FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 13 · December 6, 2020 · 11 min read

New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons: 2020 Week 13 Recap

Saints defeat Falcons 21–16 in Week 13

Michael Thomas led Fantasy Impact as Saints prevailed in a 21–16 Week 13 finish.

New Orleans Saints 21 10–2 Winner
Final 21–16
Atlanta Falcons 16 4–8
Winner
New Orleans Saints
Final score
21–16
Halftime
New Orleans Saints 14–9 Atlanta Falcons
Top passer
Matt Ryan
FantasyHQ MVP
Michael Thomas
Game date
December 6, 2020

Top fantasy performers · Saints

  • Michael Thomas
    Michael Thomas 9 REC · 105 YDS +9.4 Fantasy Impact
  • Trysten Hill
    Trysten Hill 27/45 · 277 YDS · 2 TD +6.5 Fantasy Impact
  • Eli Sanders 5 REC · 39 YDS +2.1 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Falcons

  • Calvin Ridley
    Calvin Ridley 5 REC · 108 YDS +1.8 Fantasy Impact
  • Russell Gage Jr.
    Russell Gage Jr. 4 REC · 51 YDS · 1 TD +0.3 Fantasy Impact
  • Irv Smith Jr.
    Irv Smith Jr. 8 CAR · 36 YDS +0.2 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The New Orleans Saints defeated the Atlanta Falcons 21–16 in Week 13 of the 2020 NFL season on 2020-12-06, a matchup that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half. The decisive swing (-26.6% win probability) came in the fourth quarter when Atlanta Falcons swung the momentum.

In Week 13 of the 2020 NFL season on 2020-12-06, the New Orleans Saints took care of business against the Atlanta Falcons, pulling away with a 21–16 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 13 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

M. Ryan (Atlanta Falcons) paced the passing game, with -8.56 total EPA, and -11.7% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, M. Thomas (New Orleans Saints) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +9.45 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-26.6% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Atlanta Falcons changed the game: (1:42) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass incomplete deep left to 11-J.Jones.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
New Orleans Saints7770021
Atlanta Falcons3607016

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 M. Thomas · New Orleans Saints · Receiving · +9.45 total EPA · 11 snaps · +0.86 EPA/play
  2. 2 T. Hill · New Orleans Saints · Passing · +6.46 total EPA · 45 snaps · +0.14 EPA/play
  3. 3 E. Sanders · New Orleans Saints · Receiving · +2.12 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.35 EPA/play
  4. 4 J. Cook · New Orleans Saints · Receiving · +1.91 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.38 EPA/play
  5. 5 T. Smith · New Orleans Saints · Receiving · +1.86 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.31 EPA/play
  6. 6 C. Ridley · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +1.81 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.18 EPA/play
  7. 7 T. Lewis · New Orleans Saints · Rushing · +0.98 total EPA · 1 snaps · +0.98 EPA/play
  8. 8 R. Gage · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +0.27 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.03 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

M. Thomas — NO · Receiving

M. Thomas posted the highest total EPA (+9.45) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on New Orleans Saints's efficiency. Across 11 counted snaps, they averaged +0.86 EPA per play.

The signature play (-6.04 EPA) came from New Orleans Saints: (11:21) (Shotgun) 7-T.Hill sacked at ATL 14 for -9 yards (55-S.Means). FUMBLES (55-S.Means) [55-S.Means], touched at ATL 10, RECOVERED by ATL-45-D.Jones at ATL 15.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • New Orleans Saints — T. Smith (T. Hill pass) (Q1 52:08)
  • New Orleans Saints — J. Cook (T. Hill pass) (Q2 31:50)
  • New Orleans Saints — A. Kamara (Q3 24:06)
  • Atlanta Falcons — R. Gage (M. Ryan pass) (Q4 7:49)

Field goals

  • Atlanta Falcons — Y. Koo (Q1 49:00)
  • Atlanta Falcons — Y. Koo (Q2 34:55)
  • Atlanta Falcons — Y. Koo (Q2 30:05)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: New Orleans Saints won the period 7–3. New Orleans Saints found the end zone from the ATL 15 (Q1 52:08) — (7:08) 64-W.Clapp reported in as eligible. 7-T.Hill pass short left to 10-T.Smith for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New Orleans Saints added 1 points from the ATL 15 (Q1 52:01) — 3-W.Lutz extra point is GOOD, Center-49-Z.Wood, Holder-6-T.Morstead.; Atlanta Falcons connected on a field goal from the NO 35 (Q1 49:00) — (4:00) 7-Y.Koo 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-4-S.Hofrichter..

