FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 14 · December 8, 2019 · 12 min read

Indianapolis Colts vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 2019 Week 14 Recap

Buccaneers defeat Colts 38–35 in Week 14

Jameis Winston led Fantasy Impact as Buccaneers prevailed in a 35–38 Week 14 finish.

Indianapolis Colts 35 6–7
Final 35–38
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 38 6–7 Winner
Winner
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Final score
35–38
Halftime
Indianapolis Colts 27–21 Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Top passer
Jameis Winston
FantasyHQ MVP
Jameis Winston
Game date
December 8, 2019

Top fantasy performers · Colts

  • Montrell Johnson Jr.
    Montrell Johnson Jr. 3 REC · 105 YDS · 1 TD +6.8 Fantasy Impact
  • Zach Pascal
    Zach Pascal 5 REC · 74 YDS · 1 TD +6.4 Fantasy Impact
  • Jacoby Brissett
    Jacoby Brissett 19/43 · 262 YDS · 2 TD +4.6 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Buccaneers

  • Jameis Winston
    Jameis Winston 33/48 · 457 YDS · 5 TD +8.1 Fantasy Impact
  • Justin Watson
    Justin Watson 5 REC · 59 YDS · 1 TD +6.0 Fantasy Impact
  • Chris Godwin
    Chris Godwin 7 REC · 91 YDS +5.3 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defeated the Indianapolis Colts 38–35 in Week 14 of the 2019 NFL season on 2019-12-08, a matchup that came down to the wire. The decisive swing (-29.3% win probability) came in the second quarter when Tampa Bay Buccaneers swung the momentum.

In Week 14 of the 2019 NFL season on 2019-12-08, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers took care of business against the Indianapolis Colts, pulling away with a 38–35 final that came down to the wire.

The highest-scoring period was Q1 with 24 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

J. Winston (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) paced the passing game, with +8.14 total EPA, and +14.0% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, J. Winston (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +8.14 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-29.3% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Tampa Bay Buccaneers changed the game: (2:47) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short right intended for 19-B.Perriman INTERCEPTED by 53-D.Leonard [37-K.Willis] at IND 20. 53-D.Leonard for 80 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Indianapolis Colts101780035
Tampa Bay Buccaneers147710038

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 J. Winston · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Passing · +8.14 total EPA · 48 snaps · +0.17 EPA/play
  2. 2 M. Johnson · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +6.80 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.97 EPA/play
  3. 3 Z. Pascal · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +6.43 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.64 EPA/play
  4. 4 J. Watson · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +6.05 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.76 EPA/play
  5. 5 C. Godwin · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +5.33 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.59 EPA/play
  6. 6 J. Brissett · Indianapolis Colts · Passing · +4.59 total EPA · 43 snaps · +0.11 EPA/play
  7. 7 C. Brate · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +4.03 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.01 EPA/play
  8. 8 O. Howard · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +3.41 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.68 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

J. Winston — TB · Passing

J. Winston posted the highest total EPA (+8.14) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Tampa Bay Buccaneers's efficiency. Across 48 counted snaps, they averaged +0.17 EPA per play.

The signature play (-10.14 EPA) came from Tampa Bay Buccaneers: (2:47) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short right intended for 19-B.Perriman INTERCEPTED by 53-D.Leonard [37-K.Willis] at IND 20. 53-D.Leonard for 80 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Indianapolis Colts — M. Johnson (J. Brissett pass) (Q1 57:54)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — J. Winston (Q1 46:47)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — M. Evans (J. Winston pass) (Q1 46:15)
  • Indianapolis Colts — M. Mack (Q2 37:47)
  • Indianapolis Colts — D. Leonard (Q2 32:47)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — C. Brate (J. Winston pass) (Q2 30:41)
  • Indianapolis Colts — Z. Pascal (J. Brissett pass) (Q3 21:05)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — J. Watson (J. Winston pass) (Q3 18:24)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — B. Perriman (J. Winston pass) (Q4 3:56)

Field goals

  • Indianapolis Colts — C. McLaughlin (Q1 51:58)
  • Indianapolis Colts — C. McLaughlin (Q2 30:03)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — M. Gay (Q4 13:05)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 14–10. Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the TB 46 (Q1 57:54); Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q1 57:45) — 5-C.McLaughlin extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.; Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the TB 32 (Q1 51:58) — (6:58) 5-C.McLaughlin 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the IND 1 (Q1 46:47) — (1:47) 3-J.Winston right guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the IND 15 (Q1 46:41) — 9-M.Gay extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the IND 61 (Q1 46:15); Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the IND 15 (Q1 46:06) — 9-M.Gay extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion..

The second quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 17–7. Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the TB 2 (Q2 37:47) — (7:47) 25-M.Mack up the middle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q2 37:42) — 5-C.McLaughlin extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.; Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the IND 23 (Q2 32:47); Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q2 32:32) — 5-C.McLaughlin extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the IND 3 (Q2 30:41) — (:41) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short right to 84-C.Brate for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the IND 15 (Q2 30:38) — 9-M.Gay extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.; Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the TB 1 (Q2 30:03) — (:03) 5-C.McLaughlin 19 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez..

The third quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 8–7. Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the TB 12 (Q3 21:05) — (6:05) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass short right to 14-Z.Pascal for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts registered a safety from the TB 2 (Q3 20:59) — TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 7-J.Brissett pass to 14-Z.Pascal is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the IND 17 (Q3 18:24) — (3:24) 3-J.Winston pass deep middle to 17-J.Watson for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the IND 15 (Q3 18:18) — 9-M.Gay extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion..

The fourth quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 10–0. Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the IND 26 (Q4 13:05) — (13:05) 9-M.Gay 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the IND 12 (Q4 3:56) — (3:56) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short left to 19-B.Perriman for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the IND 15 (Q4 3:51) — 9-M.Gay extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q2 32:47) — (2:47) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short right intended for 19-B.Perriman INTERCEPTED by 53-D.Leonard [37-K.Willis] at IND 20. 53-D.Leonard for 80 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -29.3% · EPA -10.14]
  • Indianapolis Colts (Q4 1:56) — (1:56) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass short left to 7-J.Brissett. 7-J.Brissett pass incomplete short left. Penalty on IND-7-J.Brissett, Illegal Forward Pass, declined. [WPA -20.3% · EPA -2.52]
  • Indianapolis Colts (Q1 57:54) — (12:54) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass deep right to 83-M.Johnson for 46 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on TB-26-S.Bunting, Illegal Contact, declined. [WPA +16.3% · EPA +5.45]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q2 34:28) — (4:28) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass deep left to 12-C.Godwin to IND 23 for 28 yards (37-K.Willis). [WPA +15.9% · EPA +3.29]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q1 46:15) — (1:15) 3-J.Winston pass deep right to 13-M.Evans for 61 yards, TOUCHDOWN. TB-13-M.Evans was injured during the play. His return is Questionable. [WPA +15.8% · EPA +4.75]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q2 32:47) — (2:47) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short right intended for 19-B.Perriman INTERCEPTED by 53-D.Leonard [37-K.Willis] at IND 20. 53-D.Leonard for 80 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -29.3% · EPA -10.14]
  • Indianapolis Colts (Q1 57:54) — (12:54) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass deep right to 83-M.Johnson for 46 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on TB-26-S.Bunting, Illegal Contact, declined. [WPA +16.3% · EPA +5.45]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q1 46:15) — (1:15) 3-J.Winston pass deep right to 13-M.Evans for 61 yards, TOUCHDOWN. TB-13-M.Evans was injured during the play. His return is Questionable. [WPA +15.8% · EPA +4.75]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q1 59:26) — (14:26) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short middle intended for 13-M.Evans INTERCEPTED by 53-D.Leonard at TB 46. 53-D.Leonard pushed ob at TB 35 for 11 yards (27-R.Jones). PENALTY on IND-99-J.Houston, Il [WPA -11.4% · EPA -4.60]

Quarterback report card

J.Winston led all passers in efficiency for Tampa Bay Buccaneers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • J.Winston (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) · 48 dropbacks · 68.8% completion · +14.0% CPOE · +0.17 EPA/play · +8.14 total EPA
  • J.Brissett (Indianapolis Colts) · 43 dropbacks · 44.2% completion · -8.7% CPOE · +0.11 EPA/play · +4.59 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatIndianapolis ColtsTampa Bay Buccaneers
Offensive EPA/play+0.006+0.013
Offensive success rate33.3%49.5%
Pass EPA/play+0.107+0.144
Rush EPA/play-0.099-0.222
Defensive EPA/play-0.013-0.006
Defensive success rate50.5%66.7%

By the numbers

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Indianapolis Colts +0.01, Tampa Bay Buccaneers +0.01) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

