FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 15 · December 16, 2018 · 10 min read

New England Patriots vs. Pittsburgh Steelers: 2018 Week 15 Recap

Steelers defeat Patriots 17–10 in Week 15

B.Roethlisberger led Fantasy Impact as Steelers prevailed in a 10–17 Week 15 finish.

New England Patriots 10 9–5
Final 10–17
Pittsburgh Steelers 17 8–5 Winner
Winner
Pittsburgh Steelers
Final score
10–17
Halftime
New England Patriots 7–14 Pittsburgh Steelers
Top passer
T. Brady
FantasyHQ MVP
B.Roethlisberger
Game date
December 16, 2018

Top fantasy performers · Patriots

  • C.Hogan 2 REC · 68 YDS · 1 TD +4.9 Fantasy Impact
  • T.Brady 25/40 · 272 YDS · 1 TD +3.1 Fantasy Impact
  • R.Gronkowski 2 REC · 21 YDS +1.5 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Steelers

  • B.Roethlisberger 22/38 · 218 YDS · 2 TD +6.9 Fantasy Impact
  • Jordan Washington
    Jordan Washington 3 REC · 65 YDS +4.3 Fantasy Impact
  • J.Samuels 19 CAR · 142 YDS +3.8 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Pittsburgh Steelers defeated the New England Patriots 17–10 in Week 15 of the 2018 NFL season on 2018-12-16, a matchup that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half. The decisive swing (-18.2% win probability) came in the fourth quarter when New England Patriots swung the momentum.

In Week 15 of the 2018 NFL season on 2018-12-16, the Pittsburgh Steelers took care of business against the New England Patriots, pulling away with a 17–10 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

The highest-scoring period was Q1 with 14 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

T. Brady (New England Patriots) paced the passing game, with +3.10 total EPA, and +5.9% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, B. Roethlisberger (Pittsburgh Steelers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +6.89 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-18.2% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when New England Patriots changed the game: (7:51) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right intended for 11-J.Edelman INTERCEPTED by 23-J.Haden [91-S.Tuitt] at PIT 4. 23-J.Haden to PIT 4 for no gain (11-J.Edelman; 87-R.Gronkowski). NE-11-J.Edelman

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
New England Patriots7030010
Pittsburgh Steelers7703017

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 B. Roethlisberger · Pittsburgh Steelers · Passing · +6.89 total EPA · 38 snaps · +0.18 EPA/play
  2. 2 C. Hogan · New England Patriots · Receiving · +4.86 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.62 EPA/play
  3. 3 J. Washington · Pittsburgh Steelers · Receiving · +4.35 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.09 EPA/play
  4. 4 J. Samuels · Pittsburgh Steelers · Rushing · +3.75 total EPA · 19 snaps · +0.20 EPA/play
  5. 5 T. Brady · New England Patriots · Passing · +3.10 total EPA · 40 snaps · +0.08 EPA/play
  6. 6 V. McDonald · Pittsburgh Steelers · Receiving · +3.07 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.02 EPA/play
  7. 7 J. Samuels · Pittsburgh Steelers · Receiving · +2.70 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.35 EPA/play
  8. 8 R. Gronkowski · New England Patriots · Receiving · +1.49 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.30 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

B. Roethlisberger — PIT · Passing

B. Roethlisberger posted the highest total EPA (+6.89) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Pittsburgh Steelers's efficiency. Across 38 counted snaps, they averaged +0.18 EPA per play.

The signature play (+5.37 EPA) came from New England Patriots: (6:58) 12-T.Brady pass deep right to 15-C.Hogan for 63 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Pittsburgh Steelers — V. McDonald (B. Roethlisberger pass) (Q1 53:45)
  • New England Patriots — C. Hogan (T. Brady pass) (Q1 51:58)
  • Pittsburgh Steelers — A. Brown (B. Roethlisberger pass) (Q2 42:07)

Field goals

  • New England Patriots — S. Gostkowski (Q3 15:20)
  • Pittsburgh Steelers — C. Boswell (Q4 2:34)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. Pittsburgh Steelers found the end zone from the NE 5 (Q1 53:45) — (8:45) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass short left to 89-V.McDonald for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Pittsburgh Steelers added 1 points from the NE 15 (Q1 53:40) — 9-C.Boswell extra point is GOOD, Center-57-K.Canaday, Holder-4-J.Berry.; New England Patriots found the end zone from the PIT 63 (Q1 51:58) — (6:58) 12-T.Brady pass deep right to 15-C.Hogan for 63 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New England Patriots added 1 points from the PIT 20 (Q1 51:48) — 3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-6-R.Allen..

The second quarter: Pittsburgh Steelers won the period 7–0. Pittsburgh Steelers found the end zone from the NE 17 (Q2 42:07); Pittsburgh Steelers added 1 points from the NE 15 (Q2 42:01) — 9-C.Boswell extra point is GOOD, Center-57-K.Canaday, Holder-4-J.Berry..

The third quarter: New England Patriots won the period 3–0. New England Patriots connected on a field goal from the PIT 15 (Q3 15:20) — (:20) (Field Goal formation) 3-S.Gostkowski 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-6-R.Allen..

The fourth quarter: Pittsburgh Steelers won the period 3–0. Pittsburgh Steelers connected on a field goal from the NE 30 (Q4 2:34) — (2:34) (Field Goal formation) 9-C.Boswell 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-57-K.Canaday, Holder-4-J.Berry..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • New England Patriots (Q4 7:51) — (7:51) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right intended for 11-J.Edelman INTERCEPTED by 23-J.Haden [91-S.Tuitt] at PIT 4. 23-J.Haden to PIT 4 for no gain (11-J.Edelman; 87-R.Gronkowski). NE-11-J.Edelman [WPA -18.2% · EPA -3.67]
  • New England Patriots (Q1 51:58) — (6:58) 12-T.Brady pass deep right to 15-C.Hogan for 63 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +12.2% · EPA +5.37]
  • Pittsburgh Steelers (Q4 6:13) — (6:13) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass short right to 89-V.McDonald to PIT 15 for 8 yards (23-P.Chung). [WPA +11.7% · EPA +1.26]
  • Pittsburgh Steelers (Q4 13:35) — (13:35) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass short right intended for 84-A.Brown INTERCEPTED by 21-D.Harmon (24-S.Gilmore) at NE 41. 21-D.Harmon to NE 41 for no gain (84-A.Brown). [WPA -11.6% · EPA -3.38]
  • Pittsburgh Steelers (Q4 3:14) — (3:14) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass short right to 38-J.Samuels to PIT 46 for 20 yards (30-J.McCourty). [WPA +10.7% · EPA +2.28]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • New England Patriots (Q1 51:58) — (6:58) 12-T.Brady pass deep right to 15-C.Hogan for 63 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +12.2% · EPA +5.37]
  • New England Patriots (Q4 7:51) — (7:51) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right intended for 11-J.Edelman INTERCEPTED by 23-J.Haden [91-S.Tuitt] at PIT 4. 23-J.Haden to PIT 4 for no gain (11-J.Edelman; 87-R.Gronkowski). NE-11-J.Edelman [WPA -18.2% · EPA -3.67]
  • Pittsburgh Steelers (Q4 13:35) — (13:35) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass short right intended for 84-A.Brown INTERCEPTED by 21-D.Harmon (24-S.Gilmore) at NE 41. 21-D.Harmon to NE 41 for no gain (84-A.Brown). [WPA -11.6% · EPA -3.38]
  • Pittsburgh Steelers (Q3 23:36) — (8:36) (Field Goal formation) 9-C.Boswell 32 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-57-K.Canaday, Holder-4-J.Berry. [WPA -8.1% · EPA -3.25]

Quarterback report card

T.Brady led all passers in efficiency for New England Patriots, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • T.Brady (New England Patriots) · 40 dropbacks · 62.5% completion · +5.9% CPOE · +0.08 EPA/play · +3.10 total EPA
  • B.Roethlisberger (Pittsburgh Steelers) · 38 dropbacks · 57.9% completion · +6.9% CPOE · +0.18 EPA/play · +6.89 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatNew England PatriotsPittsburgh Steelers
Offensive EPA/play+0.004+0.098
Offensive success rate44.3%50.7%
Pass EPA/play+0.077+0.181
Rush EPA/play-0.027+0.108
Defensive EPA/play-0.098-0.004
Defensive success rate49.3%55.7%

By the numbers

Pittsburgh Steelers held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.10 vs +0.00), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

