FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 5 · October 8, 2023 · 12 min read

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Buffalo Bills: 2023 Week 5 Recap

Jaguars defeat Bills 25–20 in Week 5

Trevor Lawrence led Fantasy Impact as Jaguars prevailed in a 25–20 Week 5 finish.

Jacksonville Jaguars 25 3–2 Winner
Final 25–20
Buffalo Bills 20 3–2
Winner
Jacksonville Jaguars
Final score
25–20
Halftime
Jacksonville Jaguars 11–7 Buffalo Bills
Top passer
Trevor Lawrence
FantasyHQ MVP
Trevor Lawrence
Game date
October 8, 2023

Top fantasy performers · Jaguars

  • Trevor Lawrence
    Trevor Lawrence 25/52 · 309 YDS · 1 TD +15.5 Fantasy Impact
  • Calvin Ridley
    Calvin Ridley 7 REC · 122 YDS +11.2 Fantasy Impact
  • Travis Etienne
    Travis Etienne 27 CAR · 138 YDS · 2 TD +5.2 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Bills

  • Jonathan Allen
    Jonathan Allen 27/48 · 369 YDS · 4 TD +9.4 Fantasy Impact
  • Gabe Davis
    Gabe Davis 6 REC · 100 YDS · 1 TD +8.9 Fantasy Impact
  • Stefon Diggs
    Stefon Diggs 8 REC · 121 YDS · 1 TD +5.5 Fantasy Impact

Quick answer

Winner
Jacksonville Jaguars
Final score
Jacksonville Jaguars 25–20 Buffalo Bills
Halftime
Jacksonville Jaguars 11–7 Buffalo Bills at halftime
FantasyHQ MVP
Trevor Lawrence
Top passer
Trevor Lawrence
Biggest EPA play
(3:04) 1-T.Etienne left guard for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Game date
2023-10-08

Game summary

The Jacksonville Jaguars beat the Buffalo Bills 25–20 on 2023-10-08. Trevor Lawrence posted a game-high +15.52 total EPA in the passing.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 33 combined points.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q4T
Jacksonville Jaguars110200025
Buffalo Bills07130020

Scoring Map

Each pin marks where a score occurred on the field — yard line from play-by-play.

JAXJacksonville Jaguars
BUFBuffalo Bills

FantasyHQ Analytics

Scoring timeline

12 scores

Chronological scoring plays — scroll to follow the game.

  1. JAXJacksonville Jaguars
    Q1 7:04TD
    Zay Jones

    Points+6

    Yard line
    BUF 6
    Score
    6-0

    (7:04) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short right to 7-Z.Jones for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on BUF-91-E.Oliver, Roughing the Passer, 1 yard, enforced between downs.

  2. JAXJacksonville Jaguars
    Q1 6:59Safety
    Travis Etienne

    Points+2

    Yard line
    BUF 1
    Score
    8-0

    TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 1-T.Etienne rushes right end. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.

  3. JAXJacksonville Jaguars
    Q1 1:17FG
    Brandon McManus

    Points+3

    Yard line
    BUF 26
    Score
    11-0

    (1:17) 10-B.McManus 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.

  4. BUFBuffalo Bills
    Q2 1:19TD
    Stefon Diggs

    Points+6

    Yard line
    JAX 15
    Score
    11-6

    (1:19) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 14-S.Diggs for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

  5. BUFBuffalo Bills
    Q2 1:14XP
    Tyler Bass

    Points+1

    Yard line
    JAX 15
    Score
    11-7

    2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin.

  6. JAXJacksonville Jaguars
    Q4 7:50TD
    Travis Etienne

    Points+6

    Yard line
    BUF 6
    Score
    17-7

    (7:50) 1-T.Etienne right end for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

  7. JAXJacksonville Jaguars
    Q4 7:44XP
    Brandon McManus

    Points+1

    Yard line
    BUF 15
    Score
    18-7

    10-B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.

  8. BUFBuffalo Bills
    Q4 4:08TD
    Gabe Davis

    Points+6

    Yard line
    JAX 19
    Score
    18-13

    (4:08) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass deep left to 13-G.Davis for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on JAX-32-Ty.Campbell, Defensive Pass Interference, declined.

  9. JAXJacksonville Jaguars
    Q4 3:04TD
    Travis Etienne

    Points+6

    Yard line
    BUF 35
    Score
    24-13

    (3:04) 1-T.Etienne left guard for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

  10. JAXJacksonville Jaguars
    Q4 2:56TD
    Brandon McManus

    Points+7

    Yard line
    BUF 15
    Score
    25-13

    10-B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.

  11. BUFBuffalo Bills
    Q4 2:18TD
    Jonathan Allen

    Points+6

    Yard line
    JAX 3
    Score
    25-19

    (2:18) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen scrambles right guard for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

  12. BUFBuffalo Bills
    Q4 2:11XP
    Tyler Bass

    Points+1

    Yard line
    JAX 15
    Score
    25-20

    2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA).

  1. 1Trevor LawrenceTrevor Lawrence · Jacksonville Jaguars · Passing · +15.52 total EPA · 52 snaps · +0.30 EPA/play
  2. 2Calvin RidleyCalvin Ridley · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +11.25 total EPA · 8 snaps · +1.41 EPA/play
  3. 3Jonathan AllenJonathan Allen · Buffalo Bills · Passing · +9.42 total EPA · 48 snaps · +0.20 EPA/play
  4. 4Gabe DavisGabe Davis · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +8.92 total EPA · 8 snaps · +1.11 EPA/play
  5. 5Stefon DiggsStefon Diggs · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +5.54 total EPA · 11 snaps · +0.50 EPA/play
  6. 6Travis EtienneTravis Etienne · Jacksonville Jaguars · Rushing · +5.17 total EPA · 27 snaps · +0.19 EPA/play
  7. 7Christian KirkChristian Kirk · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +4.92 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.62 EPA/play
  8. 8Deonte HartyDeonte Harty · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +4.28 total EPA · 2 snaps · +2.14 EPA/play

FantasyHQ Game MVP

Highest total EPA with the player's top snap and the game's biggest single play when different.

Trevor Lawrence

FantasyHQ Game MVP

Trevor Lawrence — JAX · Passing

Trevor Lawrence posted the highest total EPA (+15.52) in the game, the strongest overall impact for Jacksonville Jaguars. Across 52 counted snaps, they averaged +0.30 EPA per play.

Trevor Lawrence's top snap (-4.47 EPA): (14:58) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence sacked at BUF 30 for -6 yards (91-E.Oliver). FUMBLES (91-E.Oliver) [91-E.Oliver], touched at BUF 29, RECOVERED by BUF-25-T.Dodson at BUF 32. Fumble Forced by BUF-59-K.Jonathan.

Biggest single play (+5.68 EPA): Travis Etienne — (3:04) 1-T.Etienne left guard for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Quarterback report card

Trevor Lawrence led all passers in efficiency for Jacksonville Jaguars, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • Trevor LawrenceTrevor Lawrence (Jacksonville Jaguars) · 52 dropbacks · 48.1% completion · +2.1% CPOE · +0.30 EPA/play · +15.52 total EPA
  • Jonathan AllenJonathan Allen (Buffalo Bills) · 48 dropbacks · 56.2% completion · +13.4% CPOE · +0.20 EPA/play · +9.42 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency.

StatJacksonville JaguarsBuffalo Bills
Offensive EPA/play+0.143+0.117
Offensive success rate47.1%47.3%
Pass EPA/play+0.299+0.196
Rush EPA/play+0.055-0.248
Defensive EPA/play-0.117-0.143
Defensive success rate52.7%52.9%

Drive & efficiency notes

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Jacksonville Jaguars +0.14, Buffalo Bills +0.12) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

Season benchmark context (offensive EPA per play):

  • Jacksonville Jaguars: +0.14 EPA/play (87th percentile vs. 2023 team-game averages)
  • Buffalo Bills: +0.12 EPA/play (83rd percentile vs. 2023 team-game averages)
  • Buffalo Bills: 12 drives, +8.66 total EPA, 3 scoring drives
  • Jacksonville Jaguars: 12 drives, +14.87 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal from official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Zay JonesJacksonville Jaguars — Zay Jones (Trevor Lawrence pass) (Q1 7:04)
  • Stefon DiggsBuffalo Bills — Stefon Diggs (Jonathan Allen pass) (Q2 1:19)
  • Travis EtienneJacksonville Jaguars — Travis Etienne (Q4 7:50)
  • Gabe DavisBuffalo Bills — Gabe Davis (Jonathan Allen pass) (Q4 4:08)
  • Travis EtienneJacksonville Jaguars — Travis Etienne (Q4 3:04)
  • Jonathan AllenBuffalo Bills — Jonathan Allen (Q4 2:18)

Field goals

  • Brandon McManusJacksonville Jaguars — Brandon McManus (Q1 1:17)
Quarter by quarter

Quarter-by-quarter recap from live scoring plays.

The opening quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 11–0. Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the BUF 6 (Q1 7:04); Jacksonville Jaguars registered a safety from the BUF 1 (Q1 6:59) — TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 1-T.Etienne rushes right end. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.; Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the BUF 26 (Q1 1:17) — (1:17) 10-B.McManus 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke..

The second quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 7–0. Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the JAX 15 (Q2 1:19) — (1:19) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 14-S.Diggs for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the JAX 15 (Q2 1:14) — 2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin..

The fourth quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 20–13. Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the BUF 6 (Q4 7:50) — (7:50) 1-T.Etienne right end for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the BUF 15 (Q4 7:44) — 10-B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.; Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the JAX 19 (Q4 4:08); Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the BUF 35 (Q4 3:04) — (3:04) 1-T.Etienne left guard for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the BUF 15 (Q4 2:56) — 10-B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.; Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the JAX 3 (Q4 2:18) — (2:18) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen scrambles right guard for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the JAX 15 (Q4 2:11) — 2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most.

  • Buffalo Bills (Q4 4:08) — (4:08) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass deep left to 13-G.Davis for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on JAX-32-Ty.Campbell, Defensive Pass Interference, declined. [WPA +12.0% · EPA +3.83]
  • Buffalo Bills (Q2 1:19) — (1:19) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 14-S.Diggs for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +11.2% · EPA +2.45]
  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 14:58) — (14:58) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence sacked at BUF 30 for -6 yards (91-E.Oliver). FUMBLES (91-E.Oliver) [91-E.Oliver], touched at BUF 29, RECOVERED by BUF-25-T.Dodson at BUF 32. Fumble Forced by BUF-59-K.J [WPA -10.8% · EPA -4.47]
  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q2 0:17) — (:17) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence sacked at BUF 22 for -10 yards (57-A.Epenesa). FUMBLES (57-A.Epenesa) [57-A.Epenesa], RECOVERED by BUF-57-A.Epenesa at BUF 23. [WPA -10.8% · EPA -3.03]
  • Buffalo Bills (Q3 9:30) — (9:30) 17-J.Allen pass deep right to 14-S.Diggs to JAX 42 for 48 yards (5-A.Cisco). [WPA +10.4% · EPA +3.24]
Impact plays

Highest EPA snaps that flipped field position.

  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 3:04) — (3:04) 1-T.Etienne left guard for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +7.6% · EPA +5.68]
  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 14:58) — (14:58) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence sacked at BUF 30 for -6 yards (91-E.Oliver). FUMBLES (91-E.Oliver) [91-E.Oliver], touched at BUF 29, RECOVERED by BUF-25-T.Dodson at BUF 32. Fumble Forced by BUF-59-K.J [WPA -10.8% · EPA -4.47]
  • Buffalo Bills (Q4 4:08) — (4:08) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass deep left to 13-G.Davis for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on JAX-32-Ty.Campbell, Defensive Pass Interference, declined. [WPA +12.0% · EPA +3.83]
  • Buffalo Bills (Q3 9:30) — (9:30) 17-J.Allen pass deep right to 14-S.Diggs to JAX 42 for 48 yards (5-A.Cisco). [WPA +10.4% · EPA +3.24]
Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with play-by-play context.

