FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 15 · December 17, 2020 · 12 min read

Los Angeles Chargers vs. Las Vegas Raiders: 2020 Week 15 Recap

Chargers defeat Raiders 30–27 in Week 15

Justin Herbert led Fantasy Impact as Chargers prevailed in a 30–27 Week 15 finish.

Los Angeles Chargers 30 5–9 Winner
Final 30–27
Las Vegas Raiders 27 7–7
Winner
Los Angeles Chargers
Final score
30–27
Halftime
Los Angeles Chargers 17–10 Las Vegas Raiders
Top passer
Justin Herbert
FantasyHQ MVP
Justin Herbert
Game date
December 17, 2020

Top fantasy performers · Chargers

  • Justin Herbert
    Justin Herbert 22/37 · 307 YDS · 2 TD +27.3 Fantasy Impact
  • Hunter Henry
    Hunter Henry 5 REC · 65 YDS · 1 TD +6.8 Fantasy Impact
  • Ty Johnson
    Ty Johnson 3 REC · 61 YDS · 1 TD +6.0 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Raiders

  • Marcus Mariota
    Marcus Mariota 17/32 · 244 YDS · 2 TD +16.2 Fantasy Impact
  • Darren Waller
    Darren Waller 9 REC · 150 YDS · 1 TD +13.5 Fantasy Impact
  • Nelson Agholor
    Nelson Agholor 4 REC · 49 YDS +3.6 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Los Angeles Chargers defeated the Las Vegas Raiders 30–27 in Week 15 of the 2020 NFL season on 2020-12-17, a matchup that came down to the wire. The decisive swing (+54.7% win probability) came in overtime when Las Vegas Raiders swung the momentum.

In Week 15 of the 2020 NFL season on 2020-12-17, the Los Angeles Chargers took care of business against the Las Vegas Raiders, pulling away with a 30–27 final that came down to the wire.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 17 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

J. Herbert (Los Angeles Chargers) paced the passing game, with +27.34 total EPA, and +5.7% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, J. Herbert (Los Angeles Chargers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +27.34 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+54.7% win probability) landed in overtime when Las Vegas Raiders changed the game: (3:22) 2-D.Carlson 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTT
Los Angeles Chargers71070630
Las Vegas Raiders3777327

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 J. Herbert · Los Angeles Chargers · Passing · +27.34 total EPA · 37 snaps · +0.74 EPA/play
  2. 2 M. Mariota · Las Vegas Raiders · Passing · +16.24 total EPA · 32 snaps · +0.51 EPA/play
  3. 3 D. Waller · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +13.54 total EPA · 12 snaps · +1.13 EPA/play
  4. 4 H. Henry · Los Angeles Chargers · Receiving · +6.83 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.98 EPA/play
  5. 5 Ty. Johnson · Los Angeles Chargers · Receiving · +5.97 total EPA · 5 snaps · +1.19 EPA/play
  6. 6 J. Guyton · Los Angeles Chargers · Receiving · +5.02 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.84 EPA/play
  7. 7 M. Mariota · Las Vegas Raiders · Rushing · +4.88 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.98 EPA/play
  8. 8 N. Agholor · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +3.64 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.46 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

J. Herbert — LAC · Passing

J. Herbert posted the highest total EPA (+27.34) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Los Angeles Chargers's efficiency. Across 37 counted snaps, they averaged +0.74 EPA per play.

The signature play (-7.42 EPA) came from Las Vegas Raiders: (2:05) (Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota pass short middle intended for 12-Z.Jones INTERCEPTED by 25-C.Harris at LAC 16. 25-C.Harris to LV 33 for 51 yards (8-M.Mariota).

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Los Angeles Chargers — H. Henry (J. Herbert pass) (Q1 51:02)
  • Las Vegas Raiders — D. Waller (M. Mariota pass) (Q2 39:26)
  • Los Angeles Chargers — J. Herbert (Q2 30:25)
  • Las Vegas Raiders — J. Jacobs (Q3 22:21)
  • Los Angeles Chargers — K. Ballage (Q3 17:12)
  • Las Vegas Raiders — M. Mariota (Q4 6:23)
  • Los Angeles Chargers — J. Herbert (OT 1:32)

Field goals

  • Las Vegas Raiders — D. Carlson (Q1 46:00)
  • Los Angeles Chargers — M. Badgley (Q2 31:56)
  • Las Vegas Raiders — D. Carlson (OT 3:22)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Los Angeles Chargers won the period 7–3. Los Angeles Chargers found the end zone from the LV 10 (Q1 51:02) — (6:02) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass short middle to 86-H.Henry for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Los Angeles Chargers added 1 points from the LV 15 (Q1 50:56) — 4-M.Badgley extra point is GOOD, Center-45-C.Mazza, Holder-1-T.Long.; Las Vegas Raiders connected on a field goal from the LAC 5 (Q1 46:00) — (1:00) 2-D.Carlson 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole..

The second quarter: Los Angeles Chargers won the period 10–7. Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the LAC 35 (Q2 39:26) — (9:26) 8-M.Mariota pass deep left to 83-D.Waller for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the LAC 15 (Q2 39:19) — 2-D.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole.; Los Angeles Chargers connected on a field goal from the LV 4 (Q2 31:56) — (1:56) 4-M.Badgley 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-C.Mazza, Holder-1-T.Long.; Los Angeles Chargers found the end zone from the LV 26 (Q2 30:25) — (:25) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass deep right to 83-Ty.Johnson for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Los Angeles Chargers added 1 points from the LV 15 (Q2 30:19) — 4-M.Badgley extra point is GOOD, Center-45-C.Mazza, Holder-1-T.Long..

The third quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the LAC 1 (Q3 22:21) — (7:21) 28-J.Jacobs up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the LAC 15 (Q3 22:18) — 2-D.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole.; Los Angeles Chargers found the end zone from the LV 1 (Q3 17:12) — (2:12) 31-K.Ballage right guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Los Angeles Chargers added 1 points from the LV 15 (Q3 17:08) — 4-M.Badgley extra point is GOOD, Center-45-C.Mazza, Holder-1-T.Long..

The fourth quarter: Las Vegas Raiders won the period 7–0. Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the LAC 2 (Q4 6:23) — (6:23) (Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota scrambles right end for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the LAC 15 (Q4 6:16) — 2-D.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole..

Overtime: Los Angeles Chargers won the period 6–3. Las Vegas Raiders connected on a field goal from the LAC 5 (OT 3:22) — (3:22) 2-D.Carlson 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole.; Los Angeles Chargers found the end zone from the LV 1 (OT 1:32) — (1:32) 64-C.Toner reported in as eligible. 10-J.Herbert left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Las Vegas Raiders (OT 3:22) — (3:22) 2-D.Carlson 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole. [WPA +54.7% · EPA +0.03]
  • Las Vegas Raiders (Q4 2:05) — (2:05) (Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota pass short middle intended for 12-Z.Jones INTERCEPTED by 25-C.Harris at LAC 16. 25-C.Harris to LV 33 for 51 yards (8-M.Mariota). [WPA -45.0% · EPA -7.42]
  • Los Angeles Chargers (OT 3:05) — (3:05) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass deep middle to 15-J.Guyton to LV 2 for 53 yards (22-K.Nixon) [90-J.Hankins]. [WPA +42.4% · EPA +3.69]
  • Las Vegas Raiders (OT 3:26) — (3:26) 8-M.Mariota pass incomplete short right to 45-A.Ingold (98-I.Rochell). [WPA -37.0% · EPA -1.19]
  • Las Vegas Raiders (OT 3:47) — (3:47) 28-J.Jacobs right guard to LAC 5 for -2 yards (43-M.Davis). [WPA -30.1% · EPA -1.53]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Las Vegas Raiders (Q4 2:05) — (2:05) (Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota pass short middle intended for 12-Z.Jones INTERCEPTED by 25-C.Harris at LAC 16. 25-C.Harris to LV 33 for 51 yards (8-M.Mariota). [WPA -45.0% · EPA -7.42]
  • Las Vegas Raiders (Q2 39:26) — (9:26) 8-M.Mariota pass deep left to 83-D.Waller for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +12.8% · EPA +3.71]
  • Los Angeles Chargers (OT 3:05) — (3:05) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass deep middle to 15-J.Guyton to LV 2 for 53 yards (22-K.Nixon) [90-J.Hankins]. [WPA +42.4% · EPA +3.69]
  • Los Angeles Chargers (Q2 30:25) — (:25) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass deep right to 83-Ty.Johnson for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +12.2% · EPA +3.69]

Quarterback report card

J.Herbert led all passers in efficiency for Los Angeles Chargers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • J.Herbert (Los Angeles Chargers) · 37 dropbacks · 59.5% completion · +5.7% CPOE · +0.74 EPA/play · +27.34 total EPA
  • M.Mariota (Las Vegas Raiders) · 32 dropbacks · 53.1% completion · -2.7% CPOE · +0.51 EPA/play · +16.24 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatLos Angeles ChargersLas Vegas Raiders
Offensive EPA/play+0.143+0.080
Offensive success rate45.8%46.2%
Pass EPA/play+0.739+0.419
Rush EPA/play-0.197-0.165
Defensive EPA/play-0.080-0.143
Defensive success rate53.8%54.2%

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Los Angeles Chargers generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.14 vs +0.08), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

