Kansas City Chiefs vs. Buffalo Bills: 2013 Week 9 Recap

Game story

In Week 9 of the 2013 NFL season on 2013-11-03, the Kansas City Chiefs took care of business against the Buffalo Bills, pulling away with a 23–13 final that built a comfortable lead.

The highest-scoring period was Q3 with 13 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

J. Tuel (Buffalo Bills) paced the passing game, with -18.41 total EPA, and -15.1% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, M. Goodwin (Buffalo Bills) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +5.58 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-32.2% win probability) landed in the third quarter when Buffalo Bills changed the game: (11:14) (Shotgun) 7-J.Tuel pass short right intended for 11-T.Graham INTERCEPTED by 27-S.Smith at KC 0. 27-S.Smith for 100 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 M. Goodwin · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +5.58 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.40 EPA/play
2. 2 C. Spiller · Buffalo Bills · Rushing · +5.37 total EPA · 12 snaps · +0.45 EPA/play
3. 3 C. Spiller · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +2.82 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.94 EPA/play
4. 4 R. Woods · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +1.69 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.21 EPA/play
5. 5 A. Fasano · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +1.56 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.56 EPA/play
6. 6 F. Jackson · Buffalo Bills · Rushing · +1.41 total EPA · 16 snaps · +0.09 EPA/play
7. 7 S. Johnson · Buffalo Bills · Rushing · +1.15 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.15 EPA/play
8. 8 D. Bowe · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +1.07 total EPA · 12 snaps · +0.09 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Buffalo Bills — M. Goodwin (J. Tuel pass) (Q1 46:59)
• Kansas City Chiefs — S. Smith (Q3 26:14)
• Kansas City Chiefs — T. Graham (J. Tuel pass) (Q4 12:55)

Field goals

• Kansas City Chiefs — R. Succop (Q2 37:34)
• Buffalo Bills — D. Carpenter (Q2 31:50)
• Kansas City Chiefs — R. Succop (Q3 19:02)
• Buffalo Bills — D. Carpenter (Q3 15:23)
• Kansas City Chiefs — R. Succop (Q4 2:18)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 7–0. Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the KC 59 (Q1 46:59) — (1:59) (Shotgun) 7-J.Tuel pass deep right to 88-M.Goodwin for 59 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught in flat at KC 25.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the KC 2 (Q1 46:52) — 2-D.Carpenter extra point is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-8-B.Moorman..

The second quarter: The quarter finished even at 3–3. Kansas City Chiefs connected on a field goal from the BUF 9 (Q2 37:34) — (7:34) 6-R.Succop 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-43-T.Gafford, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.; Buffalo Bills connected on a field goal from the KC 8 (Q2 31:50) — (1:50) 2-D.Carpenter 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-8-B.Moorman..

The third quarter: Kansas City Chiefs won the period 10–3. Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the KC 1 (Q3 26:14); Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the BUF 2 (Q3 25:58) — 6-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-43-T.Gafford, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.; Kansas City Chiefs connected on a field goal from the BUF 22 (Q3 19:02) — (4:02) 6-R.Succop 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-43-T.Gafford, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.; Buffalo Bills connected on a field goal from the KC 12 (Q3 15:23) — (:23) 2-D.Carpenter 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-8-B.Moorman..

