Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Indianapolis Colts: 2022 Week 6 Recap

Game story

In Week 6 of the 2022 NFL season on 2022-10-16, the Indianapolis Colts took care of business against the Jacksonville Jaguars, pulling away with a 34–27 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 29 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

M. Ryan (Indianapolis Colts) paced the passing game, with +19.67 total EPA, and +3.6% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, M. Ryan (Indianapolis Colts) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +19.67 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+36.1% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Indianapolis Colts changed the game: (:23) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass deep right to 14-A.Pierce for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 M. Ryan · Indianapolis Colts · Passing · +19.67 total EPA · 64 snaps · +0.31 EPA/play
2. 2 M. Pittman · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +7.40 total EPA · 17 snaps · +0.44 EPA/play
3. 3 Z. Jones · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +5.87 total EPA · 5 snaps · +1.17 EPA/play
4. 4 T. Lawrence · Jacksonville Jaguars · Rushing · +5.12 total EPA · 5 snaps · +1.02 EPA/play
5. 5 T. Lawrence · Jacksonville Jaguars · Passing · +4.97 total EPA · 31 snaps · +0.16 EPA/play
6. 6 P. Campbell · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +4.25 total EPA · 11 snaps · +0.39 EPA/play
7. 7 K. Granson · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +3.80 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.95 EPA/play
8. 8 J. Hasty · Jacksonville Jaguars · Rushing · +3.75 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.25 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Jacksonville Jaguars — T. Lawrence (Q1 48:51)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — J. Hasty (Q2 41:36)
• Indianapolis Colts — P. Campbell (M. Ryan pass) (Q2 32:11)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — T. Lawrence (Q3 25:58)
• Indianapolis Colts — D. Jackson (Q3 20:47)
• Indianapolis Colts — J. Woods (M. Ryan pass) (Q4 12:52)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — C. Kirk (T. Lawrence pass) (Q4 2:48)
• Indianapolis Colts — A. Pierce (M. Ryan pass) (Q4 0:23)

Field goals

• Indianapolis Colts — C. McLaughlin (Q2 44:00)
• Indianapolis Colts — C. McLaughlin (Q2 30:25)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 13–0. Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the IND 1 (Q1 48:51) — (3:51) 16-T.Lawrence up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the IND 15 (Q1 48:48) — 10-R.Patterson extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke..

The second quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 13–7. Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the JAX 10 (Q2 44:00) — (14:00) 7-C.McLaughlin 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-6-M.Haack.; Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the IND 61 (Q2 41:36) — (11:36) 72-W.Little reported in as eligible. 22-J.Hasty right tackle for 61 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the IND 15 (Q2 41:27) — 10-R.Patterson extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.; Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the JAX 4 (Q2 32:11) — (2:11) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short left to 1-P.Campbell for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the JAX 15 (Q2 32:06) — 7-C.McLaughlin extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-6-M.Haack.; Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the JAX 24 (Q2 30:25) — (:25) 7-C.McLaughlin 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-6-M.Haack..

The third quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 7–6. Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the IND 2 (Q3 25:58) — (10:58) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence left guard for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the IND 15 (Q3 25:55) — 10-R.Patterson extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.; Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the JAX 3 (Q3 20:47) — (5:47) (No Huddle) 35-D.Jackson left guard for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN..

