FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 17 · December 28, 2014 · 11 min read

New Orleans Saints vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 2014 Week 17 Recap

Saints defeat Buccaneers 23–20 in Week 17

Mitchell Evans led Fantasy Impact as Saints prevailed in a 23–20 Week 17 finish.

New Orleans Saints 23 7–9 Winner
Final 23–20
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 20 2–14
Winner
New Orleans Saints
Final score
23–20
Halftime
New Orleans Saints 7–20 Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Top passer
D. Brees
FantasyHQ MVP
Mitchell Evans
Game date
December 28, 2014

Top fantasy performers · Saints

  • D.Brees 24/41 · 268 YDS · 1 TD +5.7 Fantasy Impact
  • Blake Watson
    Blake Watson 2 REC · 18 YDS +3.0 Fantasy Impact
  • Jimmy Graham
    Jimmy Graham 6 REC · 54 YDS +2.7 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Buccaneers

  • Mitchell Evans
    Mitchell Evans 5 REC · 54 YDS · 1 TD +8.9 Fantasy Impact
  • J.McCown 14/28 · 103 YDS · 1 TD +0.9 Fantasy Impact
  • V.Jackson 1 REC · 11 YDS +0.2 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The New Orleans Saints defeated the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 23–20 in Week 17 of the 2014 NFL season on 2014-12-28, a matchup that came down to the wire. The decisive swing (+28.0% win probability) came in the fourth quarter when New Orleans Saints swung the momentum.

In Week 17 of the 2014 NFL season on 2014-12-28, the New Orleans Saints took care of business against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, pulling away with a 23–20 final that came down to the wire.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 24 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

D. Brees (New Orleans Saints) paced the passing game, with +5.71 total EPA, and +2.2% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, M. Evans (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +8.95 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+28.0% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when New Orleans Saints changed the game: (2:05) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees pass short middle to 12-M.Colston for 36 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q4T
New Orleans Saints07160023
Tampa Bay Buccaneers31700020

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 M. Evans · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +8.95 total EPA · 6 snaps · +1.49 EPA/play
  2. 2 D. Brees · New Orleans Saints · Passing · +5.71 total EPA · 41 snaps · +0.14 EPA/play
  3. 3 B. Watson · New Orleans Saints · Receiving · +3.01 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.51 EPA/play
  4. 4 J. Graham · New Orleans Saints · Receiving · +2.74 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.30 EPA/play
  5. 5 M. Colston · New Orleans Saints · Receiving · +1.81 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.30 EPA/play
  6. 6 K. Robinson · New Orleans Saints · Receiving · +1.70 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.85 EPA/play
  7. 7 N. Toon · New Orleans Saints · Receiving · +1.51 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.75 EPA/play
  8. 8 R. Meachem · New Orleans Saints · Receiving · +1.07 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.07 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

M. Evans — TB · Receiving

M. Evans posted the highest total EPA (+8.95) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Tampa Bay Buccaneers's efficiency. Across 6 counted snaps, they averaged +1.49 EPA per play.

The signature play (+4.85 EPA) came from New Orleans Saints: (2:05) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees pass short middle to 12-M.Colston for 36 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — M. Evans (J. McCown pass) (Q2 41:31)
  • New Orleans Saints — K. Robinson (Q2 35:47)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — C. Sims (Q2 31:54)
  • New Orleans Saints — M. Ingram (Q4 14:10)
  • New Orleans Saints — M. Colston (D. Brees pass) (Q4 2:05)

Field goals

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — P. Murray (Q1 51:08)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — P. Murray (Q2 30:11)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 3–0. Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the NO 21 (Q1 51:08) — (6:08) (Field Goal formation) 7-P.Murray 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.DePaola, Holder-9-M.Koenen..

