Kansas City Chiefs vs. Miami Dolphins: 2020 Week 14 Recap

Game story

In Week 14 of the 2020 NFL season on 2020-12-13, the Kansas City Chiefs took care of business against the Miami Dolphins, pulling away with a 33–27 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 20 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

T. Tagovailoa (Miami Dolphins) paced the passing game, with +4.13 total EPA, and -3.2% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, M. Gesicki (Miami Dolphins) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +7.38 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-18.7% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when Kansas City Chiefs changed the game: (9:08) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right intended for 87-T.Kelce INTERCEPTED by 24-By.Jones (43-A.Van Ginkel) at MIA 23. 24-By.Jones to MIA 38 for 15 yards (14-S.Watkins, 15-P.Mahomes). FUMBLES

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 M. Gesicki · Miami Dolphins · Receiving · +7.38 total EPA · 6 snaps · +1.23 EPA/play
2. 2 T. Kelce · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +5.63 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.56 EPA/play
3. 3 T. Tagovailoa · Miami Dolphins · Passing · +4.13 total EPA · 62 snaps · +0.07 EPA/play
4. 4 P. Mahomes · Kansas City Chiefs · Passing · +3.60 total EPA · 39 snaps · +0.09 EPA/play
5. 5 S. Watkins · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +3.33 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.11 EPA/play
6. 6 T. Hill · Kansas City Chiefs · Rushing · +3.32 total EPA · 1 snaps · +3.32 EPA/play
7. 7 L. Bowden · Miami Dolphins · Receiving · +2.89 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.32 EPA/play
8. 8 T. Hill · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +1.84 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.26 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Miami Dolphins — M. Gesicki (T. Tagovailoa pass) (Q1 46:42)
• Kansas City Chiefs — T. Hill (Q2 38:18)
• Kansas City Chiefs — T. Kelce (P. Mahomes pass) (Q2 30:42)
• Kansas City Chiefs — T. Hill (P. Mahomes pass) (Q3 28:58)
• Kansas City Chiefs — M. Hardman (Q3 28:04)
• Miami Dolphins — M. Gesicki (T. Tagovailoa pass) (Q4 12:10)
• Miami Dolphins — T. Tagovailoa (Q4 4:26)

Field goals

• Miami Dolphins — J. Sanders (Q2 40:18)
• Kansas City Chiefs — H. Butker (Q4 1:12)
• Miami Dolphins — J. Sanders (Q4 0:21)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Miami Dolphins won the period 7–0. Miami Dolphins found the end zone from the KC 7 (Q1 46:42) — (1:42) (Shotgun) 1-T.Tagovailoa pass short left to 88-M.Gesicki for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Miami Dolphins added 1 points from the KC 15 (Q1 46:35) — 7-J.Sanders extra point is GOOD, Center-50-B.Ferguson, Holder-2-M.Haack..

The second quarter: Kansas City Chiefs won the period 14–3. Miami Dolphins connected on a field goal from the KC 13 (Q2 40:18) — (10:18) 7-J.Sanders 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-B.Ferguson, Holder-2-M.Haack.; Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the MIA 32 (Q2 38:18) — (8:18) 10-T.Hill right end for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the MIA 15 (Q2 38:10) — 7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend.; Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the MIA 6 (Q2 30:42) — (:42) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 87-T.Kelce for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the MIA 15 (Q2 30:37) — 7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend..

The third quarter: Kansas City Chiefs won the period 16–0. Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the MIA 44 (Q3 28:58) — (13:58) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep middle to 10-T.Hill for 44 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the MIA 15 (Q3 28:50) — 7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend.; Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the KC 70 (Q3 28:04) — (13:04) 2-M.Haack punts 37 yards to KC 33, Center-50-B.Ferguson. 17-M.Hardman for 67 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the MIA 15 (Q3 27:48) — 7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend.; Kansas City Chiefs registered a safety from the KC 94 (Q3 21:58) — (6:58) (Shotgun) 1-T.Tagovailoa sacked in End Zone for -6 yards, SAFETY (95-C.Jones)..

