Kansas City Chiefs vs. Denver Broncos: 2013 Week 11 Recap

Game story

In Week 11 of the 2013 NFL season on 2013-11-17, the Denver Broncos took care of business against the Kansas City Chiefs, pulling away with a 27–17 final that built a comfortable lead.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 17 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

A. Smith (Kansas City Chiefs) paced the passing game, with -4.18 total EPA, and -14.4% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, P. Manning (Denver Broncos) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +13.24 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-18.5% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when Kansas City Chiefs changed the game: (5:36) (Shotgun) 11-A.Smith pass short left to 42-A.Sherman to DEN 16 for 2 yards (59-D.Trevathan). FUMBLES (59-D.Trevathan), RECOVERED by DEN-23-Q.Jammer at DEN 16. 23-Q.Jammer to DEN 16 for no gain

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 P. Manning · Denver Broncos · Passing · +13.24 total EPA · 44 snaps · +0.30 EPA/play
2. 2 E. Decker · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +6.47 total EPA · 6 snaps · +1.08 EPA/play
3. 3 D. Thomas · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +3.47 total EPA · 13 snaps · +0.27 EPA/play
4. 4 A. Fasano · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +3.20 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.80 EPA/play
5. 5 J. Thomas · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +2.66 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.53 EPA/play
6. 6 S. McGrath · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +2.57 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.86 EPA/play
7. 7 W. Welker · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +1.89 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.19 EPA/play
8. 8 D. Avery · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +1.53 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.51 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Denver Broncos — J. Thomas (P. Manning pass) (Q1 48:07)
• Kansas City Chiefs — D. Bowe (A. Smith pass) (Q2 43:28)
• Denver Broncos — M. Ball (Q2 39:09)
• Denver Broncos — M. Ball (Q3 17:28)
• Kansas City Chiefs — A. Fasano (A. Smith pass) (Q4 5:02)

Field goals

• Denver Broncos — M. Prater (Q1 57:38)
• Kansas City Chiefs — R. Succop (Q2 32:58)
• Denver Broncos — M. Prater (Q4 7:10)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Denver Broncos won the period 10–0. Denver Broncos connected on a field goal from the KC 36 (Q1 57:38) — (12:38) 5-M.Prater 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.; Denver Broncos found the end zone from the KC 9 (Q1 48:07) — (3:07) 18-P.Manning pass short left to 80-J.Thomas for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Denver Broncos added 1 points from the KC 2 (Q1 48:03) — 5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt..

The second quarter: Kansas City Chiefs won the period 10–7. Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the DEN 6 (Q2 43:28) — (13:28) (Shotgun) 11-A.Smith pass short right to 82-D.Bowe for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the DEN 2 (Q2 43:23) — 6-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-43-T.Gafford, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.; Denver Broncos found the end zone from the KC 1 (Q2 39:09) — (9:09) (No Huddle) 28-M.Ball left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Denver Broncos added 1 points from the KC 2 (Q2 39:05) — 5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.; Kansas City Chiefs connected on a field goal from the DEN 1 (Q2 32:58) — (2:58) 6-R.Succop 20 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-43-T.Gafford, Holder-2-D.Colquitt..

The third quarter: Denver Broncos won the period 7–0. Denver Broncos found the end zone from the KC 8 (Q3 17:28) — (2:28) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 28-M.Ball right end for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Denver Broncos added 1 points from the KC 2 (Q3 17:22).