The second quarter: New Orleans Saints won the period 7–6. Atlanta Falcons connected on a field goal from the NO 12 (Q2 34:55) — (4:55) 7-Y.Koo 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-4-S.Hofrichter.; New Orleans Saints found the end zone from the ATL 11 (Q2 31:50) — (1:50) (Shotgun) 7-T.Hill pass short left to 87-J.Cook for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New Orleans Saints added 1 points from the ATL 15 (Q2 31:45) — 3-W.Lutz extra point is GOOD, Center-49-Z.Wood, Holder-6-T.Morstead.; Atlanta Falcons connected on a field goal from the NO 10 (Q2 30:05) — (:05) 7-Y.Koo 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-4-S.Hofrichter..

The third quarter: New Orleans Saints won the period 7–0. New Orleans Saints found the end zone from the ATL 11 (Q3 24:06) — (9:06) (Shotgun) 41-A.Kamara left tackle for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New Orleans Saints added 1 points from the ATL 15 (Q3 24:01) — 3-W.Lutz extra point is GOOD, Center-49-Z.Wood, Holder-6-T.Morstead..

The fourth quarter: Atlanta Falcons won the period 7–0. Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the NO 10 (Q4 7:49) — (7:49) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short left to 83-R.Gage for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the NO 15 (Q4 7:43) — 7-Y.Koo extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-4-S.Hofrichter..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Atlanta Falcons (Q4 1:42) — (1:42) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass incomplete deep left to 11-J.Jones. [WPA -26.6% · EPA -3.41]
  • Atlanta Falcons (Q4 2:30) — (2:30) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass deep middle to 11-J.Jones to NO 21 for 18 yards (43-M.Williams). [WPA +22.7% · EPA +2.54]
  • Atlanta Falcons (Q4 0:09) — (:09) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass incomplete deep middle (36-D.Swearinger). [WPA -17.8% · EPA -1.39]
  • Atlanta Falcons (Q4 1:49) — (1:49) (Shotgun) 21-T.Gurley left tackle to NO 20 for -7 yards (56-D.Davis). [WPA -15.0% · EPA -2.00]
  • Atlanta Falcons (Q4 7:49) — (7:49) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short left to 83-R.Gage for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +10.1% · EPA +2.31]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • New Orleans Saints (Q4 11:21) — (11:21) (Shotgun) 7-T.Hill sacked at ATL 14 for -9 yards (55-S.Means). FUMBLES (55-S.Means) [55-S.Means], touched at ATL 10, RECOVERED by ATL-45-D.Jones at ATL 15. [WPA -2.1% · EPA -6.04]
  • Atlanta Falcons (Q4 14:39) — (14:39) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass incomplete short right to 81-H.Hurst (96-C.Granderson) [96-C.Granderson]. New Orleans challenged the incomplete pass ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 2-M.Ry [WPA -2.4% · EPA -4.87]
  • New Orleans Saints (Q2 42:00) — (12:00) 3-W.Lutz 40 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-49-Z.Wood, Holder-6-T.Morstead. [WPA -7.7% · EPA -4.10]
  • Atlanta Falcons (Q4 1:42) — (1:42) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass incomplete deep left to 11-J.Jones. [WPA -26.6% · EPA -3.41]

Quarterback report card

M.Ryan led all passers in efficiency for Atlanta Falcons, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • M.Ryan (Atlanta Falcons) · 46 dropbacks · 41.3% completion · -11.7% CPOE · -0.19 EPA/play · -8.56 total EPA
  • T.Hill (New Orleans Saints) · 45 dropbacks · 60.0% completion · +4.7% CPOE · +0.14 EPA/play · +6.46 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatNew Orleans SaintsAtlanta Falcons
Offensive EPA/play-0.023-0.108
Offensive success rate42.1%38.8%
Pass EPA/play+0.143-0.186
Rush EPA/play-0.040-0.094
Defensive EPA/play+0.108+0.023
Defensive success rate61.3%57.9%

By the numbers

Despite the final score, New Orleans Saints generated the better offensive EPA per play (-0.02 vs -0.11), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

