Game story
In Week 14 of the 2019 NFL season on 2019-12-08, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers took care of business against the Indianapolis Colts, pulling away with a 38–35 final that came down to the wire.
The highest-scoring period was Q1 with 24 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.
J. Winston (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) paced the passing game, with +8.14 total EPA, and +14.0% completion percentage over expected.
On the individual side, J. Winston (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +8.14 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.
The momentum swing (-29.3% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Tampa Bay Buccaneers changed the game: (2:47) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short right intended for 19-B.Perriman INTERCEPTED by 53-D.Leonard [37-K.Willis] at IND 20. 53-D.Leonard for 80 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Line score
Final score and points by quarter.
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | — | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indianapolis Colts | 10 | 17 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 35 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 14 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 38 |
Stars of the game
Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.
- 1 J. Winston · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Passing · +8.14 total EPA · 48 snaps · +0.17 EPA/play
- 2 M. Johnson · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +6.80 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.97 EPA/play
- 3 Z. Pascal · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +6.43 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.64 EPA/play
- 4 J. Watson · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +6.05 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.76 EPA/play
- 5 C. Godwin · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +5.33 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.59 EPA/play
- 6 J. Brissett · Indianapolis Colts · Passing · +4.59 total EPA · 43 snaps · +0.11 EPA/play
- 7 C. Brate · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +4.03 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.01 EPA/play
- 8 O. Howard · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +3.41 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.68 EPA/play
Player of the game
FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.
J. Winston — TB · Passing
J. Winston posted the highest total EPA (+8.14) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Tampa Bay Buccaneers's efficiency. Across 48 counted snaps, they averaged +0.17 EPA per play.
The signature play (-10.14 EPA) came from Tampa Bay Buccaneers: (2:47) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short right intended for 19-B.Perriman INTERCEPTED by 53-D.Leonard [37-K.Willis] at IND 20. 53-D.Leonard for 80 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Who scored touchdowns and field goals
Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.
Touchdowns
- Indianapolis Colts — M. Johnson (J. Brissett pass)
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — J. Winston
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — M. Evans (J. Winston pass)
- Indianapolis Colts — M. Mack
- Indianapolis Colts — D. Leonard
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — C. Brate (J. Winston pass)
- Indianapolis Colts — Z. Pascal (J. Brissett pass)
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — J. Watson (J. Winston pass)
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — B. Perriman (J. Winston pass)
Field goals
- Indianapolis Colts — C. McLaughlin
- Indianapolis Colts — C. McLaughlin
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — M. Gay
How it unfolded, quarter by quarter
A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.
The opening quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 14–10. Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the TB 46 (Q1 57:54); Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q1 57:45) — 5-C.McLaughlin extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.; Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the TB 32 (Q1 51:58) — (6:58) 5-C.McLaughlin 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the IND 1 (Q1 46:47) — (1:47) 3-J.Winston right guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the IND 15 (Q1 46:41) — 9-M.Gay extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the IND 61 (Q1 46:15); Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the IND 15 (Q1 46:06) — 9-M.Gay extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion..
The second quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 17–7. Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the TB 2 (Q2 37:47) — (7:47) 25-M.Mack up the middle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q2 37:42) — 5-C.McLaughlin extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.; Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the IND 23 (Q2 32:47); Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q2 32:32) — 5-C.McLaughlin extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the IND 3 (Q2 30:41) — (:41) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short right to 84-C.Brate for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the IND 15 (Q2 30:38) — 9-M.Gay extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.; Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the TB 1 (Q2 30:03) — (:03) 5-C.McLaughlin 19 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez..
The third quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 8–7. Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the TB 12 (Q3 21:05) — (6:05) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass short right to 14-Z.Pascal for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts registered a safety from the TB 2 (Q3 20:59) — TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 7-J.Brissett pass to 14-Z.Pascal is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the IND 17 (Q3 18:24) — (3:24) 3-J.Winston pass deep middle to 17-J.Watson for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the IND 15 (Q3 18:18) — 9-M.Gay extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion..
The fourth quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 10–0. Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the IND 26 (Q4 13:05) — (13:05) 9-M.Gay 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the IND 12 (Q4 3:56) — (3:56) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short left to 19-B.Perriman for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the IND 15 (Q4 3:51) — 9-M.Gay extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion..
Turning points
Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q2 32:47) — (2:47) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short right intended for 19-B.Perriman INTERCEPTED by 53-D.Leonard [37-K.Willis] at IND 20. 53-D.Leonard for 80 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Indianapolis Colts (Q4 1:56) — (1:56) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass short left to 7-J.Brissett. 7-J.Brissett pass incomplete short left. Penalty on IND-7-J.Brissett, Illegal Forward Pass, declined.
- Indianapolis Colts (Q1 57:54) — (12:54) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass deep right to 83-M.Johnson for 46 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on TB-26-S.Bunting, Illegal Contact, declined.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q2 34:28) — (4:28) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass deep left to 12-C.Godwin to IND 23 for 28 yards (37-K.Willis).
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q1 46:15) — (1:15) 3-J.Winston pass deep right to 13-M.Evans for 61 yards, TOUCHDOWN. TB-13-M.Evans was injured during the play. His return is Questionable.
Impact plays
Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q2 32:47) — (2:47) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short right intended for 19-B.Perriman INTERCEPTED by 53-D.Leonard [37-K.Willis] at IND 20. 53-D.Leonard for 80 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Indianapolis Colts (Q1 57:54) — (12:54) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass deep right to 83-M.Johnson for 46 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on TB-26-S.Bunting, Illegal Contact, declined.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q1 46:15) — (1:15) 3-J.Winston pass deep right to 13-M.Evans for 61 yards, TOUCHDOWN. TB-13-M.Evans was injured during the play. His return is Questionable.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q1 59:26) — (14:26) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short middle intended for 13-M.Evans INTERCEPTED by 53-D.Leonard at TB 46. 53-D.Leonard pushed ob at TB 35 for 11 yards (27-R.Jones). PENALTY on IND-99-J.Houston, Il
Quarterback report card
J.Winston led all passers in efficiency for Tampa Bay Buccaneers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.
- J.Winston (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) · 48 dropbacks · 68.8% completion · +14.0% CPOE · +0.17 EPA/play · +8.14 total EPA
- J.Brissett (Indianapolis Colts) · 43 dropbacks · 44.2% completion · -8.7% CPOE · +0.11 EPA/play · +4.59 total EPA
Team stats comparison
Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.
| Stat | Indianapolis Colts | Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive EPA/play | +0.006 | +0.013 |
| Offensive success rate | 33.3% | 49.5% |
| Pass EPA/play | +0.107 | +0.144 |
| Rush EPA/play | -0.099 | -0.222 |
| Defensive EPA/play | -0.013 | -0.006 |
| Defensive success rate | 50.5% | 66.7% |
By the numbers
Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Indianapolis Colts +0.01, Tampa Bay Buccaneers +0.01) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.
- Indianapolis Colts: 13 drives, +0.51 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 13 drives, +1.20 total EPA, 7 scoring drives
Key takeaways
What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
- One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
- J. Winston (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
- J. Winston (TB) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
- J. Brissett (IND) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
Every scoring play
Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.
- Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q1 57:54 · TB 46 · Score 6-0
(12:54) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass deep right to 83-M.Johnson for 46 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on TB-26-S.Bunting, Illegal Contact, declined. - Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q1 57:45 · TB 15 · Score 7-0
5-C.McLaughlin extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez. - Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q1 51:58 · TB 32 · Score 10-0
(6:58) 5-C.McLaughlin 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q1 46:47 · IND 1 · Score 10-6
(1:47) 3-J.Winston right guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q1 46:41 · IND 15 · Score 10-7
9-M.Gay extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q1 46:15 · IND 61 · Score 10-13
(1:15) 3-J.Winston pass deep right to 13-M.Evans for 61 yards, TOUCHDOWN. TB-13-M.Evans was injured during the play. His return is Questionable. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q1 46:06 · IND 15 · Score 10-14
9-M.Gay extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion. - Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q2 37:47 · TB 2 · Score 16-14
(7:47) 25-M.Mack up the middle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q2 37:42 · TB 15 · Score 17-14
5-C.McLaughlin extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez. - Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q2 32:47 · IND 23 · Score 23-14
(2:47) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short right intended for 19-B.Perriman INTERCEPTED by 53-D.Leonard [37-K.Willis] at IND 20. 53-D.Leonard for 80 yards, TOUCHDO - Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q2 32:32 · TB 15 · Score 24-14
5-C.McLaughlin extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q2 30:41 · IND 3 · Score 24-20
(:41) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short right to 84-C.Brate for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q2 30:38 · IND 15 · Score 24-21
9-M.Gay extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion. - Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q2 30:03 · TB 1 · Score 27-21
(:03) 5-C.McLaughlin 19 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez. - Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q3 21:05 · TB 12 · Score 33-21
(6:05) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass short right to 14-Z.Pascal for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Indianapolis Colts Safety (+2) — Q3 20:59 · TB 2 · Score 35-21
TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 7-J.Brissett pass to 14-Z.Pascal is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q3 18:24 · IND 17 · Score 35-27
(3:24) 3-J.Winston pass deep middle to 17-J.Watson for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q3 18:18 · IND 15 · Score 35-28
9-M.Gay extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q4 13:05 · IND 26 · Score 35-31
(13:05) 9-M.Gay 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q4 3:56 · IND 12 · Score 35-37
(3:56) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short left to 19-B.Perriman for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q4 3:51 · IND 15 · Score 35-38
9-M.Gay extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.
Frequently asked questions
Who won Indianapolis Colts vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers beat the Indianapolis Colts 38-35 in Week 14, 2019 on 2019-12-08.
What was the final score of Indianapolis Colts vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
The final score was Indianapolis Colts 35, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 38 (IND 35-38 TB) in Week 14, 2019 on 2019-12-08.
What was the score by quarter in Indianapolis Colts vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
Q1: Indianapolis Colts 10, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 14; Q2: Indianapolis Colts 17, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7; Q3: Indianapolis Colts 8, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7; Q4: Indianapolis Colts 0, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 10; Final: Indianapolis Colts 35, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 38.
Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Indianapolis Colts vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
Indianapolis Colts touchdown — M. Johnson (J. Brissett pass) (Q1 57:54) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — J. Winston (Q1 46:47) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — M. Evans (J. Winston pass) (Q1 46:15) Indianapolis Colts touchdown — M. Mack (Q2 37:47) Indianapolis Colts touchdown — D. Leonard (Q2 32:47) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — C. Brate (J. Winston pass) (Q2 30:41) Indianapolis Colts touchdown — Z. Pascal (J. Brissett pass) (Q3 21:05) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — J. Watson (J. Winston pass) (Q3 18:24) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — B. Perriman (J. Winston pass) (Q4 3:56) Indianapolis Colts field goal — C. McLaughlin (Q1 51:58, 3 pts) Indianapolis Colts field goal — C. McLaughlin (Q2 30:03, 3 pts) Tampa Bay Buccaneers field goal — M. Gay (Q4 13:05, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.
How did the quarterbacks play in Indianapolis Colts vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
J. Winston (Tampa Bay Buccaneers), 68.8% completion, +14.0% CPOE, +0.17 EPA per dropback, +8.14 total passing EPA. J. Brissett (Indianapolis Colts), 44.2% completion, -8.7% CPOE, +0.11 EPA per dropback, +4.59 total passing EPA.
Who was the most impactful player in Indianapolis Colts vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
J. Winston (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) led the game in total EPA with +8.14 on passing plays. across 48 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-10.14 EPA): (2:47) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short right intended for 19-B.Perriman INTERCEPTED by 53-D.Leonard [37-K.Willis] at IND 20. 53-D.Leonard for 80 yards, TOUCHDOWN.. The biggest win-probability swing was -29.3%.
Was Indianapolis Colts vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers a close game?
Yes — the margin was 3 points. Tampa Bay Buccaneers won 38-35 in a game that came down to the wire.
Season records after this game
Indianapolis Colts
Entered 6-6 Now 6-7 L
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Entered 5-7 Now 6-7 W