The fourth quarter: Kansas City Chiefs won the period 10–0. Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the KC 87 (Q4 12:55); Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the BUF 2 (Q4 12:47) — 6-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-43-T.Gafford, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.; Kansas City Chiefs connected on a field goal from the BUF 21 (Q4 2:18) — (2:18) 6-R.Succop 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-43-T.Gafford, Holder-2-D.Colquitt..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Buffalo Bills (Q3 26:14) — (11:14) (Shotgun) 7-J.Tuel pass short right intended for 11-T.Graham INTERCEPTED by 27-S.Smith at KC 0. 27-S.Smith for 100 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -32.2% · EPA -12.65]
• Buffalo Bills (Q4 12:55) — (12:55) (Shotgun) 7-J.Tuel pass short middle to 11-T.Graham to BUF 16 for 3 yards (31-M.Cooper). FUMBLES (31-M.Cooper), RECOVERED by KC-91-T.Hali at BUF 11. 91-T.Hali for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -30.8% · EPA -6.10]
• Buffalo Bills (Q1 46:59) — (1:59) (Shotgun) 7-J.Tuel pass deep right to 88-M.Goodwin for 59 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught in flat at KC 25. [WPA +16.8% · EPA +6.02]
• Buffalo Bills (Q3 17:31) — (2:31) (Shotgun) 7-J.Tuel pass short left to 28-C.Spiller pushed ob at KC 25 for 27 yards (23-K.Lewis). Flare pass, caught at KC 47. [WPA +13.8% · EPA +2.01]
• Buffalo Bills (Q3 30:00) — (15:00) 28-C.Spiller up the middle to KC 19 for 61 yards (27-S.Smith). [WPA +8.7% · EPA +3.91]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Buffalo Bills (Q3 26:14) — (11:14) (Shotgun) 7-J.Tuel pass short right intended for 11-T.Graham INTERCEPTED by 27-S.Smith at KC 0. 27-S.Smith for 100 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -32.2% · EPA -12.65]
• Buffalo Bills (Q4 12:55) — (12:55) (Shotgun) 7-J.Tuel pass short middle to 11-T.Graham to BUF 16 for 3 yards (31-M.Cooper). FUMBLES (31-M.Cooper), RECOVERED by KC-91-T.Hali at BUF 11. 91-T.Hali for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -30.8% · EPA -6.10]
• Buffalo Bills (Q1 46:59) — (1:59) (Shotgun) 7-J.Tuel pass deep right to 88-M.Goodwin for 59 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught in flat at KC 25. [WPA +16.8% · EPA +6.02]
• Buffalo Bills (Q3 30:00) — (15:00) 28-C.Spiller up the middle to KC 19 for 61 yards (27-S.Smith). [WPA +8.7% · EPA +3.91]

Quarterback report card

J.Tuel led all passers in efficiency for Buffalo Bills, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• J.Tuel (Buffalo Bills) · 44 dropbacks · 40.9% completion · -15.1% CPOE · -0.42 EPA/play · -18.41 total EPA
• A.Smith (Kansas City Chiefs) · 36 dropbacks · 52.8% completion · -0.5% CPOE · -0.15 EPA/play · -5.45 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Kansas City Chiefs generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.00 vs -0.14), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

• Buffalo Bills: 12 drives, -13.24 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
• Kansas City Chiefs: 12 drives, +0.09 total EPA, 3 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Kansas City Chiefs leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• M. Goodwin (Buffalo Bills) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• J. Tuel (BUF) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q1 46:59 · KC 59 · Score 0-6
   (1:59) (Shotgun) 7-J.Tuel pass deep right to 88-M.Goodwin for 59 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught in flat at KC 25.
2. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q1 46:52 · KC 2 · Score 0-7
   2-D.Carpenter extra point is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-8-B.Moorman.
3. Kansas City Chiefs FG (+3) — Q2 37:34 · BUF 9 · Score 3-7
   (7:34) 6-R.Succop 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-43-T.Gafford, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
4. Buffalo Bills FG (+3) — Q2 31:50 · KC 8 · Score 3-10
   (1:50) 2-D.Carpenter 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-8-B.Moorman.
5. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q3 26:14 · KC 1 · Score 9-10
   (11:14) (Shotgun) 7-J.Tuel pass short right intended for 11-T.Graham INTERCEPTED by 27-S.Smith at KC 0. 27-S.Smith for 100 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
6. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q3 25:58 · BUF 2 · Score 10-10
   6-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-43-T.Gafford, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
7. Kansas City Chiefs FG (+3) — Q3 19:02 · BUF 22 · Score 13-10
   (4:02) 6-R.Succop 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-43-T.Gafford, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
8. Buffalo Bills FG (+3) — Q3 15:23 · KC 12 · Score 13-13
   (:23) 2-D.Carpenter 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-8-B.Moorman.
9. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q4 12:55 · KC 87 · Score 19-13
   (12:55) (Shotgun) 7-J.Tuel pass short middle to 11-T.Graham to BUF 16 for 3 yards (31-M.Cooper). FUMBLES (31-M.Cooper), RECOVERED by KC-91-T.Hali at BUF 11. 91-
10. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q4 12:47 · BUF 2 · Score 20-13
    6-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-43-T.Gafford, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
11. Kansas City Chiefs FG (+3) — Q4 2:18 · BUF 21 · Score 23-13
    (2:18) 6-R.Succop 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-43-T.Gafford, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.