FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 16 · December 27, 2020 · 11 min read

Indianapolis Colts vs. Pittsburgh Steelers: 2020 Week 16 Recap

Steelers defeat Colts 28–24 in Week 16

B.Roethlisberger led Fantasy Impact as Steelers prevailed in a 24–28 Week 16 finish.

Indianapolis Colts 24 10–5
Final 24–28
Pittsburgh Steelers 28 12–3 Winner
Winner
Pittsburgh Steelers
Final score
24–28
Halftime
Indianapolis Colts 21–7 Pittsburgh Steelers
Top passer
B. Roethlisberger
FantasyHQ MVP
B.Roethlisberger
Game date
December 27, 2020

Top fantasy performers · Colts

  • Jawaan Taylor
    Jawaan Taylor 18 CAR · 74 YDS · 2 TD +3.8 Fantasy Impact
  • J.Doyle 4 REC · 50 YDS +3.1 Fantasy Impact
  • Zach Pascal
    Zach Pascal 3 REC · 64 YDS · 1 TD +2.9 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Steelers

  • B.Roethlisberger 34/54 · 332 YDS · 3 TD +8.1 Fantasy Impact
  • JuJu Smith-Schuster
    JuJu Smith-Schuster 9 REC · 96 YDS · 1 TD +2.7 Fantasy Impact
  • James Conner
    James Conner 5 REC · 45 YDS +2.6 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Pittsburgh Steelers defeated the Indianapolis Colts 28–24 in Week 16 of the 2020 NFL season on 2020-12-27, a matchup that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half. The decisive swing (-20.4% win probability) came in the second quarter when Indianapolis Colts swung the momentum.

In Week 16 of the 2020 NFL season on 2020-12-27, the Pittsburgh Steelers took care of business against the Indianapolis Colts, pulling away with a 28–24 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 21 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

B. Roethlisberger (Pittsburgh Steelers) paced the passing game, with +8.07 total EPA, and +1.0% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, B. Roethlisberger (Pittsburgh Steelers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +8.07 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-20.4% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Indianapolis Colts changed the game: (14:46) (Shotgun) 17-P.Rivers sacked at IND 24 for -8 yards (90-T.Watt). FUMBLES (90-T.Watt), touched at IND 23, RECOVERED by PIT-28-M.Hilton at IND 17. 28-M.Hilton to IND 3 for 14 yards (28-J.Taylor)

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Indianapolis Colts71430024
Pittsburgh Steelers07714028

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 B. Roethlisberger · Pittsburgh Steelers · Passing · +8.07 total EPA · 54 snaps · +0.15 EPA/play
  2. 2 J. Taylor · Indianapolis Colts · Rushing · +3.78 total EPA · 18 snaps · +0.21 EPA/play
  3. 3 J. Doyle · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +3.10 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.52 EPA/play
  4. 4 Z. Pascal · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +2.89 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.48 EPA/play
  5. 5 J. Smith-Schuster · Pittsburgh Steelers · Receiving · +2.72 total EPA · 13 snaps · +0.21 EPA/play
  6. 6 J. Conner · Pittsburgh Steelers · Receiving · +2.57 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.51 EPA/play
  7. 7 N. Hines · Indianapolis Colts · Rushing · +1.76 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.22 EPA/play
  8. 8 M. Alie-Cox · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +1.67 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.67 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

B. Roethlisberger — PIT · Passing

B. Roethlisberger posted the highest total EPA (+8.07) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Pittsburgh Steelers's efficiency. Across 54 counted snaps, they averaged +0.15 EPA per play.

The signature play (-7.55 EPA) came from Indianapolis Colts: (14:46) (Shotgun) 17-P.Rivers sacked at IND 24 for -8 yards (90-T.Watt). FUMBLES (90-T.Watt), touched at IND 23, RECOVERED by PIT-28-M.Hilton at IND 17. 28-M.Hilton to IND 3 for 14 yards (28-J.Taylor).

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Indianapolis Colts — J. Taylor (Q1 54:51)
  • Pittsburgh Steelers — J. Conner (Q2 43:50)
  • Indianapolis Colts — J. Taylor (Q2 36:40)
  • Indianapolis Colts — Z. Pascal (P. Rivers pass) (Q2 34:08)
  • Pittsburgh Steelers — B. Roethlisberger (Q3 18:23)
  • Pittsburgh Steelers — E. Ebron (B. Roethlisberger pass) (Q4 14:57)
  • Pittsburgh Steelers — J. Smith-Schuster (B. Roethlisberger pass) (Q4 7:43)

Field goals

  • Indianapolis Colts — R. Blankenship (Q3 24:25)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 7–0. Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the PIT 6 (Q1 54:51) — (9:51) (Shotgun) 28-J.Taylor up the middle for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the PIT 15 (Q1 54:48) — 3-R.Blankenship extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez..

