FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 16 · December 23, 2018 · 10 min read

Minnesota Vikings vs. Detroit Lions: 2018 Week 16 Recap

Vikings defeat Lions 27–9 in Week 16

K.Rudolph led Fantasy Impact as Vikings prevailed in a 27–9 Week 16 finish.

Minnesota Vikings 27 8–6 Winner
Final 27–9
Detroit Lions 9 5–10
Winner
Minnesota Vikings
Final score
27–9
Halftime
Minnesota Vikings 14–9 Detroit Lions
Top passer
Matthew Stafford
FantasyHQ MVP
K.Rudolph
Game date
December 23, 2018

Top fantasy performers · Vikings

  • K.Rudolph 9 REC · 122 YDS · 2 TD +11.6 Fantasy Impact
  • Kirk Cousins
    Kirk Cousins 21/31 · 240 YDS · 4 TD +9.1 Fantasy Impact
  • Adam Thielen
    Adam Thielen 5 REC · 80 YDS +3.9 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Lions

  • L.Toilolo 1 REC · 16 YDS +1.0 Fantasy Impact
  • Truman Jones
    Truman Jones 6 REC · 42 YDS +0.6 Fantasy Impact
  • Z.Zenner 2 REC · 22 YDS +0.4 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Minnesota Vikings defeated the Detroit Lions 27–9 in Week 16 of the 2018 NFL season on 2018-12-23, a matchup that controlled the game from start to finish. The decisive swing (+15.3% win probability) came in the second quarter when Minnesota Vikings swung the momentum.

In Week 16 of the 2018 NFL season on 2018-12-23, the Minnesota Vikings took care of business against the Detroit Lions, pulling away with a 27–9 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 20 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

M. Stafford (Detroit Lions) paced the passing game, with -9.20 total EPA, and -13.8% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, K. Rudolph (Minnesota Vikings) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +11.56 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+15.3% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Minnesota Vikings changed the game: (:02) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass deep right to 82-K.Rudolph for 44 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Minnesota Vikings014310027
Detroit Lions360009

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 K. Rudolph · Minnesota Vikings · Receiving · +11.56 total EPA · 9 snaps · +1.28 EPA/play
  2. 2 K. Cousins · Minnesota Vikings · Passing · +9.06 total EPA · 31 snaps · +0.29 EPA/play
  3. 3 A. Thielen · Minnesota Vikings · Receiving · +3.87 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.64 EPA/play
  4. 4 D. Cook · Minnesota Vikings · Receiving · +1.04 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.35 EPA/play
  5. 5 L. Toilolo · Detroit Lions · Receiving · +0.96 total EPA · 1 snaps · +0.96 EPA/play
  6. 6 T. Jones · Detroit Lions · Receiving · +0.64 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.11 EPA/play
  7. 7 Z. Zenner · Detroit Lions · Receiving · +0.43 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.14 EPA/play
  8. 8 K. Cousins · Minnesota Vikings · Rushing · -0.06 total EPA · 1 snaps · -0.06 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

K. Rudolph — MIN · Receiving

K. Rudolph posted the highest total EPA (+11.56) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Minnesota Vikings's efficiency. Across 9 counted snaps, they averaged +1.28 EPA per play.

The signature play (+6.17 EPA) came from Minnesota Vikings: (:02) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass deep right to 82-K.Rudolph for 44 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Minnesota Vikings — S. Diggs (K. Cousins pass) (Q2 31:35)
  • Minnesota Vikings — K. Rudolph (K. Cousins pass) (Q2 30:02)
  • Minnesota Vikings — K. Rudolph (K. Cousins pass) (Q4 13:31)

Field goals

  • Detroit Lions — M. Prater (Q1 52:35)
  • Detroit Lions — M. Prater (Q2 40:43)
  • Detroit Lions — M. Prater (Q2 34:10)
  • Minnesota Vikings — D. Bailey (Q3 23:57)
  • Minnesota Vikings — D. Bailey (Q4 4:19)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Detroit Lions won the period 3–0. Detroit Lions connected on a field goal from the MIN 29 (Q1 52:35) — (7:35) 5-M.Prater 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-6-S.Martin..

