Jacksonville Jaguars vs. New Orleans Saints: 2007 Week 9 Recap

Game story

In Week 9 of the 2007 NFL season on 2007-11-04, the New Orleans Saints took care of business against the Jacksonville Jaguars, pulling away with a 41–24 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q1 with 34 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

D. Brees (New Orleans Saints) paced the passing game, with +16.04 total EPA, and +11.6% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, D. Brees (New Orleans Saints) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +16.04 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+18.5% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when Jacksonville Jaguars changed the game: 2-O.Mare kicks 70 yards from NO 30 to JAX 0. 32-M.Jones-Drew for 100 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 D. Brees · New Orleans Saints · Passing · +16.04 total EPA · 51 snaps · +0.31 EPA/play
2. 2 M. Colston · New Orleans Saints · Receiving · +10.46 total EPA · 10 snaps · +1.05 EPA/play
3. 3 R. Williams · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +9.31 total EPA · 6 snaps · +1.55 EPA/play
4. 4 D. Patten · New Orleans Saints · Receiving · +5.58 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.40 EPA/play
5. 5 J. Broussard · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +5.39 total EPA · 2 snaps · +2.69 EPA/play
6. 6 B. Miller · New Orleans Saints · Receiving · +4.88 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.63 EPA/play
7. 7 L. Moore · New Orleans Saints · Receiving · +4.29 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.43 EPA/play
8. 8 M. Jones-Drew · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +3.93 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.96 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• New Orleans Saints — R. Bush (Q1 53:36)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — R. Williams (Q. Gray pass) (Q1 52:44)
• New Orleans Saints — R. Bush (D. Brees pass) (Q1 45:18)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — M. Jones-Drew (Q1 45:12)
• New Orleans Saints — L. Moore (D. Brees pass) (Q2 35:37)
• New Orleans Saints — M. McKenzie (Q3 24:01)
• New Orleans Saints — D. Patten (D. Brees pass) (Q3 17:09)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — D. Northcutt (Q. Gray pass) (Q4 9:41)

Field goals

• New Orleans Saints — O. Mare (Q1 57:20)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — J. Carney (Q1 47:05)
• New Orleans Saints — O. Mare (Q4 3:05)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: The quarter finished even at 17–17. New Orleans Saints connected on a field goal from the JAX 28 (Q1 57:20) — (12:20) 2-O.Mare 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-K.Houser, Holder-7-S.Weatherford.; New Orleans Saints found the end zone from the JAX 1 (Q1 53:36) — (8:36) 25-R.Bush left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; New Orleans Saints added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q1 53:33) — 2-O.Mare extra point is GOOD, Center-47-K.Houser, Holder-7-S.Weatherford.; Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the NO 80 (Q1 52:44) — (7:44) (Shotgun) 5-Q.Gray pass deep left to 11-R.Williams for 80 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the NO 2 (Q1 52:32) — 1-J.Carney extra point is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-3-A.Podlesh.; Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the NO 12 (Q1 47:05); New Orleans Saints found the end zone from the JAX 2 (Q1 45:18) — (:18) 9-D.Brees pass short right to 25-R.Bush for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New Orleans Saints added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q1 45:12) — 2-O.Mare extra point is GOOD, Center-47-K.Houser, Holder-7-S.Weatherford.; Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the NO 30 (Q1 45:12) — 2-O.Mare kicks 70 yards from NO 30 to JAX 0. 32-M.Jones-Drew for 100 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the NO 2 (Q1 45:00) — 1-J.Carney extra point is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-3-A.Podlesh..

The second quarter: New Orleans Saints won the period 7–0. New Orleans Saints found the end zone from the JAX 8 (Q2 35:37) — (5:37) 9-D.Brees pass short middle to 16-L.Moore for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New Orleans Saints added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q2 35:31) — 2-O.Mare extra point is GOOD, Center-47-K.Houser, Holder-7-S.Weatherford..

The third quarter: New Orleans Saints won the period 14–0. New Orleans Saints found the end zone from the NO 34 (Q3 24:01); New Orleans Saints added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q3 23:47) — 2-O.Mare extra point is GOOD, Center-47-K.Houser, Holder-7-S.Weatherford.; New Orleans Saints found the end zone from the JAX 4 (Q3 17:09) — (2:09) 9-D.Brees pass short left to 81-D.Patten for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New Orleans Saints added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q3 17:02) — 2-O.Mare extra point is GOOD, Center-47-K.Houser, Holder-7-S.Weatherford..

