Las Vegas Raiders vs. Jacksonville Jaguars: 2016 Week 7 Recap

Game story

In Week 7 of the 2016 NFL season on 2016-10-23, the Las Vegas Raiders took care of business against the Jacksonville Jaguars, pulling away with a 33–16 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 30 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

B. Bortles (Jacksonville Jaguars) paced the passing game, with -6.55 total EPA, and -10.1% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, M. Crabtree (Las Vegas Raiders) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +8.08 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+14.7% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when Las Vegas Raiders changed the game: (:17) 7-M.King punts 40 yards to JAX 13, Center-59-J.Condo. 13-R.Greene MUFFS catch, RECOVERED by LV-18-A.Holmes at JAX 17. 18-A.Holmes to JAX 17 for no gain (47-J.Wilson).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 M. Crabtree · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +8.08 total EPA · 11 snaps · +0.73 EPA/play
2. 2 M. Lee · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +4.39 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.55 EPA/play
3. 3 M. King · Las Vegas Raiders · Rushing · +3.49 total EPA · 1 snaps · +3.49 EPA/play
4. 4 A. Benn · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +2.77 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.38 EPA/play
5. 5 C. Ivory · Jacksonville Jaguars · Rushing · +1.32 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.26 EPA/play
6. 6 L. Murray · Las Vegas Raiders · Rushing · +1.28 total EPA · 19 snaps · +0.07 EPA/play
7. 7 D. Carr · Las Vegas Raiders · Passing · +1.02 total EPA · 39 snaps · +0.03 EPA/play
8. 8 B. Bortles · Jacksonville Jaguars · Rushing · +0.99 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.50 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Las Vegas Raiders — L. Murray (Q2 35:37)
• Las Vegas Raiders — M. Crabtree (D. Carr pass) (Q2 30:14)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — J. Thomas (B. Bortles pass) (Q4 4:17)
• Las Vegas Raiders — L. Murray (Q4 2:39)

Field goals

• Las Vegas Raiders — S. Janikowski (Q1 54:08)
• Las Vegas Raiders — S. Janikowski (Q2 44:57)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — J. Myers (Q2 42:41)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — J. Myers (Q2 31:52)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — J. Myers (Q3 27:15)
• Las Vegas Raiders — S. Janikowski (Q3 17:31)
• Las Vegas Raiders — S. Janikowski (Q4 11:37)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Las Vegas Raiders won the period 3–0. Las Vegas Raiders connected on a field goal from the JAX 7 (Q1 54:08) — (9:08) 11-S.Janikowski 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-7-M.King..

The second quarter: Las Vegas Raiders won the period 24–6. Las Vegas Raiders connected on a field goal from the JAX 14 (Q2 44:57) — (14:57) 11-S.Janikowski 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-7-M.King.; Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the LV 5 (Q2 42:41) — (12:41) 2-J.Myers 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Tinker, Holder-3-B.Nortman.; Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the JAX 2 (Q2 35:37) — (5:37) 28-L.Murray left guard for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the JAX 15 (Q2 35:32) — 11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-7-M.King.; Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the LV 19 (Q2 31:52) — (1:52) 2-J.Myers 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Tinker, Holder-3-B.Nortman.; Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the JAX 2 (Q2 30:14); Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the JAX 15 (Q2 30:11) — 11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-7-M.King.; Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the LV 73 (Q2 30:04) — (:04) 5-B.Bortles kneels to JAX 26 for -1 yards..

The third quarter: The quarter finished even at 3–3. Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the LV 26 (Q3 27:15) — (12:15) 2-J.Myers 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Tinker, Holder-3-B.Nortman.; Las Vegas Raiders connected on a field goal from the JAX 25 (Q3 17:31) — (2:31) 11-S.Janikowski 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-7-M.King..

The fourth quarter: Las Vegas Raiders won the period 10–7. Las Vegas Raiders connected on a field goal from the JAX 34 (Q4 11:37); Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the LV 9 (Q4 4:17); Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the LV 15 (Q4 4:12) — 2-J.Myers extra point is GOOD, Center-46-C.Tinker, Holder-3-B.Nortman.; Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the JAX 9 (Q4 2:39) — (2:39) 28-L.Murray up the middle for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the JAX 15 (Q4 2:35).