The second quarter: Minnesota Vikings won the period 14–6. Detroit Lions connected on a field goal from the MIN 17 (Q2 40:43) — (10:43) 5-M.Prater 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-6-S.Martin.; Detroit Lions connected on a field goal from the MIN 30 (Q2 34:10) — (4:10) 5-M.Prater 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-6-S.Martin.; Minnesota Vikings found the end zone from the DET 8 (Q2 31:35) — (1:35) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass short left to 14-S.Diggs for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Minnesota Vikings added 1 points from the DET 15 (Q2 31:32) — 5-D.Bailey extra point is GOOD, Center-47-K.McDermott, Holder-6-M.Wile.; Minnesota Vikings found the end zone from the DET 44 (Q2 30:02) — (:02) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass deep right to 82-K.Rudolph for 44 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Minnesota Vikings added 1 points from the DET 15 (Q2 30:00) — 5-D.Bailey extra point is GOOD, Center-47-K.McDermott, Holder-6-M.Wile..

The third quarter: Minnesota Vikings won the period 3–0. Minnesota Vikings connected on a field goal from the DET 6 (Q3 23:57) — (8:57) 5-D.Bailey 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-K.McDermott, Holder-6-M.Wile..

The fourth quarter: Minnesota Vikings won the period 10–0. Minnesota Vikings found the end zone from the DET 4 (Q4 13:31) — (13:31) 8-K.Cousins pass short right to 82-K.Rudolph for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Minnesota Vikings added 1 points from the DET 15 (Q4 13:25) — 5-D.Bailey extra point is GOOD, Center-47-K.McDermott, Holder-6-M.Wile.; Minnesota Vikings connected on a field goal from the DET 11 (Q4 4:19) — (4:19) 5-D.Bailey 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-K.McDermott, Holder-6-M.Wile..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Minnesota Vikings (Q2 30:02) — (:02) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass deep right to 82-K.Rudolph for 44 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +15.3% · EPA +6.17]
  • Minnesota Vikings (Q2 31:54) — (1:54) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass deep right to 19-A.Thielen to DET 9 for 40 yards (23-D.Slay). DET-23-D.Slay was injured during the play. [WPA +10.8% · EPA +3.93]
  • Detroit Lions (Q1 58:49) — (13:49) 34-Z.Zenner up the middle pushed ob at MIN 37 for 29 yards (22-H.Smith). [WPA +7.6% · EPA +2.02]
  • Minnesota Vikings (Q2 31:35) — (1:35) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass short left to 14-S.Diggs for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +7.5% · EPA +2.36]
  • Detroit Lions (Q1 57:21) — (12:21) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 25-T.Riddick to MIN 44 for -4 yards (50-E.Wilson). [WPA -7.0% · EPA -1.65]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Minnesota Vikings (Q2 30:02) — (:02) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass deep right to 82-K.Rudolph for 44 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +15.3% · EPA +6.17]
  • Minnesota Vikings (Q4 2:08) — (2:08) 25-L.Murray left end to DET 21 for -6 yards (32-T.Wilson). [WPA -0.0% · EPA -4.48]
  • Minnesota Vikings (Q2 31:54) — (1:54) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass deep right to 19-A.Thielen to DET 9 for 40 yards (23-D.Slay). DET-23-D.Slay was injured during the play. [WPA +10.8% · EPA +3.93]
  • Detroit Lions (Q4 6:35) — (6:35) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford sacked at DET 10 for -8 yards (50-E.Wilson). [WPA -1.5% · EPA -3.53]

Quarterback report card

M.Stafford led all passers in efficiency for Detroit Lions, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • M.Stafford (Detroit Lions) · 37 dropbacks · 48.6% completion · -13.8% CPOE · -0.25 EPA/play · -9.20 total EPA
  • K.Cousins (Minnesota Vikings) · 31 dropbacks · 67.7% completion · +8.0% CPOE · +0.29 EPA/play · +9.06 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatMinnesota VikingsDetroit Lions
Offensive EPA/play-0.045-0.271
Offensive success rate37.5%33.0%
Pass EPA/play+0.292-0.281
Rush EPA/play-0.347-0.445
Defensive EPA/play+0.271+0.045
Defensive success rate67.0%62.5%

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Minnesota Vikings generated the better offensive EPA per play (-0.04 vs -0.27), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