  1. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q1 7:04 · BUF 6 · Score 6-0
    (7:04) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short right to 7-Z.Jones for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on BUF-91-E.Oliver, Roughing the Passer, 1 yard, enforced between downs.
  2. Jacksonville Jaguars Safety (+2) — Q1 6:59 · BUF 1 · Score 8-0
    TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 1-T.Etienne rushes right end. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.
  3. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q1 1:17 · BUF 26 · Score 11-0
    (1:17) 10-B.McManus 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
  4. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q2 1:19 · JAX 15 · Score 11-6
    (1:19) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 14-S.Diggs for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  5. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q2 1:14 · JAX 15 · Score 11-7
    2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin.
  6. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q4 7:50 · BUF 6 · Score 17-7
    (7:50) 1-T.Etienne right end for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  7. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q4 7:44 · BUF 15 · Score 18-7
    10-B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
  8. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q4 4:08 · JAX 19 · Score 18-13
    (4:08) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass deep left to 13-G.Davis for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on JAX-32-Ty.Campbell, Defensive Pass Interference, declined.
  9. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q4 3:04 · BUF 35 · Score 24-13
    (3:04) 1-T.Etienne left guard for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  10. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+7) — Q4 2:56 · BUF 15 · Score 25-13
    10-B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
  11. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q4 2:18 · JAX 3 · Score 25-19
    (2:18) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen scrambles right guard for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  12. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q4 2:11 · JAX 15 · Score 25-20
    2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin.

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research and follow-up box score digging.

  • Jacksonville Jaguars earned the result — use the box score for snap-level context.
  • One-score margin — verify garbage-time stats before drawing fantasy conclusions.
  • Trevor Lawrence (Jacksonville Jaguars) led total EPA — start here for highlight and prop research.
  • Jonathan Allen (BUF) finished above expected through the air (positive CPOE).

Frequently asked questions

Who won Jacksonville Jaguars vs Buffalo Bills on 2023-10-08?

The Jacksonville Jaguars beat the Buffalo Bills 25-20 in Week 5, 2023.

What was the score by quarter in Jacksonville Jaguars vs Buffalo Bills?

Q1: Jacksonville Jaguars 11, Buffalo Bills 0; Q2: Jacksonville Jaguars 0, Buffalo Bills 7; Q4: Jacksonville Jaguars 20, Buffalo Bills 13; Final: Jacksonville Jaguars 25, Buffalo Bills 20.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Jacksonville Jaguars vs Buffalo Bills?

Jacksonville Jaguars touchdown — Z. Jones (T. Lawrence pass) (Q1 7:04) Buffalo Bills touchdown — S. Diggs (J. Allen pass) (Q2 1:19) Jacksonville Jaguars touchdown — T. Etienne (Q4 7:50) Buffalo Bills touchdown — G. Davis (J. Allen pass) (Q4 4:08) Jacksonville Jaguars touchdown — T. Etienne (Q4 3:04) Buffalo Bills touchdown — J. Allen (Q4 2:18) Jacksonville Jaguars field goal — B. McManus (Q1 1:17, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Jacksonville Jaguars vs Buffalo Bills?

Trevor Lawrence (Jacksonville Jaguars), 48.1% completion, +2.1% CPOE, +0.30 EPA per dropback, +15.52 total passing EPA. Jonathan Allen (Buffalo Bills), 56.2% completion, +13.4% CPOE, +0.20 EPA per dropback, +9.42 total passing EPA.

Who was FantasyHQ's player of the game in Jacksonville Jaguars vs Buffalo Bills?

Trevor Lawrence (Jacksonville Jaguars) was FantasyHQ's Game MVP with +15.52 total EPA on Passing plays. across 52 snaps. Their top snap (-4.47 EPA): (14:58) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence sacked at BUF 30 for -6 yards (91-E.Oliver). FUMBLES (91-E.Oliver) [91-E.Oliver], touched at BUF 29, RECOVERED by BUF-25-T.Dodson at BUF 32. Fumble .

Was Jacksonville Jaguars vs Buffalo Bills a close game?

Yes — the margin was 5 points. Jacksonville Jaguars won 25-20 in a game that stayed within one score into the fourth quarter.

Season records after this game

Jacksonville Jaguars

Entered 2-2 Now 3-2 W

Buffalo Bills

Entered 3-1 Now 3-2 L