FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 4 · October 1, 2023 · 10 min read

Minnesota Vikings vs. Carolina Panthers: 2023 Week 4 Recap

Vikings defeat Panthers 21–13 in Week 4

Jordan Jefferson led Fantasy Impact as Vikings prevailed in a 21–13 Week 4 finish.

Minnesota Vikings 21 1–3 Winner
Final 21–13
Carolina Panthers 13 0–4
Winner
Minnesota Vikings
Final score
21–13
Halftime
Minnesota Vikings 13–16 Carolina Panthers
Top passer
Byron Young
FantasyHQ MVP
Jordan Jefferson
Game date
October 1, 2023

Top fantasy performers · Vikings

  • Jordan Jefferson
    Jordan Jefferson 6 REC · 85 YDS · 2 TD +6.9 Fantasy Impact
  • Cam Akers
    Cam Akers 5 CAR · 40 YDS +2.8 Fantasy Impact
  • Alexander Mattison
    Alexander Mattison 17 CAR · 95 YDS +2.0 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Panthers

  • Adam Thielen
    Adam Thielen 7 REC · 76 YDS +4.1 Fantasy Impact
  • Chris Hubbard
    Chris Hubbard 14 CAR · 41 YDS +1.4 Fantasy Impact
  • Terrace Marshall Jr.
    Terrace Marshall Jr. 9 REC · 56 YDS +1.2 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Minnesota Vikings defeated the Carolina Panthers 21–13 in Week 4 of the 2023 NFL season on 2023-10-01, a matchup that built a comfortable lead. The decisive swing (-32.0% win probability) came in the opening quarter when Minnesota Vikings swung the momentum.

In Week 4 of the 2023 NFL season on 2023-10-01, the Minnesota Vikings took care of business against the Carolina Panthers, pulling away with a 21–13 final that built a comfortable lead.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 22 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

B. Young (Carolina Panthers) paced the passing game, with -11.95 total EPA, and +5.1% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, J. Jefferson (Minnesota Vikings) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +6.91 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-32.0% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when Minnesota Vikings changed the game: (10:42) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass short left intended for 17-K.Osborn INTERCEPTED by 42-S.Franklin at CAR 1. 42-S.Franklin for 99 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3T
Minnesota Vikings013140021
Carolina Panthers7900013

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 J. Jefferson · Minnesota Vikings · Receiving · +6.91 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.77 EPA/play
  2. 2 A. Thielen · Carolina Panthers · Receiving · +4.06 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.51 EPA/play
  3. 3 C. Akers · Minnesota Vikings · Rushing · +2.77 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.55 EPA/play
  4. 4 A. Mattison · Minnesota Vikings · Rushing · +1.97 total EPA · 17 snaps · +0.12 EPA/play
  5. 5 C. Hubbard · Carolina Panthers · Rushing · +1.38 total EPA · 14 snaps · +0.10 EPA/play
  6. 6 T. Marshall · Carolina Panthers · Receiving · +1.23 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.12 EPA/play
  7. 7 D. Chark · Carolina Panthers · Receiving · +0.95 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.32 EPA/play
  8. 8 M. Sanders · Carolina Panthers · Receiving · +0.91 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.30 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

J. Jefferson — MIN · Receiving

J. Jefferson posted the highest total EPA (+6.91) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Minnesota Vikings's efficiency. Across 9 counted snaps, they averaged +0.77 EPA per play.

The signature play (-11.25 EPA) came from Minnesota Vikings: (10:42) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass short left intended for 17-K.Osborn INTERCEPTED by 42-S.Franklin at CAR 1. 42-S.Franklin for 99 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Carolina Panthers — S. Franklin (Q1 55:42)
  • Minnesota Vikings — J. Jefferson (K. Cousins pass) (Q2 39:49)
  • Minnesota Vikings — D. Wonnum (Q3 19:09)
  • Minnesota Vikings — J. Jefferson (K. Cousins pass) (Q3 15:07)

Field goals

  • Carolina Panthers — E. Pineiro (Q2 44:59)
  • Carolina Panthers — E. Pineiro (Q2 30:02)
  • Carolina Panthers — unlisted player (Q2 30:00)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Carolina Panthers won the period 7–0. Carolina Panthers found the end zone from the CAR 5 (Q1 55:42); Carolina Panthers added 1 points from the MIN 15 (Q1 55:27) — 4-E.Pineiro extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-10-J.Hekker..

