Las Vegas Raiders vs. San Francisco 49ers: 2006 Week 5 Recap

Game story

In Week 5 of the 2006 NFL season on 2006-10-08, the San Francisco 49ers took care of business against the Las Vegas Raiders, pulling away with a 34–20 final that built a comfortable lead.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 26 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

A. Walter (Las Vegas Raiders) paced the passing game, with -1.37 total EPA, and +1.8% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, A. Smith (San Francisco 49ers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +13.30 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-21.3% win probability) landed in the third quarter when Las Vegas Raiders changed the game: (8:21) 16-A.Walter pass deep right intended for 87-A.Whitted INTERCEPTED by 27-W.Harris at SF -1. Touchback.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 A. Smith · San Francisco 49ers · Passing · +13.30 total EPA · 20 snaps · +0.67 EPA/play
2. 2 R. Curry · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +8.41 total EPA · 4 snaps · +2.10 EPA/play
3. 3 A. Battle · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +7.52 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.88 EPA/play
4. 4 R. Moss · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +5.62 total EPA · 5 snaps · +1.12 EPA/play
5. 5 M. Hicks · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +4.68 total EPA · 1 snaps · +4.68 EPA/play
6. 6 J. Fargas · Las Vegas Raiders · Rushing · +4.10 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.51 EPA/play
7. 7 F. Gore · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +3.18 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.06 EPA/play
8. 8 C. Anderson · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +1.94 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.94 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• San Francisco 49ers — A. Battle (A. Smith pass) (Q1 52:32)
• Las Vegas Raiders — R. Moss (A. Walter pass) (Q2 30:55)
• San Francisco 49ers — A. Battle (A. Smith pass) (Q3 27:30)
• San Francisco 49ers — M. Hicks (A. Smith pass) (Q3 18:35)
• San Francisco 49ers — M. Oliver (Q4 10:36)
• Las Vegas Raiders — C. Anderson (M. Tuiasosopo pass) (Q4 6:29)

Field goals

• Las Vegas Raiders — S. Janikowski (Q1 45:46)
• Las Vegas Raiders — S. Janikowski (Q2 44:03)
• San Francisco 49ers — J. Nedney (Q4 11:00)
• San Francisco 49ers — J. Nedney (Q4 4:05)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: San Francisco 49ers won the period 7–3. San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the LV 4 (Q1 52:32) — (7:32) 11-A.Smith pass short right to 83-A.Battle for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; San Francisco 49ers added 1 points from the LV 2 (Q1 52:26) — 6-J.Nedney extra point is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee.; Las Vegas Raiders connected on a field goal from the SF 15 (Q1 45:46) — (:46) 11-S.Janikowski 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-62-A.Treu, Holder-9-S.Lechler..

The second quarter: Las Vegas Raiders won the period 10–0. Las Vegas Raiders connected on a field goal from the SF 18 (Q2 44:03) — (14:03) 11-S.Janikowski 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-62-A.Treu, Holder-9-S.Lechler.; Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the SF 22 (Q2 30:55); Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the SF 2 (Q2 30:51) — 11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-62-A.Treu, Holder-9-S.Lechler..

The third quarter: San Francisco 49ers won the period 14–0. San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the LV 6 (Q3 27:30) — (12:30) 11-A.Smith pass short left to 83-A.Battle for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught at LV 1.; San Francisco 49ers added 1 points from the LV 2 (Q3 27:25) — 6-J.Nedney extra point is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee.; San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the LV 33 (Q3 18:35) — (3:35) 11-A.Smith pass short right to 43-M.Hicks for 33 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught at LV 35.; San Francisco 49ers added 1 points from the LV 2 (Q3 18:24) — 6-J.Nedney extra point is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee..

