New England Patriots vs. Las Vegas Raiders: 2017 Week 11 Recap

Game story

In Week 11 of the 2017 NFL season on 2017-11-19, the New England Patriots took care of business against the Las Vegas Raiders, pulling away with a 33–8 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q3 with 13 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

D. Carr (Las Vegas Raiders) paced the passing game, with -4.72 total EPA, and -2.6% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, T. Brady (New England Patriots) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +20.66 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-9.4% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Las Vegas Raiders changed the game: (:44) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short right to 10-S.Roberts to NE 3 for 12 yards (59-M.Flowers). FUMBLES (59-M.Flowers), RECOVERED by NE-23-P.Chung at NE 7. 23-P.Chung to NE 7 for no gain (87-J.Cook).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 T. Brady · New England Patriots · Passing · +20.66 total EPA · 39 snaps · +0.53 EPA/play
2. 2 D. Amendola · New England Patriots · Receiving · +6.98 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.78 EPA/play
3. 3 B. Cooks · New England Patriots · Receiving · +6.89 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.77 EPA/play
4. 4 C. Patterson · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +4.70 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.17 EPA/play
5. 5 R. Gronkowski · New England Patriots · Receiving · +4.40 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.47 EPA/play
6. 6 M. Lynch · Las Vegas Raiders · Rushing · +4.29 total EPA · 11 snaps · +0.39 EPA/play
7. 7 M. Crabtree · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +3.85 total EPA · 12 snaps · +0.32 EPA/play
8. 8 D. Lewis · New England Patriots · Receiving · +2.34 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.58 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• New England Patriots — D. Lewis (T. Brady pass) (Q1 49:18)
• New England Patriots — D. Amendola (T. Brady pass) (Q2 35:29)
• New England Patriots — B. Cooks (T. Brady pass) (Q3 29:15)
• Las Vegas Raiders — A. Cooper (D. Carr pass) (Q4 11:50)

Field goals

• New England Patriots — S. Gostkowski (Q2 30:05)
• New England Patriots — S. Gostkowski (Q3 22:09)
• New England Patriots — S. Gostkowski (Q3 17:08)
• New England Patriots — S. Gostkowski (Q4 8:19)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: New England Patriots won the period 7–0. New England Patriots found the end zone from the LV 15 (Q1 49:18) — (4:18) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 33-D.Lewis for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New England Patriots added 1 points from the LV 15 (Q1 49:09) — 3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-6-R.Allen..

The second quarter: New England Patriots won the period 10–0. New England Patriots found the end zone from the LV 5 (Q2 35:29) — (5:29) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 80-D.Amendola for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New England Patriots added 1 points from the LV 15 (Q2 35:23) — 3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-6-R.Allen.; New England Patriots connected on a field goal from the LV 44 (Q2 30:05) — (:05) 3-S.Gostkowski 62 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-6-R.Allen..

The third quarter: New England Patriots won the period 13–0. New England Patriots found the end zone from the LV 64 (Q3 29:15) — (14:15) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep right to 14-B.Cooks for 64 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New England Patriots added 1 points from the LV 15 (Q3 29:06) — 3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-6-R.Allen.; New England Patriots connected on a field goal from the LV 33 (Q3 22:09) — (7:09) 3-S.Gostkowski 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-6-R.Allen.; New England Patriots connected on a field goal from the LV 22 (Q3 17:08) — (2:08) 3-S.Gostkowski 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-6-R.Allen..

