Kansas City Chiefs vs. Buffalo Bills: 2024 Week 11 Recap

Game story

In Week 11 of the 2024 NFL season on 2024-11-17, the Buffalo Bills took care of business against the Kansas City Chiefs, pulling away with a 30–21 final that built a comfortable lead.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 24 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

J. Allen (Buffalo Bills) paced the passing game, with +14.76 total EPA, and +4.2% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, J. Allen (Buffalo Bills) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +14.76 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+13.9% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Buffalo Bills changed the game: (2:27) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen scrambles right tackle for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN. ** Injury Update: BUF-73-D.Dawkins has returned to the game.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 J. Allen · Buffalo Bills · Passing · +14.76 total EPA · 47 snaps · +0.31 EPA/play
2. 2 C. Samuel · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +5.28 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.88 EPA/play
3. 3 X. Worthy · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +5.12 total EPA · 5 snaps · +1.02 EPA/play
4. 4 A. Cooper · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +4.88 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.63 EPA/play
5. 5 P. Mahomes · Kansas City Chiefs · Passing · +4.27 total EPA · 38 snaps · +0.11 EPA/play
6. 6 K. Shakir · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +3.33 total EPA · 12 snaps · +0.28 EPA/play
7. 7 M. Hollins · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +2.64 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.32 EPA/play
8. 8 D. Hopkins · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +2.00 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.50 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Buffalo Bills — J. Cook (Q1 55:04)
• Kansas City Chiefs — X. Worthy (P. Mahomes pass) (Q2 45:00)
• Buffalo Bills — J. Cook (Q2 40:13)
• Kansas City Chiefs — N. Gray (P. Mahomes pass) (Q2 32:53)
• Buffalo Bills — C. Samuel (J. Allen pass) (Q4 12:57)
• Kansas City Chiefs — N. Gray (P. Mahomes pass) (Q4 7:59)
• Buffalo Bills — J. Allen (Q4 2:27)

Field goals

• Buffalo Bills — T. Bass (Q2 30:05)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 6–0. Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the KC 3 (Q1 55:04) — (10:04) 4-J.Cook right end for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN..

The second quarter: Kansas City Chiefs won the period 14–10. Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the BUF 10 (Q2 45:00) — (15:00) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 1-X.Worthy for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught in flat at BUF 10.; Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the BUF 15 (Q2 44:53) — 40-S.Shrader extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-14-M.Araiza.; Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the KC 6 (Q2 40:13) — (10:13) 4-J.Cook up the middle for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the KC 15 (Q2 40:08) — 2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin.; Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the BUF 2 (Q2 32:53) — (2:53) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle to 83-N.Gray for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the BUF 15 (Q2 32:51) — 40-S.Shrader extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-14-M.Araiza.; Buffalo Bills connected on a field goal from the KC 15 (Q2 30:05) — (:05) 2-T.Bass 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin..

