FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 18 · January 7, 2017 · 11 min read

Las Vegas Raiders vs. Houston Texans: 2016 Week 18 Recap

Texans defeat Raiders 27–14 in Week 18

B.Osweiler led Fantasy Impact as Texans prevailed in a 14–27 Week 18 finish.

Las Vegas Raiders 14 12–5
Final 14–27
Houston Texans 27 10–7 Winner
Winner
Houston Texans
Final score
14–27
Halftime
Las Vegas Raiders 7–20 Houston Texans
Top passer
C. Cook
FantasyHQ MVP
B.Osweiler
Game date
January 7, 2017

Top fantasy performers · Raiders

  • A.Holmes 4 REC · 50 YDS · 1 TD +4.3 Fantasy Impact
  • M.Rivera 4 REC · 31 YDS +2.4 Fantasy Impact
  • C.Walford 2 REC · 16 YDS +1.1 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Texans

  • B.Osweiler 14/32 · 185 YDS · 2 TD +5.1 Fantasy Impact
  • Dustin Hopkins
    Dustin Hopkins 5 REC · 67 YDS · 1 TD +4.5 Fantasy Impact
  • J.Grimes 4 CAR · 30 YDS +1.7 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Houston Texans defeated the Las Vegas Raiders 27–14 in Week 18 of the 2016 NFL season on 2017-01-07, a matchup that built a comfortable lead. The decisive swing (-9.9% win probability) came in the opening quarter when Las Vegas Raiders swung the momentum.

In Week 18 of the 2016 NFL season on 2017-01-07, the Houston Texans took care of business against the Las Vegas Raiders, pulling away with a 27–14 final that built a comfortable lead.

The highest-scoring period was Q1 with 17 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

C. Cook (Las Vegas Raiders) paced the passing game, with -20.67 total EPA, and -24.9% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, B. Osweiler (Houston Texans) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +5.11 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-9.9% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when Las Vegas Raiders changed the game: (6:29) (Shotgun) 8-C.Cook pass short left intended for 28-L.Murray INTERCEPTED by 90-J.Clowney at LV 12. 90-J.Clowney to LV 9 for 3 yards (28-L.Murray). PENALTY on LV-71-M.Watson, Unnecessary Roughnes

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q4T
Las Vegas Raiders7070014
Houston Texans101070027

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 B. Osweiler · Houston Texans · Passing · +5.11 total EPA · 32 snaps · +0.16 EPA/play
  2. 2 D. Hopkins · Houston Texans · Receiving · +4.48 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.50 EPA/play
  3. 3 A. Holmes · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +4.29 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.86 EPA/play
  4. 4 M. Rivera · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +2.35 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.47 EPA/play
  5. 5 J. Grimes · Houston Texans · Rushing · +1.66 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.42 EPA/play
  6. 6 C. Walford · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +1.07 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.54 EPA/play
  7. 7 R. Griffin · Houston Texans · Receiving · +0.88 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.22 EPA/play
  8. 8 J. Olawale · Las Vegas Raiders · Rushing · +0.40 total EPA · 1 snaps · +0.40 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

B. Osweiler — HOU · Passing

B. Osweiler posted the highest total EPA (+5.11) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Houston Texans's efficiency. Across 32 counted snaps, they averaged +0.16 EPA per play.

The signature play (-4.99 EPA) came from Las Vegas Raiders: (6:29) (Shotgun) 8-C.Cook pass short left intended for 28-L.Murray INTERCEPTED by 90-J.Clowney at LV 12. 90-J.Clowney to LV 9 for 3 yards (28-L.Murray). PENALTY on LV-71-M.Watson, Unnecessary Roughness, 5 yards, enforced

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Houston Texans — L. Miller (Q1 51:20)
  • Las Vegas Raiders — L. Murray (Q1 46:06)
  • Houston Texans — D. Hopkins (B. Osweiler pass) (Q2 31:24)
  • Houston Texans — B. Osweiler (Q4 12:34)
  • Las Vegas Raiders — A. Holmes (C. Cook pass) (Q4 8:14)

Field goals

  • Houston Texans — N. Novak (Q1 53:04)
  • Houston Texans — N. Novak (Q2 38:48)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Houston Texans won the period 10–7. Houston Texans connected on a field goal from the LV 32 (Q1 53:04) — (8:04) 8-N.Novak 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-9-S.Lechler.; Houston Texans found the end zone from the LV 4 (Q1 51:20) — (6:20) 26-L.Miller left end for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Houston Texans added 1 points from the LV 15 (Q1 51:16) — 8-N.Novak extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-9-S.Lechler.; Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the HOU 2 (Q1 46:06) — (1:06) 28-L.Murray right end for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the HOU 15 (Q1 46:01) — 11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-7-M.King..