  • Indianapolis Colts: 13 drives, +0.51 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 13 drives, +1.20 total EPA, 7 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
  • J. Winston (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • J. Winston (TB) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
  • J. Brissett (IND) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q1 57:54 · TB 46 · Score 6-0
    (12:54) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass deep right to 83-M.Johnson for 46 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on TB-26-S.Bunting, Illegal Contact, declined.
  2. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q1 57:45 · TB 15 · Score 7-0
    5-C.McLaughlin extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.
  3. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q1 51:58 · TB 32 · Score 10-0
    (6:58) 5-C.McLaughlin 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.
  4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q1 46:47 · IND 1 · Score 10-6
    (1:47) 3-J.Winston right guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
  5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q1 46:41 · IND 15 · Score 10-7
    9-M.Gay extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.
  6. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q1 46:15 · IND 61 · Score 10-13
    (1:15) 3-J.Winston pass deep right to 13-M.Evans for 61 yards, TOUCHDOWN. TB-13-M.Evans was injured during the play. His return is Questionable.
  7. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q1 46:06 · IND 15 · Score 10-14
    9-M.Gay extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.
  8. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q2 37:47 · TB 2 · Score 16-14
    (7:47) 25-M.Mack up the middle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  9. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q2 37:42 · TB 15 · Score 17-14
    5-C.McLaughlin extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.
  10. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q2 32:47 · IND 23 · Score 23-14
    (2:47) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short right intended for 19-B.Perriman INTERCEPTED by 53-D.Leonard [37-K.Willis] at IND 20. 53-D.Leonard for 80 yards, TOUCHDO
  11. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q2 32:32 · TB 15 · Score 24-14
    5-C.McLaughlin extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.
  12. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q2 30:41 · IND 3 · Score 24-20
    (:41) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short right to 84-C.Brate for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  13. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q2 30:38 · IND 15 · Score 24-21
    9-M.Gay extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.
  14. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q2 30:03 · TB 1 · Score 27-21
    (:03) 5-C.McLaughlin 19 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.
  15. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q3 21:05 · TB 12 · Score 33-21
    (6:05) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass short right to 14-Z.Pascal for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  16. Indianapolis Colts Safety (+2) — Q3 20:59 · TB 2 · Score 35-21
    TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 7-J.Brissett pass to 14-Z.Pascal is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.
  17. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q3 18:24 · IND 17 · Score 35-27
    (3:24) 3-J.Winston pass deep middle to 17-J.Watson for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  18. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q3 18:18 · IND 15 · Score 35-28
    9-M.Gay extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.
  19. Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q4 13:05 · IND 26 · Score 35-31
    (13:05) 9-M.Gay 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.
  20. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q4 3:56 · IND 12 · Score 35-37
    (3:56) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short left to 19-B.Perriman for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  21. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q4 3:51 · IND 15 · Score 35-38
    9-M.Gay extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Indianapolis Colts vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers beat the Indianapolis Colts 38-35 in Week 14, 2019 on 2019-12-08.

What was the final score of Indianapolis Colts vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

The final score was Indianapolis Colts 35, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 38 (IND 35-38 TB) in Week 14, 2019 on 2019-12-08.

What was the score by quarter in Indianapolis Colts vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

Q1: Indianapolis Colts 10, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 14; Q2: Indianapolis Colts 17, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7; Q3: Indianapolis Colts 8, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7; Q4: Indianapolis Colts 0, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 10; Final: Indianapolis Colts 35, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 38.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Indianapolis Colts vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

Indianapolis Colts touchdown — M. Johnson (J. Brissett pass) (Q1 57:54) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — J. Winston (Q1 46:47) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — M. Evans (J. Winston pass) (Q1 46:15) Indianapolis Colts touchdown — M. Mack (Q2 37:47) Indianapolis Colts touchdown — D. Leonard (Q2 32:47) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — C. Brate (J. Winston pass) (Q2 30:41) Indianapolis Colts touchdown — Z. Pascal (J. Brissett pass) (Q3 21:05) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — J. Watson (J. Winston pass) (Q3 18:24) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — B. Perriman (J. Winston pass) (Q4 3:56) Indianapolis Colts field goal — C. McLaughlin (Q1 51:58, 3 pts) Indianapolis Colts field goal — C. McLaughlin (Q2 30:03, 3 pts) Tampa Bay Buccaneers field goal — M. Gay (Q4 13:05, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Indianapolis Colts vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

J. Winston (Tampa Bay Buccaneers), 68.8% completion, +14.0% CPOE, +0.17 EPA per dropback, +8.14 total passing EPA. J. Brissett (Indianapolis Colts), 44.2% completion, -8.7% CPOE, +0.11 EPA per dropback, +4.59 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Indianapolis Colts vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

J. Winston (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) led the game in total EPA with +8.14 on passing plays. across 48 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-10.14 EPA): (2:47) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short right intended for 19-B.Perriman INTERCEPTED by 53-D.Leonard [37-K.Willis] at IND 20. 53-D.Leonard for 80 yards, TOUCHDOWN.. The biggest win-probability swing was -29.3%.

Was Indianapolis Colts vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers a close game?

Yes — the margin was 3 points. Tampa Bay Buccaneers won 38-35 in a game that came down to the wire.

Season records after this game

Indianapolis Colts

Entered 6-6 Now 6-7 L

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Entered 5-7 Now 6-7 W