The fourth quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 14–7. Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the KC 12 (Q4 12:57) — (12:57) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 1-C.Samuel for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN [27-C.Conner]. Caught in flat at KC 10.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the KC 15 (Q4 12:51) — 2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin.; Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the BUF 1 (Q4 7:59) — (7:59) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 83-N.Gray for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN [50-G.Rousseau]. Caught in rear corner of end zone.; Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the BUF 15 (Q4 7:53) — 40-S.Shrader extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-14-M.Araiza.; Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the KC 26 (Q4 2:27) — (2:27) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen scrambles right tackle for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN. ** Injury Update: BUF-73-D.Dawkins has returned to the game.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the KC 15 (Q4 2:17) — 2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Buffalo Bills (Q4 2:27) — (2:27) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen scrambles right tackle for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN. ** Injury Update: BUF-73-D.Dawkins has returned to the game. [WPA +13.9% · EPA +4.94]
• Buffalo Bills (Q1 57:59) — (12:59) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass deep left to 18-A.Cooper to KC 31 for 30 yards (13-N.Johnson). Caught near sideline at KC 39. [WPA +9.3% · EPA +3.01]
• Buffalo Bills (Q4 4:34) — (4:34) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short middle to 10-K.Shakir to KC 34 for 10 yards (6-B.Cook). BUF-10-K.Shakir was injured during the play. K.Shakir walks off. [WPA +8.5% · EPA +1.75]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q1 59:23) — (14:23) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep right intended for 83-N.Gray INTERCEPTED by 9-T.Rapp [92-Da.Jones] at BUF 45. 9-T.Rapp to 50 for 5 yards (9-J.Smith-Schuster). PENALTY on BUF-57-A.Epenesa, Unn [WPA -8.4% · EPA -3.59]
• Buffalo Bills (Q2 37:38) — (7:38) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right intended for 88-D.Knox INTERCEPTED by 27-C.Conner at KC 31. 27-C.Conner to BUF 40 for 29 yards (74-R.Van Demark). [WPA -8.1% · EPA -4.41]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Buffalo Bills (Q4 2:27) — (2:27) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen scrambles right tackle for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN. ** Injury Update: BUF-73-D.Dawkins has returned to the game. [WPA +13.9% · EPA +4.94]
• Buffalo Bills (Q2 37:38) — (7:38) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right intended for 88-D.Knox INTERCEPTED by 27-C.Conner at KC 31. 27-C.Conner to BUF 40 for 29 yards (74-R.Van Demark). [WPA -8.1% · EPA -4.41]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q1 59:23) — (14:23) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep right intended for 83-N.Gray INTERCEPTED by 9-T.Rapp [92-Da.Jones] at BUF 45. 9-T.Rapp to 50 for 5 yards (9-J.Smith-Schuster). PENALTY on BUF-57-A.Epenesa, Unn [WPA -8.4% · EPA -3.59]
• Buffalo Bills (Q1 57:59) — (12:59) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass deep left to 18-A.Cooper to KC 31 for 30 yards (13-N.Johnson). Caught near sideline at KC 39. [WPA +9.3% · EPA +3.01]

Quarterback report card

J.Allen led all passers in efficiency for Buffalo Bills, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• J.Allen (Buffalo Bills) · 47 dropbacks · 57.4% completion · +4.2% CPOE · +0.31 EPA/play · +14.76 total EPA
• P.Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs) · 38 dropbacks · 60.5% completion · +9.6% CPOE · +0.11 EPA/play · +4.27 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Buffalo Bills held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.14 vs +0.04), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

• Buffalo Bills: 10 drives, +12.11 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
• Kansas City Chiefs: 9 drives, +2.91 total EPA, 3 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Buffalo Bills leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• J. Allen (Buffalo Bills) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• J. Allen (BUF) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
• P. Mahomes (KC) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q1 55:04 · KC 3 · Score 0-6
   (10:04) 4-J.Cook right end for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
2. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q2 45:00 · BUF 10 · Score 6-6
   (15:00) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 1-X.Worthy for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught in flat at BUF 10.
3. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q2 44:53 · BUF 15 · Score 7-6
   40-S.Shrader extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-14-M.Araiza.
4. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q2 40:13 · KC 6 · Score 7-12
   (10:13) 4-J.Cook up the middle for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
5. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q2 40:08 · KC 15 · Score 7-13
   2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin.
6. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q2 32:53 · BUF 2 · Score 13-13
   (2:53) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle to 83-N.Gray for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
7. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q2 32:51 · BUF 15 · Score 14-13
   40-S.Shrader extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-14-M.Araiza.
8. Buffalo Bills FG (+3) — Q2 30:05 · KC 15 · Score 14-16
   (:05) 2-T.Bass 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin.
9. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q4 12:57 · KC 12 · Score 14-22
   (12:57) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 1-C.Samuel for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN [27-C.Conner]. Caught in flat at KC 10.
10. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q4 12:51 · KC 15 · Score 14-23
    2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin.
11. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q4 7:59 · BUF 1 · Score 20-23
    (7:59) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 83-N.Gray for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN [50-G.Rousseau]. Caught in rear corner of end zone.
12. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q4 7:53 · BUF 15 · Score 21-23
    40-S.Shrader extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-14-M.Araiza.
13. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q4 2:27 · KC 26 · Score 21-29
    (2:27) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen scrambles right tackle for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN. ** Injury Update: BUF-73-D.Dawkins has returned to the game.
14. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q4 2:17 · KC 15 · Score 21-30
    2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin.