FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 17 · January 3, 2016 · 11 min read

Los Angeles Rams vs. San Francisco 49ers: 2015 Week 17 Recap

49ers defeat Rams 19–16 in Week 17

Case Keenum led Fantasy Impact as 49ers prevailed in a 16–19 Week 17 finish.

Los Angeles Rams 16 7–9
Final 16–19
San Francisco 49ers 19 5–11 Winner
Winner
San Francisco 49ers
Final score
16–19
Halftime
Los Angeles Rams 16–10 San Francisco 49ers
Top passer
Blaine Gabbert
FantasyHQ MVP
Case Keenum
Game date
January 3, 2016

Top fantasy performers · Rams

  • Case Keenum
    Case Keenum 22/38 · 231 YDS +6.8 Fantasy Impact
  • K.J. Britt
    K.J. Britt 3 REC · 81 YDS +4.8 Fantasy Impact
  • B.Cunningham 3 REC · 34 YDS +2.6 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · 49ers

  • Demone Harris
    Demone Harris 8 REC · 86 YDS +4.1 Fantasy Impact
  • B.Ellington 1 REC · 44 YDS +3.2 Fantasy Impact
  • A.Boldin 5 REC · 71 YDS · 1 TD +2.3 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The San Francisco 49ers defeated the Los Angeles Rams 19–16 in Week 17 of the 2015 NFL season on 2016-01-03, a matchup that came down to the wire. The decisive swing (+32.6% win probability) came in overtime when San Francisco 49ers swung the momentum.

In Week 17 of the 2015 NFL season on 2016-01-03, the San Francisco 49ers took care of business against the Los Angeles Rams, pulling away with a 19–16 final that came down to the wire.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 23 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

B. Gabbert (San Francisco 49ers) paced the passing game, with +0.68 total EPA, and -1.9% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, C. Keenum (Los Angeles Rams) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +6.82 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+32.6% win probability) landed in overtime when San Francisco 49ers changed the game: (4:14) (Shotgun) 2-B.Gabbert pass short right to 11-Q.Patton to LA 5 for 33 yards (97-E.Sims). Caught at LA 40. 35-yds YAC

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTT
Los Angeles Rams31300016
San Francisco 49ers01033319

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 C. Keenum · Los Angeles Rams · Passing · +6.82 total EPA · 38 snaps · +0.18 EPA/play
  2. 2 K. Britt · Los Angeles Rams · Receiving · +4.80 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.96 EPA/play
  3. 3 D. Harris · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +4.12 total EPA · 12 snaps · +0.34 EPA/play
  4. 4 B. Ellington · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +3.23 total EPA · 1 snaps · +3.23 EPA/play
  5. 5 B. Cunningham · Los Angeles Rams · Receiving · +2.57 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.86 EPA/play
  6. 6 A. Boldin · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +2.27 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.28 EPA/play
  7. 7 L. Kendricks · Los Angeles Rams · Receiving · +2.14 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.43 EPA/play
  8. 8 V. McDonald · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +1.64 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.33 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

C. Keenum — LA · Passing

C. Keenum posted the highest total EPA (+6.82) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Los Angeles Rams's efficiency. Across 38 counted snaps, they averaged +0.18 EPA per play.

The signature play (-8.67 EPA) came from San Francisco 49ers: (2:00) (Shotgun) 2-B.Gabbert pass short left intended for 22-M.Davis INTERCEPTED by 97-E.Sims (99-A.Donald) at SF 45. 97-E.Sims to SF 3 for 42 yards (22-M.Davis).

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • San Francisco 49ers — A. Boldin (B. Gabbert pass) (Q2 45:00)
  • Los Angeles Rams — T. Mason (Q2 31:37)

Field goals

  • Los Angeles Rams — G. Zuerlein (Q1 53:16)
  • San Francisco 49ers — P. Dawson (Q2 39:08)
  • Los Angeles Rams — G. Zuerlein (Q2 32:48)
  • Los Angeles Rams — G. Zuerlein (Q2 30:09)
  • San Francisco 49ers — P. Dawson (Q3 24:41)
  • San Francisco 49ers — P. Dawson (Q4 4:33)
  • San Francisco 49ers — P. Dawson (OT 3:31)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Los Angeles Rams won the period 3–0. Los Angeles Rams connected on a field goal from the SF 15 (Q1 53:16) — (8:16) 4-G.Zuerlein 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.McQuaide, Holder-6-J.Hekker..

