FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 17 · January 3, 2016 · 11 min read

Minnesota Vikings vs. Green Bay Packers: 2015 Week 17 Recap

Vikings defeat Packers 20–13 in Week 17

Adam Thielen led Fantasy Impact as Vikings prevailed in a 20–13 Week 17 finish.

Minnesota Vikings 20 11–5 Winner
Final 20–13
Green Bay Packers 13 10–6
Winner
Minnesota Vikings
Final score
20–13
Halftime
Minnesota Vikings 6–3 Green Bay Packers
Top passer
Aaron Rodgers
FantasyHQ MVP
Adam Thielen
Game date
January 3, 2016

Top fantasy performers · Vikings

  • Adam Thielen
    Adam Thielen 2 CAR · 67 YDS +6.9 Fantasy Impact
  • A.Peterson 19 CAR · 67 YDS · 1 TD +1.2 Fantasy Impact
  • Jerick McKinnon
    Jerick McKinnon 4 CAR · 15 YDS +0.5 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Packers

  • R.Rodgers 7 REC · 59 YDS · 1 TD +2.9 Fantasy Impact
  • Randall Cobb
    Randall Cobb 6 REC · 37 YDS +1.8 Fantasy Impact
  • Davante Adams
    Davante Adams 4 REC · 54 YDS +1.3 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Minnesota Vikings defeated the Green Bay Packers 20–13 in Week 17 of the 2015 NFL season on 2016-01-03, a matchup that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half. The decisive swing (+15.7% win probability) came in the opening quarter when Minnesota Vikings swung the momentum.

In Week 17 of the 2015 NFL season on 2016-01-03, the Minnesota Vikings took care of business against the Green Bay Packers, pulling away with a 20–13 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

The highest-scoring period was Q3 with 14 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

A. Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) paced the passing game, with -9.86 total EPA, and +4.2% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, A. Thielen (Minnesota Vikings) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +6.94 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+15.7% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when Minnesota Vikings changed the game: (12:16) (Punt formation) 19-A.Thielen left end to GB 21 for 41 yards (55-A.Mulumba).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Minnesota Vikings33140020
Green Bay Packers30010013

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 A. Thielen · Minnesota Vikings · Rushing · +6.94 total EPA · 2 snaps · +3.47 EPA/play
  2. 2 R. Rodgers · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +2.93 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.37 EPA/play
  3. 3 R. Cobb · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +1.82 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.23 EPA/play
  4. 4 D. Adams · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +1.33 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.22 EPA/play
  5. 5 A. Peterson · Minnesota Vikings · Rushing · +1.23 total EPA · 19 snaps · +0.06 EPA/play
  6. 6 J. Starks · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +1.21 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.40 EPA/play
  7. 7 A. Thielen · Minnesota Vikings · Receiving · +1.11 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.11 EPA/play
  8. 8 J. McKinnon · Minnesota Vikings · Rushing · +0.52 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.13 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

A. Thielen — MIN · Rushing

A. Thielen posted the highest total EPA (+6.94) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Minnesota Vikings's efficiency. Across 2 counted snaps, they averaged +3.47 EPA per play.

The signature play (-8.54 EPA) came from Green Bay Packers: (4:42) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers sacked at GB 47 for -8 yards (97-E.Griffen). FUMBLES (97-E.Griffen), RECOVERED by MIN-24-C.Munnerlyn at MIN 45. 24-C.Munnerlyn for 55 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the fumbl

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Minnesota Vikings — A. Peterson (Q3 25:37)
  • Minnesota Vikings — C. Munnerlyn (Q3 19:42)
  • Green Bay Packers — R. Rodgers (A. Rodgers pass) (Q4 13:37)

Field goals

  • Minnesota Vikings — B. Walsh (Q1 55:49)
  • Green Bay Packers — M. Crosby (Q1 47:06)
  • Minnesota Vikings — B. Walsh (Q2 32:58)
  • Green Bay Packers — M. Crosby (Q4 5:39)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: The quarter finished even at 3–3. Minnesota Vikings connected on a field goal from the GB 21 (Q1 55:49) — (10:49) 3-B.Walsh 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-K.McDermott, Holder-18-J.Locke.; Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the MIN 10 (Q1 47:06) — (2:06) 2-M.Crosby 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-R.Lovato, Holder-8-T.Masthay..

The second quarter: Minnesota Vikings won the period 3–0. Minnesota Vikings connected on a field goal from the GB 14 (Q2 32:58) — (2:58) 3-B.Walsh 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-K.McDermott, Holder-18-J.Locke..