  • Los Angeles Chargers: 9 drives, +11.84 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
  • Las Vegas Raiders: 11 drives, +7.29 total EPA, 5 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Los Angeles Chargers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
  • J. Herbert (Los Angeles Chargers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • J. Herbert (LAC) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Los Angeles Chargers TD (+6) — Q1 51:02 · LV 10 · Score 6-0
    (6:02) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass short middle to 86-H.Henry for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Los Angeles Chargers XP (+1) — Q1 50:56 · LV 15 · Score 7-0
    4-M.Badgley extra point is GOOD, Center-45-C.Mazza, Holder-1-T.Long.
  3. Las Vegas Raiders FG (+3) — Q1 46:00 · LAC 5 · Score 7-3
    (1:00) 2-D.Carlson 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole.
  4. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q2 39:26 · LAC 35 · Score 7-9
    (9:26) 8-M.Mariota pass deep left to 83-D.Waller for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  5. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q2 39:19 · LAC 15 · Score 7-10
    2-D.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole.
  6. Los Angeles Chargers FG (+3) — Q2 31:56 · LV 4 · Score 10-10
    (1:56) 4-M.Badgley 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-C.Mazza, Holder-1-T.Long.
  7. Los Angeles Chargers TD (+6) — Q2 30:25 · LV 26 · Score 16-10
    (:25) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass deep right to 83-Ty.Johnson for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  8. Los Angeles Chargers XP (+1) — Q2 30:19 · LV 15 · Score 17-10
    4-M.Badgley extra point is GOOD, Center-45-C.Mazza, Holder-1-T.Long.
  9. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q3 22:21 · LAC 1 · Score 17-16
    (7:21) 28-J.Jacobs up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
  10. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q3 22:18 · LAC 15 · Score 17-17
    2-D.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole.
  11. Los Angeles Chargers TD (+6) — Q3 17:12 · LV 1 · Score 23-17
    (2:12) 31-K.Ballage right guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
  12. Los Angeles Chargers XP (+1) — Q3 17:08 · LV 15 · Score 24-17
    4-M.Badgley extra point is GOOD, Center-45-C.Mazza, Holder-1-T.Long.
  13. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q4 6:23 · LAC 2 · Score 24-23
    (6:23) (Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota scrambles right end for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  14. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q4 6:16 · LAC 15 · Score 24-24
    2-D.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole.
  15. Las Vegas Raiders FG (+3) — OT 3:22 · LAC 5 · Score 24-27
    (3:22) 2-D.Carlson 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole.
  16. Los Angeles Chargers TD (+6) — OT 1:32 · LV 1 · Score 30-27
    (1:32) 64-C.Toner reported in as eligible. 10-J.Herbert left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Los Angeles Chargers vs Las Vegas Raiders?

The Los Angeles Chargers beat the Las Vegas Raiders 30-27 in Week 15, 2020 on 2020-12-17.

What was the final score of Los Angeles Chargers vs Las Vegas Raiders?

The final score was Los Angeles Chargers 30, Las Vegas Raiders 27 (LAC 30-27 LV) in Week 15, 2020 on 2020-12-17.

What was the score by quarter in Los Angeles Chargers vs Las Vegas Raiders?

Q1: Los Angeles Chargers 7, Las Vegas Raiders 3; Q2: Los Angeles Chargers 10, Las Vegas Raiders 7; Q3: Los Angeles Chargers 7, Las Vegas Raiders 7; Q4: Los Angeles Chargers 0, Las Vegas Raiders 7; Q5: Los Angeles Chargers 6, Las Vegas Raiders 3; Final: Los Angeles Chargers 30, Las Vegas Raiders 27.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Los Angeles Chargers vs Las Vegas Raiders?

Los Angeles Chargers touchdown — H. Henry (J. Herbert pass) (Q1 51:02) Las Vegas Raiders touchdown — D. Waller (M. Mariota pass) (Q2 39:26) Los Angeles Chargers touchdown — J. Herbert (Q2 30:25) Las Vegas Raiders touchdown — J. Jacobs (Q3 22:21) Los Angeles Chargers touchdown — K. Ballage (Q3 17:12) Las Vegas Raiders touchdown — M. Mariota (Q4 6:23) Los Angeles Chargers touchdown — J. Herbert (OT 1:32) Las Vegas Raiders field goal — D. Carlson (Q1 46:00, 3 pts) Los Angeles Chargers field goal — M. Badgley (Q2 31:56, 3 pts) Las Vegas Raiders field goal — D. Carlson (OT 3:22, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Los Angeles Chargers vs Las Vegas Raiders?

J. Herbert (Los Angeles Chargers), 59.5% completion, +5.7% CPOE, +0.74 EPA per dropback, +27.34 total passing EPA. M. Mariota (Las Vegas Raiders), 53.1% completion, -2.7% CPOE, +0.51 EPA per dropback, +16.24 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Los Angeles Chargers vs Las Vegas Raiders?

J. Herbert (Los Angeles Chargers) led the game in total EPA with +27.34 on passing plays. across 37 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-7.42 EPA): (2:05) (Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota pass short middle intended for 12-Z.Jones INTERCEPTED by 25-C.Harris at LAC 16. 25-C.Harris to LV 33 for 51 yards (8-M.Mariota).. The biggest win-probability swing was +54.7%.

Was Los Angeles Chargers vs Las Vegas Raiders a close game?

Yes — the margin was 3 points. Los Angeles Chargers won 30-27 in a game that came down to the wire.

Season records after this game

Los Angeles Chargers

Entered 4-9 Now 5-9 W

Las Vegas Raiders

Entered 7-6 Now 7-7 L