The fourth quarter: Kansas City Chiefs won the period 7–3. Denver Broncos connected on a field goal from the KC 18 (Q4 7:10) — (7:10) 5-M.Prater 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.; Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the DEN 10 (Q4 5:02); Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the DEN 2 (Q4 4:56) — 6-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-43-T.Gafford, Holder-2-D.Colquitt..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Kansas City Chiefs (Q1 50:36) — (5:36) (Shotgun) 11-A.Smith pass short left to 42-A.Sherman to DEN 16 for 2 yards (59-D.Trevathan). FUMBLES (59-D.Trevathan), RECOVERED by DEN-23-Q.Jammer at DEN 16. 23-Q.Jammer to DEN 16 for no gain [WPA -18.5% · EPA -5.00]
• Denver Broncos (Q1 50:42) — (5:42) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning FUMBLES (Aborted) at DEN 27, RECOVERED by KC-56-D.Johnson at DEN 29. 56-D.Johnson to DEN 18 for 11 yards (18-P.Manning). [WPA -17.9% · EPA -5.40]
• Denver Broncos (Q1 49:13) — (4:13) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass deep right to 88-D.Thomas pushed ob at KC 9 for 70 yards (35-Q.Demps). [WPA +10.2% · EPA +5.51]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q2 45:00) — (15:00) (Shotgun) 11-A.Smith pass deep right to 82-D.Bowe to DEN 14 for 26 yards (26-R.Moore). [WPA +6.3% · EPA +2.22]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q2 38:20) — (8:20) 25-J.Charles left tackle ran ob at DEN 32 for 35 yards. [WPA +6.0% · EPA +2.28]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Denver Broncos (Q1 49:13) — (4:13) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass deep right to 88-D.Thomas pushed ob at KC 9 for 70 yards (35-Q.Demps). [WPA +10.2% · EPA +5.51]
• Denver Broncos (Q1 50:42) — (5:42) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning FUMBLES (Aborted) at DEN 27, RECOVERED by KC-56-D.Johnson at DEN 29. 56-D.Johnson to DEN 18 for 11 yards (18-P.Manning). [WPA -17.9% · EPA -5.40]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q1 50:36) — (5:36) (Shotgun) 11-A.Smith pass short left to 42-A.Sherman to DEN 16 for 2 yards (59-D.Trevathan). FUMBLES (59-D.Trevathan), RECOVERED by DEN-23-Q.Jammer at DEN 16. 23-Q.Jammer to DEN 16 for no gain [WPA -18.5% · EPA -5.00]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q2 43:28) — (13:28) (Shotgun) 11-A.Smith pass short right to 82-D.Bowe for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +2.9% · EPA +3.01]

Quarterback report card

A.Smith led all passers in efficiency for Kansas City Chiefs, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• A.Smith (Kansas City Chiefs) · 55 dropbacks · 38.2% completion · -14.4% CPOE · -0.08 EPA/play · -4.18 total EPA
• P.Manning (Denver Broncos) · 44 dropbacks · 54.5% completion · -7.1% CPOE · +0.30 EPA/play · +13.24 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Denver Broncos held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.05 vs -0.04), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

• Denver Broncos: 13 drives, +5.03 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
• Kansas City Chiefs: 14 drives, -4.35 total EPA, 3 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Denver Broncos leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• P. Manning (Denver Broncos) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• A. Smith (KC) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
• P. Manning (DEN) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Denver Broncos FG (+3) — Q1 57:38 · KC 36 · Score 0-3
   (12:38) 5-M.Prater 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.
2. Denver Broncos TD (+6) — Q1 48:07 · KC 9 · Score 0-9
   (3:07) 18-P.Manning pass short left to 80-J.Thomas for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
3. Denver Broncos XP (+1) — Q1 48:03 · KC 2 · Score 0-10
   5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.
4. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q2 43:28 · DEN 6 · Score 6-10
   (13:28) (Shotgun) 11-A.Smith pass short right to 82-D.Bowe for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
5. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q2 43:23 · DEN 2 · Score 7-10
   6-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-43-T.Gafford, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
6. Denver Broncos TD (+6) — Q2 39:09 · KC 1 · Score 7-16
   (9:09) (No Huddle) 28-M.Ball left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
7. Denver Broncos XP (+1) — Q2 39:05 · KC 2 · Score 7-17
   5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.
8. Kansas City Chiefs FG (+3) — Q2 32:58 · DEN 1 · Score 10-17
   (2:58) 6-R.Succop 20 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-43-T.Gafford, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
9. Denver Broncos TD (+6) — Q3 17:28 · KC 8 · Score 10-23
   (2:28) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 28-M.Ball right end for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
10. Denver Broncos XP (+1) — Q3 17:22 · KC 2 · Score 10-24
    5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt. PENALTY on KC, Defensive 12 On-field, 5 yards, enforced between downs.
11. Denver Broncos FG (+3) — Q4 7:10 · KC 18 · Score 10-27
    (7:10) 5-M.Prater 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.
12. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q4 5:02 · DEN 10 · Score 16-27
    (5:02) (Shotgun) 11-A.Smith pass incomplete short right to 80-A.Fasano. Kansas City challenged the incomplete pass ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun)
13. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q4 4:56 · DEN 2 · Score 17-27
    6-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-43-T.Gafford, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.