The second quarter: Minnesota Vikings won the period 13–9. Carolina Panthers connected on a field goal from the MIN 8 (Q2 44:59) — (14:59) 4-E.Pineiro 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-10-J.Hekker.; Minnesota Vikings found the end zone from the CAR 4 (Q2 39:49) — (9:49) 8-K.Cousins pass short right to 18-J.Jefferson for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Minnesota Vikings found the end zone from the CAR 15 (Q2 39:43) — 1-G.Joseph extra point is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-14-R.Wright.; Carolina Panthers connected on a field goal from the MIN 38 (Q2 30:02) — (:02) 4-E.Pineiro 56 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-10-J.Hekker.; Carolina Panthers connected on a field goal (Q2 30:00) — END QUARTER 2.

The third quarter: Minnesota Vikings won the period 14–0. Minnesota Vikings found the end zone from the MIN 28 (Q3 19:09); Minnesota Vikings added 1 points from the CAR 15 (Q3 18:58) — 1-G.Joseph extra point is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-14-R.Wright.; Minnesota Vikings found the end zone from the CAR 30 (Q3 15:07); Minnesota Vikings added 1 points from the CAR 15 (Q3 15:00) — 1-G.Joseph extra point is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-14-R.Wright..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Minnesota Vikings (Q1 55:42) — (10:42) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass short left intended for 17-K.Osborn INTERCEPTED by 42-S.Franklin at CAR 1. 42-S.Franklin for 99 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -32.0% · EPA -11.25]
  • Carolina Panthers (Q3 19:09) — (4:09) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young sacked at MIN 39 for -11 yards (22-H.Smith). FUMBLES (22-H.Smith) [22-H.Smith], RECOVERED by MIN-98-D.Wonnum at MIN 49. 98-D.Wonnum for 51 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -28.9% · EPA -10.27]
  • Minnesota Vikings (Q2 30:46) — (:46) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass short right intended for 3-J.Addison INTERCEPTED by 54-K.Grugier-Hill [97-Y.Gross-Matos] at CAR 13. 54-K.Grugier-Hill to CAR 44 for 31 yards (17-K.Osborn). [WPA -23.2% · EPA -5.12]
  • Minnesota Vikings (Q3 15:07) — (:07) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass deep left to 18-J.Jefferson for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on CAR-99-S.Tuttle, Defensive Offside, declined. [WPA +17.1% · EPA +3.04]
  • Minnesota Vikings (Q1 57:17) — (12:17) 8-K.Cousins pass incomplete deep middle to 3-J.Addison. PENALTY on CAR-42-S.Franklin, Defensive Pass Interference, 45 yards, enforced at CAR 49 - No Play. [WPA +12.4% · EPA +3.27]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Minnesota Vikings (Q1 55:42) — (10:42) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass short left intended for 17-K.Osborn INTERCEPTED by 42-S.Franklin at CAR 1. 42-S.Franklin for 99 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -32.0% · EPA -11.25]
  • Carolina Panthers (Q3 19:09) — (4:09) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young sacked at MIN 39 for -11 yards (22-H.Smith). FUMBLES (22-H.Smith) [22-H.Smith], RECOVERED by MIN-98-D.Wonnum at MIN 49. 98-D.Wonnum for 51 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -28.9% · EPA -10.27]
  • Minnesota Vikings (Q2 30:46) — (:46) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass short right intended for 3-J.Addison INTERCEPTED by 54-K.Grugier-Hill [97-Y.Gross-Matos] at CAR 13. 54-K.Grugier-Hill to CAR 44 for 31 yards (17-K.Osborn). [WPA -23.2% · EPA -5.12]
  • Minnesota Vikings (Q1 57:17) — (12:17) 8-K.Cousins pass incomplete deep middle to 3-J.Addison. PENALTY on CAR-42-S.Franklin, Defensive Pass Interference, 45 yards, enforced at CAR 49 - No Play. [WPA +12.4% · EPA +3.27]

Quarterback report card

B.Young led all passers in efficiency for Carolina Panthers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • B.Young (Carolina Panthers) · 43 dropbacks · 58.1% completion · +5.1% CPOE · -0.28 EPA/play · -11.95 total EPA
  • K.Cousins (Minnesota Vikings) · 25 dropbacks · 48.0% completion · +2.8% CPOE · -0.41 EPA/play · -10.30 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatMinnesota VikingsCarolina Panthers
Offensive EPA/play-0.088-0.184
Offensive success rate50.0%38.6%
Pass EPA/play-0.412-0.278
Rush EPA/play+0.178-0.164
Defensive EPA/play+0.184+0.088
Defensive success rate61.4%50.0%

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Minnesota Vikings generated the better offensive EPA per play (-0.09 vs -0.18), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