The second quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 17–7. Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the NO 6 (Q2 41:31) — (11:31) (Shotgun) 12-J.McCown pass short middle to 13-M.Evans for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN [57-D.Hawthorne].; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the NO 2 (Q2 41:25) — 7-P.Murray extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.DePaola, Holder-9-M.Koenen.; New Orleans Saints found the end zone from the TB 1 (Q2 35:47) — (5:47) 29-K.Robinson left end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; New Orleans Saints added 1 points from the TB 2 (Q2 35:45) — 3-S.Graham extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Drescher, Holder-7-L.McCown.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the NO 8 (Q2 31:54) — (1:54) 72-G.Gilkey reported in as eligible. 34-C.Sims left tackle for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the NO 2 (Q2 31:48) — 7-P.Murray extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.DePaola, Holder-9-M.Koenen.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the NO 8 (Q2 30:11) — (:11) (Field Goal formation) 7-P.Murray 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.DePaola, Holder-9-M.Koenen..

The fourth quarter: New Orleans Saints won the period 16–0. New Orleans Saints found the end zone from the TB 1 (Q4 14:10) — (14:10) 22-M.Ingram up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; New Orleans Saints added 1 points from the TB 2 (Q4 14:02) — 3-S.Graham extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Drescher, Holder-7-L.McCown.; New Orleans Saints found the end zone from the TB 36 (Q4 2:05) — (2:05) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees pass short middle to 12-M.Colston for 36 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New Orleans Saints added 1 points from the TB 2 (Q4 1:57) — 3-S.Graham extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Drescher, Holder-7-L.McCown.; New Orleans Saints registered a safety from the NO 94 (Q4 1:10) — (1:10) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-J.McCown sacked in End Zone for -6 yards, SAFETY (93-J.Galette)..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • New Orleans Saints (Q4 2:05) — (2:05) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees pass short middle to 12-M.Colston for 36 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +28.0% · EPA +4.85]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 1:10) — (1:10) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-J.McCown sacked in End Zone for -6 yards, SAFETY (93-J.Galette). [WPA -21.2% · EPA -1.35]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 1:38) — (1:38) (Shotgun) 12-J.McCown sacked at TB 6 for -6 yards (94-C.Jordan). [WPA -11.4% · EPA -0.59]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 5:33) — (5:33) 12-J.McCown pass short right intended for 15-T.King INTERCEPTED by 28-K.Lewis at NO 48. 28-K.Lewis to 50 for 2 yards (88-L.Stocker). [WPA -10.3% · EPA -4.01]
  • New Orleans Saints (Q4 3:27) — (3:27) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees pass short left to 80-J.Graham to TB 38 for 4 yards (30-B.McDougald, 51-D.Lansanah). [WPA +9.7% · EPA +2.49]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • New Orleans Saints (Q4 2:05) — (2:05) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees pass short middle to 12-M.Colston for 36 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +28.0% · EPA +4.85]
  • New Orleans Saints (Q3 20:36) — (5:36) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees pass deep middle to 84-K.Stills to TB 16 for 44 yards (38-D.Goldson). [WPA +5.4% · EPA +4.79]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 5:33) — (5:33) 12-J.McCown pass short right intended for 15-T.King INTERCEPTED by 28-K.Lewis at NO 48. 28-K.Lewis to 50 for 2 yards (88-L.Stocker). [WPA -10.3% · EPA -4.01]
  • New Orleans Saints (Q2 31:37) — (1:37) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees pass short middle intended for 84-K.Stills INTERCEPTED by 29-L.Johnson (98-C.McDonald) at NO 28. 29-L.Johnson to NO 34 for -6 yards (84-K.Stills). [WPA -4.6% · EPA -3.76]

Quarterback report card

D.Brees led all passers in efficiency for New Orleans Saints, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • D.Brees (New Orleans Saints) · 41 dropbacks · 58.5% completion · +2.2% CPOE · +0.14 EPA/play · +5.71 total EPA
  • J.McCown (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) · 28 dropbacks · 50.0% completion · +6.6% CPOE · +0.03 EPA/play · +0.95 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatNew Orleans SaintsTampa Bay Buccaneers
Offensive EPA/play+0.044-0.007
Offensive success rate43.6%45.0%
Pass EPA/play+0.139+0.034
Rush EPA/play-0.077-0.050
Defensive EPA/play+0.007-0.044
Defensive success rate55.0%56.4%

By the numbers

Despite the final score, New Orleans Saints generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.04 vs -0.01), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