The second quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 14–7. Pittsburgh Steelers found the end zone from the IND 1 (Q2 43:50) — (13:50) 30-J.Conner up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Pittsburgh Steelers added 1 points from the IND 15 (Q2 43:47) — 16-M.Wright extra point is GOOD, Center-57-K.Canaday, Holder-4-J.Berry.; Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the PIT 1 (Q2 36:40) — (6:40) 28-J.Taylor right guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the PIT 15 (Q2 36:35) — 3-R.Blankenship extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.; Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the PIT 42 (Q2 34:08) — (4:08) 17-P.Rivers pass deep middle to 14-Z.Pascal for 42 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the PIT 15 (Q2 34:02) — 3-R.Blankenship extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez..

The third quarter: Pittsburgh Steelers won the period 7–3. Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the PIT 10 (Q3 24:25) — (9:25) 3-R.Blankenship 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.; Pittsburgh Steelers found the end zone from the IND 39 (Q3 18:23) — (3:23) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass deep right to 18-Di.Johnson for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Pittsburgh Steelers added 1 points from the IND 15 (Q3 18:16) — 16-M.Wright extra point is GOOD, Center-57-K.Canaday, Holder-4-J.Berry..

The fourth quarter: Pittsburgh Steelers won the period 14–0. Pittsburgh Steelers found the end zone from the IND 5 (Q4 14:57) — (14:57) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass short left to 85-E.Ebron for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Pittsburgh Steelers added 1 points from the IND 15 (Q4 14:52) — 16-M.Wright extra point is GOOD, Center-57-K.Canaday, Holder-4-J.Berry.; Pittsburgh Steelers found the end zone from the IND 25 (Q4 7:43) — (7:43) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass deep left to 19-J.Smith-Schuster for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Pittsburgh Steelers added 1 points from the IND 15 (Q4 7:38) — 16-M.Wright extra point is GOOD, Center-57-K.Canaday, Holder-4-J.Berry..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Indianapolis Colts (Q2 44:46) — (14:46) (Shotgun) 17-P.Rivers sacked at IND 24 for -8 yards (90-T.Watt). FUMBLES (90-T.Watt), touched at IND 23, RECOVERED by PIT-28-M.Hilton at IND 17. 28-M.Hilton to IND 3 for 14 yards (28-J.Taylor) [WPA -20.4% · EPA -7.55]
  • Indianapolis Colts (Q4 1:19) — (1:19) (Shotgun) 17-P.Rivers pass incomplete deep right to 14-Z.Pascal [56-A.Highsmith]. [WPA -20.0% · EPA -1.42]
  • Indianapolis Colts (Q4 1:39) — (1:39) (Shotgun) 17-P.Rivers pass short left to 13-T.Hilton pushed ob at PIT 35 for 21 yards (39-M.Fitzpatrick). [WPA +12.7% · EPA +1.81]
  • Pittsburgh Steelers (Q4 7:43) — (7:43) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass deep left to 19-J.Smith-Schuster for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +10.5% · EPA +2.81]
  • Indianapolis Colts (Q4 1:55) — (1:55) (Shotgun) 17-P.Rivers pass short left intended for 13-T.Hilton INTERCEPTED by 22-S.Nelson at IND 44. 22-S.Nelson to IND 44 for no gain. PENALTY on PIT-22-S.Nelson, Defensive Pass Interference, [WPA +9.6% · EPA +1.80]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Indianapolis Colts (Q2 44:46) — (14:46) (Shotgun) 17-P.Rivers sacked at IND 24 for -8 yards (90-T.Watt). FUMBLES (90-T.Watt), touched at IND 23, RECOVERED by PIT-28-M.Hilton at IND 17. 28-M.Hilton to IND 3 for 14 yards (28-J.Taylor) [WPA -20.4% · EPA -7.55]
  • Indianapolis Colts (Q2 34:08) — (4:08) 17-P.Rivers pass deep middle to 14-Z.Pascal for 42 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +6.5% · EPA +4.65]
  • Pittsburgh Steelers (Q3 18:23) — (3:23) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass deep right to 18-Di.Johnson for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +8.2% · EPA +3.22]
  • Indianapolis Colts (Q1 58:06) — (13:06) (Shotgun) 17-P.Rivers pass short middle to 11-M.Pittman to PIT 42 for 26 yards (34-Te.Edmunds). [WPA +8.4% · EPA +3.02]

Quarterback report card

B.Roethlisberger led all passers in efficiency for Pittsburgh Steelers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • B.Roethlisberger (Pittsburgh Steelers) · 54 dropbacks · 63.0% completion · +1.0% CPOE · +0.15 EPA/play · +8.07 total EPA
  • P.Rivers (Indianapolis Colts) · 41 dropbacks · 51.2% completion · +0.5% CPOE · -0.13 EPA/play · -5.20 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatIndianapolis ColtsPittsburgh Steelers
Offensive EPA/play-0.007+0.011
Offensive success rate50.6%49.4%
Pass EPA/play-0.127+0.149
Rush EPA/play+0.236-0.291
Defensive EPA/play-0.011+0.007
Defensive success rate50.6%49.4%