The third quarter: Minnesota Vikings won the period 14–0. Minnesota Vikings found the end zone from the GB 3 (Q3 25:37) — (10:37) (Shotgun) 28-A.Peterson up the middle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Minnesota Vikings added 1 points from the GB 15 (Q3 25:32) — 3-B.Walsh extra point is GOOD, Center-47-K.McDermott, Holder-18-J.Locke.; Minnesota Vikings found the end zone from the MIN 45 (Q3 19:42); Minnesota Vikings added 1 points from the GB 15 (Q3 19:28) — 3-B.Walsh extra point is GOOD, Center-47-K.McDermott, Holder-18-J.Locke..

The fourth quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 10–0. Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the MIN 16 (Q4 13:37) — (13:37) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short left to 82-R.Rodgers for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the MIN 15 (Q4 13:27) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-59-R.Lovato, Holder-8-T.Masthay.; Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the MIN 25 (Q4 5:39) — (5:39) 2-M.Crosby 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-R.Lovato, Holder-8-T.Masthay..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Minnesota Vikings (Q1 57:16) — (12:16) (Punt formation) 19-A.Thielen left end to GB 21 for 41 yards (55-A.Mulumba). [WPA +15.7% · EPA +5.44]
  • Green Bay Packers (Q4 4:37) — (4:37) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep middle to 89-J.Jones to MIN 23 for 37 yards (23-T.Newman). MIN-55-A.Barr was injured during the play. [WPA +12.7% · EPA +2.35]
  • Green Bay Packers (Q3 19:42) — (4:42) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers sacked at GB 47 for -8 yards (97-E.Griffen). FUMBLES (97-E.Griffen), RECOVERED by MIN-24-C.Munnerlyn at MIN 45. 24-C.Munnerlyn for 55 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Officia [WPA -12.3% · EPA -8.54]
  • Green Bay Packers (Q4 2:18) — (2:18) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep left intended for 89-J.Jones INTERCEPTED by 29-X.Rhodes [92-T.Johnson] at MIN -4. Touchback. [WPA -12.3% · EPA -3.23]
  • Minnesota Vikings (Q3 21:35) — (6:35) (Shotgun) 5-T.Bridgewater pass short middle intended for 11-M.Wallace INTERCEPTED by 33-M.Hyde [96-M.Neal] at MIN 43. 33-M.Hyde to MIN 43 for no gain (17-J.Wright). The Replay Official reviewed [WPA -10.2% · EPA -3.79]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Green Bay Packers (Q3 19:42) — (4:42) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers sacked at GB 47 for -8 yards (97-E.Griffen). FUMBLES (97-E.Griffen), RECOVERED by MIN-24-C.Munnerlyn at MIN 45. 24-C.Munnerlyn for 55 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Officia [WPA -12.3% · EPA -8.54]
  • Minnesota Vikings (Q1 57:16) — (12:16) (Punt formation) 19-A.Thielen left end to GB 21 for 41 yards (55-A.Mulumba). [WPA +15.7% · EPA +5.44]
  • Minnesota Vikings (Q3 21:35) — (6:35) (Shotgun) 5-T.Bridgewater pass short middle intended for 11-M.Wallace INTERCEPTED by 33-M.Hyde [96-M.Neal] at MIN 43. 33-M.Hyde to MIN 43 for no gain (17-J.Wright). The Replay Official reviewed [WPA -10.2% · EPA -3.79]
  • Green Bay Packers (Q4 2:18) — (2:18) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep left intended for 89-J.Jones INTERCEPTED by 29-X.Rhodes [92-T.Johnson] at MIN -4. Touchback. [WPA -12.3% · EPA -3.23]

Quarterback report card

A.Rodgers led all passers in efficiency for Green Bay Packers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • A.Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) · 54 dropbacks · 51.9% completion · +4.2% CPOE · -0.18 EPA/play · -9.86 total EPA
  • T.Bridgewater (Minnesota Vikings) · 23 dropbacks · 43.5% completion · -3.2% CPOE · -0.41 EPA/play · -9.45 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatMinnesota VikingsGreen Bay Packers
Offensive EPA/play-0.041-0.132
Offensive success rate37.5%37.2%
Pass EPA/play-0.411-0.183
Rush EPA/play+0.317-0.165
Defensive EPA/play+0.132+0.041
Defensive success rate62.8%62.5%

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Minnesota Vikings generated the better offensive EPA per play (-0.04 vs -0.13), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

