FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 4 · October 1, 2023 · 12 min read

Los Angeles Rams vs. Indianapolis Colts: 2023 Week 4 Recap

Rams defeat Colts 29–23 in Week 4

Matthew Stafford led Fantasy Impact as Rams prevailed in a 29–23 Week 4 finish.

Los Angeles Rams 29 2–2 Winner
Final 29–23
Indianapolis Colts 23 2–2
Winner
Los Angeles Rams
Final score
29–23
Halftime
Los Angeles Rams 20–0 Indianapolis Colts
Top passer
Matthew Stafford
FantasyHQ MVP
Matthew Stafford
Game date
October 1, 2023

Top fantasy performers · Rams

  • Matthew Stafford
    Matthew Stafford 27/47 · 317 YDS · 1 TD +15.0 Fantasy Impact
  • Puka Nacua
    Puka Nacua 9 REC · 163 YDS · 1 TD +14.2 Fantasy Impact
  • Van Jefferson
    Van Jefferson 2 REC · 29 YDS +3.8 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Colts

  • Anthony Richardson
    Anthony Richardson 11/35 · 221 YDS · 2 TD +11.2 Fantasy Impact
  • Andrew Ogletree
    Andrew Ogletree 3 REC · 48 YDS · 1 TD +5.4 Fantasy Impact
  • Mo Alie-Cox
    Mo Alie-Cox 1 REC · 35 YDS · 1 TD +3.2 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Los Angeles Rams defeated the Indianapolis Colts 29–23 in Week 4 of the 2023 NFL season on 2023-10-01, a matchup that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half. The decisive swing (-17.2% win probability) came in the fourth quarter when Los Angeles Rams swung the momentum.

In Week 4 of the 2023 NFL season on 2023-10-01, the Los Angeles Rams took care of business against the Indianapolis Colts, pulling away with a 29–23 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 17 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

M. Stafford (Los Angeles Rams) paced the passing game, with +14.97 total EPA, and +1.6% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, M. Stafford (Los Angeles Rams) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +14.97 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-17.2% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Los Angeles Rams changed the game: (:11) 42-E.Evans punts 35 yards to IND 18, Center-47-A.Ward, fair catch by 6-I.McKenzie.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTT
Los Angeles Rams14630629
Indianapolis Colts00817023

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 M. Stafford · Los Angeles Rams · Passing · +14.97 total EPA · 47 snaps · +0.32 EPA/play
  2. 2 P. Nacua · Los Angeles Rams · Receiving · +14.19 total EPA · 10 snaps · +1.42 EPA/play
  3. 3 A. Richardson · Indianapolis Colts · Passing · +11.19 total EPA · 35 snaps · +0.32 EPA/play
  4. 4 A. Ogletree · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +5.37 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.34 EPA/play
  5. 5 V. Jefferson · Los Angeles Rams · Receiving · +3.82 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.27 EPA/play
  6. 6 M. Alie-Cox · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +3.16 total EPA · 1 snaps · +3.16 EPA/play
  7. 7 A. Pierce · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +2.90 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.45 EPA/play
  8. 8 T. Higbee · Los Angeles Rams · Receiving · +1.30 total EPA · 11 snaps · +0.12 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

M. Stafford — LA · Passing

M. Stafford posted the highest total EPA (+14.97) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Los Angeles Rams's efficiency. Across 47 counted snaps, they averaged +0.32 EPA per play.

The signature play (-4.57 EPA) came from Indianapolis Colts: (2:41) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 5-A.Richardson right tackle to LA 40 for 8 yards (53-E.Jones, 4-J.Fuller). FUMBLES (4-J.Fuller), RECOVERED by LA-44-A.Witherspoon at LA 40. LA-44-A.Witherspoon was injured during the play.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Los Angeles Rams — K. Williams (Q1 56:38)
  • Los Angeles Rams — K. Williams (Q1 48:43)
  • Indianapolis Colts — M. Alie-Cox (A. Richardson pass) (Q3 20:37)
  • Indianapolis Colts — A. Richardson (Q4 11:49)
  • Indianapolis Colts — A. Ogletree (A. Richardson pass) (Q4 2:00)
  • Los Angeles Rams — P. Nacua (M. Stafford pass) (OT 5:55)

Field goals

  • Los Angeles Rams — B. Maher (Q2 42:56)
  • Los Angeles Rams — B. Maher (Q2 35:53)
  • Los Angeles Rams — B. Maher (Q3 22:22)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Los Angeles Rams won the period 14–0. Los Angeles Rams found the end zone from the IND 3 (Q1 56:38) — (11:38) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 23-K.Williams up the middle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Los Angeles Rams added 1 points from the IND 15 (Q1 56:35) — 8-B.Maher extra point is GOOD, Center-47-A.Ward, Holder-42-E.Evans.; Los Angeles Rams found the end zone from the IND 3 (Q1 48:43) — (3:43) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 23-K.Williams up the middle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Los Angeles Rams added 1 points from the IND 15 (Q1 48:40) — 8-B.Maher extra point is GOOD, Center-47-A.Ward, Holder-42-E.Evans..

The second quarter: Los Angeles Rams won the period 6–0. Los Angeles Rams connected on a field goal from the IND 22 (Q2 42:56) — (12:56) 8-B.Maher 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-A.Ward, Holder-42-E.Evans.; Los Angeles Rams connected on a field goal from the IND 36 (Q2 35:53) — (5:53) 8-B.Maher 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-A.Ward, Holder-42-E.Evans..

The third quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 8–3. Los Angeles Rams connected on a field goal from the IND 32 (Q3 22:22) — (7:22) 8-B.Maher 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-A.Ward, Holder-42-E.Evans.; Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the LA 35 (Q3 20:37); Indianapolis Colts registered a safety from the LA 2 (Q3 20:26) — TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 5-A.Richardson pass to 21-Z.Moss is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS..

The fourth quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 17–0. Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the LA 1 (Q4 11:49) — (11:49) (Shotgun) 5-A.Richardson right guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the LA 15 (Q4 11:45) — 7-M.Gay extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.; Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the LA 5 (Q4 2:00) — (2:00) (Shotgun) 5-A.Richardson pass short right to 85-A.Ogletree for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts registered a safety from the LA 2 (Q4 1:56) — TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 5-A.Richardson pass to 11-M.Pittman is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.; Indianapolis Colts registered a safety from the IND 35 (Q4 1:56) — 7-M.Gay kicks 65 yards from IND 35 to end zone, Touchback..

Overtime: Los Angeles Rams won the period 6–0. Los Angeles Rams found the end zone from the IND 22 (OT 5:55) — (5:55) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short middle to 17-P.Nacua for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Los Angeles Rams (Q4 0:11) — (:11) 42-E.Evans punts 35 yards to IND 18, Center-47-A.Ward, fair catch by 6-I.McKenzie. [WPA -17.2% · EPA -0.23]
  • Indianapolis Colts (Q4 1:19) — (1:19) 8-R.Sanchez punts 45 yards to LA 20, Center-46-L.Rhodes. 81-A.Trammell to LA 28 for 8 yards (43-T.Denbow). [WPA -16.1% · EPA -0.83]
  • Indianapolis Colts (Q4 1:56) — TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 5-A.Richardson pass to 11-M.Pittman is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS. [WPA +15.7% · EPA +1.05]
  • Los Angeles Rams (OT 5:55) — (5:55) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short middle to 17-P.Nacua for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +12.6% · EPA +3.16]
  • Los Angeles Rams (OT 8:34) — (8:34) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short middle to 23-K.Williams to IND 40 for 13 yards (32-J.Blackmon) [51-K.Paye]. [WPA +12.5% · EPA +1.33]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Indianapolis Colts (Q1 47:41) — (2:41) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 5-A.Richardson right tackle to LA 40 for 8 yards (53-E.Jones, 4-J.Fuller). FUMBLES (4-J.Fuller), RECOVERED by LA-44-A.Witherspoon at LA 40. LA-44-A.Witherspoon was injured [WPA -6.7% · EPA -4.57]
  • Indianapolis Colts (Q4 13:49) — (13:49) (Shotgun) 5-A.Richardson pass deep right to 14-A.Pierce to LA 34 for 38 yards (44-A.Witherspoon) [99-A.Donald]. PENALTY on LA-2-R.Yeast, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at LA 34. Pen [WPA +6.3% · EPA +4.16]
  • Los Angeles Rams (Q4 14:20) — (14:20) 8-B.Maher 48 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-47-A.Ward, Holder-42-E.Evans. [WPA -3.5% · EPA -4.06]
  • Los Angeles Rams (Q3 20:23) — (5:23) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep right intended for 5-T.Atwell INTERCEPTED by 23-K.Moore at LA 42. 23-K.Moore to LA 42 for no gain (5-T.Atwell). [WPA -3.9% · EPA -3.74]

Quarterback report card

M.Stafford led all passers in efficiency for Los Angeles Rams, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • M.Stafford (Los Angeles Rams) · 47 dropbacks · 57.4% completion · +1.6% CPOE · +0.32 EPA/play · +14.97 total EPA
  • A.Richardson (Indianapolis Colts) · 35 dropbacks · 31.4% completion · -16.4% CPOE · +0.32 EPA/play · +11.19 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatLos Angeles RamsIndianapolis Colts
Offensive EPA/play+0.093-0.013
Offensive success rate43.0%37.2%
Pass EPA/play+0.319+0.320
Rush EPA/play-0.062-0.303
Defensive EPA/play+0.013-0.093
Defensive success rate62.8%57.0%

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Los Angeles Rams generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.09 vs -0.01), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

  • Indianapolis Colts: 12 drives, -1.00 total EPA, 3 scoring drives
  • Los Angeles Rams: 12 drives, +9.27 total EPA, 6 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Los Angeles Rams leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
  • M. Stafford (Los Angeles Rams) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • A. Richardson (IND) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Los Angeles Rams TD (+6) — Q1 56:38 · IND 3 · Score 6-0
    (11:38) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 23-K.Williams up the middle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Los Angeles Rams XP (+1) — Q1 56:35 · IND 15 · Score 7-0
    8-B.Maher extra point is GOOD, Center-47-A.Ward, Holder-42-E.Evans.
  3. Los Angeles Rams TD (+6) — Q1 48:43 · IND 3 · Score 13-0
    (3:43) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 23-K.Williams up the middle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. Los Angeles Rams XP (+1) — Q1 48:40 · IND 15 · Score 14-0
    8-B.Maher extra point is GOOD, Center-47-A.Ward, Holder-42-E.Evans.
  5. Los Angeles Rams FG (+3) — Q2 42:56 · IND 22 · Score 17-0
    (12:56) 8-B.Maher 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-A.Ward, Holder-42-E.Evans.
  6. Los Angeles Rams FG (+3) — Q2 35:53 · IND 36 · Score 20-0
    (5:53) 8-B.Maher 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-A.Ward, Holder-42-E.Evans.
  7. Los Angeles Rams FG (+3) — Q3 22:22 · IND 32 · Score 23-0
    (7:22) 8-B.Maher 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-A.Ward, Holder-42-E.Evans.
  8. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q3 20:37 · LA 35 · Score 23-6
    (5:37) (Shotgun) 5-A.Richardson pass deep right to 81-M.Alie-Cox for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on LA-44-A.Witherspoon, Defensive Holding, declined.
  9. Indianapolis Colts Safety (+2) — Q3 20:26 · LA 2 · Score 23-8
    TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 5-A.Richardson pass to 21-Z.Moss is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.
  10. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q4 11:49 · LA 1 · Score 23-14
    (11:49) (Shotgun) 5-A.Richardson right guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
  11. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q4 11:45 · LA 15 · Score 23-15
    7-M.Gay extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.
  12. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q4 2:00 · LA 5 · Score 23-21
    (2:00) (Shotgun) 5-A.Richardson pass short right to 85-A.Ogletree for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  13. Indianapolis Colts Safety (+2) — Q4 1:56 · LA 2 · Score 23-23
    TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 5-A.Richardson pass to 11-M.Pittman is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.
  14. Indianapolis Colts Safety (+2) — Q4 1:56 · IND 35 · Score 23-23
    7-M.Gay kicks 65 yards from IND 35 to end zone, Touchback.
  15. Los Angeles Rams TD (+6) — OT 5:55 · IND 22 · Score 29-23
    (5:55) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short middle to 17-P.Nacua for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Los Angeles Rams vs Indianapolis Colts?

The Los Angeles Rams beat the Indianapolis Colts 29-23 in Week 4, 2023 on 2023-10-01.

What was the final score of Los Angeles Rams vs Indianapolis Colts?

The final score was Los Angeles Rams 29, Indianapolis Colts 23 (LA 29-23 IND) in Week 4, 2023 on 2023-10-01.

What was the score by quarter in Los Angeles Rams vs Indianapolis Colts?

Q1: Los Angeles Rams 14, Indianapolis Colts 0; Q2: Los Angeles Rams 6, Indianapolis Colts 0; Q3: Los Angeles Rams 3, Indianapolis Colts 8; Q4: Los Angeles Rams 0, Indianapolis Colts 17; Q5: Los Angeles Rams 6, Indianapolis Colts 0; Final: Los Angeles Rams 29, Indianapolis Colts 23.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Los Angeles Rams vs Indianapolis Colts?

Los Angeles Rams touchdown — K. Williams (Q1 56:38) Los Angeles Rams touchdown — K. Williams (Q1 48:43) Indianapolis Colts touchdown — M. Alie-Cox (A. Richardson pass) (Q3 20:37) Indianapolis Colts touchdown — A. Richardson (Q4 11:49) Indianapolis Colts touchdown — A. Ogletree (A. Richardson pass) (Q4 2:00) Los Angeles Rams touchdown — P. Nacua (M. Stafford pass) (OT 5:55) Los Angeles Rams field goal — B. Maher (Q2 42:56, 3 pts) Los Angeles Rams field goal — B. Maher (Q2 35:53, 3 pts) Los Angeles Rams field goal — B. Maher (Q3 22:22, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Los Angeles Rams vs Indianapolis Colts?

M. Stafford (Los Angeles Rams), 57.4% completion, +1.6% CPOE, +0.32 EPA per dropback, +14.97 total passing EPA. A. Richardson (Indianapolis Colts), 31.4% completion, -16.4% CPOE, +0.32 EPA per dropback, +11.19 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Los Angeles Rams vs Indianapolis Colts?

M. Stafford (Los Angeles Rams) led the game in total EPA with +14.97 on passing plays. across 47 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-4.57 EPA): (2:41) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 5-A.Richardson right tackle to LA 40 for 8 yards (53-E.Jones, 4-J.Fuller). FUMBLES (4-J.Fuller), RECOVERED by LA-44-A.Witherspoon at LA 40. LA-44-A.With. The biggest win-probability swing was -17.2%.

Was Los Angeles Rams vs Indianapolis Colts a close game?

Yes — the margin was 6 points. Los Angeles Rams won 29-23 in a game that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

Season records after this game

Los Angeles Rams

Entered 1-2 Now 2-2 W

Indianapolis Colts

Entered 2-1 Now 2-2 L