The fourth quarter: Las Vegas Raiders won the period 8–3. Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the NE 9 (Q4 11:50) — (11:50) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short right to 89-A.Cooper for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Las Vegas Raiders registered a safety from the NE 2 (Q4 11:43) — (Pass formation) TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 4-D.Carr pass to 15-M.Crabtree is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.; New England Patriots connected on a field goal from the LV 11 (Q4 8:19) — (8:19) 3-S.Gostkowski 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-6-R.Allen..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Las Vegas Raiders (Q2 30:44) — (:44) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short right to 10-S.Roberts to NE 3 for 12 yards (59-M.Flowers). FUMBLES (59-M.Flowers), RECOVERED by NE-23-P.Chung at NE 7. 23-P.Chung to NE 7 for no gain (87-J.Cook). [WPA -9.4% · EPA -4.51]
• New England Patriots (Q2 38:55) — (8:55) 12-T.Brady pass deep middle to 14-B.Cooks to LV 28 for 52 yards (38-T.Carrie). [WPA +8.7% · EPA +3.35]
• New England Patriots (Q1 51:51) — (6:51) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 80-D.Amendola to LV 28 for 12 yards (42-K.Joseph). [WPA +7.3% · EPA +1.95]
• New England Patriots (Q1 49:18) — (4:18) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 33-D.Lewis for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +5.5% · EPA +2.50]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q1 56:28) — (11:28) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass incomplete short middle to 10-S.Roberts. [WPA -5.1% · EPA -1.71]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• New England Patriots (Q3 29:15) — (14:15) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep right to 14-B.Cooks for 64 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +3.8% · EPA +5.56]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q2 30:44) — (:44) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short right to 10-S.Roberts to NE 3 for 12 yards (59-M.Flowers). FUMBLES (59-M.Flowers), RECOVERED by NE-23-P.Chung at NE 7. 23-P.Chung to NE 7 for no gain (87-J.Cook). [WPA -9.4% · EPA -4.51]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q4 14:51) — (14:51) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short left to 15-M.Crabtree to NE 35 for 15 yards (30-D.Harmon). [WPA +0.0% · EPA +3.91]
• New England Patriots (Q2 38:55) — (8:55) 12-T.Brady pass deep middle to 14-B.Cooks to LV 28 for 52 yards (38-T.Carrie). [WPA +8.7% · EPA +3.35]

Quarterback report card

D.Carr led all passers in efficiency for Las Vegas Raiders, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• D.Carr (Las Vegas Raiders) · 53 dropbacks · 52.8% completion · -2.6% CPOE · -0.09 EPA/play · -4.72 total EPA
• T.Brady (New England Patriots) · 39 dropbacks · 76.9% completion · +17.2% CPOE · +0.53 EPA/play · +20.66 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Despite the final score, New England Patriots generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.37 vs -0.02), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

• Las Vegas Raiders: 9 drives, -1.60 total EPA, 1 scoring drives
• New England Patriots: 9 drives, +27.32 total EPA, 7 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• New England Patriots leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• T. Brady (New England Patriots) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• T. Brady (NE) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. New England Patriots TD (+6) — Q1 49:18 · LV 15 · Score 6-0
   (4:18) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 33-D.Lewis for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
2. New England Patriots XP (+1) — Q1 49:09 · LV 15 · Score 7-0
   3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-6-R.Allen.
3. New England Patriots TD (+6) — Q2 35:29 · LV 5 · Score 13-0
   (5:29) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 80-D.Amendola for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
4. New England Patriots XP (+1) — Q2 35:23 · LV 15 · Score 14-0
   3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-6-R.Allen.
5. New England Patriots FG (+3) — Q2 30:05 · LV 44 · Score 17-0
   (:05) 3-S.Gostkowski 62 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-6-R.Allen.
6. New England Patriots TD (+6) — Q3 29:15 · LV 64 · Score 23-0
   (14:15) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep right to 14-B.Cooks for 64 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
7. New England Patriots XP (+1) — Q3 29:06 · LV 15 · Score 24-0
   3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-6-R.Allen.
8. New England Patriots FG (+3) — Q3 22:09 · LV 33 · Score 27-0
   (7:09) 3-S.Gostkowski 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-6-R.Allen.
9. New England Patriots FG (+3) — Q3 17:08 · LV 22 · Score 30-0
   (2:08) 3-S.Gostkowski 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-6-R.Allen.
10. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q4 11:50 · NE 9 · Score 30-6
    (11:50) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short right to 89-A.Cooper for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
11. Las Vegas Raiders Safety (+2) — Q4 11:43 · NE 2 · Score 30-8
    (Pass formation) TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 4-D.Carr pass to 15-M.Crabtree is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.
12. New England Patriots FG (+3) — Q4 8:19 · LV 11 · Score 33-8
    (8:19) 3-S.Gostkowski 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-6-R.Allen.