The fourth quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 7–3. Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the NO 15 (Q4 9:41) — (9:41) (Shotgun) 5-Q.Gray pass short left to 86-D.Northcutt for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the NO 2 (Q4 9:32) — 1-J.Carney extra point is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-3-A.Podlesh.; New Orleans Saints connected on a field goal from the JAX 16 (Q4 3:05) — (3:05) 2-O.Mare 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-K.Houser, Holder-7-S.Weatherford..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q1 45:12) — 2-O.Mare kicks 70 yards from NO 30 to JAX 0. 32-M.Jones-Drew for 100 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +18.5% · EPA +6.41]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q1 52:44) — (7:44) (Shotgun) 5-Q.Gray pass deep left to 11-R.Williams for 80 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +17.2% · EPA +7.76]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q3 24:01) — (9:01) (Shotgun) 5-Q.Gray pass short right intended for 19-E.Wilford INTERCEPTED by 34-M.McKenzie [98-R.Wynn] at NO 25. 34-M.McKenzie for 75 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -14.3% · EPA -8.03]
• New Orleans Saints (Q1 46:12) — (1:12) 9-D.Brees pass deep left to 83-B.Miller to JAX 2 for 57 yards (26-S.Knight). [WPA +13.8% · EPA +3.96]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q1 49:48) — (4:48) (Shotgun) 5-Q.Gray pass short right to 32-M.Jones-Drew pushed ob at NO 48 for 22 yards (34-M.McKenzie). PENALTY on NO-34-M.McKenzie, Face Mask (15 Yards), 15 yards, enforced at NO 48. [WPA +13.3% · EPA +3.47]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q3 24:01) — (9:01) (Shotgun) 5-Q.Gray pass short right intended for 19-E.Wilford INTERCEPTED by 34-M.McKenzie [98-R.Wynn] at NO 25. 34-M.McKenzie for 75 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -14.3% · EPA -8.03]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q1 52:44) — (7:44) (Shotgun) 5-Q.Gray pass deep left to 11-R.Williams for 80 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +17.2% · EPA +7.76]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q1 45:12) — 2-O.Mare kicks 70 yards from NO 30 to JAX 0. 32-M.Jones-Drew for 100 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +18.5% · EPA +6.41]
• New Orleans Saints (Q2 41:41) — (11:41) 9-D.Brees sacked at JAX 31 for -10 yards (95-P.Spicer). FUMBLES (95-P.Spicer), RECOVERED by JAX-95-P.Spicer at JAX 31. 95-P.Spicer to JAX 31 for no gain (78-J.Stinchcomb). Penalty on NO-78-J.S [WPA -12.8% · EPA -5.35]

Quarterback report card

D.Brees led all passers in efficiency for New Orleans Saints, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• D.Brees (New Orleans Saints) · 51 dropbacks · 68.6% completion · +11.6% CPOE · +0.31 EPA/play · +16.04 total EPA
• Q.Gray (Jacksonville Jaguars) · 39 dropbacks · 51.3% completion · +2.8% CPOE · +0.09 EPA/play · +3.43 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

New Orleans Saints held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.17 vs +0.01), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

• Jacksonville Jaguars: 14 drives, +0.83 total EPA, 6 scoring drives
• New Orleans Saints: 14 drives, +16.10 total EPA, 6 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• New Orleans Saints leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• D. Brees (New Orleans Saints) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• D. Brees (NO) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. New Orleans Saints FG (+3) — Q1 57:20 · JAX 28 · Score 0-3
   (12:20) 2-O.Mare 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-K.Houser, Holder-7-S.Weatherford.
2. New Orleans Saints TD (+6) — Q1 53:36 · JAX 1 · Score 0-9
   (8:36) 25-R.Bush left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
3. New Orleans Saints XP (+1) — Q1 53:33 · JAX 2 · Score 0-10
   2-O.Mare extra point is GOOD, Center-47-K.Houser, Holder-7-S.Weatherford.
4. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q1 52:44 · NO 80 · Score 6-10
   (7:44) (Shotgun) 5-Q.Gray pass deep left to 11-R.Williams for 80 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
5. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q1 52:32 · NO 2 · Score 7-10
   1-J.Carney extra point is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-3-A.Podlesh.
6. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q1 47:05 · NO 12 · Score 10-10
   (2:05) 1-J.Carney 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-3-A.Podlesh. INJURY UPDATE - Jacksonville #64 Naeole, sprained left knee, WILL NOT ret
7. New Orleans Saints TD (+6) — Q1 45:18 · JAX 2 · Score 10-16
   (:18) 9-D.Brees pass short right to 25-R.Bush for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
8. New Orleans Saints XP (+1) — Q1 45:12 · JAX 2 · Score 10-17
   2-O.Mare extra point is GOOD, Center-47-K.Houser, Holder-7-S.Weatherford.
9. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q1 45:12 · NO 30 · Score 16-17
   2-O.Mare kicks 70 yards from NO 30 to JAX 0. 32-M.Jones-Drew for 100 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
10. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q1 45:00 · NO 2 · Score 17-17
    1-J.Carney extra point is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-3-A.Podlesh.
11. New Orleans Saints TD (+6) — Q2 35:37 · JAX 8 · Score 17-23
    (5:37) 9-D.Brees pass short middle to 16-L.Moore for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
12. New Orleans Saints XP (+1) — Q2 35:31 · JAX 2 · Score 17-24
    2-O.Mare extra point is GOOD, Center-47-K.Houser, Holder-7-S.Weatherford.
13. New Orleans Saints TD (+6) — Q3 24:01 · NO 34 · Score 17-30
    (9:01) (Shotgun) 5-Q.Gray pass short right intended for 19-E.Wilford INTERCEPTED by 34-M.McKenzie [98-R.Wynn] at NO 25. 34-M.McKenzie for 75 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
14. New Orleans Saints XP (+1) — Q3 23:47 · JAX 2 · Score 17-31
    2-O.Mare extra point is GOOD, Center-47-K.Houser, Holder-7-S.Weatherford.
15. New Orleans Saints TD (+6) — Q3 17:09 · JAX 4 · Score 17-37
    (2:09) 9-D.Brees pass short left to 81-D.Patten for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
16. New Orleans Saints XP (+1) — Q3 17:02 · JAX 2 · Score 17-38
    2-O.Mare extra point is GOOD, Center-47-K.Houser, Holder-7-S.Weatherford.
17. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q4 9:41 · NO 15 · Score 23-38
    (9:41) (Shotgun) 5-Q.Gray pass short left to 86-D.Northcutt for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
18. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q4 9:32 · NO 2 · Score 24-38
    1-J.Carney extra point is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-3-A.Podlesh.
19. New Orleans Saints FG (+3) — Q4 3:05 · JAX 16 · Score 24-41
    (3:05) 2-O.Mare 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-K.Houser, Holder-7-S.Weatherford.