Minnesota Vikings vs. San Francisco 49ers: 2007 Week 14 Recap

Game story

In Week 14 of the 2007 NFL season on 2007-12-09, the Minnesota Vikings took care of business against the San Francisco 49ers, pulling away with a 27–7 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 17 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

T. Jackson (Minnesota Vikings) paced the passing game, with +2.06 total EPA, and +6.2% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, D. Walker (San Francisco 49ers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +6.12 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-21.2% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when San Francisco 49ers changed the game: (14:53) (Shotgun) 12-T.Dilfer pass short middle intended for 82-D.Jackson INTERCEPTED by 93-K.Williams at SF 18. 93-K.Williams for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 D. Walker · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +6.12 total EPA · 6 snaps · +1.02 EPA/play
2. 2 R. Ferguson · Minnesota Vikings · Receiving · +5.55 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.39 EPA/play
3. 3 C. Taylor · Minnesota Vikings · Rushing · +4.44 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.49 EPA/play
4. 4 A. Battle · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +3.96 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.98 EPA/play
5. 5 S. Rice · Minnesota Vikings · Receiving · +3.10 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.55 EPA/play
6. 6 V. Davis · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +3.00 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.60 EPA/play
7. 7 B. Wade · Minnesota Vikings · Receiving · +2.16 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.72 EPA/play
8. 8 T. Jackson · Minnesota Vikings · Passing · +2.06 total EPA · 30 snaps · +0.07 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Minnesota Vikings — K. Williams (Q1 59:53)
• Minnesota Vikings — R. Ferguson (T. Jackson pass) (Q2 44:19)
• Minnesota Vikings — C. Taylor (Q2 36:07)
• San Francisco 49ers — A. Battle (S. Hill pass) (Q3 22:12)

Field goals

• Minnesota Vikings — R. Longwell (Q1 50:13)
• Minnesota Vikings — R. Longwell (Q2 37:20)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Minnesota Vikings won the period 10–0. Minnesota Vikings found the end zone from the MIN 78 (Q1 59:53); Minnesota Vikings added 1 points from the SF 2 (Q1 59:46) — 8-R.Longwell extra point is GOOD, Center-46-C.Loeffler, Holder-5-C.Kluwe.; Minnesota Vikings connected on a field goal from the SF 30 (Q1 50:13) — (5:13) 8-R.Longwell 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Loeffler, Holder-5-C.Kluwe..

The second quarter: Minnesota Vikings won the period 17–0. Minnesota Vikings found the end zone from the SF 19 (Q2 44:19) — (14:19) 7-T.Jackson pass short right to 89-R.Ferguson for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught at SF 12.; Minnesota Vikings added 1 points from the SF 2 (Q2 44:14) — 8-R.Longwell extra point is GOOD, Center-46-C.Loeffler, Holder-5-C.Kluwe.; Minnesota Vikings connected on a field goal from the SF 28 (Q2 37:20) — (7:20) 8-R.Longwell 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Loeffler, Holder-5-C.Kluwe.; Minnesota Vikings found the end zone from the SF 84 (Q2 36:07) — (6:07) 29-C.Taylor left end for 84 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Minnesota Vikings added 1 points from the SF 2 (Q2 35:52) — 8-R.Longwell extra point is GOOD, Center-46-C.Loeffler, Holder-5-C.Kluwe..