The fourth quarter: The quarter finished even at 13–13. San Francisco 49ers connected on a field goal from the LV 1 (Q4 11:00) — (11:00) 6-J.Nedney 19 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee.; San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the SF 80 (Q4 10:36); San Francisco 49ers added 1 points from the LV 2 (Q4 10:30) — 6-J.Nedney extra point is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee.; Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the SF 8 (Q4 6:29) — (6:29) 8-M.Tuiasosopo pass short left to 83-C.Anderson for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the SF 2 (Q4 6:23) — 11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-62-A.Treu, Holder-9-S.Lechler.; San Francisco 49ers connected on a field goal from the LV 22 (Q4 4:05) — (4:05) 6-J.Nedney 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Las Vegas Raiders (Q3 23:21) — (8:21) 16-A.Walter pass deep right intended for 87-A.Whitted INTERCEPTED by 27-W.Harris at SF -1. Touchback. [WPA -21.3% · EPA -4.98]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q3 18:35) — (3:35) 11-A.Smith pass short right to 43-M.Hicks for 33 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught at LV 35. [WPA +18.0% · EPA +4.68]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q3 28:28) — (13:28) 9-S.Lechler punt is BLOCKED by 99-M.Lawson, Center-62-A.Treu, recovered by LV-9-S.Lechler at LV 9. 9-S.Lechler to LV 9 for no gain (99-M.Lawson). [WPA -15.5% · EPA -2.96]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q2 31:43) — (1:43) 16-A.Walter pass deep middle to 89-R.Curry to SF 34 for 39 yards (27-W.Harris) [97-B.Young]. Caught at LV 46. [WPA +13.3% · EPA +2.47]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q2 45:00) — (15:00) 11-A.Smith pass short left intended for 81-A.Bryant INTERCEPTED by 26-S.Routt at SF 29. 26-S.Routt to SF 23 for 6 yards (81-A.Bryant, 83-A.Battle). [WPA -12.7% · EPA -4.39]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Las Vegas Raiders (Q4 10:36) — (10:36) 16-A.Walter FUMBLES (Aborted) at LV 12, RECOVERED by SF-96-M.Oliver at LV 12. 96-M.Oliver for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN. A.Walter attempted a lateral to L.Jordan Play Challenged by LV and Upheld. (T [WPA -5.0% · EPA -7.44]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q4 14:25) — (14:25) 16-A.Walter pass short left intended for 89-R.Curry INTERCEPTED by 25-C.Williams at SF 29. 25-C.Williams to LV 28 for 43 yards (89-R.Curry). [WPA -7.7% · EPA -5.59]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q3 23:21) — (8:21) 16-A.Walter pass deep right intended for 87-A.Whitted INTERCEPTED by 27-W.Harris at SF -1. Touchback. [WPA -21.3% · EPA -4.98]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q2 30:55) — (:55) 16-A.Walter pass deep middle to 18-R.Moss for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Moss' 100th Career NFL Touchdown Play Challenged by Review Assistant and Upheld. [WPA +11.6% · EPA +4.70]

Quarterback report card

A.Walter led all passers in efficiency for Las Vegas Raiders, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• A.Walter (Las Vegas Raiders) · 25 dropbacks · 56.0% completion · +1.8% CPOE · -0.05 EPA/play · -1.37 total EPA
• A.Smith (San Francisco 49ers) · 20 dropbacks · 75.0% completion · +15.5% CPOE · +0.67 EPA/play · +13.30 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

San Francisco 49ers held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.02 vs -0.15), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

• Las Vegas Raiders: 12 drives, -11.14 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
• San Francisco 49ers: 12 drives, +1.63 total EPA, 5 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• San Francisco 49ers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• A. Smith (San Francisco 49ers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• A. Smith (SF) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q1 52:32 · LV 4 · Score 0-6
   (7:32) 11-A.Smith pass short right to 83-A.Battle for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
2. San Francisco 49ers XP (+1) — Q1 52:26 · LV 2 · Score 0-7
   6-J.Nedney extra point is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee.
3. Las Vegas Raiders FG (+3) — Q1 45:46 · SF 15 · Score 3-7
   (:46) 11-S.Janikowski 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-62-A.Treu, Holder-9-S.Lechler.
4. Las Vegas Raiders FG (+3) — Q2 44:03 · SF 18 · Score 6-7
   (14:03) 11-S.Janikowski 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-62-A.Treu, Holder-9-S.Lechler.
5. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q2 30:55 · SF 22 · Score 12-7
   (:55) 16-A.Walter pass deep middle to 18-R.Moss for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Moss' 100th Career NFL Touchdown Play Challenged by Review Assistant and Upheld.
6. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q2 30:51 · SF 2 · Score 13-7
   11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-62-A.Treu, Holder-9-S.Lechler.
7. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q3 27:30 · LV 6 · Score 13-13
   (12:30) 11-A.Smith pass short left to 83-A.Battle for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught at LV 1.
8. San Francisco 49ers XP (+1) — Q3 27:25 · LV 2 · Score 13-14
   6-J.Nedney extra point is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee.
9. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q3 18:35 · LV 33 · Score 13-20
   (3:35) 11-A.Smith pass short right to 43-M.Hicks for 33 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught at LV 35.
10. San Francisco 49ers XP (+1) — Q3 18:24 · LV 2 · Score 13-21
    6-J.Nedney extra point is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee.
11. San Francisco 49ers FG (+3) — Q4 11:00 · LV 1 · Score 13-24
    (11:00) 6-J.Nedney 19 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee.
12. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q4 10:36 · SF 80 · Score 13-30
    (10:36) 16-A.Walter FUMBLES (Aborted) at LV 12, RECOVERED by SF-96-M.Oliver at LV 12. 96-M.Oliver for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN. A.Walter attempted a lateral to L.Jor
13. San Francisco 49ers XP (+1) — Q4 10:30 · LV 2 · Score 13-31
    6-J.Nedney extra point is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee.
14. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q4 6:29 · SF 8 · Score 19-31
    (6:29) 8-M.Tuiasosopo pass short left to 83-C.Anderson for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
15. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+7) — Q4 6:23 · SF 2 · Score 20-31
    11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-62-A.Treu, Holder-9-S.Lechler.
16. San Francisco 49ers FG (+3) — Q4 4:05 · LV 22 · Score 20-34
    (4:05) 6-J.Nedney 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee.