Kansas City Chiefs vs. New York Jets: 2023 Week 4 Recap

Game story

In Week 4 of the 2023 NFL season on 2023-10-01, the Kansas City Chiefs took care of business against the New York Jets, pulling away with a 23–20 final that came down to the wire.

The highest-scoring period was Q1 with 17 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

Z. Wilson (New York Jets) paced the passing game, with +3.07 total EPA, and +8.0% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, P. Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +7.86 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-23.6% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when New York Jets changed the game: (7:30) (Shotgun) 2-Z.Wilson FUMBLES (Aborted) at NYJ 46, RECOVERED by KC-98-T.Wharton at NYJ 47.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 P. Mahomes · Kansas City Chiefs · Passing · +7.86 total EPA · 39 snaps · +0.20 EPA/play
2. 2 A. Lazard · New York Jets · Receiving · +6.12 total EPA · 3 snaps · +2.04 EPA/play
3. 3 Z. Wilson · New York Jets · Passing · +3.07 total EPA · 43 snaps · +0.07 EPA/play
4. 4 T. Kelce · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +2.76 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.31 EPA/play
5. 5 K. Toney · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +2.38 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.19 EPA/play
6. 6 I. Pacheco · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +2.30 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.77 EPA/play
7. 7 I. Pacheco · Kansas City Chiefs · Rushing · +2.16 total EPA · 20 snaps · +0.11 EPA/play
8. 8 J. Ruckert · New York Jets · Receiving · +1.56 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.78 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Kansas City Chiefs — I. Pacheco (Q1 53:41)
• Kansas City Chiefs — N. Gray (P. Mahomes pass) (Q1 48:32)
• New York Jets — C. Uzomah (Z. Wilson pass) (Q2 36:31)
• New York Jets — A. Lazard (Z. Wilson pass) (Q3 25:44)

Field goals

• Kansas City Chiefs — H. Butker (Q1 56:39)
• New York Jets — G. Zuerlein (Q2 39:53)
• Kansas City Chiefs — H. Butker (Q2 32:18)
• Kansas City Chiefs — H. Butker (Q4 10:54)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Kansas City Chiefs won the period 17–0. Kansas City Chiefs connected on a field goal from the NYJ 18 (Q1 56:39) — (11:39) 7-H.Butker 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend.; Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the NYJ 48 (Q1 53:41) — (8:41) 10-I.Pacheco left tackle for 48 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the NYJ 15 (Q1 53:32) — 7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend.; Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the NYJ 34 (Q1 48:32) — (3:32) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep right to 83-N.Gray for 34 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the NYJ 15 (Q1 48:24) — 7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend..

The second quarter: New York Jets won the period 12–3. New York Jets registered a safety from the NYJ 93 (Q2 43:27); New York Jets connected on a field goal from the KC 13 (Q2 39:53) — (9:53) 9-G.Zuerlein 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-5-T.Morstead.; New York Jets found the end zone from the KC 1 (Q2 36:31) — (6:31) 2-Z.Wilson pass short right to 87-C.Uzomah for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; New York Jets added 1 points from the KC 15 (Q2 36:26) — 9-G.Zuerlein extra point is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-5-T.Morstead.; Kansas City Chiefs connected on a field goal from the NYJ 19 (Q2 32:18) — (2:18) 7-H.Butker 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend..

The third quarter: New York Jets won the period 8–0. New York Jets found the end zone from the KC 10 (Q3 25:44) — (10:44) (Shotgun) 2-Z.Wilson pass short left to 10-A.Lazard for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New York Jets registered a safety from the KC 2 (Q3 25:40) — TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 2-Z.Wilson rushes left end. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS..