The third quarter: San Francisco 49ers won the period 7–0. San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the MIN 5 (Q3 22:12) — (7:12) (Shotgun) 13-S.Hill pass short left to 83-A.Battle for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; San Francisco 49ers added 1 points from the MIN 2 (Q3 22:06) — 6-J.Nedney extra point is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• San Francisco 49ers (Q1 59:53) — (14:53) (Shotgun) 12-T.Dilfer pass short middle intended for 82-D.Jackson INTERCEPTED by 93-K.Williams at SF 18. 93-K.Williams for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -21.2% · EPA -7.53]
• Minnesota Vikings (Q2 36:07) — (6:07) 29-C.Taylor left end for 84 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +6.6% · EPA +7.60]
• Minnesota Vikings (Q2 37:20) — (7:20) 8-R.Longwell 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Loeffler, Holder-5-C.Kluwe. [WPA +5.5% · EPA +1.29]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q2 38:55) — (8:55) 21-F.Gore up the middle to SF 39 for 5 yards (60-C.Bolston). FUMBLES (60-C.Bolston), RECOVERED by MIN-56-E.Henderson at SF 39. 56-E.Henderson to SF 23 for 16 yards (12-T.Dilfer). [WPA -5.0% · EPA -5.63]
• Minnesota Vikings (Q2 40:42) — (10:42) (Shotgun) 7-T.Jackson pass short left to 18-S.Rice to MIN 22 for 9 yards (26-M.Roman). Caught at MIN 18. [WPA +4.9% · EPA +1.65]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Minnesota Vikings (Q2 36:07) — (6:07) 29-C.Taylor left end for 84 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +6.6% · EPA +7.60]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q1 59:53) — (14:53) (Shotgun) 12-T.Dilfer pass short middle intended for 82-D.Jackson INTERCEPTED by 93-K.Williams at SF 18. 93-K.Williams for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -21.2% · EPA -7.53]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q2 38:55) — (8:55) 21-F.Gore up the middle to SF 39 for 5 yards (60-C.Bolston). FUMBLES (60-C.Bolston), RECOVERED by MIN-56-E.Henderson at SF 39. 56-E.Henderson to SF 23 for 16 yards (12-T.Dilfer). [WPA -5.0% · EPA -5.63]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q3 17:14) — (2:14) (Shotgun) 13-S.Hill pass short middle intended for 18-A.Lelie INTERCEPTED by 94-P.Williams at MIN 44. 94-P.Williams to MIN 45 for 1 yard (13-S.Hill). [WPA -1.8% · EPA -5.10]

Quarterback report card

T.Jackson led all passers in efficiency for Minnesota Vikings, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• T.Jackson (Minnesota Vikings) · 30 dropbacks · 53.3% completion · +6.2% CPOE · +0.07 EPA/play · +2.06 total EPA
• S.Hill (San Francisco 49ers) · 30 dropbacks · 73.3% completion · +16.8% CPOE · -0.02 EPA/play · -0.55 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Minnesota Vikings generated the better offensive EPA per play (-0.02 vs -0.28), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

• Minnesota Vikings: 14 drives, -1.42 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
• San Francisco 49ers: 13 drives, -25.33 total EPA, 2 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Minnesota Vikings leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• D. Walker (San Francisco 49ers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• T. Jackson (MIN) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
• S. Hill (SF) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Minnesota Vikings TD (+6) — Q1 59:53 · MIN 78 · Score 6-0
   (14:53) (Shotgun) 12-T.Dilfer pass short middle intended for 82-D.Jackson INTERCEPTED by 93-K.Williams at SF 18. 93-K.Williams for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
2. Minnesota Vikings XP (+1) — Q1 59:46 · SF 2 · Score 7-0
   8-R.Longwell extra point is GOOD, Center-46-C.Loeffler, Holder-5-C.Kluwe.
3. Minnesota Vikings FG (+3) — Q1 50:13 · SF 30 · Score 10-0
   (5:13) 8-R.Longwell 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Loeffler, Holder-5-C.Kluwe.
4. Minnesota Vikings TD (+6) — Q2 44:19 · SF 19 · Score 16-0
   (14:19) 7-T.Jackson pass short right to 89-R.Ferguson for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught at SF 12.
5. Minnesota Vikings XP (+1) — Q2 44:14 · SF 2 · Score 17-0
   8-R.Longwell extra point is GOOD, Center-46-C.Loeffler, Holder-5-C.Kluwe.
6. Minnesota Vikings FG (+3) — Q2 37:20 · SF 28 · Score 20-0
   (7:20) 8-R.Longwell 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Loeffler, Holder-5-C.Kluwe.
7. Minnesota Vikings TD (+6) — Q2 36:07 · SF 84 · Score 26-0
   (6:07) 29-C.Taylor left end for 84 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
8. Minnesota Vikings XP (+1) — Q2 35:52 · SF 2 · Score 27-0
   8-R.Longwell extra point is GOOD, Center-46-C.Loeffler, Holder-5-C.Kluwe.
9. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q3 22:12 · MIN 5 · Score 27-6
   (7:12) (Shotgun) 13-S.Hill pass short left to 83-A.Battle for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
10. San Francisco 49ers XP (+1) — Q3 22:06 · MIN 2 · Score 27-7
    6-J.Nedney extra point is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee.