Kansas City Chiefs vs. San Francisco 49ers: 2014 Week 5 Recap

Game story

In Week 5 of the 2014 NFL season on 2014-10-05, the San Francisco 49ers took care of business against the Kansas City Chiefs, pulling away with a 22–17 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 13 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

C. Kaepernick (San Francisco 49ers) paced the passing game, with +4.23 total EPA, and -3.2% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, B. Lloyd (San Francisco 49ers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +6.49 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+13.7% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when San Francisco 49ers changed the game: (12:14) (Shotgun) 7-C.Kaepernick pass deep left to 84-B.Lloyd to KC 39 for 29 yards (21-S.Smith). Caught at KC 40. 1-yd YAC

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 B. Lloyd · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +6.49 total EPA · 5 snaps · +1.30 EPA/play
2. 2 J. Hemingway · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +6.14 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.53 EPA/play
3. 3 A. Smith · Kansas City Chiefs · Passing · +4.73 total EPA · 31 snaps · +0.15 EPA/play
4. 4 C. Kaepernick · San Francisco 49ers · Passing · +4.23 total EPA · 34 snaps · +0.12 EPA/play
5. 5 D. Thomas · Kansas City Chiefs · Rushing · +2.31 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.31 EPA/play
6. 6 C. Dahl · San Francisco 49ers · Rushing · +2.19 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.19 EPA/play
7. 7 F. Gore · San Francisco 49ers · Rushing · +2.08 total EPA · 18 snaps · +0.12 EPA/play
8. 8 A. Sherman · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +2.00 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.00 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Kansas City Chiefs — T. Kelce (A. Smith pass) (Q1 53:42)
• San Francisco 49ers — S. Johnson (C. Kaepernick pass) (Q2 30:35)
• Kansas City Chiefs — D. Thomas (Q3 27:05)

Field goals

• San Francisco 49ers — P. Dawson (Q1 49:41)
• Kansas City Chiefs — C. Santos (Q2 42:20)
• San Francisco 49ers — P. Dawson (Q2 39:49)
• San Francisco 49ers — P. Dawson (Q3 21:21)
• San Francisco 49ers — P. Dawson (Q4 8:46)
• San Francisco 49ers — P. Dawson (Q4 2:17)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Kansas City Chiefs won the period 7–3. Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the SF 2 (Q1 53:42) — (8:42) (Shotgun) 11-A.Smith pass short left to 87-T.Kelce for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught at SF 3. 3-yds YAC; Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the SF 2 (Q1 53:37) — 5-C.Santos extra point is GOOD, Center-43-T.Gafford, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.; San Francisco 49ers connected on a field goal from the KC 13 (Q1 49:41) — (4:41) 9-P.Dawson 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-4-A.Lee..

The second quarter: San Francisco 49ers won the period 10–3. Kansas City Chiefs connected on a field goal from the SF 24 (Q2 42:20) — (12:20) 5-C.Santos 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-43-T.Gafford, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.; San Francisco 49ers connected on a field goal from the KC 38 (Q2 39:49) — (9:49) 9-P.Dawson 55 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-4-A.Lee. Penalty on KC, Illegal Formation, declined.; San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the KC 9 (Q2 30:35) — (:35) 7-C.Kaepernick pass short right to 13-S.Johnson for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; San Francisco 49ers added 1 points from the KC 2 (Q2 30:31) — 9-P.Dawson extra point is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-4-A.Lee..

The third quarter: Kansas City Chiefs won the period 7–3. Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the SF 17 (Q3 27:05) — (12:05) 13-D.Thomas left end for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the SF 2 (Q3 26:56) — 5-C.Santos extra point is GOOD, Center-43-T.Gafford, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.; San Francisco 49ers connected on a field goal from the KC 34 (Q3 21:21) — (6:21) 9-P.Dawson 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-4-A.Lee..

The fourth quarter: San Francisco 49ers won the period 6–0. San Francisco 49ers connected on a field goal from the KC 9 (Q4 8:46) — (8:46) 9-P.Dawson 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-4-A.Lee.; San Francisco 49ers connected on a field goal from the KC 12 (Q4 2:17).

