FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 18 · January 8, 2017 · 11 min read

Miami Dolphins vs. Pittsburgh Steelers: 2016 Week 18 Recap

Steelers defeat Dolphins 30–12 in Week 18

K.Stills led Fantasy Impact as Steelers prevailed in a 12–30 Week 18 finish.

Miami Dolphins 12 10–7
Final 12–30
Pittsburgh Steelers 30 12–5 Winner
Winner
Pittsburgh Steelers
Final score
12–30
Halftime
Miami Dolphins 6–20 Pittsburgh Steelers
Top passer
Malachi Moore
FantasyHQ MVP
K.Stills
Game date
January 8, 2017

Top fantasy performers · Dolphins

  • K.Stills 5 REC · 82 YDS +8.9 Fantasy Impact
  • Dorian Williams
    Dorian Williams 1 REC · 4 YDS · 1 TD +2.4 Fantasy Impact
  • Michael Thomas
    Michael Thomas 1 CAR · 3 YDS +2.1 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Steelers

  • Levi Bell 30 CAR · 167 YDS · 3 TD +5.7 Fantasy Impact
  • B.Roethlisberger 13/23 · 200 YDS · 2 TD +4.6 Fantasy Impact
  • Eric Rogers
    Eric Rogers 1 REC · 19 YDS +2.2 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Pittsburgh Steelers defeated the Miami Dolphins 30–12 in Week 18 of the 2016 NFL season on 2017-01-08, a matchup that controlled the game from start to finish. The decisive swing (+11.3% win probability) came in the opening quarter when Pittsburgh Steelers swung the momentum.

In Week 18 of the 2016 NFL season on 2017-01-08, the Pittsburgh Steelers took care of business against the Miami Dolphins, pulling away with a 30–12 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q1 with 17 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

M. Moore (Miami Dolphins) paced the passing game, with -5.94 total EPA, and +14.3% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, K. Stills (Miami Dolphins) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +8.87 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+11.3% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when Pittsburgh Steelers changed the game: (12:25) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass short left to 84-A.Brown for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Miami Dolphins3306012
Pittsburgh Steelers146100030

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 K. Stills · Miami Dolphins · Receiving · +8.87 total EPA · 5 snaps · +1.77 EPA/play
  2. 2 L. Bell · Pittsburgh Steelers · Rushing · +5.72 total EPA · 30 snaps · +0.19 EPA/play
  3. 3 B. Roethlisberger · Pittsburgh Steelers · Passing · +4.56 total EPA · 23 snaps · +0.20 EPA/play
  4. 4 D. Williams · Miami Dolphins · Receiving · +2.37 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.19 EPA/play
  5. 5 E. Rogers · Pittsburgh Steelers · Receiving · +2.22 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.22 EPA/play
  6. 6 M. Thomas · Miami Dolphins · Rushing · +2.13 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.13 EPA/play
  7. 7 A. Brown · Pittsburgh Steelers · Receiving · +2.07 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.23 EPA/play
  8. 8 D. Sims · Miami Dolphins · Receiving · +1.63 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.33 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

K. Stills — MIA · Receiving

K. Stills posted the highest total EPA (+8.87) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Miami Dolphins's efficiency. Across 5 counted snaps, they averaged +1.77 EPA per play.

The signature play (-5.86 EPA) came from Miami Dolphins: (10:57) 8-M.Moore sacked at PIT 42 for -5 yards (23-M.Mitchell). FUMBLES (23-M.Mitchell) [23-M.Mitchell], RECOVERED by PIT-96-L.Walton at PIT 41. 96-L.Walton to PIT 41 for no gain (23-J.Ajayi).

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Pittsburgh Steelers — A. Brown (B. Roethlisberger pass) (Q1 57:25)
  • Pittsburgh Steelers — A. Brown (B. Roethlisberger pass) (Q1 52:02)
  • Pittsburgh Steelers — L. Bell (Q2 42:42)
  • Pittsburgh Steelers — L. Bell (Q3 17:10)
  • Miami Dolphins — D. Williams (M. Moore pass) (Q4 6:02)

Field goals

  • Miami Dolphins — A. Franks (Q1 48:11)
  • Miami Dolphins — A. Franks (Q2 34:57)
  • Pittsburgh Steelers — C. Boswell (Q3 21:37)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Pittsburgh Steelers won the period 14–3. Pittsburgh Steelers found the end zone from the MIA 50 (Q1 57:25) — (12:25) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass short left to 84-A.Brown for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Pittsburgh Steelers added 1 points from the MIA 15 (Q1 57:15) — 9-C.Boswell extra point is GOOD, Center-60-G.Warren, Holder-4-J.Berry.; Pittsburgh Steelers found the end zone from the MIA 62 (Q1 52:02) — (7:02) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass short middle to 84-A.Brown for 62 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Pittsburgh Steelers added 1 points from the MIA 15 (Q1 51:50) — 9-C.Boswell extra point is GOOD, Center-60-G.Warren, Holder-4-J.Berry.; Miami Dolphins connected on a field goal from the PIT 20 (Q1 48:11) — (3:11) (Field Goal formation) 3-A.Franks 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-92-J.Denney, Holder-4-M.Darr..

