Kansas City Chiefs vs. Green Bay Packers: 2023 Week 13 Recap

Game story

In Week 13 of the 2023 NFL season on 2023-12-03, the Green Bay Packers took care of business against the Kansas City Chiefs, pulling away with a 27–19 final that built a comfortable lead.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 16 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

P. Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs) paced the passing game, with +4.19 total EPA, and +1.1% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, J. Love (Green Bay Packers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +15.31 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-12.5% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Kansas City Chiefs changed the game: (5:20) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep right intended for 24-S.Moore INTERCEPTED by 25-K.Nixon at GB 33. 25-K.Nixon pushed ob at GB 35 for 2 yards (24-S.Moore).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 J. Love · Green Bay Packers · Passing · +15.31 total EPA · 40 snaps · +0.38 EPA/play
2. 2 T. Kelce · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +7.48 total EPA · 5 snaps · +1.50 EPA/play
3. 3 C. Watson · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +7.06 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.78 EPA/play
4. 4 R. Doubs · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +6.19 total EPA · 5 snaps · +1.24 EPA/play
5. 5 P. Mahomes · Kansas City Chiefs · Passing · +4.19 total EPA · 44 snaps · +0.10 EPA/play
6. 6 I. Pacheco · Kansas City Chiefs · Rushing · +4.00 total EPA · 19 snaps · +0.21 EPA/play
7. 7 D. Wicks · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +3.39 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.85 EPA/play
8. 8 R. Rice · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +2.50 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.28 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Green Bay Packers — B. Sims (J. Love pass) (Q1 52:17)
• Green Bay Packers — C. Watson (J. Love pass) (Q2 40:44)
• Kansas City Chiefs — I. Pacheco (Q3 24:41)
• Green Bay Packers — C. Watson (J. Love pass) (Q3 20:28)
• Kansas City Chiefs — N. Gray (P. Mahomes pass) (Q4 14:55)

Field goals

• Kansas City Chiefs — H. Butker (Q1 45:01)
• Kansas City Chiefs — H. Butker (Q2 32:23)
• Green Bay Packers — A. Carlson (Q4 6:07)
• Green Bay Packers — A. Carlson (Q4 1:14)
• Green Bay Packers — A. Carlson (Q4 1:09)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 7–3. Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the KC 1 (Q1 52:17) — (7:17) 70-R.Newman reported in as eligible. 10-J.Love pass short right to 89-B.Sims for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the KC 15 (Q1 52:13) — 17-A.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.; Kansas City Chiefs connected on a field goal from the GB 16 (Q1 45:01) — (:01) 7-H.Butker 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend..

The second quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 7–3. Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the KC 9 (Q2 40:44) — (10:44) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short middle to 9-C.Watson for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the KC 15 (Q2 40:39) — 17-A.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.; Kansas City Chiefs connected on a field goal from the GB 16 (Q2 32:23) — (2:23) 7-H.Butker 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend..

The third quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 7–6. Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the GB 1 (Q3 24:41); Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the KC 12 (Q3 20:28) — (5:28) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short right to 9-C.Watson for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on KC-38-L.Sneed, Defensive Holding, declined.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the KC 15 (Q3 20:23) — 17-A.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan..

The fourth quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 9–7. Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the GB 2 (Q4 14:55) — (14:55) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 83-N.Gray for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the GB 15 (Q4 14:51) — 7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend.; Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the KC 22 (Q4 6:07) — (6:07) 17-A.Carlson 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.; Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the KC 30 (Q4 1:14) — (1:14) 17-A.Carlson 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.; Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the GB 35 (Q4 1:09).

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Kansas City Chiefs (Q4 5:20) — (5:20) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep right intended for 24-S.Moore INTERCEPTED by 25-K.Nixon at GB 33. 25-K.Nixon pushed ob at GB 35 for 2 yards (24-S.Moore). [WPA -12.5% · EPA -4.00]
• Green Bay Packers (Q3 21:56) — (6:56) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass deep middle to 87-R.Doubs to KC 11 for 33 yards (20-J.Reid). [WPA +11.2% · EPA +3.91]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q3 27:41) — (12:41) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep middle to 87-T.Kelce to GB 35 for 27 yards (34-J.Owens). [WPA +8.1% · EPA +3.67]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q1 48:30) — (3:30) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep middle to 11-M.Valdes-Scantling to GB 31 for 16 yards (20-R.Ford) [97-K.Clark]. [WPA +7.2% · EPA +2.69]
• Green Bay Packers (Q4 9:55) — (9:55) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass deep left to 87-R.Doubs to GB 44 for 27 yards (20-J.Reid). [WPA +7.1% · EPA +2.53]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Kansas City Chiefs (Q4 5:20) — (5:20) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep right intended for 24-S.Moore INTERCEPTED by 25-K.Nixon at GB 33. 25-K.Nixon pushed ob at GB 35 for 2 yards (24-S.Moore). [WPA -12.5% · EPA -4.00]
• Green Bay Packers (Q3 21:56) — (6:56) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass deep middle to 87-R.Doubs to KC 11 for 33 yards (20-J.Reid). [WPA +11.2% · EPA +3.91]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q3 27:41) — (12:41) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep middle to 87-T.Kelce to GB 35 for 27 yards (34-J.Owens). [WPA +8.1% · EPA +3.67]
• Green Bay Packers (Q2 40:44) — (10:44) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short middle to 9-C.Watson for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +5.7% · EPA +2.86]

Quarterback report card

P.Mahomes led all passers in efficiency for Kansas City Chiefs, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• P.Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs) · 44 dropbacks · 47.7% completion · +1.1% CPOE · +0.10 EPA/play · +4.19 total EPA
• J.Love (Green Bay Packers) · 40 dropbacks · 62.5% completion · +5.6% CPOE · +0.38 EPA/play · +15.31 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Green Bay Packers held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.23 vs +0.13), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

• Green Bay Packers: 8 drives, +18.60 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
• Kansas City Chiefs: 8 drives, +10.61 total EPA, 4 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Green Bay Packers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• J. Love (Green Bay Packers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• J. Love (GB) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q1 52:17 · KC 1 · Score 0-6
   (7:17) 70-R.Newman reported in as eligible. 10-J.Love pass short right to 89-B.Sims for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
2. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q1 52:13 · KC 15 · Score 0-7
   17-A.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.
3. Kansas City Chiefs FG (+3) — Q1 45:01 · GB 16 · Score 3-7
   (:01) 7-H.Butker 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend.
4. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q2 40:44 · KC 9 · Score 3-13
   (10:44) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short middle to 9-C.Watson for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
5. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q2 40:39 · KC 15 · Score 3-14
   17-A.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.
6. Kansas City Chiefs FG (+3) — Q2 32:23 · GB 16 · Score 6-14
   (2:23) 7-H.Butker 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend.
7. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q3 24:41 · GB 1 · Score 12-14
   (9:41) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-I.Pacheco left tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on GB-90-L.Van Ness, Defensive Offside, declined. Penalty on GB-90-L.Van Nes
8. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q3 20:28 · KC 12 · Score 12-20
   (5:28) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short right to 9-C.Watson for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on KC-38-L.Sneed, Defensive Holding, declined.
9. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q3 20:23 · KC 15 · Score 12-21
   17-A.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.
10. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q4 14:55 · GB 2 · Score 18-21
    (14:55) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 83-N.Gray for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
11. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q4 14:51 · GB 15 · Score 19-21
    7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend.
12. Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q4 6:07 · KC 22 · Score 19-24
    (6:07) 17-A.Carlson 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.
13. Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q4 1:14 · KC 30 · Score 19-27
    (1:14) 17-A.Carlson 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.
14. Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q4 1:09 · GB 35 · Score 19-27
    17-A.Carlson kicks 61 yards from GB 35 to KC 4, fair catch by 17-R.James. PENALTY on GB-44-H.Pearson, Offside on Free Kick, 5 yards, enforced at KC 25.