Miami Dolphins vs. Pittsburgh Steelers: 2007 Week 12 Recap

Game story

In Week 12 of the 2007 NFL season on 2007-11-26, the Pittsburgh Steelers took care of business against the Miami Dolphins, pulling away with a 3–0 final that came down to the wire.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 3 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

J. Beck (Miami Dolphins) paced the passing game, with -8.46 total EPA, and +3.0% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, H. Ward (Pittsburgh Steelers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +9.07 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+16.8% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Miami Dolphins changed the game: (13:21) 9-J.Beck pass deep left to 86-M.Booker to PIT 24 for 21 yards (23-T.Carter).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 H. Ward · Pittsburgh Steelers · Receiving · +9.07 total EPA · 9 snaps · +1.01 EPA/play
2. 2 M. Booker · Miami Dolphins · Receiving · +5.75 total EPA · 5 snaps · +1.15 EPA/play
3. 3 D. Martin · Miami Dolphins · Receiving · +2.35 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.18 EPA/play
4. 4 T. Ginn · Miami Dolphins · Receiving · +1.97 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.66 EPA/play
5. 5 C. Wilson · Pittsburgh Steelers · Receiving · +1.82 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.61 EPA/play
6. 6 W. Reid · Pittsburgh Steelers · Receiving · +1.19 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.19 EPA/play
7. 7 D. Kreider · Pittsburgh Steelers · Receiving · +0.90 total EPA · 1 snaps · +0.90 EPA/play
8. 8 W. Parker · Pittsburgh Steelers · Receiving · +0.21 total EPA · 1 snaps · +0.21 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Field goals

• Pittsburgh Steelers — J. Reed (Q4 0:20)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The fourth quarter: Pittsburgh Steelers won the period 3–0. Pittsburgh Steelers connected on a field goal from the MIA 6 (Q4 0:20) — (:20) (Field Goal formation) 3-J.Reed 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-60-G.Warren, Holder-9-D.Sepulveda..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Miami Dolphins (Q4 13:21) — (13:21) 9-J.Beck pass deep left to 86-M.Booker to PIT 24 for 21 yards (23-T.Carter). [WPA +16.8% · EPA +3.19]
• Pittsburgh Steelers (Q1 55:39) — (10:39) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass short right intended for 86-H.Ward INTERCEPTED by 55-J.Porter at MIA 21. 55-J.Porter to MIA 35 for 14 yards (7-B.Roethlisberger). [WPA -15.5% · EPA -5.03]
• Pittsburgh Steelers (Q4 6:57) — (6:57) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger sacked at MIA 42 for -9 yards (91-V.Holliday). [WPA -15.1% · EPA -2.62]
• Pittsburgh Steelers (Q4 0:20) — (:20) (Field Goal formation) 3-J.Reed 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-60-G.Warren, Holder-9-D.Sepulveda. [WPA +11.3% · EPA +0.10]
• Miami Dolphins (Q4 0:00) — (:00) 9-J.Beck pass short middle to 38-P.Cobbs to MIA 42 for 11 yards. Lateral to 66-R.Hadnot to MIA 40 for -2 yards. Lateral to 70-L.Shelton to MIA 40 for no gain. Lateral to 88-D.Martin to MIA 40 fo [WPA -10.9% · EPA -0.02]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Pittsburgh Steelers (Q1 55:39) — (10:39) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass short right intended for 86-H.Ward INTERCEPTED by 55-J.Porter at MIA 21. 55-J.Porter to MIA 35 for 14 yards (7-B.Roethlisberger). [WPA -15.5% · EPA -5.03]
• Miami Dolphins (Q4 11:26) — (11:26) 9-J.Beck sacked at PIT 30 for -5 yards (92-J.Harrison). FUMBLES (92-J.Harrison) [92-J.Harrison], RECOVERED by PIT-91-Aa.Smith at PIT 30. 91-Aa.Smith to PIT 30 for no gain (76-C.Liwienski). [WPA -5.1% · EPA -3.67]
• Miami Dolphins (Q2 41:07) — (11:07) 34-R.Williams left guard to MIA 46 for no gain (51-J.Farrior). FUMBLES (51-J.Farrior), RECOVERED by PIT-94-L.Timmons at 50. 94-L.Timmons to MIA 50 for no gain (72-V.Carey). Penalty on MIA-64-S [WPA -6.8% · EPA -3.63]
• Miami Dolphins (Q3 24:57) — (9:57) (Shotgun) 9-J.Beck sacked at PIT 39 for -8 yards (sack split by 51-J.Farrior and 50-L.Foote). [WPA -4.1% · EPA -3.34]

Quarterback report card

J.Beck led all passers in efficiency for Miami Dolphins, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• J.Beck (Miami Dolphins) · 29 dropbacks · 48.3% completion · +3.0% CPOE · -0.29 EPA/play · -8.46 total EPA
• B.Roethlisberger (Pittsburgh Steelers) · 28 dropbacks · 64.3% completion · +18.6% CPOE · -0.20 EPA/play · -5.68 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Miami Dolphins -0.33, Pittsburgh Steelers -0.29) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

• Miami Dolphins: 10 drives, -21.22 total EPA, 0 scoring drives
• Pittsburgh Steelers: 9 drives, -19.00 total EPA, 1 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Pittsburgh Steelers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
• H. Ward (Pittsburgh Steelers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• B. Roethlisberger (PIT) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Pittsburgh Steelers FG (+3) — Q4 0:20 · MIA 6 · Score 0-3
   (:20) (Field Goal formation) 3-J.Reed 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-60-G.Warren, Holder-9-D.Sepulveda.