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Las Vegas Raiders (Q1 45:17) — (:17) 7-M.King punts 40 yards to JAX 13, Center-59-J.Condo. 13-R.Greene MUFFS catch, RECOVERED by LV-18-A.Holmes at JAX 17. 18-A.Holmes to JAX 17 for no gain (47-J.Wilson). [WPA +14.7% · EPA +5.01]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q1 49:46) — (4:46) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles pass deep right intended for 11-M.Lee INTERCEPTED by 29-D.Amerson at LV -5. Touchback. [WPA -14.2% · EPA -4.20]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q2 30:39) — (:39) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass deep right to 15-M.Crabtree to JAX 2 for 56 yards (21-P.Amukamara). [WPA +11.0% · EPA +4.82]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q1 51:44) — (6:44) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles scrambles left end pushed ob at LV 37 for 17 yards (25-D.Hayden). PENALTY on LV-25-D.Hayden, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at LV 37. [WPA +8.9% · EPA +2.14]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q2 34:16) — (4:16) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles pass short middle to 11-M.Lee to LV 15 for 38 yards (25-D.Hayden). [WPA +8.3% · EPA +3.36]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Las Vegas Raiders (Q1 45:17) — (:17) 7-M.King punts 40 yards to JAX 13, Center-59-J.Condo. 13-R.Greene MUFFS catch, RECOVERED by LV-18-A.Holmes at JAX 17. 18-A.Holmes to JAX 17 for no gain (47-J.Wilson). [WPA +14.7% · EPA +5.01]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q2 30:39) — (:39) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass deep right to 15-M.Crabtree to JAX 2 for 56 yards (21-P.Amukamara). [WPA +11.0% · EPA +4.82]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q1 49:46) — (4:46) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles pass deep right intended for 11-M.Lee INTERCEPTED by 29-D.Amerson at LV -5. Touchback. [WPA -14.2% · EPA -4.20]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 1:20) — (1:20) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles pass deep left intended for 15-A.Robinson INTERCEPTED by 27-R.Nelson at LV 33. 27-R.Nelson to JAX 27 for 40 yards (11-M.Lee). [WPA -0.0% · EPA -3.86]

Quarterback report card

B.Bortles led all passers in efficiency for Jacksonville Jaguars, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• B.Bortles (Jacksonville Jaguars) · 55 dropbacks · 41.8% completion · -10.1% CPOE · -0.12 EPA/play · -6.55 total EPA
• D.Carr (Las Vegas Raiders) · 39 dropbacks · 59.0% completion · -4.2% CPOE · +0.03 EPA/play · +1.02 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Las Vegas Raiders generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.17 vs -0.07), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

• Jacksonville Jaguars: 12 drives, -5.75 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
• Las Vegas Raiders: 13 drives, +16.21 total EPA, 7 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Las Vegas Raiders leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• M. Crabtree (Las Vegas Raiders) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• B. Bortles (JAX) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
• D. Carr (LV) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Las Vegas Raiders FG (+3) — Q1 54:08 · JAX 7 · Score 3-0
   (9:08) 11-S.Janikowski 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-7-M.King.
2. Las Vegas Raiders FG (+3) — Q2 44:57 · JAX 14 · Score 6-0
   (14:57) 11-S.Janikowski 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-7-M.King.
3. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q2 42:41 · LV 5 · Score 6-3
   (12:41) 2-J.Myers 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Tinker, Holder-3-B.Nortman.
4. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q2 35:37 · JAX 2 · Score 12-3
   (5:37) 28-L.Murray left guard for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
5. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q2 35:32 · JAX 15 · Score 13-3
   11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-7-M.King.
6. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q2 31:52 · LV 19 · Score 13-6
   (1:52) 2-J.Myers 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Tinker, Holder-3-B.Nortman.
7. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q2 30:14 · JAX 2 · Score 19-6
   (:14) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short right to 15-M.Crabtree for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on LV-15-M.Crabtree, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced betw
8. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q2 30:11 · JAX 15 · Score 20-6
   11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-7-M.King.
9. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+7) — Q2 30:04 · LV 73 · Score 20-6
   (:04) 5-B.Bortles kneels to JAX 26 for -1 yards.
10. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q3 27:15 · LV 26 · Score 20-9
    (12:15) 2-J.Myers 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Tinker, Holder-3-B.Nortman.
11. Las Vegas Raiders FG (+3) — Q3 17:31 · JAX 25 · Score 23-9
    (2:31) 11-S.Janikowski 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-7-M.King.
12. Las Vegas Raiders FG (+3) — Q4 11:37 · JAX 34 · Score 26-9
    (11:37) 11-S.Janikowski 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-7-M.King. PENALTY on JAX-90-M.Jackson, Disqualification, 15 yards, enforced betwee
13. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q4 4:17 · LV 9 · Score 26-15
    (4:17) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles pass short middle to 80-J.Thomas for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on LV-91-S.Calhoun, Defensive Offside, declined.
14. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q4 4:12 · LV 15 · Score 26-16
    2-J.Myers extra point is GOOD, Center-46-C.Tinker, Holder-3-B.Nortman.
15. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q4 2:39 · JAX 9 · Score 32-16
    (2:39) 28-L.Murray up the middle for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
16. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q4 2:35 · JAX 15 · Score 33-16
    11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-7-M.King. PENALTY on JAX-25-P.Thompson, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced between downs.