FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 17 · January 1, 2023 · 10 min read

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Houston Texans: 2022 Week 17 Recap

Jaguars defeat Texans 31–3 in Week 17

Travis Etienne led Fantasy Impact as Jaguars prevailed in a 31–3 Week 17 finish.

Jacksonville Jaguars 31 8–8 Winner
Final 31–3
Houston Texans 3 2–13
Winner
Jacksonville Jaguars
Final score
31–3
Halftime
Jacksonville Jaguars 21–0 Houston Texans
Top passer
Davis Mills
FantasyHQ MVP
Travis Etienne
Game date
January 1, 2023

Top fantasy performers · Jaguars

  • Travis Etienne
    Travis Etienne 9 CAR · 108 YDS · 1 TD +4.8 Fantasy Impact
  • Trevor Lawrence
    Trevor Lawrence 17/25 · 144 YDS +4.6 Fantasy Impact
  • Christian Kirk
    Christian Kirk 2 REC · 21 YDS +1.2 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Texans

  • Aaron Rodgers
    Aaron Rodgers 2 REC · 12 YDS +1.4 Fantasy Impact
  • O.Howard 1 REC · 26 YDS +1.1 Fantasy Impact
  • Jordan Akins
    Jordan Akins 2 REC · 38 YDS +0.8 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Jacksonville Jaguars defeated the Houston Texans 31–3 in Week 17 of the 2022 NFL season on 2023-01-01, a matchup that controlled the game from start to finish. The decisive swing (+8.5% win probability) came in the second quarter when Jacksonville Jaguars swung the momentum.

In Week 17 of the 2022 NFL season on 2023-01-01, the Jacksonville Jaguars took care of business against the Houston Texans, pulling away with a 31–3 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 14 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

D. Mills (Houston Texans) paced the passing game, with -21.66 total EPA, and -8.1% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, T. Etienne (Jacksonville Jaguars) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +4.77 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+8.5% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Jacksonville Jaguars changed the game: (12:30) (Shotgun) 1-T.Etienne left tackle for 62 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Jacksonville Jaguars71473031
Houston Texans003003

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 T. Etienne · Jacksonville Jaguars · Rushing · +4.77 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.53 EPA/play
  2. 2 T. Lawrence · Jacksonville Jaguars · Passing · +4.59 total EPA · 25 snaps · +0.18 EPA/play
  3. 3 A. Rodgers · Houston Texans · Receiving · +1.38 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.69 EPA/play
  4. 4 C. Kirk · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +1.21 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.40 EPA/play
  5. 5 O. Howard · Houston Texans · Receiving · +1.14 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.57 EPA/play
  6. 6 E. Engram · Jacksonville Jaguars · Rushing · +1.01 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.01 EPA/play
  7. 7 M. Jones · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +0.95 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.14 EPA/play
  8. 8 E. Engram · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +0.83 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.42 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

T. Etienne — JAX · Rushing

T. Etienne posted the highest total EPA (+4.77) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Jacksonville Jaguars's efficiency. Across 9 counted snaps, they averaged +0.53 EPA per play.

The signature play (-7.74 EPA) came from Houston Texans: (11:43) (Shotgun) 10-D.Mills sacked at HOU 18 for -7 yards (41-J.Allen). FUMBLES (41-J.Allen), touched at HOU 16, RECOVERED by JAX-32-T.Campbell at HOU 12. 32-T.Campbell for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Jacksonville Jaguars — J. Hasty (Q1 53:29)
  • Jacksonville Jaguars — T. Etienne (Q2 42:30)
  • Jacksonville Jaguars — T. Campbell (Q2 41:43)
  • Jacksonville Jaguars — S. Conner (Q3 24:31)

Field goals

  • Houston Texans — K. Fairbairn (Q3 20:54)
  • Jacksonville Jaguars — R. Patterson (Q4 6:10)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 7–0. Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the HOU 5 (Q1 53:29) — (8:29) (Shotgun) 22-J.Hasty left guard for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the HOU 15 (Q1 53:24) — 10-R.Patterson extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke..

The second quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 14–0. Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the HOU 62 (Q2 42:30) — (12:30) (Shotgun) 1-T.Etienne left tackle for 62 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the HOU 15 (Q2 42:21) — 10-R.Patterson extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.; Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the JAX 75 (Q2 41:43); Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the HOU 15 (Q2 41:35) — 10-R.Patterson extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke..

The third quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 7–3. Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the HOU 3 (Q3 24:31) — (9:31) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 24-S.Conner right guard for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the HOU 15 (Q3 24:28) — 10-R.Patterson extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.; Houston Texans connected on a field goal from the JAX 38 (Q3 20:54) — (5:54) 7-K.Fairbairn 56 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-11-C.Johnston..

The fourth quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 3–0. Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the HOU 35 (Q4 6:10) — (6:10) 10-R.Patterson 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q2 42:30) — (12:30) (Shotgun) 1-T.Etienne left tackle for 62 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +8.5% · EPA +5.06]
  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q1 53:29) — (8:29) (Shotgun) 22-J.Hasty left guard for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +7.5% · EPA +2.55]
  • Houston Texans (Q2 41:43) — (11:43) (Shotgun) 10-D.Mills sacked at HOU 18 for -7 yards (41-J.Allen). FUMBLES (41-J.Allen), touched at HOU 16, RECOVERED by JAX-32-T.Campbell at HOU 12. 32-T.Campbell for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -7.5% · EPA -7.74]
  • Houston Texans (Q1 57:12) — (12:12) 67-C.Heck reported in as eligible. 33-D.Ogunbowale up the middle to HOU 45 for no gain (33-D.Lloyd; 98-C.Peters). [WPA -6.5% · EPA -1.89]
  • Houston Texans (Q1 56:35) — (11:35) 6-J.Driskel up the middle to HOU 45 for no gain (2-R.Jenkins, 31-D.Williams). [WPA -5.2% · EPA -3.46]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Houston Texans (Q2 41:43) — (11:43) (Shotgun) 10-D.Mills sacked at HOU 18 for -7 yards (41-J.Allen). FUMBLES (41-J.Allen), touched at HOU 16, RECOVERED by JAX-32-T.Campbell at HOU 12. 32-T.Campbell for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -7.5% · EPA -7.74]
  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q2 42:30) — (12:30) (Shotgun) 1-T.Etienne left tackle for 62 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +8.5% · EPA +5.06]
  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q3 15:53) — (:53) (Shotgun) 3-C.Beathard pass short middle intended for 11-M.Jones INTERCEPTED by 5-J.Pitre at HOU 10. 5-J.Pitre to HOU 10 for no gain (11-M.Jones). [WPA -0.3% · EPA -4.16]
  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q2 38:31) — (8:31) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass deep left intended for 7-Z.Jones INTERCEPTED by 25-D.King at JAX 42. 25-D.King to JAX 41 for 1 yard (17-E.Engram). [WPA -2.7% · EPA -3.50]

Quarterback report card

D.Mills led all passers in efficiency for Houston Texans, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • D.Mills (Houston Texans) · 46 dropbacks · 47.8% completion · -8.1% CPOE · -0.47 EPA/play · -21.66 total EPA
  • T.Lawrence (Jacksonville Jaguars) · 25 dropbacks · 68.0% completion · +11.6% CPOE · +0.18 EPA/play · +4.59 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatJacksonville JaguarsHouston Texans
Offensive EPA/play-0.003-0.413
Offensive success rate48.1%27.1%
Pass EPA/play-0.083-0.500
Rush EPA/play+0.046-0.453
Defensive EPA/play+0.413+0.003
Defensive success rate72.9%51.9%

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Jacksonville Jaguars generated the better offensive EPA per play (-0.00 vs -0.41), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

  • Houston Texans: 13 drives, -35.10 total EPA, 2 scoring drives
  • Jacksonville Jaguars: 13 drives, -0.22 total EPA, 4 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Jacksonville Jaguars leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • T. Etienne (Jacksonville Jaguars) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • D. Mills (HOU) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
  • T. Lawrence (JAX) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q1 53:29 · HOU 5 · Score 6-0
    (8:29) (Shotgun) 22-J.Hasty left guard for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q1 53:24 · HOU 15 · Score 7-0
    10-R.Patterson extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
  3. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q2 42:30 · HOU 62 · Score 13-0
    (12:30) (Shotgun) 1-T.Etienne left tackle for 62 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q2 42:21 · HOU 15 · Score 14-0
    10-R.Patterson extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
  5. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q2 41:43 · JAX 75 · Score 20-0
    (11:43) (Shotgun) 10-D.Mills sacked at HOU 18 for -7 yards (41-J.Allen). FUMBLES (41-J.Allen), touched at HOU 16, RECOVERED by JAX-32-T.Campbell at HOU 12. 32-T
  6. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q2 41:35 · HOU 15 · Score 21-0
    10-R.Patterson extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
  7. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q3 24:31 · HOU 3 · Score 27-0
    (9:31) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 24-S.Conner right guard for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  8. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q3 24:28 · HOU 15 · Score 28-0
    10-R.Patterson extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
  9. Houston Texans FG (+3) — Q3 20:54 · JAX 38 · Score 28-3
    (5:54) 7-K.Fairbairn 56 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-11-C.Johnston.
  10. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q4 6:10 · HOU 35 · Score 31-3
    (6:10) 10-R.Patterson 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans?

The Jacksonville Jaguars beat the Houston Texans 31-3 in Week 17, 2022 on 2023-01-01.

What was the final score of Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans?

The final score was Jacksonville Jaguars 31, Houston Texans 3 (JAX 31-3 HOU) in Week 17, 2022 on 2023-01-01.

What was the score by quarter in Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans?

Q1: Jacksonville Jaguars 7, Houston Texans 0; Q2: Jacksonville Jaguars 14, Houston Texans 0; Q3: Jacksonville Jaguars 7, Houston Texans 3; Q4: Jacksonville Jaguars 3, Houston Texans 0; Final: Jacksonville Jaguars 31, Houston Texans 3.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans?

Jacksonville Jaguars touchdown — J. Hasty (Q1 53:29) Jacksonville Jaguars touchdown — T. Etienne (Q2 42:30) Jacksonville Jaguars touchdown — T. Campbell (Q2 41:43) Jacksonville Jaguars touchdown — S. Conner (Q3 24:31) Houston Texans field goal — K. Fairbairn (Q3 20:54, 3 pts) Jacksonville Jaguars field goal — R. Patterson (Q4 6:10, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans?

D. Mills (Houston Texans), 47.8% completion, -8.1% CPOE, -0.47 EPA per dropback, -21.66 total passing EPA. T. Lawrence (Jacksonville Jaguars), 68.0% completion, +11.6% CPOE, +0.18 EPA per dropback, +4.59 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans?

T. Etienne (Jacksonville Jaguars) led the game in total EPA with +4.77 on rushing plays. across 9 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-7.74 EPA): (11:43) (Shotgun) 10-D.Mills sacked at HOU 18 for -7 yards (41-J.Allen). FUMBLES (41-J.Allen), touched at HOU 16, RECOVERED by JAX-32-T.Campbell at HOU 12. 32-T.Campbell for 12 yar. The biggest win-probability swing was +8.5%.

Season records after this game

Jacksonville Jaguars

Entered 7-8 Now 8-8 W

Houston Texans

Entered 2-12 Now 2-13 L