Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Kansas City Chiefs: 2018 Week 5 Recap

Game story

In Week 5 of the 2018 NFL season on 2018-10-07, the Kansas City Chiefs took care of business against the Jacksonville Jaguars, pulling away with a 30–14 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 14 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

B. Bortles (Jacksonville Jaguars) paced the passing game, with -16.10 total EPA, and -6.0% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, P. Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +9.79 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-7.7% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Jacksonville Jaguars changed the game: (4:21) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles sacked at KC 47 for -6 yards (55-D.Ford). FUMBLES (55-D.Ford), RECOVERED by KC-57-B.Speaks at KC 49. 57-B.Speaks to KC 49 for no gain (78-J.Parnell).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 P. Mahomes · Kansas City Chiefs · Passing · +9.79 total EPA · 42 snaps · +0.23 EPA/play
2. 2 S. Watkins · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +6.09 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.76 EPA/play
3. 3 T. Kelce · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +5.68 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.71 EPA/play
4. 4 D. Westbrook · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +3.77 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.75 EPA/play
5. 5 B. Bortles · Jacksonville Jaguars · Rushing · +2.70 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.35 EPA/play
6. 6 S. Ware · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +2.13 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.13 EPA/play
7. 7 D. Chark · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +2.08 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.52 EPA/play
8. 8 T. Hill · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +1.86 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.27 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Kansas City Chiefs — P. Mahomes (Q1 51:44)
• Kansas City Chiefs — C. Jones (Q2 31:56)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — T. Yeldon (B. Bortles pass) (Q3 18:15)
• Kansas City Chiefs — K. Hunt (Q4 15:00)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — B. Bortles (Q4 5:56)

Field goals

• Kansas City Chiefs — H. Butker (Q2 43:33)
• Kansas City Chiefs — H. Butker (Q2 32:00)
• Kansas City Chiefs — H. Butker (Q3 20:30)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Kansas City Chiefs won the period 7–0. Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the JAX 4 (Q1 51:44); Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the JAX 15 (Q1 51:39) — 7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt..

The second quarter: Kansas City Chiefs won the period 13–0. Kansas City Chiefs connected on a field goal from the JAX 4 (Q2 43:33) — (13:33) 7-H.Butker 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.; Kansas City Chiefs connected on a field goal from the JAX 24 (Q2 32:00) — (2:00) 7-H.Butker 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.; Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the KC 75 (Q2 31:56); Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the JAX 15 (Q2 31:49) — 7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt..

The third quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 7–3. Kansas City Chiefs connected on a field goal from the JAX 20 (Q3 20:30) — (5:30) 7-H.Butker 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.; Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the KC 14 (Q3 18:15) — (3:15) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles pass short right to 24-T.Yeldon for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the KC 15 (Q3 18:10).

