FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 17 · December 30, 2018 · 11 min read

Las Vegas Raiders vs. Kansas City Chiefs: 2018 Week 17 Recap

Chiefs defeat Raiders 35–3 in Week 17

Patrick Mahomes led Fantasy Impact as Chiefs prevailed in a 3–35 Week 17 finish.

Las Vegas Raiders 3 4–12
Final 3–35
Kansas City Chiefs 35 12–4 Winner
Winner
Kansas City Chiefs
Final score
3–35
Halftime
Las Vegas Raiders 3–21 Kansas City Chiefs
Top passer
Derek Carr
FantasyHQ MVP
Patrick Mahomes
Game date
December 30, 2018

Top fantasy performers · Raiders

  • Sam Roberts
    Sam Roberts 5 REC · 31 YDS +5.9 Fantasy Impact
  • Darren Waller
    Darren Waller 3 REC · 23 YDS +2.4 Fantasy Impact
  • Darnell Washington
    Darnell Washington 4 CAR · 30 YDS -0.2 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Chiefs

  • Patrick Mahomes
    Patrick Mahomes 14/25 · 283 YDS · 2 TD +15.8 Fantasy Impact
  • Dominique Robinson
    Dominique Robinson 1 REC · 89 YDS · 1 TD +7.3 Fantasy Impact
  • Trysten Hill
    Trysten Hill 5 REC · 101 YDS · 1 TD +6.7 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Kansas City Chiefs defeated the Las Vegas Raiders 35–3 in Week 17 of the 2018 NFL season on 2018-12-30, a matchup that controlled the game from start to finish. The decisive swing (-17.1% win probability) came in the opening quarter when Las Vegas Raiders swung the momentum.

In Week 17 of the 2018 NFL season on 2018-12-30, the Kansas City Chiefs took care of business against the Las Vegas Raiders, pulling away with a 35–3 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q1 with 14 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

D. Carr (Las Vegas Raiders) paced the passing game, with -17.62 total EPA, and +3.3% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, P. Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +15.84 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-17.1% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when Las Vegas Raiders changed the game: (5:54) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short right intended for 87-J.Cook INTERCEPTED by 49-D.Sorensen at KC 46. 49-D.Sorensen for 54 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Las Vegas Raiders030003
Kansas City Chiefs14777035

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 P. Mahomes · Kansas City Chiefs · Passing · +15.84 total EPA · 25 snaps · +0.63 EPA/play
  2. 2 D. Robinson · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +7.30 total EPA · 2 snaps · +3.65 EPA/play
  3. 3 T. Hill · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +6.72 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.96 EPA/play
  4. 4 S. Roberts · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +5.93 total EPA · 5 snaps · +1.19 EPA/play
  5. 5 A. Sherman · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +3.26 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.63 EPA/play
  6. 6 D. Waller · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +2.36 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.79 EPA/play
  7. 7 T. Hill · Kansas City Chiefs · Rushing · +1.99 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.99 EPA/play
  8. 8 K. Benjamin · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +0.67 total EPA · 1 snaps · +0.67 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

P. Mahomes — KC · Passing

P. Mahomes posted the highest total EPA (+15.84) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Kansas City Chiefs's efficiency. Across 25 counted snaps, they averaged +0.63 EPA per play.

The signature play (-9.13 EPA) came from Las Vegas Raiders: (7:33) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short middle intended for 82-J.Nelson INTERCEPTED by 59-R.Ragland [97-A.Bailey] at KC 29. 59-R.Ragland to LV 4 for 67 yards (77-K.Miller).