The fourth quarter: Kansas City Chiefs won the period 3–0. Kansas City Chiefs connected on a field goal from the NYJ 8 (Q4 10:54) — (10:54) 7-H.Butker 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• New York Jets (Q4 7:30) — (7:30) (Shotgun) 2-Z.Wilson FUMBLES (Aborted) at NYJ 46, RECOVERED by KC-98-T.Wharton at NYJ 47. [WPA -23.6% · EPA -5.00]
• New York Jets (Q3 25:44) — (10:44) (Shotgun) 2-Z.Wilson pass short left to 10-A.Lazard for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +15.4% · EPA +2.96]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q1 53:41) — (8:41) 10-I.Pacheco left tackle for 48 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +12.9% · EPA +4.75]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q4 6:21) — (6:21) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes scrambles up the middle to NYJ 35 for 25 yards (0-A.Amos). PENALTY on NYJ-57-C.Mosley, Illegal Contact, 5 yards, enforced at NYJ 35. [WPA +12.7% · EPA +3.38]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q4 13:34) — (13:34) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 4-R.Rice to NYJ 25 for 18 yards (4-D.Reed). [WPA +9.4% · EPA +1.44]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• New York Jets (Q4 7:30) — (7:30) (Shotgun) 2-Z.Wilson FUMBLES (Aborted) at NYJ 46, RECOVERED by KC-98-T.Wharton at NYJ 47. [WPA -23.6% · EPA -5.00]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q4 0:38) — (:38) 15-P.Mahomes kneels to NYJ 4 for -1 yards. PENALTY on NYJ, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 2 yards, enforced at NYJ 4. [EPA -4.78]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q1 53:41) — (8:41) 10-I.Pacheco left tackle for 48 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +12.9% · EPA +4.75]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q1 48:32) — (3:32) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep right to 83-N.Gray for 34 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +8.9% · EPA +4.23]

Quarterback report card

Z.Wilson led all passers in efficiency for New York Jets, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• Z.Wilson (New York Jets) · 43 dropbacks · 65.1% completion · +8.0% CPOE · +0.07 EPA/play · +3.07 total EPA
• P.Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs) · 39 dropbacks · 46.2% completion · -4.4% CPOE · +0.20 EPA/play · +7.86 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Kansas City Chiefs generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.08 vs -0.04), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

• Kansas City Chiefs: 11 drives, +6.33 total EPA, 6 scoring drives
• New York Jets: 11 drives, -2.80 total EPA, 3 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Kansas City Chiefs leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
• P. Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• Z. Wilson (NYJ) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
• P. Mahomes (KC) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Kansas City Chiefs FG (+3) — Q1 56:39 · NYJ 18 · Score 3-0
   (11:39) 7-H.Butker 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend.
2. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q1 53:41 · NYJ 48 · Score 9-0
   (8:41) 10-I.Pacheco left tackle for 48 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
3. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q1 53:32 · NYJ 15 · Score 10-0
   7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend.
4. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q1 48:32 · NYJ 34 · Score 16-0
   (3:32) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep right to 83-N.Gray for 34 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
5. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q1 48:24 · NYJ 15 · Score 17-0
   7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend.
6. New York Jets Safety (+2) — Q2 43:27 · NYJ 93 · Score 17-2
   (13:27) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass incomplete deep right to 11-M.Valdes-Scantling (3-J.Whitehead) [47-B.Huff]. PENALTY on KC-74-J.Taylor, Face Mask, 7 yards, e
7. New York Jets FG (+3) — Q2 39:53 · KC 13 · Score 17-5
   (9:53) 9-G.Zuerlein 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-5-T.Morstead.
8. New York Jets TD (+6) — Q2 36:31 · KC 1 · Score 17-11
   (6:31) 2-Z.Wilson pass short right to 87-C.Uzomah for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
9. New York Jets XP (+1) — Q2 36:26 · KC 15 · Score 17-12
   9-G.Zuerlein extra point is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-5-T.Morstead.
10. Kansas City Chiefs FG (+3) — Q2 32:18 · NYJ 19 · Score 20-12
    (2:18) 7-H.Butker 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend.
11. New York Jets TD (+6) — Q3 25:44 · KC 10 · Score 20-18
    (10:44) (Shotgun) 2-Z.Wilson pass short left to 10-A.Lazard for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
12. New York Jets Safety (+2) — Q3 25:40 · KC 2 · Score 20-20
    TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 2-Z.Wilson rushes left end. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.
13. Kansas City Chiefs FG (+3) — Q4 10:54 · NYJ 8 · Score 23-20
    (10:54) 7-H.Butker 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend.