Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Houston Texans: 2005 Week 16 Recap

Game story

In Week 16 of the 2005 NFL season on 2005-12-24, the Jacksonville Jaguars took care of business against the Houston Texans, pulling away with a 38–20 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 28 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

D. Garrard (Jacksonville Jaguars) paced the passing game, with +11.75 total EPA.

On the individual side, A. Johnson (Houston Texans) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +11.76 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+27.0% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Houston Texans changed the game: (12:24) 8-D.Carr pass to 80-A.Johnson for 53 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 A. Johnson · Houston Texans · Receiving · +11.76 total EPA · 7 snaps · +1.68 EPA/play
2. 2 D. Garrard · Jacksonville Jaguars · Passing · +11.75 total EPA · 41 snaps · +0.29 EPA/play
3. 3 E. Wilford · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +10.67 total EPA · 4 snaps · +2.67 EPA/play
4. 4 C. Bradford · Houston Texans · Receiving · +10.09 total EPA · 4 snaps · +2.52 EPA/play
5. 5 J. Smith · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +6.99 total EPA · 5 snaps · +1.40 EPA/play
6. 6 D. Carr · Houston Texans · Passing · +6.86 total EPA · 36 snaps · +0.19 EPA/play
7. 7 F. Taylor · Jacksonville Jaguars · Rushing · +6.36 total EPA · 23 snaps · +0.28 EPA/play
8. 8 L. Toefield · Jacksonville Jaguars · Rushing · +4.22 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.06 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Jacksonville Jaguars — L. Toefield (Q1 51:08)
• Houston Texans — C. Bradford (D. Carr pass) (Q2 41:50)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — L. Toefield (Q3 19:07)
• Houston Texans — A. Johnson (D. Carr pass) (Q4 12:24)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — F. Taylor (Q4 9:23)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — E. Wilford (D. Garrard pass) (Q4 2:43)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — L. Toefield (Q4 1:58)

Field goals

• Houston Texans — K. Brown (Q1 47:27)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — J. Scobee (Q2 34:38)
• Houston Texans — K. Brown (Q2 31:08)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 7–3. Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the HOU 1 (Q1 51:08) — (6:08) 22-L.Toefield up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the HOU 2 (Q1 51:02) — 10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-2-C.Hanson.; Houston Texans connected on a field goal from the JAX 19 (Q1 47:27) — (2:27) 3-K.Brown 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-B.Pittman, Holder-7-C.Stanley..

The second quarter: Houston Texans won the period 10–3. Houston Texans found the end zone from the JAX 50 (Q2 41:50) — (11:50) (Shotgun) 8-D.Carr pass to 85-C.Bradford for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Houston Texans added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q2 41:43) — 3-K.Brown extra point is GOOD, Center-48-B.Pittman, Holder-7-C.Stanley.; Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the HOU 8 (Q2 34:38) — (4:38) 10-J.Scobee 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-2-C.Hanson.; Houston Texans connected on a field goal from the JAX 34 (Q2 31:08) — (1:08) 3-K.Brown 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-B.Pittman, Holder-7-C.Stanley..

The third quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 7–0. Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the HOU 2 (Q3 19:07) — (4:07) 22-L.Toefield left guard for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the HOU 2 (Q3 19:03) — 10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-2-C.Hanson..

The fourth quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 21–7. Houston Texans found the end zone from the JAX 53 (Q4 12:24) — (12:24) 8-D.Carr pass to 80-A.Johnson for 53 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Houston Texans added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q4 12:15) — 3-K.Brown extra point is GOOD, Center-48-B.Pittman, Holder-7-C.Stanley.; Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the HOU 15 (Q4 9:23) — (9:23) 28-F.Taylor up the middle for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the HOU 2 (Q4 9:16) — 10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-2-C.Hanson.; Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the HOU 36 (Q4 2:43) — (2:43) 9-D.Garrard pass to 19-E.Wilford for 36 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the HOU 2 (Q4 2:37) — 10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-2-C.Hanson.; Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the HOU 17 (Q4 1:58) — (1:58) 22-L.Toefield right tackle for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the HOU 2 (Q4 1:51) — 10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-2-C.Hanson..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Houston Texans (Q4 12:24) — (12:24) 8-D.Carr pass to 80-A.Johnson for 53 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +27.0% · EPA +5.09]
• Houston Texans (Q2 41:50) — (11:50) (Shotgun) 8-D.Carr pass to 85-C.Bradford for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +21.9% · EPA +5.78]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 11:01) — (11:01) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass to 82-J.Smith ran ob at HOU 28 for 20 yards (24-C.Brown). [WPA +18.4% · EPA +2.93]
• Houston Texans (Q3 15:16) — (:16) 3-K.Brown 38 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-48-B.Pittman, Holder-7-C.Stanley. [WPA -13.5% · EPA -3.30]
• Houston Texans (Q3 16:37) — (1:37) (Shotgun) 8-D.Carr pass to 80-A.Johnson ran ob at JAX 22 for 11 yards (27-R.Mathis). [WPA +11.7% · EPA +1.82]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Houston Texans (Q2 41:50) — (11:50) (Shotgun) 8-D.Carr pass to 85-C.Bradford for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +21.9% · EPA +5.78]
• Houston Texans (Q4 2:11) — (2:11) (Shotgun) 8-D.Carr pass intended for 80-A.Johnson INTERCEPTED by 21-T.Cousin (99-M.Stroud) at HOU 35. 21-T.Cousin ran ob at HOU 21 for 14 yards (32-J.Wells). [WPA -5.2% · EPA -5.50]
• Houston Texans (Q4 12:24) — (12:24) 8-D.Carr pass to 80-A.Johnson for 53 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +27.0% · EPA +5.09]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 2:43) — (2:43) 9-D.Garrard pass to 19-E.Wilford for 36 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +11.6% · EPA +4.37]

Quarterback report card

D.Garrard led all passers in efficiency for Jacksonville Jaguars, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• D.Garrard (Jacksonville Jaguars) · 41 dropbacks · 43.9% completion · +0.29 EPA/play · +11.75 total EPA
• D.Carr (Houston Texans) · 36 dropbacks · 52.8% completion · +0.19 EPA/play · +6.86 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Jacksonville Jaguars generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.25 vs +0.02), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

• Houston Texans: 10 drives, +1.92 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
• Jacksonville Jaguars: 10 drives, +21.75 total EPA, 6 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Jacksonville Jaguars leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• A. Johnson (Houston Texans) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q1 51:08 · HOU 1 · Score 6-0
   (6:08) 22-L.Toefield up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
2. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q1 51:02 · HOU 2 · Score 7-0
   10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-2-C.Hanson.
3. Houston Texans FG (+3) — Q1 47:27 · JAX 19 · Score 7-3
   (2:27) 3-K.Brown 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-B.Pittman, Holder-7-C.Stanley.
4. Houston Texans TD (+6) — Q2 41:50 · JAX 50 · Score 7-9
   (11:50) (Shotgun) 8-D.Carr pass to 85-C.Bradford for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
5. Houston Texans XP (+1) — Q2 41:43 · JAX 2 · Score 7-10
   3-K.Brown extra point is GOOD, Center-48-B.Pittman, Holder-7-C.Stanley.
6. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q2 34:38 · HOU 8 · Score 10-10
   (4:38) 10-J.Scobee 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-2-C.Hanson.
7. Houston Texans FG (+3) — Q2 31:08 · JAX 34 · Score 10-13
   (1:08) 3-K.Brown 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-B.Pittman, Holder-7-C.Stanley.
8. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q3 19:07 · HOU 2 · Score 16-13
   (4:07) 22-L.Toefield left guard for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
9. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q3 19:03 · HOU 2 · Score 17-13
   10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-2-C.Hanson.
10. Houston Texans TD (+6) — Q4 12:24 · JAX 53 · Score 17-19
    (12:24) 8-D.Carr pass to 80-A.Johnson for 53 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
11. Houston Texans XP (+1) — Q4 12:15 · JAX 2 · Score 17-20
    3-K.Brown extra point is GOOD, Center-48-B.Pittman, Holder-7-C.Stanley.
12. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q4 9:23 · HOU 15 · Score 23-20
    (9:23) 28-F.Taylor up the middle for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
13. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q4 9:16 · HOU 2 · Score 24-20
    10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-2-C.Hanson.
14. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q4 2:43 · HOU 36 · Score 30-20
    (2:43) 9-D.Garrard pass to 19-E.Wilford for 36 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
15. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q4 2:37 · HOU 2 · Score 31-20
    10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-2-C.Hanson.
16. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q4 1:58 · HOU 17 · Score 37-20
    (1:58) 22-L.Toefield right tackle for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
17. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q4 1:51 · HOU 2 · Score 38-20
    10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-2-C.Hanson.