The fourth quarter: Miami Dolphins won the period 17–3. Miami Dolphins found the end zone from the KC 29 (Q4 12:10) — (12:10) (Shotgun) 1-T.Tagovailoa pass deep middle to 88-M.Gesicki for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Miami Dolphins added 1 points from the KC 15 (Q4 12:03) — 7-J.Sanders extra point is GOOD, Center-50-B.Ferguson, Holder-2-M.Haack.; Miami Dolphins found the end zone from the KC 1 (Q4 4:26) — (4:26) 1-T.Tagovailoa up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Miami Dolphins added 1 points from the KC 15 (Q4 4:15) — 7-J.Sanders extra point is GOOD, Center-50-B.Ferguson, Holder-2-M.Haack.; Kansas City Chiefs connected on a field goal from the MIA 28 (Q4 1:12) — (1:12) 7-H.Butker 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend.; Miami Dolphins connected on a field goal from the KC 26 (Q4 0:21) — (:21) 7-J.Sanders 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-B.Ferguson, Holder-2-M.Haack..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Kansas City Chiefs (Q1 54:08) — (9:08) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right intended for 87-T.Kelce INTERCEPTED by 24-By.Jones (43-A.Van Ginkel) at MIA 23. 24-By.Jones to MIA 38 for 15 yards (14-S.Watkins, 15-P.Mahomes). FUMBLES [WPA -18.7% · EPA -6.32]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q1 45:52) — (:52) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right intended for 25-C.Edwards-Helaire INTERCEPTED by 21-E.Rowe at MIA 31. 21-E.Rowe to KC 47 for 22 yards (17-M.Hardman; 25-C.Edwards-Helaire). [WPA -12.6% · EPA -6.34]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q3 28:58) — (13:58) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep middle to 10-T.Hill for 44 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +11.7% · EPA +4.40]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q2 32:48) — (2:48) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 87-T.Kelce to KC 42 for 16 yards (29-Br.Jones) [43-A.Van Ginkel]. PENALTY on MIA-90-S.Lawson, Roughing the Passer, 15 yards, enforced at KC 42. [WPA +11.5% · EPA +2.11]
• Miami Dolphins (Q1 48:47) — (3:47) (Shotgun) 1-T.Tagovailoa pass short right to 88-M.Gesicki to KC 31 for 14 yards (38-L.Sneed). [WPA +10.9% · EPA +2.57]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Kansas City Chiefs (Q1 45:52) — (:52) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right intended for 25-C.Edwards-Helaire INTERCEPTED by 21-E.Rowe at MIA 31. 21-E.Rowe to KC 47 for 22 yards (17-M.Hardman; 25-C.Edwards-Helaire). [WPA -12.6% · EPA -6.34]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q1 54:08) — (9:08) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right intended for 87-T.Kelce INTERCEPTED by 24-By.Jones (43-A.Van Ginkel) at MIA 23. 24-By.Jones to MIA 38 for 15 yards (14-S.Watkins, 15-P.Mahomes). FUMBLES [WPA -18.7% · EPA -6.32]
• Miami Dolphins (Q3 28:04) — (13:04) 2-M.Haack punts 37 yards to KC 33, Center-50-B.Ferguson. 17-M.Hardman for 67 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -6.9% · EPA -6.21]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q4 14:25) — (14:25) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep right intended for 10-T.Hill INTERCEPTED by 25-X.Howard at MIA -4. Touchback. [WPA -0.5% · EPA -5.13]

Quarterback report card

T.Tagovailoa led all passers in efficiency for Miami Dolphins, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• T.Tagovailoa (Miami Dolphins) · 62 dropbacks · 45.2% completion · -3.2% CPOE · +0.07 EPA/play · +4.13 total EPA
• P.Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs) · 39 dropbacks · 61.5% completion · +5.7% CPOE · +0.09 EPA/play · +3.60 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Kansas City Chiefs generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.04 vs -0.05), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

• Kansas City Chiefs: 14 drives, +2.97 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
• Miami Dolphins: 14 drives, -5.01 total EPA, 7 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Kansas City Chiefs leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
• M. Gesicki (Miami Dolphins) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• T. Tagovailoa (MIA) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
• P. Mahomes (KC) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Miami Dolphins TD (+6) — Q1 46:42 · KC 7 · Score 0-6
   (1:42) (Shotgun) 1-T.Tagovailoa pass short left to 88-M.Gesicki for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
2. Miami Dolphins XP (+1) — Q1 46:35 · KC 15 · Score 0-7
   7-J.Sanders extra point is GOOD, Center-50-B.Ferguson, Holder-2-M.Haack.
3. Miami Dolphins FG (+3) — Q2 40:18 · KC 13 · Score 0-10
   (10:18) 7-J.Sanders 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-B.Ferguson, Holder-2-M.Haack.
4. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q2 38:18 · MIA 32 · Score 6-10
   (8:18) 10-T.Hill right end for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
5. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q2 38:10 · MIA 15 · Score 7-10
   7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend.
6. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q2 30:42 · MIA 6 · Score 13-10
   (:42) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 87-T.Kelce for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
7. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q2 30:37 · MIA 15 · Score 14-10
   7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend.
8. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q3 28:58 · MIA 44 · Score 20-10
   (13:58) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep middle to 10-T.Hill for 44 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
9. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q3 28:50 · MIA 15 · Score 21-10
   7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend.
10. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q3 28:04 · KC 70 · Score 27-10
    (13:04) 2-M.Haack punts 37 yards to KC 33, Center-50-B.Ferguson. 17-M.Hardman for 67 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
11. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q3 27:48 · MIA 15 · Score 28-10
    7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend.
12. Kansas City Chiefs Safety (+2) — Q3 21:58 · KC 94 · Score 30-10
    (6:58) (Shotgun) 1-T.Tagovailoa sacked in End Zone for -6 yards, SAFETY (95-C.Jones).
13. Miami Dolphins TD (+6) — Q4 12:10 · KC 29 · Score 30-16
    (12:10) (Shotgun) 1-T.Tagovailoa pass deep middle to 88-M.Gesicki for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
14. Miami Dolphins XP (+1) — Q4 12:03 · KC 15 · Score 30-17
    7-J.Sanders extra point is GOOD, Center-50-B.Ferguson, Holder-2-M.Haack.
15. Miami Dolphins TD (+6) — Q4 4:26 · KC 1 · Score 30-23
    (4:26) 1-T.Tagovailoa up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
16. Miami Dolphins XP (+1) — Q4 4:15 · KC 15 · Score 30-24
    7-J.Sanders extra point is GOOD, Center-50-B.Ferguson, Holder-2-M.Haack.
17. Kansas City Chiefs FG (+3) — Q4 1:12 · MIA 28 · Score 33-24
    (1:12) 7-H.Butker 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend.
18. Miami Dolphins FG (+3) — Q4 0:21 · KC 26 · Score 33-27
    (:21) 7-J.Sanders 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-B.Ferguson, Holder-2-M.Haack.