The fourth quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the JAX 4 (Q4 15:00) — (15:00) 27-K.Hunt up the middle for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the JAX 15 (Q4 14:57) — 7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.; Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the KC 21 (Q4 5:56); Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the KC 15 (Q4 5:46) — 4-J.Lambo extra point is GOOD, Center-46-C.Tinker, Holder-9-L.Cooke..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q2 34:21) — (4:21) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles sacked at KC 47 for -6 yards (55-D.Ford). FUMBLES (55-D.Ford), RECOVERED by KC-57-B.Speaks at KC 49. 57-B.Speaks to KC 49 for no gain (78-J.Parnell). [WPA -7.7% · EPA -5.26]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q2 31:56) — (1:56) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles pass short right intended for 24-T.Yeldon INTERCEPTED by 95-C.Jones at JAX 20. 95-C.Jones for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on JAX-78-J.Parnell, Face Mask (15 Yards), 15 ya [WPA -7.0% · EPA -7.63]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q1 54:49) — (9:49) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 42-A.Sherman to JAX 38 for 15 yards (50-Tel.Smith). [WPA +6.9% · EPA +1.26]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q1 51:05) — (6:05) 5-B.Bortles pass deep left to 17-D.Chark to KC 31 for 38 yards (20-S.Nelson). [WPA +6.6% · EPA +2.73]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q2 37:40) — (7:40) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles pass incomplete short left to 88-A.Seferian-Jenkins (25-A.Watts). [WPA -6.5% · EPA -3.78]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q2 31:56) — (1:56) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles pass short right intended for 24-T.Yeldon INTERCEPTED by 95-C.Jones at JAX 20. 95-C.Jones for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on JAX-78-J.Parnell, Face Mask (15 Yards), 15 ya [WPA -7.0% · EPA -7.63]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 11:38) — (11:38) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles pass deep middle intended for 80-J.O'Shaughnessy INTERCEPTED by 24-J.Lucas [55-D.Ford] at KC 1. 24-J.Lucas to 50 for 49 yards (60-A.Cann). [WPA -0.4% · EPA -7.18]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q2 34:21) — (4:21) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles sacked at KC 47 for -6 yards (55-D.Ford). FUMBLES (55-D.Ford), RECOVERED by KC-57-B.Speaks at KC 49. 57-B.Speaks to KC 49 for no gain (78-J.Parnell). [WPA -7.7% · EPA -5.26]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q2 30:19) — (:19) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles pass short middle intended for 24-T.Yeldon INTERCEPTED by 20-S.Nelson [55-D.Ford] at KC -5. Touchback. [WPA -1.9% · EPA -4.94]

Quarterback report card

B.Bortles led all passers in efficiency for Jacksonville Jaguars, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• B.Bortles (Jacksonville Jaguars) · 68 dropbacks · 48.5% completion · -6.0% CPOE · -0.24 EPA/play · -16.10 total EPA
• P.Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs) · 42 dropbacks · 52.4% completion · -3.1% CPOE · +0.23 EPA/play · +9.79 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Kansas City Chiefs held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.05 vs -0.14), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

• Jacksonville Jaguars: 12 drives, -13.37 total EPA, 3 scoring drives
• Kansas City Chiefs: 13 drives, +4.69 total EPA, 5 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Kansas City Chiefs leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• P. Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• B. Bortles (JAX) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
• P. Mahomes (KC) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q1 51:44 · JAX 4 · Score 0-6
   (6:44) 15-P.Mahomes scrambles left end for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner broke the plane ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruli
2. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q1 51:39 · JAX 15 · Score 0-7
   7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
3. Kansas City Chiefs FG (+3) — Q2 43:33 · JAX 4 · Score 0-10
   (13:33) 7-H.Butker 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
4. Kansas City Chiefs FG (+3) — Q2 32:00 · JAX 24 · Score 0-13
   (2:00) 7-H.Butker 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
5. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q2 31:56 · KC 75 · Score 0-19
   (1:56) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles pass short right intended for 24-T.Yeldon INTERCEPTED by 95-C.Jones at JAX 20. 95-C.Jones for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on JAX-7
6. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q2 31:49 · JAX 15 · Score 0-20
   7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
7. Kansas City Chiefs FG (+3) — Q3 20:30 · JAX 20 · Score 0-23
   (5:30) 7-H.Butker 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
8. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q3 18:15 · KC 14 · Score 6-23
   (3:15) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles pass short right to 24-T.Yeldon for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
9. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q3 18:10 · KC 15 · Score 7-23
   4-J.Lambo extra point is GOOD, Center-46-C.Tinker, Holder-9-L.Cooke. PENALTY on KC-95-C.Jones, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced between downs. The Repl
10. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q4 15:00 · JAX 4 · Score 7-29
    (15:00) 27-K.Hunt up the middle for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
11. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q4 14:57 · JAX 15 · Score 7-30
    7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
12. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q4 5:56 · KC 21 · Score 13-30
    (5:56) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles scrambles left end for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner broke the plane ruling, and the play was Upheld
13. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q4 5:46 · KC 15 · Score 14-30
    4-J.Lambo extra point is GOOD, Center-46-C.Tinker, Holder-9-L.Cooke.