  • Detroit Lions: 12 drives, -24.67 total EPA, 3 scoring drives
  • Minnesota Vikings: 12 drives, -3.58 total EPA, 5 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Minnesota Vikings leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • K. Rudolph (Minnesota Vikings) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • M. Stafford (DET) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
  • K. Cousins (MIN) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Detroit Lions FG (+3) — Q1 52:35 · MIN 29 · Score 0-3
    (7:35) 5-M.Prater 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-6-S.Martin.
  2. Detroit Lions FG (+3) — Q2 40:43 · MIN 17 · Score 0-6
    (10:43) 5-M.Prater 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-6-S.Martin.
  3. Detroit Lions FG (+3) — Q2 34:10 · MIN 30 · Score 0-9
    (4:10) 5-M.Prater 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-6-S.Martin.
  4. Minnesota Vikings TD (+6) — Q2 31:35 · DET 8 · Score 6-9
    (1:35) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass short left to 14-S.Diggs for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  5. Minnesota Vikings XP (+1) — Q2 31:32 · DET 15 · Score 7-9
    5-D.Bailey extra point is GOOD, Center-47-K.McDermott, Holder-6-M.Wile.
  6. Minnesota Vikings TD (+6) — Q2 30:02 · DET 44 · Score 13-9
    (:02) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass deep right to 82-K.Rudolph for 44 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  7. Minnesota Vikings XP (+1) — Q2 30:00 · DET 15 · Score 14-9
    5-D.Bailey extra point is GOOD, Center-47-K.McDermott, Holder-6-M.Wile.
  8. Minnesota Vikings FG (+3) — Q3 23:57 · DET 6 · Score 17-9
    (8:57) 5-D.Bailey 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-K.McDermott, Holder-6-M.Wile.
  9. Minnesota Vikings TD (+6) — Q4 13:31 · DET 4 · Score 23-9
    (13:31) 8-K.Cousins pass short right to 82-K.Rudolph for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  10. Minnesota Vikings XP (+1) — Q4 13:25 · DET 15 · Score 24-9
    5-D.Bailey extra point is GOOD, Center-47-K.McDermott, Holder-6-M.Wile.
  11. Minnesota Vikings FG (+3) — Q4 4:19 · DET 11 · Score 27-9
    (4:19) 5-D.Bailey 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-K.McDermott, Holder-6-M.Wile.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions?

The Minnesota Vikings beat the Detroit Lions 27-9 in Week 16, 2018 on 2018-12-23.

What was the final score of Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions?

The final score was Minnesota Vikings 27, Detroit Lions 9 (MIN 27-9 DET) in Week 16, 2018 on 2018-12-23.

What was the score by quarter in Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions?

Q1: Minnesota Vikings 0, Detroit Lions 3; Q2: Minnesota Vikings 14, Detroit Lions 6; Q3: Minnesota Vikings 3, Detroit Lions 0; Q4: Minnesota Vikings 10, Detroit Lions 0; Final: Minnesota Vikings 27, Detroit Lions 9.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions?

Minnesota Vikings touchdown — S. Diggs (K. Cousins pass) (Q2 31:35) Minnesota Vikings touchdown — K. Rudolph (K. Cousins pass) (Q2 30:02) Minnesota Vikings touchdown — K. Rudolph (K. Cousins pass) (Q4 13:31) Detroit Lions field goal — M. Prater (Q1 52:35, 3 pts) Detroit Lions field goal — M. Prater (Q2 40:43, 3 pts) Detroit Lions field goal — M. Prater (Q2 34:10, 3 pts) Minnesota Vikings field goal — D. Bailey (Q3 23:57, 3 pts) Minnesota Vikings field goal — D. Bailey (Q4 4:19, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions?

M. Stafford (Detroit Lions), 48.6% completion, -13.8% CPOE, -0.25 EPA per dropback, -9.20 total passing EPA. K. Cousins (Minnesota Vikings), 67.7% completion, +8.0% CPOE, +0.29 EPA per dropback, +9.06 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions?

K. Rudolph (Minnesota Vikings) led the game in total EPA with +11.56 on receiving plays. across 9 snaps. The top single-play swing was (+6.17 EPA): (:02) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass deep right to 82-K.Rudolph for 44 yards, TOUCHDOWN.. The biggest win-probability swing was +15.3%.

Season records after this game

Minnesota Vikings

Entered 7-6 Now 8-6 W

Detroit Lions

Entered 5-9 Now 5-10 L