  • New Orleans Saints: 11 drives, +3.44 total EPA, 3 scoring drives
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 10 drives, -0.53 total EPA, 5 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • New Orleans Saints leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
  • M. Evans (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • J. McCown (TB) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q1 51:08 · NO 21 · Score 0-3
    (6:08) (Field Goal formation) 7-P.Murray 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.DePaola, Holder-9-M.Koenen.
  2. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q2 41:31 · NO 6 · Score 0-9
    (11:31) (Shotgun) 12-J.McCown pass short middle to 13-M.Evans for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN [57-D.Hawthorne].
  3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q2 41:25 · NO 2 · Score 0-10
    7-P.Murray extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.DePaola, Holder-9-M.Koenen.
  4. New Orleans Saints TD (+6) — Q2 35:47 · TB 1 · Score 6-10
    (5:47) 29-K.Robinson left end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
  5. New Orleans Saints XP (+1) — Q2 35:45 · TB 2 · Score 7-10
    3-S.Graham extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Drescher, Holder-7-L.McCown.
  6. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q2 31:54 · NO 8 · Score 7-16
    (1:54) 72-G.Gilkey reported in as eligible. 34-C.Sims left tackle for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  7. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q2 31:48 · NO 2 · Score 7-17
    7-P.Murray extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.DePaola, Holder-9-M.Koenen.
  8. Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q2 30:11 · NO 8 · Score 7-20
    (:11) (Field Goal formation) 7-P.Murray 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.DePaola, Holder-9-M.Koenen.
  9. New Orleans Saints TD (+6) — Q4 14:10 · TB 1 · Score 13-20
    (14:10) 22-M.Ingram up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
  10. New Orleans Saints XP (+1) — Q4 14:02 · TB 2 · Score 14-20
    3-S.Graham extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Drescher, Holder-7-L.McCown.
  11. New Orleans Saints TD (+6) — Q4 2:05 · TB 36 · Score 20-20
    (2:05) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees pass short middle to 12-M.Colston for 36 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  12. New Orleans Saints XP (+1) — Q4 1:57 · TB 2 · Score 21-20
    3-S.Graham extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Drescher, Holder-7-L.McCown.
  13. New Orleans Saints Safety (+2) — Q4 1:10 · NO 94 · Score 23-20
    (1:10) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-J.McCown sacked in End Zone for -6 yards, SAFETY (93-J.Galette).

Frequently asked questions

Who won New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

The New Orleans Saints beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 23-20 in Week 17, 2014 on 2014-12-28.

What was the final score of New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

The final score was New Orleans Saints 23, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 20 (NO 23-20 TB) in Week 17, 2014 on 2014-12-28.

What was the score by quarter in New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

Q1: New Orleans Saints 0, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3; Q2: New Orleans Saints 7, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 17; Q4: New Orleans Saints 16, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0; Final: New Orleans Saints 23, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 20.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — M. Evans (J. McCown pass) (Q2 41:31) New Orleans Saints touchdown — K. Robinson (Q2 35:47) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — C. Sims (Q2 31:54) New Orleans Saints touchdown — M. Ingram (Q4 14:10) New Orleans Saints touchdown — M. Colston (D. Brees pass) (Q4 2:05) Tampa Bay Buccaneers field goal — P. Murray (Q1 51:08, 3 pts) Tampa Bay Buccaneers field goal — P. Murray (Q2 30:11, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

D. Brees (New Orleans Saints), 58.5% completion, +2.2% CPOE, +0.14 EPA per dropback, +5.71 total passing EPA. J. McCown (Tampa Bay Buccaneers), 50.0% completion, +6.6% CPOE, +0.03 EPA per dropback, +0.95 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

M. Evans (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) led the game in total EPA with +8.95 on receiving plays. across 6 snaps. The top single-play swing was (+4.85 EPA): (2:05) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees pass short middle to 12-M.Colston for 36 yards, TOUCHDOWN.. The biggest win-probability swing was +28.0%.

Was New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers a close game?

Yes — the margin was 3 points. New Orleans Saints won 23-20 in a game that came down to the wire.

Season records after this game

New Orleans Saints

Entered 6-9 Now 7-9 W

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Entered 2-13 Now 2-14 L