  • New England Patriots: 9 drives, +0.35 total EPA, 2 scoring drives
  • Pittsburgh Steelers: 10 drives, +7.31 total EPA, 3 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Pittsburgh Steelers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
  • B. Roethlisberger (Pittsburgh Steelers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • T. Brady (NE) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
  • B. Roethlisberger (PIT) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Pittsburgh Steelers TD (+6) — Q1 53:45 · NE 5 · Score 0-6
    (8:45) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass short left to 89-V.McDonald for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Pittsburgh Steelers XP (+1) — Q1 53:40 · NE 15 · Score 0-7
    9-C.Boswell extra point is GOOD, Center-57-K.Canaday, Holder-4-J.Berry.
  3. New England Patriots TD (+6) — Q1 51:58 · PIT 63 · Score 6-7
    (6:58) 12-T.Brady pass deep right to 15-C.Hogan for 63 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. New England Patriots XP (+1) — Q1 51:48 · PIT 20 · Score 7-7
    3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-6-R.Allen.
  5. Pittsburgh Steelers TD (+6) — Q2 42:07 · NE 17 · Score 7-13
    (12:07) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass deep left to 84-A.Brown for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on NE-24-S.Gilmore, Defensive Holding, declined.
  6. Pittsburgh Steelers XP (+1) — Q2 42:01 · NE 15 · Score 7-14
    9-C.Boswell extra point is GOOD, Center-57-K.Canaday, Holder-4-J.Berry.
  7. New England Patriots FG (+3) — Q3 15:20 · PIT 15 · Score 10-14
    (:20) (Field Goal formation) 3-S.Gostkowski 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-6-R.Allen.
  8. Pittsburgh Steelers FG (+3) — Q4 2:34 · NE 30 · Score 10-17
    (2:34) (Field Goal formation) 9-C.Boswell 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-57-K.Canaday, Holder-4-J.Berry.

Frequently asked questions

Who won New England Patriots vs Pittsburgh Steelers?

The Pittsburgh Steelers beat the New England Patriots 17-10 in Week 15, 2018 on 2018-12-16.

What was the final score of New England Patriots vs Pittsburgh Steelers?

The final score was New England Patriots 10, Pittsburgh Steelers 17 (NE 10-17 PIT) in Week 15, 2018 on 2018-12-16.

What was the score by quarter in New England Patriots vs Pittsburgh Steelers?

Q1: New England Patriots 7, Pittsburgh Steelers 7; Q2: New England Patriots 0, Pittsburgh Steelers 7; Q3: New England Patriots 3, Pittsburgh Steelers 0; Q4: New England Patriots 0, Pittsburgh Steelers 3; Final: New England Patriots 10, Pittsburgh Steelers 17.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in New England Patriots vs Pittsburgh Steelers?

Pittsburgh Steelers touchdown — V. McDonald (B. Roethlisberger pass) (Q1 53:45) New England Patriots touchdown — C. Hogan (T. Brady pass) (Q1 51:58) Pittsburgh Steelers touchdown — A. Brown (B. Roethlisberger pass) (Q2 42:07) New England Patriots field goal — S. Gostkowski (Q3 15:20, 3 pts) Pittsburgh Steelers field goal — C. Boswell (Q4 2:34, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in New England Patriots vs Pittsburgh Steelers?

T. Brady (New England Patriots), 62.5% completion, +5.9% CPOE, +0.08 EPA per dropback, +3.10 total passing EPA. B. Roethlisberger (Pittsburgh Steelers), 57.9% completion, +6.9% CPOE, +0.18 EPA per dropback, +6.89 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in New England Patriots vs Pittsburgh Steelers?

B. Roethlisberger (Pittsburgh Steelers) led the game in total EPA with +6.89 on passing plays. across 38 snaps. The top single-play swing was (+5.37 EPA): (6:58) 12-T.Brady pass deep right to 15-C.Hogan for 63 yards, TOUCHDOWN.. The biggest win-probability swing was -18.2%.

Was New England Patriots vs Pittsburgh Steelers a close game?

Yes — the margin was 7 points. Pittsburgh Steelers won 17-10 in a game that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

Season records after this game

New England Patriots

Entered 9-4 Now 9-5 L

Pittsburgh Steelers

Entered 7-5 Now 8-5 W