The fourth quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 23–6. Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the JAX 10 (Q4 12:52) — (12:52) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short left to 80-J.Woods for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the JAX 15 (Q4 12:47) — 7-C.McLaughlin extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-6-M.Haack.; Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the IND 4 (Q4 2:48) — (2:48) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short right to 13-C.Kirk for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the JAX 32 (Q4 0:23) — (:23) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass deep right to 14-A.Pierce for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the JAX 2 (Q4 0:17) — TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 30-P.Lindsay rushes up the middle. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.; Indianapolis Colts registered a safety from the IND 35 (Q4 0:17) — 7-C.McLaughlin kicks 62 yards from IND 35 to JAX 3. 6-C.Claybrooks to JAX 25 for 22 yards (45-E.Speed; 44-Z.Franklin)..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Indianapolis Colts (Q4 0:23) — (:23) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass deep right to 14-A.Pierce for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +36.1% · EPA +4.58]
• Indianapolis Colts (Q4 0:49) — (:49) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short middle to 11-M.Pittman to JAX 29 for 15 yards (5-A.Cisco; 31-D.Williams). [WPA +19.1% · EPA +1.67]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q3 16:14) — (1:14) (Shotgun) 72-W.Little reported in as eligible. 1-T.Etienne right end pushed ob at IND 34 for -2 yards (45-E.Speed). [WPA -14.8% · EPA -4.27]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q2 41:36) — (11:36) 72-W.Little reported in as eligible. 22-J.Hasty right tackle for 61 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +12.9% · EPA +5.52]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q1 56:10) — (11:10) (No Huddle) 1-T.Etienne left tackle pushed ob at IND 27 for 48 yards (25-R.Thomas). [WPA +11.8% · EPA +3.31]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q2 41:36) — (11:36) 72-W.Little reported in as eligible. 22-J.Hasty right tackle for 61 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +12.9% · EPA +5.52]
• Indianapolis Colts (Q4 0:23) — (:23) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass deep right to 14-A.Pierce for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +36.1% · EPA +4.58]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q3 16:14) — (1:14) (Shotgun) 72-W.Little reported in as eligible. 1-T.Etienne right end pushed ob at IND 34 for -2 yards (45-E.Speed). [WPA -14.8% · EPA -4.27]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q1 54:53) — (9:53) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence sacked at IND 40 for -14 yards (99-D.Buckner). [WPA -8.3% · EPA -3.43]

Quarterback report card

M.Ryan led all passers in efficiency for Indianapolis Colts, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• M.Ryan (Indianapolis Colts) · 64 dropbacks · 65.6% completion · +3.6% CPOE · +0.31 EPA/play · +19.67 total EPA
• T.Lawrence (Jacksonville Jaguars) · 31 dropbacks · 64.5% completion · +15.3% CPOE · +0.16 EPA/play · +4.97 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Jacksonville Jaguars +0.15, Indianapolis Colts +0.18) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

• Indianapolis Colts: 10 drives, +17.07 total EPA, 6 scoring drives
• Jacksonville Jaguars: 10 drives, +11.83 total EPA, 4 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Indianapolis Colts leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
• M. Ryan (Indianapolis Colts) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• M. Ryan (IND) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
• T. Lawrence (JAX) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q1 48:51 · IND 1 · Score 6-0
   (3:51) 16-T.Lawrence up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
2. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+7) — Q1 48:48 · IND 15 · Score 7-0
   10-R.Patterson extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
3. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q2 44:00 · JAX 10 · Score 7-3
   (14:00) 7-C.McLaughlin 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-6-M.Haack.
4. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q2 41:36 · IND 61 · Score 13-3
   (11:36) 72-W.Little reported in as eligible. 22-J.Hasty right tackle for 61 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
5. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q2 41:27 · IND 15 · Score 14-3
   10-R.Patterson extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
6. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q2 32:11 · JAX 4 · Score 14-9
   (2:11) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short left to 1-P.Campbell for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
7. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q2 32:06 · JAX 15 · Score 14-10
   7-C.McLaughlin extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-6-M.Haack.
8. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q2 30:25 · JAX 24 · Score 14-13
   (:25) 7-C.McLaughlin 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-6-M.Haack.
9. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q3 25:58 · IND 2 · Score 20-13
   (10:58) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence left guard for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
10. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q3 25:55 · IND 15 · Score 21-13
    10-R.Patterson extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
11. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q3 20:47 · JAX 3 · Score 21-19
    (5:47) (No Huddle) 35-D.Jackson left guard for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
12. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q4 12:52 · JAX 10 · Score 21-25
    (12:52) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short left to 80-J.Woods for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
13. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q4 12:47 · JAX 15 · Score 21-26
    7-C.McLaughlin extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-6-M.Haack.
14. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q4 2:48 · IND 4 · Score 27-26
    (2:48) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short right to 13-C.Kirk for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
15. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q4 0:23 · JAX 32 · Score 27-32
    (:23) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass deep right to 14-A.Pierce for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
16. Indianapolis Colts TD (+8) — Q4 0:17 · JAX 2 · Score 27-34
    TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 30-P.Lindsay rushes up the middle. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.
17. Indianapolis Colts Safety (+2) — Q4 0:17 · IND 35 · Score 27-34
    7-C.McLaughlin kicks 62 yards from IND 35 to JAX 3. 6-C.Claybrooks to JAX 25 for 22 yards (45-E.Speed; 44-Z.Franklin).