Kansas City Chiefs vs. Indianapolis Colts: 2016 Week 8 Recap

Game story

In Week 8 of the 2016 NFL season on 2016-10-30, the Kansas City Chiefs took care of business against the Indianapolis Colts, pulling away with a 30–14 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 21 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

A. Luck (Indianapolis Colts) paced the passing game, with -8.38 total EPA, and -12.6% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, T. Kelce (Kansas City Chiefs) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +9.27 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-15.7% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when Indianapolis Colts changed the game: (7:02) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.Luck FUMBLES (Aborted) at IND 22, RECOVERED by KC-53-R.Wilson at IND 23. 53-R.Wilson to IND 23 for no gain (12-A.Luck).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 T. Kelce · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +9.27 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.93 EPA/play
2. 2 N. Foles · Kansas City Chiefs · Passing · +8.05 total EPA · 26 snaps · +0.31 EPA/play
3. 3 A. Smith · Kansas City Chiefs · Passing · +7.44 total EPA · 22 snaps · +0.34 EPA/play
4. 4 T. Hill · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +6.72 total EPA · 6 snaps · +1.12 EPA/play
5. 5 S. Ware · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +2.62 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.31 EPA/play
6. 6 F. Gore · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +2.29 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.76 EPA/play
7. 7 R. Turbin · Indianapolis Colts · Rushing · +2.21 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.74 EPA/play
8. 8 E. Swoope · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +2.09 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.70 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Kansas City Chiefs — T. Kelce (N. Foles pass) (Q2 43:05)
• Indianapolis Colts — F. Gore (A. Luck pass) (Q2 40:16)
• Kansas City Chiefs — J. Maclin (A. Smith pass) (Q2 30:24)
• Kansas City Chiefs — T. Hill (N. Foles pass) (Q3 22:41)
• Indianapolis Colts — D. Moncrief (A. Luck pass) (Q3 17:12)

Field goals

• Kansas City Chiefs — C. Santos (Q1 55:25)
• Kansas City Chiefs — C. Santos (Q4 8:04)
• Kansas City Chiefs — C. Santos (Q4 3:40)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Kansas City Chiefs won the period 3–0. Kansas City Chiefs connected on a field goal from the IND 15 (Q1 55:25) — (10:25) 5-C.Santos 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt..

The second quarter: Kansas City Chiefs won the period 14–7. Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the IND 14 (Q2 43:05); Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the IND 15 (Q2 42:58) — 5-C.Santos extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.; Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the KC 18 (Q2 40:16) — (10:16) (Run formation) 12-A.Luck pass short middle to 23-F.Gore for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the KC 15 (Q2 40:07) — 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee.; Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the IND 13 (Q2 30:24) — (:24) (Shotgun) 11-A.Smith pass short right to 19-J.Maclin for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the IND 15 (Q2 30:19) — 5-C.Santos extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt..

The third quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the IND 34 (Q3 22:41) — (7:41) (Shotgun) 4-N.Foles pass deep left to 10-T.Hill for 34 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the IND 15 (Q3 22:34) — 5-C.Santos extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.; Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the KC 3 (Q3 17:12) — (2:12) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass short left to 10-D.Moncrief for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the KC 15 (Q3 17:05) — 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee..

The fourth quarter: Kansas City Chiefs won the period 6–0. Kansas City Chiefs connected on a field goal from the IND 4 (Q4 8:04) — (8:04) 5-C.Santos 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.; Kansas City Chiefs connected on a field goal from the IND 26 (Q4 3:40) — (3:40) (Field Goal formation) 5-C.Santos 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Indianapolis Colts (Q1 52:02) — (7:02) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.Luck FUMBLES (Aborted) at IND 22, RECOVERED by KC-53-R.Wilson at IND 23. 53-R.Wilson to IND 23 for no gain (12-A.Luck). [WPA -15.7% · EPA -6.23]
• Indianapolis Colts (Q2 30:42) — (:42) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass short left intended for 10-D.Moncrief INTERCEPTED by 23-P.Gaines at IND 36. 23-P.Gaines to IND 36 for no gain (10-D.Moncrief). [WPA -14.1% · EPA -3.38]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q1 49:57) — (4:57) 5-C.Santos 28 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Right Upright, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt. [WPA -10.2% · EPA -3.92]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q2 30:24) — (:24) (Shotgun) 11-A.Smith pass short right to 19-J.Maclin for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +8.4% · EPA +2.86]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q1 46:26) — (1:26) (Run formation) 4-N.Foles pass deep middle to 10-T.Hill to IND 31 for 49 yards (32-T.Green). [WPA +8.1% · EPA +3.36]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Indianapolis Colts (Q1 52:02) — (7:02) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.Luck FUMBLES (Aborted) at IND 22, RECOVERED by KC-53-R.Wilson at IND 23. 53-R.Wilson to IND 23 for no gain (12-A.Luck). [WPA -15.7% · EPA -6.23]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q1 49:57) — (4:57) 5-C.Santos 28 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Right Upright, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt. [WPA -10.2% · EPA -3.92]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q3 22:41) — (7:41) (Shotgun) 4-N.Foles pass deep left to 10-T.Hill for 34 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +5.1% · EPA +3.80]
• Indianapolis Colts (Q2 30:42) — (:42) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass short left intended for 10-D.Moncrief INTERCEPTED by 23-P.Gaines at IND 36. 23-P.Gaines to IND 36 for no gain (10-D.Moncrief). [WPA -14.1% · EPA -3.38]

Quarterback report card

A.Luck led all passers in efficiency for Indianapolis Colts, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• A.Luck (Indianapolis Colts) · 51 dropbacks · 37.3% completion · -12.6% CPOE · -0.16 EPA/play · -8.38 total EPA
• N.Foles (Kansas City Chiefs) · 26 dropbacks · 61.5% completion · +13.2% CPOE · +0.31 EPA/play · +8.05 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Kansas City Chiefs generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.08 vs -0.18), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

• Indianapolis Colts: 13 drives, -14.87 total EPA, 2 scoring drives
• Kansas City Chiefs: 13 drives, +7.20 total EPA, 6 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Kansas City Chiefs leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• T. Kelce (Kansas City Chiefs) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• A. Luck (IND) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
• N. Foles (KC) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Kansas City Chiefs FG (+3) — Q1 55:25 · IND 15 · Score 3-0
   (10:25) 5-C.Santos 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
2. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q2 43:05 · IND 14 · Score 9-0
   (13:05) (Run formation) 4-N.Foles pass short middle to 87-T.Kelce for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on IND-32-T.Green, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced
3. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q2 42:58 · IND 15 · Score 10-0
   5-C.Santos extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
4. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q2 40:16 · KC 18 · Score 10-6
   (10:16) (Run formation) 12-A.Luck pass short middle to 23-F.Gore for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
5. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q2 40:07 · KC 15 · Score 10-7
   4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee.
6. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q2 30:24 · IND 13 · Score 16-7
   (:24) (Shotgun) 11-A.Smith pass short right to 19-J.Maclin for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
7. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q2 30:19 · IND 15 · Score 17-7
   5-C.Santos extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
8. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q3 22:41 · IND 34 · Score 23-7
   (7:41) (Shotgun) 4-N.Foles pass deep left to 10-T.Hill for 34 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
9. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q3 22:34 · IND 15 · Score 24-7
   5-C.Santos extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
10. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q3 17:12 · KC 3 · Score 24-13
    (2:12) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass short left to 10-D.Moncrief for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
11. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q3 17:05 · KC 15 · Score 24-14
    4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee.
12. Kansas City Chiefs FG (+3) — Q4 8:04 · IND 4 · Score 27-14
    (8:04) 5-C.Santos 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
13. Kansas City Chiefs FG (+3) — Q4 3:40 · IND 26 · Score 30-14
    (3:40) (Field Goal formation) 5-C.Santos 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.