FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 16 · December 21, 2014 · 11 min read

New England Patriots vs. New York Jets: 2014 Week 16 Recap

Patriots defeat Jets 17–16 in Week 16

J.Cumberland led Fantasy Impact as Patriots prevailed in a 17–16 Week 16 finish.

New England Patriots 17 12–3 Winner
Final 17–16
New York Jets 16 3–12
Winner
New England Patriots
Final score
17–16
Halftime
New England Patriots 7–10 New York Jets
Top passer
T. Brady
FantasyHQ MVP
J.Cumberland
Game date
December 21, 2014

Top fantasy performers · Patriots

  • D.Amendola 8 REC · 63 YDS +4.7 Fantasy Impact
  • Brandon Bolden
    Brandon Bolden 5 CAR · 32 YDS +2.0 Fantasy Impact
  • T.Wright 1 REC · 12 YDS +1.8 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Jets

  • J.Cumberland 3 REC · 43 YDS · 1 TD +4.8 Fantasy Impact
  • Geno Smith
    Geno Smith 17/32 · 199 YDS · 1 TD +2.0 Fantasy Impact
  • J.Kerley 3 REC · 54 YDS +2.0 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The New England Patriots defeated the New York Jets 17–16 in Week 16 of the 2014 NFL season on 2014-12-21, a matchup that came down to the wire. The decisive swing (-24.1% win probability) came in the fourth quarter when New England Patriots swung the momentum.

In Week 16 of the 2014 NFL season on 2014-12-21, the New England Patriots took care of business against the New York Jets, pulling away with a 17–16 final that came down to the wire.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 17 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

T. Brady (New England Patriots) paced the passing game, with -4.18 total EPA, and -1.9% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, J. Cumberland (New York Jets) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +4.83 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-24.1% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when New England Patriots changed the game: (7:26) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left intended for 19-B.LaFell INTERCEPTED by 22-M.Williams [58-J.Babin] at NE 31. 22-M.Williams to NE 30 for 1 yard (19-B.LaFell).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q2Q3Q4T
New England Patriots7370017
New York Jets10330016

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 J. Cumberland · New York Jets · Receiving · +4.83 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.97 EPA/play
  2. 2 D. Amendola · New England Patriots · Receiving · +4.73 total EPA · 11 snaps · +0.43 EPA/play
  3. 3 B. Bolden · New England Patriots · Rushing · +1.99 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.40 EPA/play
  4. 4 G. Smith · New York Jets · Passing · +1.98 total EPA · 32 snaps · +0.06 EPA/play
  5. 5 J. Kerley · New York Jets · Receiving · +1.98 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.33 EPA/play
  6. 6 T. Wright · New England Patriots · Receiving · +1.82 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.82 EPA/play
  7. 7 P. Harvin · New York Jets · Receiving · +1.70 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.34 EPA/play
  8. 8 J. Conner · New York Jets · Receiving · +1.43 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.43 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

J. Cumberland — NYJ · Receiving

J. Cumberland posted the highest total EPA (+4.83) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on New York Jets's efficiency. Across 5 counted snaps, they averaged +0.97 EPA per play.

The signature play (-3.80 EPA) came from New England Patriots: (7:26) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left intended for 19-B.LaFell INTERCEPTED by 22-M.Williams [58-J.Babin] at NE 31. 22-M.Williams to NE 30 for 1 yard (19-B.LaFell).

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • New England Patriots — R. Gronkowski (T. Brady pass) (Q2 42:14)
  • New York Jets — J. Cumberland (G. Smith pass) (Q2 36:03)
  • New England Patriots — J. Gray (Q4 13:56)

Field goals

  • New York Jets — N. Folk (Q2 30:52)
  • New York Jets — N. Folk (Q3 21:43)
  • New England Patriots — S. Gostkowski (Q3 16:58)
  • New York Jets — N. Folk (Q4 7:57)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The second quarter: New York Jets won the period 10–7. New England Patriots found the end zone from the NYJ 3 (Q2 42:14) — (12:14) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 87-R.Gronkowski for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New England Patriots added 1 points from the NYJ 2 (Q2 42:10) — 3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Aiken, Holder-6-R.Allen.; New York Jets found the end zone from the NE 20 (Q2 36:03) — (6:03) 7-G.Smith pass deep right to 85-J.Cumberland for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New York Jets added 1 points from the NE 2 (Q2 35:59) — 2-N.Folk extra point is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-4-R.Quigley.; New York Jets connected on a field goal from the NE 8 (Q2 30:52) — (:52) 2-N.Folk 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-4-R.Quigley..

The third quarter: The quarter finished even at 3–3. New York Jets connected on a field goal from the NE 5 (Q3 21:43) — (6:43) 2-N.Folk 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-4-R.Quigley.; New England Patriots connected on a field goal from the NYJ 6 (Q3 16:58) — (1:58) 3-S.Gostkowski 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Aiken, Holder-6-R.Allen..

The fourth quarter: New England Patriots won the period 7–3. New England Patriots found the end zone from the NYJ 1 (Q4 13:56); New England Patriots added 1 points from the NYJ 2 (Q4 13:51) — 3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Aiken, Holder-6-R.Allen.; New York Jets connected on a field goal from the NE 19 (Q4 7:57) — (7:57) 2-N.Folk 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-4-R.Quigley..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • New England Patriots (Q4 7:26) — (7:26) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left intended for 19-B.LaFell INTERCEPTED by 22-M.Williams [58-J.Babin] at NE 31. 22-M.Williams to NE 30 for 1 yard (19-B.LaFell). [WPA -24.1% · EPA -3.80]
  • New York Jets (Q4 5:21) — (5:21) 2-N.Folk 52 yard field goal is BLOCKED (75-V.Wilfork), Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-4-R.Quigley. [WPA -18.9% · EPA -3.04]
  • New York Jets (Q3 16:19) — (1:19) 7-G.Smith pass deep left intended for 88-J.Amaro INTERCEPTED by 91-J.Collins [95-Cha.Jones] at NYJ 40. 91-J.Collins to NYJ 40 for no gain. Lateral to 39-B.Browner to NYJ 38 for 2 yards (11-J.Ke [WPA -17.5% · EPA -3.70]
  • New York Jets (Q4 6:08) — (6:08) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith sacked at NE 34 for -10 yards (54-D.Hightower). [WPA -14.1% · EPA -2.62]
  • New York Jets (Q2 36:03) — (6:03) 7-G.Smith pass deep right to 85-J.Cumberland for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +12.0% · EPA +3.04]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • New England Patriots (Q4 7:26) — (7:26) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left intended for 19-B.LaFell INTERCEPTED by 22-M.Williams [58-J.Babin] at NE 31. 22-M.Williams to NE 30 for 1 yard (19-B.LaFell). [WPA -24.1% · EPA -3.80]
  • New York Jets (Q3 16:19) — (1:19) 7-G.Smith pass deep left intended for 88-J.Amaro INTERCEPTED by 91-J.Collins [95-Cha.Jones] at NYJ 40. 91-J.Collins to NYJ 40 for no gain. Lateral to 39-B.Browner to NYJ 38 for 2 yards (11-J.Ke [WPA -17.5% · EPA -3.70]
  • New England Patriots (Q1 57:21) — (12:21) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady sacked at NE 40 for -13 yards (sack split by 97-C.Pace and 52-D.Harris). [WPA -6.6% · EPA -3.07]
  • New York Jets (Q4 5:21) — (5:21) 2-N.Folk 52 yard field goal is BLOCKED (75-V.Wilfork), Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-4-R.Quigley. [WPA -18.9% · EPA -3.04]

Quarterback report card

T.Brady led all passers in efficiency for New England Patriots, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • T.Brady (New England Patriots) · 42 dropbacks · 54.8% completion · -1.9% CPOE · -0.10 EPA/play · -4.18 total EPA
  • G.Smith (New York Jets) · 32 dropbacks · 53.1% completion · +3.6% CPOE · +0.06 EPA/play · +1.98 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatNew England PatriotsNew York Jets
Offensive EPA/play-0.096-0.128
Offensive success rate45.6%36.4%
Pass EPA/play-0.100+0.062
Rush EPA/play+0.132-0.197
Defensive EPA/play+0.128+0.096
Defensive success rate63.6%54.4%