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• San Francisco 49ers (Q4 12:14) — (12:14) (Shotgun) 7-C.Kaepernick pass deep left to 84-B.Lloyd to KC 39 for 29 yards (21-S.Smith). Caught at KC 40. 1-yd YAC [WPA +13.7% · EPA +2.85]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q4 2:07) — (2:07) (Shotgun) 11-A.Smith pass deep right intended for 80-A.Fasano INTERCEPTED by 20-P.Cox at KC 43. 20-P.Cox to KC 41 for 2 yards. [WPA -13.6% · EPA -2.42]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q4 7:20) — (7:20) 2-D.Colquitt punts 36 yards to SF 32, Center-43-T.Gafford, downed by KC-59-J.Franklin. [WPA -11.8% · EPA -1.28]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q3 21:21) — (6:21) 9-P.Dawson 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-4-A.Lee. [WPA +10.9% · EPA +2.11]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q3 27:05) — (12:05) 13-D.Thomas left end for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +9.9% · EPA +2.31]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• San Francisco 49ers (Q2 41:29) — (11:29) (Shotgun) 7-C.Kaepernick pass deep right to 84-B.Lloyd ran ob at KC 39 for 38 yards. Caught at KC 41. 2-yds YAC [WPA +6.4% · EPA +3.38]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q4 12:14) — (12:14) (Shotgun) 7-C.Kaepernick pass deep left to 84-B.Lloyd to KC 39 for 29 yards (21-S.Smith). Caught at KC 40. 1-yd YAC [WPA +13.7% · EPA +2.85]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q2 39:49) — (9:49) 9-P.Dawson 55 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-4-A.Lee. Penalty on KC, Illegal Formation, declined. [WPA +7.7% · EPA +2.76]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q1 47:21) — (2:21) (Shotgun) 11-A.Smith pass short right to 42-A.Sherman to KC 36 for 12 yards (35-E.Reid) [55-A.Brooks]. Measurement for 1st Down Caught at KC 35. 1-yd YAC [WPA +6.4% · EPA +2.50]

Quarterback report card

C.Kaepernick led all passers in efficiency for San Francisco 49ers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• C.Kaepernick (San Francisco 49ers) · 34 dropbacks · 41.2% completion · -3.2% CPOE · +0.12 EPA/play · +4.23 total EPA
• A.Smith (Kansas City Chiefs) · 31 dropbacks · 51.6% completion · -11.3% CPOE · +0.15 EPA/play · +4.73 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Kansas City Chiefs +0.07, San Francisco 49ers +0.10) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

• Kansas City Chiefs: 9 drives, +4.50 total EPA, 3 scoring drives
• San Francisco 49ers: 9 drives, +8.83 total EPA, 6 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• San Francisco 49ers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
• B. Lloyd (San Francisco 49ers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• C. Kaepernick (SF) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
• A. Smith (KC) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q1 53:42 · SF 2 · Score 6-0
   (8:42) (Shotgun) 11-A.Smith pass short left to 87-T.Kelce for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught at SF 3. 3-yds YAC
2. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q1 53:37 · SF 2 · Score 7-0
   5-C.Santos extra point is GOOD, Center-43-T.Gafford, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
3. San Francisco 49ers FG (+3) — Q1 49:41 · KC 13 · Score 7-3
   (4:41) 9-P.Dawson 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-4-A.Lee.
4. Kansas City Chiefs FG (+3) — Q2 42:20 · SF 24 · Score 10-3
   (12:20) 5-C.Santos 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-43-T.Gafford, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
5. San Francisco 49ers FG (+3) — Q2 39:49 · KC 38 · Score 10-6
   (9:49) 9-P.Dawson 55 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-4-A.Lee. Penalty on KC, Illegal Formation, declined.
6. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q2 30:35 · KC 9 · Score 10-12
   (:35) 7-C.Kaepernick pass short right to 13-S.Johnson for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
7. San Francisco 49ers XP (+1) — Q2 30:31 · KC 2 · Score 10-13
   9-P.Dawson extra point is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-4-A.Lee.
8. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q3 27:05 · SF 17 · Score 16-13
   (12:05) 13-D.Thomas left end for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
9. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q3 26:56 · SF 2 · Score 17-13
   5-C.Santos extra point is GOOD, Center-43-T.Gafford, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
10. San Francisco 49ers FG (+3) — Q3 21:21 · KC 34 · Score 17-16
    (6:21) 9-P.Dawson 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-4-A.Lee.
11. San Francisco 49ers FG (+3) — Q4 8:46 · KC 9 · Score 17-19
    (8:46) 9-P.Dawson 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-4-A.Lee.
12. San Francisco 49ers FG (+3) — Q4 2:17 · KC 12 · Score 17-22
    (2:17) 9-P.Dawson 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-4-A.Lee. KC-20-C.Owens was injured during the play. KC-23-P.Gaines was injured during t