  • Carolina Panthers: 11 drives, -16.17 total EPA, 3 scoring drives
  • Minnesota Vikings: 10 drives, -5.09 total EPA, 3 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Minnesota Vikings leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • J. Jefferson (Minnesota Vikings) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • B. Young (CAR) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Carolina Panthers TD (+6) — Q1 55:42 · CAR 5 · Score 0-6
    (10:42) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass short left intended for 17-K.Osborn INTERCEPTED by 42-S.Franklin at CAR 1. 42-S.Franklin for 99 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Carolina Panthers XP (+1) — Q1 55:27 · MIN 15 · Score 0-7
    4-E.Pineiro extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-10-J.Hekker.
  3. Carolina Panthers FG (+3) — Q2 44:59 · MIN 8 · Score 0-10
    (14:59) 4-E.Pineiro 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-10-J.Hekker.
  4. Minnesota Vikings TD (+6) — Q2 39:49 · CAR 4 · Score 6-10
    (9:49) 8-K.Cousins pass short right to 18-J.Jefferson for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  5. Minnesota Vikings TD (+7) — Q2 39:43 · CAR 15 · Score 7-10
    1-G.Joseph extra point is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-14-R.Wright.
  6. Carolina Panthers FG (+3) — Q2 30:02 · MIN 38 · Score 7-13
    (:02) 4-E.Pineiro 56 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-10-J.Hekker.
  7. Carolina Panthers FG (+3) — Q2 30:00 · Score 7-13
    END QUARTER 2
  8. Minnesota Vikings TD (+6) — Q3 19:09 · MIN 28 · Score 13-13
    (4:09) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young sacked at MIN 39 for -11 yards (22-H.Smith). FUMBLES (22-H.Smith) [22-H.Smith], RECOVERED by MIN-98-D.Wonnum at MIN 49. 98-D.Wonnum f
  9. Minnesota Vikings XP (+1) — Q3 18:58 · CAR 15 · Score 14-13
    1-G.Joseph extra point is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-14-R.Wright.
  10. Minnesota Vikings TD (+6) — Q3 15:07 · CAR 30 · Score 20-13
    (:07) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass deep left to 18-J.Jefferson for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on CAR-99-S.Tuttle, Defensive Offside, declined.
  11. Minnesota Vikings XP (+1) — Q3 15:00 · CAR 15 · Score 21-13
    1-G.Joseph extra point is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-14-R.Wright.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Minnesota Vikings vs Carolina Panthers?

The Minnesota Vikings beat the Carolina Panthers 21-13 in Week 4, 2023 on 2023-10-01.

What was the final score of Minnesota Vikings vs Carolina Panthers?

The final score was Minnesota Vikings 21, Carolina Panthers 13 (MIN 21-13 CAR) in Week 4, 2023 on 2023-10-01.

What was the score by quarter in Minnesota Vikings vs Carolina Panthers?

Q1: Minnesota Vikings 0, Carolina Panthers 7; Q2: Minnesota Vikings 13, Carolina Panthers 9; Q3: Minnesota Vikings 14, Carolina Panthers 0; Final: Minnesota Vikings 21, Carolina Panthers 13.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Minnesota Vikings vs Carolina Panthers?

Carolina Panthers touchdown — S. Franklin (Q1 55:42) Minnesota Vikings touchdown — J. Jefferson (K. Cousins pass) (Q2 39:49) Minnesota Vikings touchdown — D. Wonnum (Q3 19:09) Minnesota Vikings touchdown — J. Jefferson (K. Cousins pass) (Q3 15:07) Carolina Panthers field goal — E. Pineiro (Q2 44:59, 3 pts) Carolina Panthers field goal — E. Pineiro (Q2 30:02, 3 pts) Carolina Panthers field goal — unlisted player (Q2 30:00, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Minnesota Vikings vs Carolina Panthers?

B. Young (Carolina Panthers), 58.1% completion, +5.1% CPOE, -0.28 EPA per dropback, -11.95 total passing EPA. K. Cousins (Minnesota Vikings), 48.0% completion, +2.8% CPOE, -0.41 EPA per dropback, -10.30 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Minnesota Vikings vs Carolina Panthers?

J. Jefferson (Minnesota Vikings) led the game in total EPA with +6.91 on receiving plays. across 9 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-11.25 EPA): (10:42) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass short left intended for 17-K.Osborn INTERCEPTED by 42-S.Franklin at CAR 1. 42-S.Franklin for 99 yards, TOUCHDOWN.. The biggest win-probability swing was -32.0%.

Season records after this game

Minnesota Vikings

Entered 0-3 Now 1-3 W

Carolina Panthers

Entered 0-3 Now 0-4 L