Las Vegas Raiders vs. New York Jets: 2020 Week 13 Recap

Game story

In Week 13 of the 2020 NFL season on 2020-12-06, the Las Vegas Raiders took care of business against the New York Jets, pulling away with a 31–28 final that came down to the wire.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 22 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

D. Carr (Las Vegas Raiders) paced the passing game, with +11.20 total EPA, and +0.3% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, D. Waller (Las Vegas Raiders) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +16.42 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+73.3% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Las Vegas Raiders changed the game: (:13) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass deep left to 11-H.Ruggs for 46 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 D. Waller · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +16.42 total EPA · 17 snaps · +0.97 EPA/play
2. 2 D. Carr · Las Vegas Raiders · Passing · +11.20 total EPA · 54 snaps · +0.21 EPA/play
3. 3 J. Crowder · New York Jets · Receiving · +6.48 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.93 EPA/play
4. 4 T. Johnson · New York Jets · Rushing · +4.13 total EPA · 22 snaps · +0.19 EPA/play
5. 5 D. Mims · New York Jets · Receiving · +3.08 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.77 EPA/play
6. 6 H. Renfrow · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +2.79 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.46 EPA/play
7. 7 R. Griffin · New York Jets · Receiving · +2.70 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.35 EPA/play
8. 8 J. Adams · New York Jets · Rushing · +2.57 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.32 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• New York Jets — J. Crowder (S. Darnold pass) (Q1 54:08)
• Las Vegas Raiders — D. Waller (D. Carr pass) (Q1 45:16)
• New York Jets — J. Crowder (S. Darnold pass) (Q2 42:07)
• Las Vegas Raiders — D. Waller (D. Carr pass) (Q2 31:21)
• Las Vegas Raiders — D. Carr (Q3 22:58)
• New York Jets — S. Darnold (Q4 10:27)
• New York Jets — T. Johnson (Q4 5:38)
• Las Vegas Raiders — H. Ruggs (D. Carr pass) (Q4 0:13)

Field goals

• Las Vegas Raiders — D. Carlson (Q2 36:11)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. New York Jets found the end zone from the LV 3 (Q1 54:08) — (9:08) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass short left to 82-J.Crowder for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New York Jets added 1 points from the LV 15 (Q1 54:03) — 6-S.Castillo extra point is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-7-B.Mann.; Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the NYJ 9 (Q1 45:16) — (:16) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short middle to 83-D.Waller for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the NYJ 15 (Q1 45:12) — 2-D.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole..

The second quarter: Las Vegas Raiders won the period 10–6. New York Jets found the end zone from the LV 6 (Q2 42:07) — (12:07) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass short right to 82-J.Crowder for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Las Vegas Raiders connected on a field goal from the NYJ 30 (Q2 36:11) — (6:11) 2-D.Carlson 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole.; Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the NYJ 38 (Q2 31:21) — (1:21) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short right to 83-D.Waller for 38 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the NYJ 15 (Q2 31:12) — 2-D.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole..

The third quarter: Las Vegas Raiders won the period 7–0. Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the NYJ 2 (Q3 22:58) — (7:58) 4-D.Carr scrambles right end for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the NYJ 15 (Q3 22:52) — 2-D.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole..

The fourth quarter: New York Jets won the period 15–7. New York Jets found the end zone from the LV 4 (Q4 10:27) — (10:27) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold right end for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. LV-38-J.Heath was injured during the play.; New York Jets registered a safety from the LV 1 (Q4 10:22) — TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 14-S.Darnold pass to 11-D.Mims is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS. Shotgun formation on pass; New York Jets found the end zone from the LV 1 (Q4 5:38) — (5:38) (Shotgun) 25-T.Johnson up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; New York Jets added 1 points from the LV 15 (Q4 5:34) — 6-S.Castillo extra point is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-7-B.Mann.; Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the NYJ 46 (Q4 0:13) — (:13) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass deep left to 11-H.Ruggs for 46 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the NYJ 15 (Q4 0:05) — 2-D.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Las Vegas Raiders (Q4 0:13) — (:13) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass deep left to 11-H.Ruggs for 46 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +73.3% · EPA +6.36]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q4 1:42) — (1:42) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass incomplete short left to 15-N.Agholor. [WPA -36.4% · EPA -3.11]
• New York Jets (Q4 0:04) — (:04) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass incomplete deep right (32-D.Leavitt). [WPA -20.5% · EPA -0.34]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q4 8:56) — (8:56) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short middle to 11-H.Ruggs to LV 46 for 12 yards (40-J.Guidry). FUMBLES (40-J.Guidry), RECOVERED by NYJ-20-M.Maye at LV 44. [WPA -20.0% · EPA -3.23]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q4 2:11) — (2:11) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass incomplete deep middle to 83-D.Waller. PENALTY on NYJ-20-M.Maye, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at NYJ 21 - No Play. [WPA +17.2% · EPA +2.17]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Las Vegas Raiders (Q1 50:27) — (5:27) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short left intended for 11-H.Ruggs INTERCEPTED by 23-A.Maulet at NYJ 25. 23-A.Maulet to NYJ 45 for 20 yards (74-K.Miller). Ball thrown to the 30 yardline and tipped by r [WPA -14.2% · EPA -6.59]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q4 0:13) — (:13) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass deep left to 11-H.Ruggs for 46 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +73.3% · EPA +6.36]
• New York Jets (Q2 37:04) — (7:04) 14-S.Darnold sacked at NYJ 26 for -7 yards (96-C.Ferrell). FUMBLES (96-C.Ferrell) [96-C.Ferrell], RECOVERED by LV-90-J.Hankins at NYJ 31. [WPA -14.8% · EPA -5.33]
• New York Jets (Q2 33:12) — (3:12) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass short right intended for 19-B.Perriman INTERCEPTED by 27-T.Mullen at LV 34. 27-T.Mullen to LV 34 for no gain (19-B.Perriman). [WPA -15.0% · EPA -4.52]

Quarterback report card

D.Carr led all passers in efficiency for Las Vegas Raiders, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• D.Carr (Las Vegas Raiders) · 54 dropbacks · 51.9% completion · +0.3% CPOE · +0.21 EPA/play · +11.20 total EPA
• S.Darnold (New York Jets) · 30 dropbacks · 46.7% completion · +3.8% CPOE · -0.04 EPA/play · -1.10 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Las Vegas Raiders +0.09, New York Jets +0.04) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

• Las Vegas Raiders: 12 drives, +8.20 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
• New York Jets: 12 drives, +3.31 total EPA, 4 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Las Vegas Raiders leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
• D. Waller (Las Vegas Raiders) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• S. Darnold (NYJ) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. New York Jets TD (+6) — Q1 54:08 · LV 3 · Score 0-6
   (9:08) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass short left to 82-J.Crowder for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
2. New York Jets XP (+1) — Q1 54:03 · LV 15 · Score 0-7
   6-S.Castillo extra point is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-7-B.Mann.
3. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q1 45:16 · NYJ 9 · Score 6-7
   (:16) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short middle to 83-D.Waller for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
4. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q1 45:12 · NYJ 15 · Score 7-7
   2-D.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole.
5. New York Jets TD (+6) — Q2 42:07 · LV 6 · Score 7-13
   (12:07) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass short right to 82-J.Crowder for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
6. Las Vegas Raiders FG (+3) — Q2 36:11 · NYJ 30 · Score 10-13
   (6:11) 2-D.Carlson 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole.
7. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q2 31:21 · NYJ 38 · Score 16-13
   (1:21) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short right to 83-D.Waller for 38 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
8. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q2 31:12 · NYJ 15 · Score 17-13
   2-D.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole.
9. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q3 22:58 · NYJ 2 · Score 23-13
   (7:58) 4-D.Carr scrambles right end for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
10. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q3 22:52 · NYJ 15 · Score 24-13
    2-D.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole.
11. New York Jets TD (+6) — Q4 10:27 · LV 4 · Score 24-19
    (10:27) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold right end for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. LV-38-J.Heath was injured during the play.
12. New York Jets Safety (+2) — Q4 10:22 · LV 1 · Score 24-21
    TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 14-S.Darnold pass to 11-D.Mims is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS. Shotgun formation on pass
13. New York Jets TD (+6) — Q4 5:38 · LV 1 · Score 24-27
    (5:38) (Shotgun) 25-T.Johnson up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
14. New York Jets XP (+1) — Q4 5:34 · LV 15 · Score 24-28
    6-S.Castillo extra point is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-7-B.Mann.
15. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q4 0:13 · NYJ 46 · Score 30-28
    (:13) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass deep left to 11-H.Ruggs for 46 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
16. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q4 0:05 · NYJ 15 · Score 31-28
    2-D.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole.