Game story
In Week 3 of the 2012 NFL season on 2012-09-23, the Jacksonville Jaguars took care of business against the Indianapolis Colts, pulling away with a 22–17 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.
The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 12 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.
A. Luck (Indianapolis Colts) paced the passing game, with +9.97 total EPA, and -8.0% completion percentage over expected.
On the individual side, A. Luck (Indianapolis Colts) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +9.97 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.
The momentum swing (+49.9% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Jacksonville Jaguars changed the game: (:56) (Shotgun) 11-B.Gabbert pass short right to 84-C.Shorts for 80 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Assistant challenged the runner broke the plane ruling, and the play was Upheld.
Line score
Final score and points by quarter.
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | — | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 3 | 0 | 10 | 9 | 0 | 22 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 7 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 17 |
Stars of the game
Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.
- 1 A. Luck · Indianapolis Colts · Passing · +9.97 total EPA · 52 snaps · +0.19 EPA/play
- 2 C. Shorts · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +5.47 total EPA · 2 snaps · +2.74 EPA/play
- 3 T. Hilton · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +5.19 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.65 EPA/play
- 4 M. Jones-Drew · Jacksonville Jaguars · Rushing · +5.04 total EPA · 31 snaps · +0.16 EPA/play
- 5 M. Moore · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +1.94 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.94 EPA/play
- 6 D. Brown · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +1.93 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.93 EPA/play
- 7 B. Gabbert · Jacksonville Jaguars · Rushing · +0.67 total EPA · 1 snaps · +0.67 EPA/play
- 8 D. Allen · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +0.60 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.10 EPA/play
Player of the game
FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.
A. Luck — IND · Passing
A. Luck posted the highest total EPA (+9.97) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Indianapolis Colts's efficiency. Across 52 counted snaps, they averaged +0.19 EPA per play.
The signature play (+6.78 EPA) came from Jacksonville Jaguars: (:56) (Shotgun) 11-B.Gabbert pass short right to 84-C.Shorts for 80 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Assistant challenged the runner broke the plane ruling, and the play was Upheld.
Who scored touchdowns and field goals
Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.
Touchdowns
- Indianapolis Colts — T. Hilton (A. Luck pass)
- Indianapolis Colts — M. Moore (A. Luck pass)
- Jacksonville Jaguars — M. Jones-Drew
- Jacksonville Jaguars — C. Shorts (B. Gabbert pass)
Field goals
- Jacksonville Jaguars — J. Scobee
- Jacksonville Jaguars — J. Scobee
- Jacksonville Jaguars — J. Scobee
- Indianapolis Colts — A. Vinatieri
How it unfolded, quarter by quarter
A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.
The opening quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 7–3. Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the IND 26 (Q1 52:19) — (7:19) 10-J.Scobee 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-19-B.Anger.; Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the JAX 40 (Q1 48:48) — (3:48) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass deep right to 13-T.Hilton for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q1 48:42) — 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee..
The second quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 7–0. Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the JAX 4 (Q2 30:42) — (:42) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass short middle to 26-M.Moore for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN [90-A.Branch].; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q2 30:37) — 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee..
The third quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 10–0. Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the IND 59 (Q3 27:16) — (12:16) (Run formation) 32-M.Jones-Drew up the middle for 59 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the IND 2 (Q3 27:05) — 10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-19-B.Anger.; Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the IND 29 (Q3 18:00) — (3:00) 10-J.Scobee 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-19-B.Anger..
The fourth quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 9–3. Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the IND 8 (Q4 11:05) — (11:05) 10-J.Scobee 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-19-B.Anger.; Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the JAX 19 (Q4 1:01) — (1:01) 4-A.Vinatieri 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee.; Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the IND 80 (Q4 0:56).
Turning points
Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.
- Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 0:56) — (:56) (Shotgun) 11-B.Gabbert pass short right to 84-C.Shorts for 80 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Assistant challenged the runner broke the plane ruling, and the play was Upheld.
- Indianapolis Colts (Q4 0:02) — (:02) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass incomplete deep right to 87-R.Wayne (31-A.Ross).
- Indianapolis Colts (Q4 4:45) — (4:45) 4-A.Vinatieri 36 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee.
- Indianapolis Colts (Q4 1:33) — (1:33) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass short left to 31-D.Brown pushed ob at JAX 28 for 39 yards (31-A.Ross).
- Indianapolis Colts (Q4 0:26) — (:26) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass deep left to 13-T.Hilton to JAX 26 for 36 yards (42-C.Prosinski).
Impact plays
Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.
- Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 0:56) — (:56) (Shotgun) 11-B.Gabbert pass short right to 84-C.Shorts for 80 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Assistant challenged the runner broke the plane ruling, and the play was Upheld.
- Indianapolis Colts (Q3 21:29) — (6:29) (Run formation) 12-A.Luck pass deep middle intended for 87-R.Wayne INTERCEPTED by 51-P.Posluszny at JAX 33. 51-P.Posluszny to JAX 46 for 13 yards. Lateral to 26-D.Landry to IND 45 for 9 yards (
- Jacksonville Jaguars (Q3 27:16) — (12:16) (Run formation) 32-M.Jones-Drew up the middle for 59 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Indianapolis Colts (Q1 48:48) — (3:48) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass deep right to 13-T.Hilton for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Quarterback report card
A.Luck led all passers in efficiency for Indianapolis Colts, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.
- A.Luck (Indianapolis Colts) · 52 dropbacks · 42.3% completion · -8.0% CPOE · +0.19 EPA/play · +9.97 total EPA
- B.Gabbert (Jacksonville Jaguars) · 26 dropbacks · 38.5% completion · -17.1% CPOE · -0.04 EPA/play · -1.01 total EPA
Team stats comparison
Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.
| Stat | Jacksonville Jaguars | Indianapolis Colts |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive EPA/play | +0.087 | -0.023 |
| Offensive success rate | 44.7% | 39.4% |
| Pass EPA/play | -0.039 | +0.192 |
| Rush EPA/play | +0.151 | -0.253 |
| Defensive EPA/play | +0.023 | -0.087 |
| Defensive success rate | 60.6% | 55.3% |
By the numbers
Despite the final score, Jacksonville Jaguars generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.09 vs -0.02), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.
- Indianapolis Colts: 12 drives, -2.29 total EPA, 3 scoring drives
- Jacksonville Jaguars: 12 drives, +6.62 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
Key takeaways
What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.
- Jacksonville Jaguars leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
- One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
- A. Luck (Indianapolis Colts) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
- A. Luck (IND) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
- B. Gabbert (JAX) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
Every scoring play
Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.
- Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q1 52:19 · IND 26 · Score 3-0
(7:19) 10-J.Scobee 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-19-B.Anger. - Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q1 48:48 · JAX 40 · Score 3-6
(3:48) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass deep right to 13-T.Hilton for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q1 48:42 · JAX 2 · Score 3-7
4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee. - Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q2 30:42 · JAX 4 · Score 3-13
(:42) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass short middle to 26-M.Moore for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN [90-A.Branch]. - Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q2 30:37 · JAX 2 · Score 3-14
4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee. - Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q3 27:16 · IND 59 · Score 9-14
(12:16) (Run formation) 32-M.Jones-Drew up the middle for 59 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q3 27:05 · IND 2 · Score 10-14
10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-19-B.Anger. - Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q3 18:00 · IND 29 · Score 13-14
(3:00) 10-J.Scobee 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-19-B.Anger. - Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q4 11:05 · IND 8 · Score 16-14
(11:05) 10-J.Scobee 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-19-B.Anger. - Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q4 1:01 · JAX 19 · Score 16-17
(1:01) 4-A.Vinatieri 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee. - Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q4 0:56 · IND 80 · Score 22-17
(:56) (Shotgun) 11-B.Gabbert pass short right to 84-C.Shorts for 80 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Assistant challenged the runner broke the plane ruling, and the
Frequently asked questions
Who won Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts?
The Jacksonville Jaguars beat the Indianapolis Colts 22-17 in Week 3, 2012 on 2012-09-23.
What was the final score of Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts?
The final score was Jacksonville Jaguars 22, Indianapolis Colts 17 (JAX 22-17 IND) in Week 3, 2012 on 2012-09-23.
What was the score by quarter in Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts?
Q1: Jacksonville Jaguars 3, Indianapolis Colts 7; Q2: Jacksonville Jaguars 0, Indianapolis Colts 7; Q3: Jacksonville Jaguars 10, Indianapolis Colts 0; Q4: Jacksonville Jaguars 9, Indianapolis Colts 3; Final: Jacksonville Jaguars 22, Indianapolis Colts 17.
Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts?
Indianapolis Colts touchdown — T. Hilton (A. Luck pass) (Q1 48:48) Indianapolis Colts touchdown — M. Moore (A. Luck pass) (Q2 30:42) Jacksonville Jaguars touchdown — M. Jones-Drew (Q3 27:16) Jacksonville Jaguars touchdown — C. Shorts (B. Gabbert pass) (Q4 0:56) Jacksonville Jaguars field goal — J. Scobee (Q1 52:19, 3 pts) Jacksonville Jaguars field goal — J. Scobee (Q3 18:00, 3 pts) Jacksonville Jaguars field goal — J. Scobee (Q4 11:05, 3 pts) Indianapolis Colts field goal — A. Vinatieri (Q4 1:01, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.
How did the quarterbacks play in Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts?
A. Luck (Indianapolis Colts), 42.3% completion, -8.0% CPOE, +0.19 EPA per dropback, +9.97 total passing EPA. B. Gabbert (Jacksonville Jaguars), 38.5% completion, -17.1% CPOE, -0.04 EPA per dropback, -1.01 total passing EPA.
Who was the most impactful player in Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts?
A. Luck (Indianapolis Colts) led the game in total EPA with +9.97 on passing plays. across 52 snaps. The top single-play swing was (+6.78 EPA): (:56) (Shotgun) 11-B.Gabbert pass short right to 84-C.Shorts for 80 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Assistant challenged the runner broke the plane ruling, and the play was Upheld.. The biggest win-probability swing was +49.9%.
Was Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts a close game?
Yes — the margin was 5 points. Jacksonville Jaguars won 22-17 in a game that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.
Season records after this game
Jacksonville Jaguars
Entered 0-2 Now 1-2 W
Indianapolis Colts
Entered 1-1 Now 1-2 L
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