The second quarter: Pittsburgh Steelers won the period 6–3. Pittsburgh Steelers found the end zone from the MIA 1 (Q2 42:42); Miami Dolphins connected on a field goal from the PIT 29 (Q2 34:57) — (4:57) (Field Goal formation) 3-A.Franks 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-92-J.Denney, Holder-4-M.Darr..

The third quarter: Pittsburgh Steelers won the period 10–0. Pittsburgh Steelers connected on a field goal from the MIA 16 (Q3 21:37) — (6:37) (Field Goal formation) 9-C.Boswell 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-60-G.Warren, Holder-4-J.Berry.; Pittsburgh Steelers found the end zone from the MIA 8 (Q3 17:10) — (2:10) (Shotgun) 26-L.Bell left guard for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Pittsburgh Steelers added 1 points from the MIA 15 (Q3 17:05) — 9-C.Boswell extra point is GOOD, Center-60-G.Warren, Holder-4-J.Berry..

The fourth quarter: Miami Dolphins won the period 6–0. Miami Dolphins found the end zone from the PIT 4 (Q4 6:02) — (6:02) (Shotgun) 8-M.Moore pass short right to 26-D.Williams for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Pittsburgh Steelers (Q1 57:25) — (12:25) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass short left to 84-A.Brown for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +11.3% · EPA +3.98]
  • Miami Dolphins (Q2 30:27) — (:27) (Shotgun) 8-M.Moore sacked at PIT 17 for -9 yards (92-J.Harrison). FUMBLES (92-J.Harrison) [92-J.Harrison], RECOVERED by PIT-91-S.Tuitt at PIT 13. 91-S.Tuitt to PIT 13 for no gain (70-J.James). [WPA -8.4% · EPA -4.77]
  • Pittsburgh Steelers (Q1 52:02) — (7:02) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass short middle to 84-A.Brown for 62 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +7.5% · EPA +5.21]
  • Pittsburgh Steelers (Q1 58:06) — (13:06) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass short right to 17-E.Rogers to PIT 50 for 19 yards (90-E.Mitchell). [WPA +6.6% · EPA +2.22]
  • Miami Dolphins (Q1 50:20) — (5:20) (Shotgun) 8-M.Moore pass deep right to 10-K.Stills to PIT 26 for 36 yards (22-W.Gay) [50-R.Shazier]. [WPA +6.3% · EPA +4.32]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Miami Dolphins (Q3 25:57) — (10:57) 8-M.Moore sacked at PIT 42 for -5 yards (23-M.Mitchell). FUMBLES (23-M.Mitchell) [23-M.Mitchell], RECOVERED by PIT-96-L.Walton at PIT 41. 96-L.Walton to PIT 41 for no gain (23-J.Ajayi). [WPA -5.5% · EPA -5.86]
  • Pittsburgh Steelers (Q1 52:02) — (7:02) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass short middle to 84-A.Brown for 62 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +7.5% · EPA +5.21]
  • Miami Dolphins (Q3 21:32) — (6:32) 8-M.Moore pass short left intended for 14-J.Landry INTERCEPTED by 50-R.Shazier at MIA 35. 50-R.Shazier to MIA 25 for 10 yards (23-J.Ajayi). [WPA -2.2% · EPA -4.98]
  • Miami Dolphins (Q2 30:27) — (:27) (Shotgun) 8-M.Moore sacked at PIT 17 for -9 yards (92-J.Harrison). FUMBLES (92-J.Harrison) [92-J.Harrison], RECOVERED by PIT-91-S.Tuitt at PIT 13. 91-S.Tuitt to PIT 13 for no gain (70-J.James). [WPA -8.4% · EPA -4.77]

Quarterback report card

M.Moore led all passers in efficiency for Miami Dolphins, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • M.Moore (Miami Dolphins) · 46 dropbacks · 63.0% completion · +14.3% CPOE · -0.13 EPA/play · -5.94 total EPA
  • B.Roethlisberger (Pittsburgh Steelers) · 23 dropbacks · 56.5% completion · +3.1% CPOE · +0.20 EPA/play · +4.56 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatMiami DolphinsPittsburgh Steelers
Offensive EPA/play-0.111+0.130
Offensive success rate39.5%45.2%
Pass EPA/play-0.129+0.198
Rush EPA/play-0.356+0.147
Defensive EPA/play-0.130+0.111
Defensive success rate54.8%60.5%

By the numbers

Pittsburgh Steelers held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.13 vs -0.11), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