The second quarter: Houston Texans won the period 10–0. Houston Texans connected on a field goal from the LV 20 (Q2 38:48) — (8:48) 8-N.Novak 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-9-S.Lechler.; Houston Texans found the end zone from the LV 2 (Q2 31:24) — (1:24) (Shotgun) 17-B.Osweiler pass short left to 10-D.Hopkins for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Houston Texans added 1 points from the LV 15 (Q2 31:20) — 8-N.Novak extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-9-S.Lechler..

The fourth quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. Houston Texans found the end zone from the LV 1 (Q4 12:34) — (12:34) 17-B.Osweiler scrambles right end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Houston Texans added 1 points from the LV 15 (Q4 12:28) — 8-N.Novak extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-9-S.Lechler.; Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the HOU 8 (Q4 8:14) — (8:14) (Shotgun) 8-C.Cook pass short middle to 18-A.Holmes for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the HOU 15 (Q4 8:10) — 11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-7-M.King..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Las Vegas Raiders (Q1 51:29) — (6:29) (Shotgun) 8-C.Cook pass short left intended for 28-L.Murray INTERCEPTED by 90-J.Clowney at LV 12. 90-J.Clowney to LV 9 for 3 yards (28-L.Murray). PENALTY on LV-71-M.Watson, Unnecessary Roughnes [WPA -9.9% · EPA -4.99]
  • Las Vegas Raiders (Q1 46:06) — (1:06) 28-L.Murray right end for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +7.1% · EPA +1.14]
  • Houston Texans (Q2 32:00) — (2:00) (Shotgun) 17-B.Osweiler pass deep right to 10-D.Hopkins ran ob at LV 3 for 38 yards. [WPA +6.9% · EPA +3.07]
  • Houston Texans (Q1 59:22) — (14:22) (Shotgun) 17-B.Osweiler pass short right to 84-R.Griffin to HOU 38 for 10 yards (53-M.Smith). [WPA +6.3% · EPA +1.83]
  • Las Vegas Raiders (Q2 44:19) — (14:19) 8-C.Cook pass short middle to 15-M.Crabtree to HOU 43 for 14 yards (24-J.Joseph). [WPA +5.8% · EPA +0.86]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Las Vegas Raiders (Q1 51:29) — (6:29) (Shotgun) 8-C.Cook pass short left intended for 28-L.Murray INTERCEPTED by 90-J.Clowney at LV 12. 90-J.Clowney to LV 9 for 3 yards (28-L.Murray). PENALTY on LV-71-M.Watson, Unnecessary Roughnes [WPA -9.9% · EPA -4.99]
  • Las Vegas Raiders (Q4 4:40) — (4:40) (Shotgun) 8-C.Cook pass deep middle intended for 89-A.Cooper INTERCEPTED by 43-C.Moore at HOU 26. 43-C.Moore pushed ob at HOU 46 for 20 yards (28-L.Murray). [WPA -2.7% · EPA -3.80]
  • Houston Texans (Q2 32:00) — (2:00) (Shotgun) 17-B.Osweiler pass deep right to 10-D.Hopkins ran ob at LV 3 for 38 yards. [WPA +6.9% · EPA +3.07]
  • Las Vegas Raiders (Q3 24:46) — (9:46) (Shotgun) 8-C.Cook sacked at LV 48 for -10 yards (59-W.Mercilus). [WPA -2.9% · EPA -3.03]

Quarterback report card

C.Cook led all passers in efficiency for Las Vegas Raiders, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • C.Cook (Las Vegas Raiders) · 52 dropbacks · 34.6% completion · -24.9% CPOE · -0.40 EPA/play · -20.67 total EPA
  • B.Osweiler (Houston Texans) · 32 dropbacks · 43.8% completion · -11.1% CPOE · +0.16 EPA/play · +5.11 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatLas Vegas RaidersHouston Texans
Offensive EPA/play-0.268-0.119
Offensive success rate31.9%36.8%
Pass EPA/play-0.398+0.160
Rush EPA/play-0.130-0.275
Defensive EPA/play+0.119+0.268
Defensive success rate63.2%68.1%

By the numbers

Houston Texans held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (-0.12 vs -0.27), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

  • Houston Texans: 16 drives, -11.28 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
  • Las Vegas Raiders: 15 drives, -25.18 total EPA, 2 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Houston Texans leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • B. Osweiler (Houston Texans) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • C. Cook (LV) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
  • B. Osweiler (HOU) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Houston Texans FG (+3) — Q1 53:04 · LV 32 · Score 0-3
    (8:04) 8-N.Novak 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-9-S.Lechler.
  2. Houston Texans TD (+6) — Q1 51:20 · LV 4 · Score 0-9
    (6:20) 26-L.Miller left end for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  3. Houston Texans XP (+1) — Q1 51:16 · LV 15 · Score 0-10
    8-N.Novak extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-9-S.Lechler.
  4. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q1 46:06 · HOU 2 · Score 6-10
    (1:06) 28-L.Murray right end for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  5. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q1 46:01 · HOU 15 · Score 7-10
    11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-7-M.King.
  6. Houston Texans FG (+3) — Q2 38:48 · LV 20 · Score 7-13
    (8:48) 8-N.Novak 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-9-S.Lechler.
  7. Houston Texans TD (+6) — Q2 31:24 · LV 2 · Score 7-19
    (1:24) (Shotgun) 17-B.Osweiler pass short left to 10-D.Hopkins for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  8. Houston Texans XP (+1) — Q2 31:20 · LV 15 · Score 7-20
    8-N.Novak extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-9-S.Lechler.
  9. Houston Texans TD (+6) — Q4 12:34 · LV 1 · Score 7-26
    (12:34) 17-B.Osweiler scrambles right end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
  10. Houston Texans XP (+1) — Q4 12:28 · LV 15 · Score 7-27
    8-N.Novak extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-9-S.Lechler.
  11. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q4 8:14 · HOU 8 · Score 13-27
    (8:14) (Shotgun) 8-C.Cook pass short middle to 18-A.Holmes for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  12. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q4 8:10 · HOU 15 · Score 14-27
    11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-7-M.King.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Las Vegas Raiders vs Houston Texans?

The Houston Texans beat the Las Vegas Raiders 27-14 in Week 18, 2016 on 2017-01-07.

What was the final score of Las Vegas Raiders vs Houston Texans?

The final score was Las Vegas Raiders 14, Houston Texans 27 (LV 14-27 HOU) in Week 18, 2016 on 2017-01-07.

What was the score by quarter in Las Vegas Raiders vs Houston Texans?

Q1: Las Vegas Raiders 7, Houston Texans 10; Q2: Las Vegas Raiders 0, Houston Texans 10; Q4: Las Vegas Raiders 7, Houston Texans 7; Final: Las Vegas Raiders 14, Houston Texans 27.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Las Vegas Raiders vs Houston Texans?

Houston Texans touchdown — L. Miller (Q1 51:20) Las Vegas Raiders touchdown — L. Murray (Q1 46:06) Houston Texans touchdown — D. Hopkins (B. Osweiler pass) (Q2 31:24) Houston Texans touchdown — B. Osweiler (Q4 12:34) Las Vegas Raiders touchdown — A. Holmes (C. Cook pass) (Q4 8:14) Houston Texans field goal — N. Novak (Q1 53:04, 3 pts) Houston Texans field goal — N. Novak (Q2 38:48, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Las Vegas Raiders vs Houston Texans?

C. Cook (Las Vegas Raiders), 34.6% completion, -24.9% CPOE, -0.40 EPA per dropback, -20.67 total passing EPA. B. Osweiler (Houston Texans), 43.8% completion, -11.1% CPOE, +0.16 EPA per dropback, +5.11 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Las Vegas Raiders vs Houston Texans?

B. Osweiler (Houston Texans) led the game in total EPA with +5.11 on passing plays. across 32 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-4.99 EPA): (6:29) (Shotgun) 8-C.Cook pass short left intended for 28-L.Murray INTERCEPTED by 90-J.Clowney at LV 12. 90-J.Clowney to LV 9 for 3 yards (28-L.Murray). PENALTY on LV-71-M.Watson, . The biggest win-probability swing was -9.9%.

Season records after this game

Las Vegas Raiders

Entered 12-4 Now 12-5 L

Houston Texans

Entered 9-7 Now 10-7 W