  • Green Bay Packers: 12 drives, -12.43 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
  • Minnesota Vikings: 11 drives, -2.63 total EPA, 3 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Minnesota Vikings leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
  • A. Thielen (Minnesota Vikings) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • A. Rodgers (GB) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
  • T. Bridgewater (MIN) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Minnesota Vikings FG (+3) — Q1 55:49 · GB 21 · Score 3-0
    (10:49) 3-B.Walsh 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-K.McDermott, Holder-18-J.Locke.
  2. Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q1 47:06 · MIN 10 · Score 3-3
    (2:06) 2-M.Crosby 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-R.Lovato, Holder-8-T.Masthay.
  3. Minnesota Vikings FG (+3) — Q2 32:58 · GB 14 · Score 6-3
    (2:58) 3-B.Walsh 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-K.McDermott, Holder-18-J.Locke.
  4. Minnesota Vikings TD (+6) — Q3 25:37 · GB 3 · Score 12-3
    (10:37) (Shotgun) 28-A.Peterson up the middle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  5. Minnesota Vikings XP (+1) — Q3 25:32 · GB 15 · Score 13-3
    3-B.Walsh extra point is GOOD, Center-47-K.McDermott, Holder-18-J.Locke.
  6. Minnesota Vikings TD (+6) — Q3 19:42 · MIN 45 · Score 19-3
    (4:42) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers sacked at GB 47 for -8 yards (97-E.Griffen). FUMBLES (97-E.Griffen), RECOVERED by MIN-24-C.Munnerlyn at MIN 45. 24-C.Munnerlyn for
  7. Minnesota Vikings XP (+1) — Q3 19:28 · GB 15 · Score 20-3
    3-B.Walsh extra point is GOOD, Center-47-K.McDermott, Holder-18-J.Locke.
  8. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q4 13:37 · MIN 16 · Score 20-9
    (13:37) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short left to 82-R.Rodgers for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  9. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q4 13:27 · MIN 15 · Score 20-10
    2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-59-R.Lovato, Holder-8-T.Masthay.
  10. Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q4 5:39 · MIN 25 · Score 20-13
    (5:39) 2-M.Crosby 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-R.Lovato, Holder-8-T.Masthay.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers?

The Minnesota Vikings beat the Green Bay Packers 20-13 in Week 17, 2015 on 2016-01-03.

What was the final score of Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers?

The final score was Minnesota Vikings 20, Green Bay Packers 13 (MIN 20-13 GB) in Week 17, 2015 on 2016-01-03.

What was the score by quarter in Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers?

Q1: Minnesota Vikings 3, Green Bay Packers 3; Q2: Minnesota Vikings 3, Green Bay Packers 0; Q3: Minnesota Vikings 14, Green Bay Packers 0; Q4: Minnesota Vikings 0, Green Bay Packers 10; Final: Minnesota Vikings 20, Green Bay Packers 13.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers?

Minnesota Vikings touchdown — A. Peterson (Q3 25:37) Minnesota Vikings touchdown — C. Munnerlyn (Q3 19:42) Green Bay Packers touchdown — R. Rodgers (A. Rodgers pass) (Q4 13:37) Minnesota Vikings field goal — B. Walsh (Q1 55:49, 3 pts) Green Bay Packers field goal — M. Crosby (Q1 47:06, 3 pts) Minnesota Vikings field goal — B. Walsh (Q2 32:58, 3 pts) Green Bay Packers field goal — M. Crosby (Q4 5:39, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers?

A. Rodgers (Green Bay Packers), 51.9% completion, +4.2% CPOE, -0.18 EPA per dropback, -9.86 total passing EPA. T. Bridgewater (Minnesota Vikings), 43.5% completion, -3.2% CPOE, -0.41 EPA per dropback, -9.45 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers?

A. Thielen (Minnesota Vikings) led the game in total EPA with +6.94 on rushing plays. across 2 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-8.54 EPA): (4:42) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers sacked at GB 47 for -8 yards (97-E.Griffen). FUMBLES (97-E.Griffen), RECOVERED by MIN-24-C.Munnerlyn at MIN 45. 24-C.Munnerlyn for 55 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The biggest win-probability swing was +15.7%.

Was Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers a close game?

Yes — the margin was 7 points. Minnesota Vikings won 20-13 in a game that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

Season records after this game

Minnesota Vikings

Entered 10-5 Now 11-5 W

Green Bay Packers

Entered 10-5 Now 10-6 L