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Kansas City Chiefs — T. Hill (P. Mahomes pass) (Q1 57:51)
  • Kansas City Chiefs — D. Sorensen (Q1 50:54)
  • Kansas City Chiefs — T. Hill (Q2 39:38)
  • Kansas City Chiefs — D. Robinson (P. Mahomes pass) (Q3 23:51)
  • Kansas City Chiefs — T. Hill (Q4 13:31)

Field goals

  • Las Vegas Raiders — D. Carlson (Q2 31:09)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Kansas City Chiefs won the period 14–0. Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the LV 67 (Q1 57:51) — (12:51) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep left to 10-T.Hill for 67 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the LV 15 (Q1 57:41) — 7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.; Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the KC 50 (Q1 50:54); Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the LV 15 (Q1 50:44) — 7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt..

The second quarter: Kansas City Chiefs won the period 7–3. Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the LV 4 (Q2 39:38); Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the LV 15 (Q2 39:31) — 7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.; Las Vegas Raiders connected on a field goal from the KC 32 (Q2 31:09) — (1:09) 8-D.Carlson 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-5-J.Townsend..

The third quarter: Kansas City Chiefs won the period 7–0. Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the LV 89 (Q3 23:51); Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the LV 15 (Q3 23:33) — 7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt..

The fourth quarter: Kansas City Chiefs won the period 7–0. Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the LV 15 (Q4 13:31) — (13:31) 10-T.Hill left end for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN. LV-25-E.Harris was injured during the play.; Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the LV 15 (Q4 13:25) — 7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Las Vegas Raiders (Q1 50:54) — (5:54) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short right intended for 87-J.Cook INTERCEPTED by 49-D.Sorensen at KC 46. 49-D.Sorensen for 54 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -17.1% · EPA -8.65]
  • Kansas City Chiefs (Q1 57:51) — (12:51) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep left to 10-T.Hill for 67 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +16.5% · EPA +6.11]
  • Las Vegas Raiders (Q1 56:01) — (11:01) 28-D.Martin up the middle to LV 47 for -1 yards (97-A.Bailey). FUMBLES (97-A.Bailey), RECOVERED by KC-97-A.Bailey at LV 45. [WPA -10.1% · EPA -5.81]
  • Las Vegas Raiders (Q2 44:18) — (14:18) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr sacked at KC 40 for -7 yards (50-J.Houston). FUMBLES (50-J.Houston), RECOVERED by KC-50-J.Houston at KC 40. 50-J.Houston to KC 40 for no gain (77-K.Miller). [WPA -7.3% · EPA -5.31]
  • Kansas City Chiefs (Q1 59:46) — (14:46) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 42-A.Sherman to KC 28 for 12 yards (21-G.Conley) [99-A.Key]. [WPA +5.9% · EPA +2.24]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Las Vegas Raiders (Q2 37:33) — (7:33) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short middle intended for 82-J.Nelson INTERCEPTED by 59-R.Ragland [97-A.Bailey] at KC 29. 59-R.Ragland to LV 4 for 67 yards (77-K.Miller). [WPA -5.7% · EPA -9.13]
  • Las Vegas Raiders (Q1 50:54) — (5:54) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short right intended for 87-J.Cook INTERCEPTED by 49-D.Sorensen at KC 46. 49-D.Sorensen for 54 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -17.1% · EPA -8.65]
  • Kansas City Chiefs (Q3 23:51) — (8:51) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep middle to 11-D.Robinson for 89 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on KC-11-D.Robinson, Taunting, 15 yards, enforced between downs. [WPA +3.8% · EPA +7.93]
  • Kansas City Chiefs (Q1 57:51) — (12:51) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep left to 10-T.Hill for 67 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +16.5% · EPA +6.11]

Quarterback report card

D.Carr led all passers in efficiency for Las Vegas Raiders, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • D.Carr (Las Vegas Raiders) · 37 dropbacks · 64.9% completion · +3.3% CPOE · -0.48 EPA/play · -17.62 total EPA
  • P.Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs) · 25 dropbacks · 56.0% completion · -6.2% CPOE · +0.63 EPA/play · +15.84 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatLas Vegas RaidersKansas City Chiefs
Offensive EPA/play-0.258+0.222
Offensive success rate48.8%46.9%
Pass EPA/play-0.476+0.579
Rush EPA/play-0.188-0.058
Defensive EPA/play-0.222+0.258
Defensive success rate53.1%51.2%

By the numbers

Kansas City Chiefs held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.22 vs -0.26), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

  • Kansas City Chiefs: 10 drives, +14.21 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
  • Las Vegas Raiders: 10 drives, -20.61 total EPA, 2 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Kansas City Chiefs leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • P. Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • D. Carr (LV) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
  • P. Mahomes (KC) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q1 57:51 · LV 67 · Score 0-6
    (12:51) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep left to 10-T.Hill for 67 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q1 57:41 · LV 15 · Score 0-7
    7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
  3. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q1 50:54 · KC 50 · Score 0-13
    (5:54) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short right intended for 87-J.Cook INTERCEPTED by 49-D.Sorensen at KC 46. 49-D.Sorensen for 54 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q1 50:44 · LV 15 · Score 0-14
    7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
  5. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q2 39:38 · LV 4 · Score 0-20
    (9:38) (Shotgun) 26-Dam. Williams up the middle for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on KC-10-T.Hill, Taunting, 15 yards, enforced between downs.
  6. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q2 39:31 · LV 15 · Score 0-21
    7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
  7. Las Vegas Raiders FG (+3) — Q2 31:09 · KC 32 · Score 3-21
    (1:09) 8-D.Carlson 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-5-J.Townsend.
  8. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q3 23:51 · LV 89 · Score 3-27
    (8:51) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep middle to 11-D.Robinson for 89 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on KC-11-D.Robinson, Taunting, 15 yards, enforced between downs
  9. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q3 23:33 · LV 15 · Score 3-28
    7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
  10. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q4 13:31 · LV 15 · Score 3-34
    (13:31) 10-T.Hill left end for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN. LV-25-E.Harris was injured during the play.
  11. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q4 13:25 · LV 15 · Score 3-35
    7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs?

The Kansas City Chiefs beat the Las Vegas Raiders 35-3 in Week 17, 2018 on 2018-12-30.

What was the final score of Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs?

The final score was Las Vegas Raiders 3, Kansas City Chiefs 35 (LV 3-35 KC) in Week 17, 2018 on 2018-12-30.

What was the score by quarter in Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs?

Q1: Las Vegas Raiders 0, Kansas City Chiefs 14; Q2: Las Vegas Raiders 3, Kansas City Chiefs 7; Q3: Las Vegas Raiders 0, Kansas City Chiefs 7; Q4: Las Vegas Raiders 0, Kansas City Chiefs 7; Final: Las Vegas Raiders 3, Kansas City Chiefs 35.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs?

Kansas City Chiefs touchdown — T. Hill (P. Mahomes pass) (Q1 57:51) Kansas City Chiefs touchdown — D. Sorensen (Q1 50:54) Kansas City Chiefs touchdown — T. Hill (Q2 39:38) Kansas City Chiefs touchdown — D. Robinson (P. Mahomes pass) (Q3 23:51) Kansas City Chiefs touchdown — T. Hill (Q4 13:31) Las Vegas Raiders field goal — D. Carlson (Q2 31:09, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs?

D. Carr (Las Vegas Raiders), 64.9% completion, +3.3% CPOE, -0.48 EPA per dropback, -17.62 total passing EPA. P. Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs), 56.0% completion, -6.2% CPOE, +0.63 EPA per dropback, +15.84 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs?

P. Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs) led the game in total EPA with +15.84 on passing plays. across 25 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-9.13 EPA): (7:33) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short middle intended for 82-J.Nelson INTERCEPTED by 59-R.Ragland [97-A.Bailey] at KC 29. 59-R.Ragland to LV 4 for 67 yards (77-K.Miller).. The biggest win-probability swing was -17.1%.

Season records after this game

Las Vegas Raiders

Entered 4-11 Now 4-12 L

Kansas City Chiefs

Entered 11-4 Now 12-4 W