman).
- New Orleans Saints (Q2 37:50) — (7:50) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees pass deep left to 83-W.Snead to TB 44 for 29 yards (37-K.Tandy) [57-N.Spence]. PENALTY on TB-28-V.Hargreaves, Face Mask (15 Yards), 15 yards, enforced at TB 44.
- New Orleans Saints (Q2 43:19) — (13:19) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees pass deep middle intended for 82-C.Fleener INTERCEPTED by 28-V.Hargreaves (58-K.Alexander) at TB 29. 28-V.Hargreaves to TB 29 for no gain (82-C.Fleener).
- New Orleans Saints (Q3 21:29) — (6:29) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees pass deep right to 10-B.Cooks to TB 26 for 38 yards (37-K.Tandy).
Quarterback report card
D.Brees led all passers in efficiency for New Orleans Saints, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.
- D.Brees (New Orleans Saints) · 43 dropbacks · 58.1% completion · -1.2% CPOE · -0.14 EPA/play · -5.87 total EPA
- J.Winston (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) · 34 dropbacks · 47.1% completion · +0.4% CPOE · +0.21 EPA/play · +7.22 total EPA
Team stats comparison
Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.
| Stat | New Orleans Saints | Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive EPA/play | -0.103 | -0.026 |
| Offensive success rate | 39.7% | 46.3% |
| Pass EPA/play | -0.137 | +0.212 |
| Rush EPA/play | -0.174 | -0.248 |
| Defensive EPA/play | +0.026 | +0.103 |
| Defensive success rate | 53.7% | 60.3% |
By the numbers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (-0.03 vs -0.10), even if the scoreboard told a different story.
- New Orleans Saints: 10 drives, -8.00 total EPA, 3 scoring drives
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 10 drives, -2.12 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
Key takeaways
What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
- One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
- J. Winston (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
Every scoring play
Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q1 53:10 · NO 23 · Score 0-3
(8:10) (Field Goal formation) 19-R.Aguayo 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.DePaola, Holder-9-B.Anger. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q2 44:55 · NO 1 · Score 0-9
(14:55) 66-L.Wester reported in as eligible. 22-D.Martin left tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q2 44:50 · NO 15 · Score 0-10
19-R.Aguayo extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.DePaola, Holder-9-B.Anger. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q2 38:30 · NO 21 · Score 0-13
(8:30) (Field Goal formation) 19-R.Aguayo 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.DePaola, Holder-9-B.Anger. - New Orleans Saints FG (+3) — Q2 35:33 · TB 23 · Score 3-13
(5:33) (Field Goal formation) 3-W.Lutz 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Drescher, Holder-6-T.Morstead. - New Orleans Saints Safety (+2) — Q2 35:27 · NO 99 · Score 5-13
(5:27) 22-D.Martin up the middle tackled in End Zone for -1 yards, SAFETY (99-P.Kruger). The Replay Official reviewed the safety ruling, and the play was Upheld - New Orleans Saints FG (+3) — Q2 30:04 · TB 15 · Score 8-13
(:04) (Field Goal formation) 3-W.Lutz 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Drescher, Holder-6-T.Morstead. - New Orleans Saints FG (+3) — Q3 18:39 · TB 4 · Score 11-13
(3:39) (Field Goal formation) 3-W.Lutz 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Drescher, Holder-6-T.Morstead. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q4 12:50 · NO 7 · Score 11-16
(12:50) (Field Goal formation) 19-R.Aguayo 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.DePaola, Holder-9-B.Anger.
Frequently asked questions
Who won New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers beat the New Orleans Saints 16-11 in Week 14, 2016 on 2016-12-11.
What was the final score of New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
The final score was New Orleans Saints 11, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 16 (NO 11-16 TB) in Week 14, 2016 on 2016-12-11.
What was the score by quarter in New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
Q1: New Orleans Saints 0, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3; Q2: New Orleans Saints 8, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 10; Q3: New Orleans Saints 3, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0; Q4: New Orleans Saints 0, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3; Final: New Orleans Saints 11, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 16.
Who scored touchdowns and field goals in New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — D. Martin (Q2 44:55) Tampa Bay Buccaneers field goal — R. Aguayo (Q1 53:10, 3 pts) Tampa Bay Buccaneers field goal — R. Aguayo (Q2 38:30, 3 pts) New Orleans Saints field goal — W. Lutz (Q2 35:33, 3 pts) New Orleans Saints field goal — W. Lutz (Q2 30:04, 3 pts) New Orleans Saints field goal — W. Lutz (Q3 18:39, 3 pts) Tampa Bay Buccaneers field goal — R. Aguayo (Q4 12:50, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.
How did the quarterbacks play in New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
D. Brees (New Orleans Saints), 58.1% completion, -1.2% CPOE, -0.14 EPA per dropback, -5.87 total passing EPA. J. Winston (Tampa Bay Buccaneers), 47.1% completion, +0.4% CPOE, +0.21 EPA per dropback, +7.22 total passing EPA.
Who was the most impactful player in New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
J. Winston (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) led the game in total EPA with +7.22 on passing plays. across 34 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-5.06 EPA): (10:15) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees pass short right intended for 16-B.Coleman INTERCEPTED by 24-B.Grimes (37-K.Tandy) at TB 41. 24-B.Grimes to TB 46 for 5 yards (16-B.Coleman).. The biggest win-probability swing was -15.7%.
Was New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers a close game?
Yes — the margin was 5 points. Tampa Bay Buccaneers won 16-11 in a game that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.
Season records after this game
New Orleans Saints
Entered 5-7 Now 5-8 L
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Entered 7-5 Now 8-5 W
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