  • Miami Dolphins: 10 drives, -8.47 total EPA, 3 scoring drives
  • Pittsburgh Steelers: 11 drives, +9.53 total EPA, 5 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Pittsburgh Steelers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • K. Stills (Miami Dolphins) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • M. Moore (MIA) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
  • B. Roethlisberger (PIT) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Pittsburgh Steelers TD (+6) — Q1 57:25 · MIA 50 · Score 0-6
    (12:25) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass short left to 84-A.Brown for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Pittsburgh Steelers XP (+1) — Q1 57:15 · MIA 15 · Score 0-7
    9-C.Boswell extra point is GOOD, Center-60-G.Warren, Holder-4-J.Berry.
  3. Pittsburgh Steelers TD (+6) — Q1 52:02 · MIA 62 · Score 0-13
    (7:02) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass short middle to 84-A.Brown for 62 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. Pittsburgh Steelers XP (+1) — Q1 51:50 · MIA 15 · Score 0-14
    9-C.Boswell extra point is GOOD, Center-60-G.Warren, Holder-4-J.Berry.
  5. Miami Dolphins FG (+3) — Q1 48:11 · PIT 20 · Score 3-14
    (3:11) (Field Goal formation) 3-A.Franks 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-92-J.Denney, Holder-4-M.Darr.
  6. Pittsburgh Steelers TD (+6) — Q2 42:42 · MIA 1 · Score 3-20
    (12:42) 26-L.Bell up the middle to MIA 1 for no gain (47-K.Alonso). Pittsburgh challenged the runner was down by contact ruling, and the play was REVERSED. 26-L
  7. Miami Dolphins FG (+3) — Q2 34:57 · PIT 29 · Score 6-20
    (4:57) (Field Goal formation) 3-A.Franks 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-92-J.Denney, Holder-4-M.Darr.
  8. Pittsburgh Steelers FG (+3) — Q3 21:37 · MIA 16 · Score 6-23
    (6:37) (Field Goal formation) 9-C.Boswell 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-60-G.Warren, Holder-4-J.Berry.
  9. Pittsburgh Steelers TD (+6) — Q3 17:10 · MIA 8 · Score 6-29
    (2:10) (Shotgun) 26-L.Bell left guard for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  10. Pittsburgh Steelers XP (+1) — Q3 17:05 · MIA 15 · Score 6-30
    9-C.Boswell extra point is GOOD, Center-60-G.Warren, Holder-4-J.Berry.
  11. Miami Dolphins TD (+6) — Q4 6:02 · PIT 4 · Score 12-30
    (6:02) (Shotgun) 8-M.Moore pass short right to 26-D.Williams for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Miami Dolphins vs Pittsburgh Steelers?

The Pittsburgh Steelers beat the Miami Dolphins 30-12 in Week 18, 2016 on 2017-01-08.

What was the final score of Miami Dolphins vs Pittsburgh Steelers?

The final score was Miami Dolphins 12, Pittsburgh Steelers 30 (MIA 12-30 PIT) in Week 18, 2016 on 2017-01-08.

What was the score by quarter in Miami Dolphins vs Pittsburgh Steelers?

Q1: Miami Dolphins 3, Pittsburgh Steelers 14; Q2: Miami Dolphins 3, Pittsburgh Steelers 6; Q3: Miami Dolphins 0, Pittsburgh Steelers 10; Q4: Miami Dolphins 6, Pittsburgh Steelers 0; Final: Miami Dolphins 12, Pittsburgh Steelers 30.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Miami Dolphins vs Pittsburgh Steelers?

Pittsburgh Steelers touchdown — A. Brown (B. Roethlisberger pass) (Q1 57:25) Pittsburgh Steelers touchdown — A. Brown (B. Roethlisberger pass) (Q1 52:02) Pittsburgh Steelers touchdown — L. Bell (Q2 42:42) Pittsburgh Steelers touchdown — L. Bell (Q3 17:10) Miami Dolphins touchdown — D. Williams (M. Moore pass) (Q4 6:02) Miami Dolphins field goal — A. Franks (Q1 48:11, 3 pts) Miami Dolphins field goal — A. Franks (Q2 34:57, 3 pts) Pittsburgh Steelers field goal — C. Boswell (Q3 21:37, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Miami Dolphins vs Pittsburgh Steelers?

M. Moore (Miami Dolphins), 63.0% completion, +14.3% CPOE, -0.13 EPA per dropback, -5.94 total passing EPA. B. Roethlisberger (Pittsburgh Steelers), 56.5% completion, +3.1% CPOE, +0.20 EPA per dropback, +4.56 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Miami Dolphins vs Pittsburgh Steelers?

K. Stills (Miami Dolphins) led the game in total EPA with +8.87 on receiving plays. across 5 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-5.86 EPA): (10:57) 8-M.Moore sacked at PIT 42 for -5 yards (23-M.Mitchell). FUMBLES (23-M.Mitchell) [23-M.Mitchell], RECOVERED by PIT-96-L.Walton at PIT 41. 96-L.Walton to PIT 41 for no gain . The biggest win-probability swing was +11.3%.

Season records after this game

Miami Dolphins

Entered 10-6 Now 10-7 L

Pittsburgh Steelers

Entered 11-5 Now 12-5 W