  • Atlanta Falcons: 12 drives, -8.64 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
  • New Orleans Saints: 11 drives, -2.21 total EPA, 3 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • New Orleans Saints leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
  • M. Thomas (New Orleans Saints) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • M. Ryan (ATL) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
  • T. Hill (NO) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. New Orleans Saints TD (+6) — Q1 52:08 · ATL 15 · Score 6-0
    (7:08) 64-W.Clapp reported in as eligible. 7-T.Hill pass short left to 10-T.Smith for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. New Orleans Saints XP (+1) — Q1 52:01 · ATL 15 · Score 7-0
    3-W.Lutz extra point is GOOD, Center-49-Z.Wood, Holder-6-T.Morstead.
  3. Atlanta Falcons FG (+3) — Q1 49:00 · NO 35 · Score 7-3
    (4:00) 7-Y.Koo 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-4-S.Hofrichter.
  4. Atlanta Falcons FG (+3) — Q2 34:55 · NO 12 · Score 7-6
    (4:55) 7-Y.Koo 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-4-S.Hofrichter.
  5. New Orleans Saints TD (+6) — Q2 31:50 · ATL 11 · Score 13-6
    (1:50) (Shotgun) 7-T.Hill pass short left to 87-J.Cook for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  6. New Orleans Saints XP (+1) — Q2 31:45 · ATL 15 · Score 14-6
    3-W.Lutz extra point is GOOD, Center-49-Z.Wood, Holder-6-T.Morstead.
  7. Atlanta Falcons FG (+3) — Q2 30:05 · NO 10 · Score 14-9
    (:05) 7-Y.Koo 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-4-S.Hofrichter.
  8. New Orleans Saints TD (+6) — Q3 24:06 · ATL 11 · Score 20-9
    (9:06) (Shotgun) 41-A.Kamara left tackle for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  9. New Orleans Saints XP (+1) — Q3 24:01 · ATL 15 · Score 21-9
    3-W.Lutz extra point is GOOD, Center-49-Z.Wood, Holder-6-T.Morstead.
  10. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q4 7:49 · NO 10 · Score 21-15
    (7:49) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short left to 83-R.Gage for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  11. Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q4 7:43 · NO 15 · Score 21-16
    7-Y.Koo extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-4-S.Hofrichter.

Frequently asked questions

Who won New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons?

The New Orleans Saints beat the Atlanta Falcons 21-16 in Week 13, 2020 on 2020-12-06.

What was the final score of New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons?

The final score was New Orleans Saints 21, Atlanta Falcons 16 (NO 21-16 ATL) in Week 13, 2020 on 2020-12-06.

What was the score by quarter in New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons?

Q1: New Orleans Saints 7, Atlanta Falcons 3; Q2: New Orleans Saints 7, Atlanta Falcons 6; Q3: New Orleans Saints 7, Atlanta Falcons 0; Q4: New Orleans Saints 0, Atlanta Falcons 7; Final: New Orleans Saints 21, Atlanta Falcons 16.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons?

New Orleans Saints touchdown — T. Smith (T. Hill pass) (Q1 52:08) New Orleans Saints touchdown — J. Cook (T. Hill pass) (Q2 31:50) New Orleans Saints touchdown — A. Kamara (Q3 24:06) Atlanta Falcons touchdown — R. Gage (M. Ryan pass) (Q4 7:49) Atlanta Falcons field goal — Y. Koo (Q1 49:00, 3 pts) Atlanta Falcons field goal — Y. Koo (Q2 34:55, 3 pts) Atlanta Falcons field goal — Y. Koo (Q2 30:05, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons?

M. Ryan (Atlanta Falcons), 41.3% completion, -11.7% CPOE, -0.19 EPA per dropback, -8.56 total passing EPA. T. Hill (New Orleans Saints), 60.0% completion, +4.7% CPOE, +0.14 EPA per dropback, +6.46 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons?

M. Thomas (New Orleans Saints) led the game in total EPA with +9.45 on receiving plays. across 11 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-6.04 EPA): (11:21) (Shotgun) 7-T.Hill sacked at ATL 14 for -9 yards (55-S.Means). FUMBLES (55-S.Means) [55-S.Means], touched at ATL 10, RECOVERED by ATL-45-D.Jones at ATL 15.. The biggest win-probability swing was -26.6%.

Was New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons a close game?

Yes — the margin was 5 points. New Orleans Saints won 21-16 in a game that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

Season records after this game

New Orleans Saints

Entered 9-2 Now 10-2 W

Atlanta Falcons

Entered 4-7 Now 4-8 L