Kansas City Chiefs vs. Las Vegas Raiders: 2016 Week 6 Recap

Game story

In Week 6 of the 2016 NFL season on 2016-10-16, the Kansas City Chiefs took care of business against the Las Vegas Raiders, pulling away with a 26–10 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q1 with 14 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

D. Carr (Las Vegas Raiders) paced the passing game, with -10.69 total EPA, and +1.9% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, A. Smith (Kansas City Chiefs) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +10.20 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-12.0% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Kansas City Chiefs changed the game: (:28) 5-C.Santos 38 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 A. Smith · Kansas City Chiefs · Passing · +10.20 total EPA · 24 snaps · +0.42 EPA/play
2. 2 A. Cooper · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +5.03 total EPA · 13 snaps · +0.39 EPA/play
3. 3 S. Ware · Kansas City Chiefs · Rushing · +4.82 total EPA · 24 snaps · +0.20 EPA/play
4. 4 J. Maclin · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +2.71 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.90 EPA/play
5. 5 A. Holmes · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +2.61 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.31 EPA/play
6. 6 A. Wilson · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +2.48 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.48 EPA/play
7. 7 T. Kelce · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +2.47 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.82 EPA/play
8. 8 T. Hill · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +1.98 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.99 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Las Vegas Raiders — A. Holmes (D. Carr pass) (Q1 57:02)
• Kansas City Chiefs — S. Ware (Q1 47:19)
• Kansas City Chiefs — J. Charles (Q2 37:15)
• Kansas City Chiefs — D. Poe (Q3 26:41)

Field goals

• Las Vegas Raiders — S. Janikowski (Q2 30:01)
• Kansas City Chiefs — C. Santos (Q3 22:51)
• Kansas City Chiefs — C. Santos (Q4 9:56)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the KC 3 (Q1 57:02) — (12:02) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short middle to 18-A.Holmes for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on KC-38-R.Parker, Defensive Holding, declined.; Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the KC 15 (Q1 56:58) — 11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-7-M.King.; Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the LV 2 (Q1 47:19) — (2:19) (Shotgun) 32-S.Ware up the middle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the LV 15 (Q1 47:16) — 5-C.Santos extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt..

The second quarter: Kansas City Chiefs won the period 6–3. Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the LV 4 (Q2 37:15) — (7:15) 25-J.Charles left tackle for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Las Vegas Raiders connected on a field goal from the KC 28 (Q2 30:01) — (:01) 11-S.Janikowski 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-7-M.King..

The third quarter: Kansas City Chiefs won the period 10–0. Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the LV 1 (Q3 26:41) — (11:41) 73-Z.Fulton and 92-D.Poe reported in as eligible. 92-D.Poe right tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the LV 15 (Q3 26:37) — 5-C.Santos extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.; Kansas City Chiefs connected on a field goal from the LV 4 (Q3 22:51) — (7:51) 5-C.Santos 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt..

The fourth quarter: Kansas City Chiefs won the period 3–0. Kansas City Chiefs connected on a field goal from the LV 26 (Q4 9:56) — (9:56) 5-C.Santos 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Kansas City Chiefs (Q2 30:28) — (:28) 5-C.Santos 38 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt. [WPA -12.0% · EPA -2.87]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q3 28:20) — (13:20) 32-S.Ware left end to LV 3 for 45 yards (27-R.Nelson). [WPA +9.0% · EPA +3.54]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q1 52:51) — (7:51) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass deep right intended for 15-M.Crabtree INTERCEPTED by 22-M.Peters at KC 43. 22-M.Peters ran ob at KC 43 for no gain. [WPA -8.6% · EPA -3.52]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q2 35:03) — (5:03) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass deep left to 89-A.Cooper ran ob at KC 37 for 24 yards (24-D.White). Kansas City challenged the pass completion ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field w [WPA +7.9% · EPA +2.68]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q2 39:11) — (9:11) 73-Z.Fulton reported in as eligible. 25-J.Charles right guard to LV 32 for 17 yards (54-P.Riley). [WPA +7.7% · EPA +1.43]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Las Vegas Raiders (Q4 7:22) — (7:22) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 4-D.Carr sacked at KC 23 for -3 yards (55-D.Ford). FUMBLES (55-D.Ford) [55-D.Ford], RECOVERED by KC-91-T.Hali at KC 12. 91-T.Hali to KC 12 for no gain (33-D.Washington). [WPA -4.3% · EPA -4.26]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q4 0:38) — (:38) 11-A.Smith kneels to LV 10 for -1 yards. [EPA -4.20]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q3 28:20) — (13:20) 32-S.Ware left end to LV 3 for 45 yards (27-R.Nelson). [WPA +9.0% · EPA +3.54]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q1 52:51) — (7:51) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass deep right intended for 15-M.Crabtree INTERCEPTED by 22-M.Peters at KC 43. 22-M.Peters ran ob at KC 43 for no gain. [WPA -8.6% · EPA -3.52]

Quarterback report card

D.Carr led all passers in efficiency for Las Vegas Raiders, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• D.Carr (Las Vegas Raiders) · 39 dropbacks · 56.4% completion · +1.9% CPOE · -0.27 EPA/play · -10.69 total EPA
• A.Smith (Kansas City Chiefs) · 24 dropbacks · 79.2% completion · +20.1% CPOE · +0.42 EPA/play · +10.20 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Kansas City Chiefs generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.12 vs -0.20), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

• Kansas City Chiefs: 10 drives, +8.84 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
• Las Vegas Raiders: 10 drives, -13.98 total EPA, 2 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Kansas City Chiefs leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• A. Smith (Kansas City Chiefs) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• A. Smith (KC) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q1 57:02 · KC 3 · Score 0-6
   (12:02) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short middle to 18-A.Holmes for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on KC-38-R.Parker, Defensive Holding, declined.
2. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q1 56:58 · KC 15 · Score 0-7
   11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-7-M.King.
3. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q1 47:19 · LV 2 · Score 6-7
   (2:19) (Shotgun) 32-S.Ware up the middle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
4. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q1 47:16 · LV 15 · Score 7-7
   5-C.Santos extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
5. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q2 37:15 · LV 4 · Score 13-7
   (7:15) 25-J.Charles left tackle for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
6. Las Vegas Raiders FG (+3) — Q2 30:01 · KC 28 · Score 13-10
   (:01) 11-S.Janikowski 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-7-M.King.
7. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q3 26:41 · LV 1 · Score 19-10
   (11:41) 73-Z.Fulton and 92-D.Poe reported in as eligible. 92-D.Poe right tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
8. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q3 26:37 · LV 15 · Score 20-10
   5-C.Santos extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
9. Kansas City Chiefs FG (+3) — Q3 22:51 · LV 4 · Score 23-10
   (7:51) 5-C.Santos 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
10. Kansas City Chiefs FG (+3) — Q4 9:56 · LV 26 · Score 26-10
    (9:56) 5-C.Santos 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.