Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Indianapolis Colts: 2013 Week 17 Recap

Game story

In Week 17 of the 2013 NFL season on 2013-12-29, the Indianapolis Colts took care of business against the Jacksonville Jaguars, pulling away with a 30–10 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q1 with 17 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

C. Henne (Jacksonville Jaguars) paced the passing game, with -5.11 total EPA, and -6.4% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, T. Hilton (Indianapolis Colts) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +9.44 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-9.2% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when Jacksonville Jaguars changed the game: (14:01) (Run formation) 32-M.Jones-Drew right end to JAX 41 for 5 yards (50-J.Freeman). FUMBLES (50-J.Freeman), RECOVERED by IND-20-D.Butler at JAX 42. 20-D.Butler to JAX 42 for no gain (67-A.Pasztor)

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 T. Hilton · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +9.44 total EPA · 15 snaps · +0.63 EPA/play
2. 2 A. Luck · Indianapolis Colts · Passing · +7.44 total EPA · 39 snaps · +0.19 EPA/play
3. 3 K. Taylor · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +5.78 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.64 EPA/play
4. 4 M. Jones-Drew · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +5.75 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.96 EPA/play
5. 5 M. Lewis · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +3.22 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.54 EPA/play
6. 6 G. Whalen · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +2.70 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.39 EPA/play
7. 7 T. Richardson · Indianapolis Colts · Rushing · +2.40 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.30 EPA/play
8. 8 M. Hasselbeck · Indianapolis Colts · Passing · +2.09 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.52 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Indianapolis Colts — D. Brown (Q1 55:50)
• Indianapolis Colts — T. Richardson (Q1 52:34)
• Indianapolis Colts — G. Whalen (A. Luck pass) (Q3 25:46)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — K. Taylor (C. Henne pass) (Q4 0:20)

Field goals

• Indianapolis Colts — A. Vinatieri (Q1 46:27)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — J. Scobee (Q2 42:00)
• Indianapolis Colts — A. Vinatieri (Q2 30:02)
• Indianapolis Colts — A. Vinatieri (Q4 8:06)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 17–0. Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the JAX 1 (Q1 55:50) — (10:50) (No Huddle) 31-D.Brown up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q1 55:45) — 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee.; Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the JAX 2 (Q1 52:34) — (7:34) (Run formation) 34-T.Richardson left tackle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. IND - Nixon (71) and Matthews (91) report as eligible.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q1 52:30) — 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee.; Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the JAX 4 (Q1 46:27) — (1:27) 4-A.Vinatieri 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee..

The second quarter: The quarter finished even at 3–3. Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the IND 19 (Q2 42:00) — (12:00) 10-J.Scobee 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Tinker, Holder-19-B.Anger.; Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the JAX 8 (Q2 30:02) — (:02) 4-A.Vinatieri 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee..

The third quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 7–0. Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the JAX 7 (Q3 25:46) — (10:46) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass short right to 17-G.Whalen for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q3 25:39) — 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee..

The fourth quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 7–3. Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the JAX 21 (Q4 8:06) — (8:06) 4-A.Vinatieri 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee.; Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the IND 14 (Q4 0:20) — (:20) (Shotgun) 7-C.Henne pass short left to 13-K.Taylor for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the IND 2 (Q4 0:16) — 10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-46-C.Tinker, Holder-19-B.Anger..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q1 59:01) — (14:01) (Run formation) 32-M.Jones-Drew right end to JAX 41 for 5 yards (50-J.Freeman). FUMBLES (50-J.Freeman), RECOVERED by IND-20-D.Butler at JAX 42. 20-D.Butler to JAX 42 for no gain (67-A.Pasztor) [WPA -9.2% · EPA -4.16]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q2 31:09) — (1:09) (Shotgun) 7-C.Henne pass deep right intended for 12-M.Brown INTERCEPTED by 41-A.Bethea (95-F.Moala) at IND 15. 41-A.Bethea to JAX 39 for 46 yards (77-U.Nwaneri; 7-C.Henne). [WPA -6.7% · EPA -5.66]
• Indianapolis Colts (Q1 58:53) — (13:53) (Shotgun) 31-D.Brown up the middle to JAX 35 for 7 yards (51-P.Posluszny). [WPA +5.0% · EPA +0.45]
• Indianapolis Colts (Q1 52:34) — (7:34) (Run formation) 34-T.Richardson left tackle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. IND - Nixon (71) and Matthews (91) report as eligible. [WPA +4.1% · EPA +3.81]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q1 55:32) — (10:32) (Shotgun) 7-C.Henne sacked at JAX 13 for -8 yards (98-R.Mathis). [WPA -3.7% · EPA -1.79]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q2 31:09) — (1:09) (Shotgun) 7-C.Henne pass deep right intended for 12-M.Brown INTERCEPTED by 41-A.Bethea (95-F.Moala) at IND 15. 41-A.Bethea to JAX 39 for 46 yards (77-U.Nwaneri; 7-C.Henne). [WPA -6.7% · EPA -5.66]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q1 59:01) — (14:01) (Run formation) 32-M.Jones-Drew right end to JAX 41 for 5 yards (50-J.Freeman). FUMBLES (50-J.Freeman), RECOVERED by IND-20-D.Butler at JAX 42. 20-D.Butler to JAX 42 for no gain (67-A.Pasztor) [WPA -9.2% · EPA -4.16]
• Indianapolis Colts (Q1 52:34) — (7:34) (Run formation) 34-T.Richardson left tackle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. IND - Nixon (71) and Matthews (91) report as eligible. [WPA +4.1% · EPA +3.81]
• Indianapolis Colts (Q3 28:14) — (13:14) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass short middle to 13-T.Hilton pushed ob at JAX 33 for 41 yards (26-J.Evans). [WPA +1.8% · EPA +3.46]

Quarterback report card

C.Henne led all passers in efficiency for Jacksonville Jaguars, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• C.Henne (Jacksonville Jaguars) · 54 dropbacks · 55.6% completion · -6.4% CPOE · -0.09 EPA/play · -5.11 total EPA
• A.Luck (Indianapolis Colts) · 39 dropbacks · 66.7% completion · +10.1% CPOE · +0.19 EPA/play · +7.44 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Indianapolis Colts held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.11 vs -0.13), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

• Indianapolis Colts: 12 drives, +9.51 total EPA, 6 scoring drives
• Jacksonville Jaguars: 11 drives, -11.16 total EPA, 2 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Indianapolis Colts leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• T. Hilton (Indianapolis Colts) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• C. Henne (JAX) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
• A. Luck (IND) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q1 55:50 · JAX 1 · Score 0-6
   (10:50) (No Huddle) 31-D.Brown up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
2. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q1 55:45 · JAX 2 · Score 0-7
   4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee.
3. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q1 52:34 · JAX 2 · Score 0-13
   (7:34) (Run formation) 34-T.Richardson left tackle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. IND - Nixon (71) and Matthews (91) report as eligible.
4. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q1 52:30 · JAX 2 · Score 0-14
   4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee.
5. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q1 46:27 · JAX 4 · Score 0-17
   (1:27) 4-A.Vinatieri 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee.
6. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q2 42:00 · IND 19 · Score 3-17
   (12:00) 10-J.Scobee 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Tinker, Holder-19-B.Anger.
7. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q2 30:02 · JAX 8 · Score 3-20
   (:02) 4-A.Vinatieri 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee.
8. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q3 25:46 · JAX 7 · Score 3-26
   (10:46) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass short right to 17-G.Whalen for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
9. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q3 25:39 · JAX 2 · Score 3-27
   4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee.
10. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q4 8:06 · JAX 21 · Score 3-30
    (8:06) 4-A.Vinatieri 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee.
11. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q4 0:20 · IND 14 · Score 9-30
    (:20) (Shotgun) 7-C.Henne pass short left to 13-K.Taylor for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
12. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q4 0:16 · IND 2 · Score 10-30
    10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-46-C.Tinker, Holder-19-B.Anger.