The second quarter: Los Angeles Rams won the period 13–10. San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the LA 33 (Q2 45:00) — (15:00) (Shotgun) 2-B.Gabbert pass deep left to 81-A.Boldin for 33 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught at LA 15. 15-yds YAC; San Francisco 49ers added 1 points from the LA 15 (Q2 44:52) — 9-P.Dawson extra point is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion.; San Francisco 49ers connected on a field goal from the LA 8 (Q2 39:08) — (9:08) 9-P.Dawson 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion.; Los Angeles Rams connected on a field goal from the SF 14 (Q2 32:48) — (2:48) 4-G.Zuerlein 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.McQuaide, Holder-6-J.Hekker.; Los Angeles Rams found the end zone from the SF 4 (Q2 31:37) — (1:37) 27-T.Mason right end for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Los Angeles Rams added 1 points from the SF 15 (Q2 31:31) — 4-G.Zuerlein extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.McQuaide, Holder-6-J.Hekker.; Los Angeles Rams connected on a field goal from the SF 26 (Q2 30:09) — (:09) 4-G.Zuerlein 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.McQuaide, Holder-6-J.Hekker..

The third quarter: San Francisco 49ers won the period 3–0. San Francisco 49ers connected on a field goal from the LA 10 (Q3 24:41) — (9:41) 9-P.Dawson 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion..

The fourth quarter: San Francisco 49ers won the period 3–0. San Francisco 49ers connected on a field goal from the LA 20 (Q4 4:33) — (4:33) 9-P.Dawson 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion..

Overtime: San Francisco 49ers won the period 3–0. San Francisco 49ers connected on a field goal from the LA 5 (OT 3:31) — (3:31) 9-P.Dawson 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • San Francisco 49ers (OT 4:14) — (4:14) (Shotgun) 2-B.Gabbert pass short right to 11-Q.Patton to LA 5 for 33 yards (97-E.Sims). Caught at LA 40. 35-yds YAC [WPA +32.6% · EPA +0.09]
  • San Francisco 49ers (Q2 32:00) — (2:00) (Shotgun) 2-B.Gabbert pass short left intended for 22-M.Davis INTERCEPTED by 97-E.Sims (99-A.Donald) at SF 45. 97-E.Sims to SF 3 for 42 yards (22-M.Davis). [WPA -27.4% · EPA -8.67]
  • San Francisco 49ers (OT 13:58) — (13:58) (Shotgun) 2-B.Gabbert pass short left to 89-V.McDonald to 50 for 24 yards (23-R.McLeod). Caught at SF 26. 24-yds YAC [WPA +24.9% · EPA +2.53]
  • San Francisco 49ers (Q4 4:43) — (4:43) 2-B.Gabbert FUMBLES (Aborted) at LA 8, recovered by SF-32-D.Harris at LA 20. 32-D.Harris to LA 20 for no gain (97-E.Sims). Penalty on LA-21-J.Jenkins, Unnecessary Roughness, offsetting. Penalty [WPA -20.0% · EPA -2.52]
  • San Francisco 49ers (Q4 1:39) — (1:39) 5-B.Pinion punts 37 yards to end zone, Center-86-K.Nelson, Touchback. [WPA -19.0% · EPA -1.86]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • San Francisco 49ers (Q2 32:00) — (2:00) (Shotgun) 2-B.Gabbert pass short left intended for 22-M.Davis INTERCEPTED by 97-E.Sims (99-A.Donald) at SF 45. 97-E.Sims to SF 3 for 42 yards (22-M.Davis). [WPA -27.4% · EPA -8.67]
  • Los Angeles Rams (Q1 55:26) — (10:26) 17-C.Keenum pass deep right to 18-K.Britt to SF 33 for 54 yards (26-T.Brock). Caught at SF 39. 6-yds YAC [WPA +11.4% · EPA +3.88]
  • San Francisco 49ers (Q2 45:00) — (15:00) (Shotgun) 2-B.Gabbert pass deep left to 81-A.Boldin for 33 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught at LA 15. 15-yds YAC [WPA +10.8% · EPA +3.77]
  • Los Angeles Rams (Q3 16:18) — (1:18) 4-G.Zuerlein 52 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-44-J.McQuaide, Holder-6-J.Hekker. [WPA -7.2% · EPA -3.55]

Quarterback report card

B.Gabbert led all passers in efficiency for San Francisco 49ers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • B.Gabbert (San Francisco 49ers) · 48 dropbacks · 58.3% completion · -1.9% CPOE · +0.01 EPA/play · +0.68 total EPA
  • C.Keenum (Los Angeles Rams) · 38 dropbacks · 57.9% completion · -4.1% CPOE · +0.18 EPA/play · +6.82 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatLos Angeles RamsSan Francisco 49ers
Offensive EPA/play-0.080-0.064
Offensive success rate44.0%35.9%
Pass EPA/play+0.091+0.014
Rush EPA/play-0.106-0.261
Defensive EPA/play+0.064+0.080
Defensive success rate64.1%56.0%

By the numbers

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Los Angeles Rams -0.08, San Francisco 49ers -0.06) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

  • Los Angeles Rams: 12 drives, -7.31 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
  • San Francisco 49ers: 14 drives, -6.58 total EPA, 5 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • San Francisco 49ers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
  • C. Keenum (Los Angeles Rams) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • C. Keenum (LA) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Los Angeles Rams FG (+3) — Q1 53:16 · SF 15 · Score 3-0
    (8:16) 4-G.Zuerlein 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.McQuaide, Holder-6-J.Hekker.
  2. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q2 45:00 · LA 33 · Score 3-6
    (15:00) (Shotgun) 2-B.Gabbert pass deep left to 81-A.Boldin for 33 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught at LA 15. 15-yds YAC
  3. San Francisco 49ers XP (+1) — Q2 44:52 · LA 15 · Score 3-7
    9-P.Dawson extra point is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion.
  4. San Francisco 49ers FG (+3) — Q2 39:08 · LA 8 · Score 3-10
    (9:08) 9-P.Dawson 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion.
  5. Los Angeles Rams FG (+3) — Q2 32:48 · SF 14 · Score 6-10
    (2:48) 4-G.Zuerlein 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.McQuaide, Holder-6-J.Hekker.
  6. Los Angeles Rams TD (+6) — Q2 31:37 · SF 4 · Score 12-10
    (1:37) 27-T.Mason right end for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  7. Los Angeles Rams XP (+1) — Q2 31:31 · SF 15 · Score 13-10
    4-G.Zuerlein extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.McQuaide, Holder-6-J.Hekker.
  8. Los Angeles Rams FG (+3) — Q2 30:09 · SF 26 · Score 16-10
    (:09) 4-G.Zuerlein 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.McQuaide, Holder-6-J.Hekker.
  9. San Francisco 49ers FG (+3) — Q3 24:41 · LA 10 · Score 16-13
    (9:41) 9-P.Dawson 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion.
  10. San Francisco 49ers FG (+3) — Q4 4:33 · LA 20 · Score 16-16
    (4:33) 9-P.Dawson 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion.
  11. San Francisco 49ers FG (+3) — OT 3:31 · LA 5 · Score 16-19
    (3:31) 9-P.Dawson 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers?

The San Francisco 49ers beat the Los Angeles Rams 19-16 in Week 17, 2015 on 2016-01-03.

What was the final score of Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers?

The final score was Los Angeles Rams 16, San Francisco 49ers 19 (LA 16-19 SF) in Week 17, 2015 on 2016-01-03.

What was the score by quarter in Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers?

Q1: Los Angeles Rams 3, San Francisco 49ers 0; Q2: Los Angeles Rams 13, San Francisco 49ers 10; Q3: Los Angeles Rams 0, San Francisco 49ers 3; Q4: Los Angeles Rams 0, San Francisco 49ers 3; Q5: Los Angeles Rams 0, San Francisco 49ers 3; Final: Los Angeles Rams 16, San Francisco 49ers 19.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers?

San Francisco 49ers touchdown — A. Boldin (B. Gabbert pass) (Q2 45:00) Los Angeles Rams touchdown — T. Mason (Q2 31:37) Los Angeles Rams field goal — G. Zuerlein (Q1 53:16, 3 pts) San Francisco 49ers field goal — P. Dawson (Q2 39:08, 3 pts) Los Angeles Rams field goal — G. Zuerlein (Q2 32:48, 3 pts) Los Angeles Rams field goal — G. Zuerlein (Q2 30:09, 3 pts) San Francisco 49ers field goal — P. Dawson (Q3 24:41, 3 pts) San Francisco 49ers field goal — P. Dawson (Q4 4:33, 3 pts) San Francisco 49ers field goal — P. Dawson (OT 3:31, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers?

B. Gabbert (San Francisco 49ers), 58.3% completion, -1.9% CPOE, +0.01 EPA per dropback, +0.68 total passing EPA. C. Keenum (Los Angeles Rams), 57.9% completion, -4.1% CPOE, +0.18 EPA per dropback, +6.82 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers?

C. Keenum (Los Angeles Rams) led the game in total EPA with +6.82 on passing plays. across 38 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-8.67 EPA): (2:00) (Shotgun) 2-B.Gabbert pass short left intended for 22-M.Davis INTERCEPTED by 97-E.Sims (99-A.Donald) at SF 45. 97-E.Sims to SF 3 for 42 yards (22-M.Davis).. The biggest win-probability swing was +32.6%.

Was Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers a close game?

Yes — the margin was 3 points. San Francisco 49ers won 19-16 in a game that came down to the wire.

Season records after this game

Los Angeles Rams

Entered 7-8 Now 7-9 L

San Francisco 49ers

Entered 4-11 Now 5-11 W