By the numbers

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (New England Patriots -0.10, New York Jets -0.13) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

  • New England Patriots: 11 drives, -7.62 total EPA, 3 scoring drives
  • New York Jets: 10 drives, -9.86 total EPA, 4 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • New England Patriots leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
  • J. Cumberland (New York Jets) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • G. Smith (NYJ) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. New England Patriots TD (+6) — Q2 42:14 · NYJ 3 · Score 6-0
    (12:14) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 87-R.Gronkowski for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. New England Patriots XP (+1) — Q2 42:10 · NYJ 2 · Score 7-0
    3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Aiken, Holder-6-R.Allen.
  3. New York Jets TD (+6) — Q2 36:03 · NE 20 · Score 7-6
    (6:03) 7-G.Smith pass deep right to 85-J.Cumberland for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. New York Jets XP (+1) — Q2 35:59 · NE 2 · Score 7-7
    2-N.Folk extra point is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-4-R.Quigley.
  5. New York Jets FG (+3) — Q2 30:52 · NE 8 · Score 7-10
    (:52) 2-N.Folk 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-4-R.Quigley.
  6. New York Jets FG (+3) — Q3 21:43 · NE 5 · Score 7-13
    (6:43) 2-N.Folk 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-4-R.Quigley.
  7. New England Patriots FG (+3) — Q3 16:58 · NYJ 6 · Score 10-13
    (1:58) 3-S.Gostkowski 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Aiken, Holder-6-R.Allen.
  8. New England Patriots TD (+6) — Q4 13:56 · NYJ 1 · Score 16-13
    (13:56) 35-J.Gray right tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official challenged the runner broke the plane ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on t
  9. New England Patriots XP (+1) — Q4 13:51 · NYJ 2 · Score 17-13
    3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Aiken, Holder-6-R.Allen.
  10. New York Jets FG (+3) — Q4 7:57 · NE 19 · Score 17-16
    (7:57) 2-N.Folk 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-4-R.Quigley.

Frequently asked questions

Who won New England Patriots vs New York Jets?

The New England Patriots beat the New York Jets 17-16 in Week 16, 2014 on 2014-12-21.

What was the final score of New England Patriots vs New York Jets?

The final score was New England Patriots 17, New York Jets 16 (NE 17-16 NYJ) in Week 16, 2014 on 2014-12-21.

What was the score by quarter in New England Patriots vs New York Jets?

Q2: New England Patriots 7, New York Jets 10; Q3: New England Patriots 3, New York Jets 3; Q4: New England Patriots 7, New York Jets 3; Final: New England Patriots 17, New York Jets 16.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in New England Patriots vs New York Jets?

New England Patriots touchdown — R. Gronkowski (T. Brady pass) (Q2 42:14) New York Jets touchdown — J. Cumberland (G. Smith pass) (Q2 36:03) New England Patriots touchdown — J. Gray (Q4 13:56) New York Jets field goal — N. Folk (Q2 30:52, 3 pts) New York Jets field goal — N. Folk (Q3 21:43, 3 pts) New England Patriots field goal — S. Gostkowski (Q3 16:58, 3 pts) New York Jets field goal — N. Folk (Q4 7:57, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in New England Patriots vs New York Jets?

T. Brady (New England Patriots), 54.8% completion, -1.9% CPOE, -0.10 EPA per dropback, -4.18 total passing EPA. G. Smith (New York Jets), 53.1% completion, +3.6% CPOE, +0.06 EPA per dropback, +1.98 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in New England Patriots vs New York Jets?

J. Cumberland (New York Jets) led the game in total EPA with +4.83 on receiving plays. across 5 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-3.80 EPA): (7:26) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left intended for 19-B.LaFell INTERCEPTED by 22-M.Williams [58-J.Babin] at NE 31. 22-M.Williams to NE 30 for 1 yard (19-B.LaFell).. The biggest win-probability swing was -24.1%.

Was New England Patriots vs New York Jets a close game?

Yes — the margin was 1 points. New England Patriots won 17-16 in a game that came down to the wire.

Season records after this game

New England Patriots

Entered 11-3 Now 12-3 W

New York Jets

Entered 3-11 Now 3-12 L