By the numbers

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Indianapolis Colts -0.01, Pittsburgh Steelers +0.01) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

  • Indianapolis Colts: 12 drives, -0.60 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
  • Pittsburgh Steelers: 13 drives, +0.97 total EPA, 4 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Pittsburgh Steelers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
  • B. Roethlisberger (Pittsburgh Steelers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q1 54:51 · PIT 6 · Score 6-0
    (9:51) (Shotgun) 28-J.Taylor up the middle for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q1 54:48 · PIT 15 · Score 7-0
    3-R.Blankenship extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.
  3. Pittsburgh Steelers TD (+6) — Q2 43:50 · IND 1 · Score 7-6
    (13:50) 30-J.Conner up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. Pittsburgh Steelers XP (+1) — Q2 43:47 · IND 15 · Score 7-7
    16-M.Wright extra point is GOOD, Center-57-K.Canaday, Holder-4-J.Berry.
  5. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q2 36:40 · PIT 1 · Score 13-7
    (6:40) 28-J.Taylor right guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
  6. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q2 36:35 · PIT 15 · Score 14-7
    3-R.Blankenship extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.
  7. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q2 34:08 · PIT 42 · Score 20-7
    (4:08) 17-P.Rivers pass deep middle to 14-Z.Pascal for 42 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  8. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q2 34:02 · PIT 15 · Score 21-7
    3-R.Blankenship extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.
  9. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q3 24:25 · PIT 10 · Score 24-7
    (9:25) 3-R.Blankenship 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.
  10. Pittsburgh Steelers TD (+6) — Q3 18:23 · IND 39 · Score 24-13
    (3:23) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass deep right to 18-Di.Johnson for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  11. Pittsburgh Steelers XP (+1) — Q3 18:16 · IND 15 · Score 24-14
    16-M.Wright extra point is GOOD, Center-57-K.Canaday, Holder-4-J.Berry.
  12. Pittsburgh Steelers TD (+6) — Q4 14:57 · IND 5 · Score 24-20
    (14:57) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass short left to 85-E.Ebron for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  13. Pittsburgh Steelers XP (+1) — Q4 14:52 · IND 15 · Score 24-21
    16-M.Wright extra point is GOOD, Center-57-K.Canaday, Holder-4-J.Berry.
  14. Pittsburgh Steelers TD (+6) — Q4 7:43 · IND 25 · Score 24-27
    (7:43) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass deep left to 19-J.Smith-Schuster for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  15. Pittsburgh Steelers XP (+1) — Q4 7:38 · IND 15 · Score 24-28
    16-M.Wright extra point is GOOD, Center-57-K.Canaday, Holder-4-J.Berry.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers?

The Pittsburgh Steelers beat the Indianapolis Colts 28-24 in Week 16, 2020 on 2020-12-27.

What was the final score of Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers?

The final score was Indianapolis Colts 24, Pittsburgh Steelers 28 (IND 24-28 PIT) in Week 16, 2020 on 2020-12-27.

What was the score by quarter in Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers?

Q1: Indianapolis Colts 7, Pittsburgh Steelers 0; Q2: Indianapolis Colts 14, Pittsburgh Steelers 7; Q3: Indianapolis Colts 3, Pittsburgh Steelers 7; Q4: Indianapolis Colts 0, Pittsburgh Steelers 14; Final: Indianapolis Colts 24, Pittsburgh Steelers 28.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers?

Indianapolis Colts touchdown — J. Taylor (Q1 54:51) Pittsburgh Steelers touchdown — J. Conner (Q2 43:50) Indianapolis Colts touchdown — J. Taylor (Q2 36:40) Indianapolis Colts touchdown — Z. Pascal (P. Rivers pass) (Q2 34:08) Pittsburgh Steelers touchdown — B. Roethlisberger (Q3 18:23) Pittsburgh Steelers touchdown — E. Ebron (B. Roethlisberger pass) (Q4 14:57) Pittsburgh Steelers touchdown — J. Smith-Schuster (B. Roethlisberger pass) (Q4 7:43) Indianapolis Colts field goal — R. Blankenship (Q3 24:25, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers?

B. Roethlisberger (Pittsburgh Steelers), 63.0% completion, +1.0% CPOE, +0.15 EPA per dropback, +8.07 total passing EPA. P. Rivers (Indianapolis Colts), 51.2% completion, +0.5% CPOE, -0.13 EPA per dropback, -5.20 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers?

B. Roethlisberger (Pittsburgh Steelers) led the game in total EPA with +8.07 on passing plays. across 54 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-7.55 EPA): (14:46) (Shotgun) 17-P.Rivers sacked at IND 24 for -8 yards (90-T.Watt). FUMBLES (90-T.Watt), touched at IND 23, RECOVERED by PIT-28-M.Hilton at IND 17. 28-M.Hilton to IND 3 for 14. The biggest win-probability swing was -20.4%.

Was Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers a close game?

Yes — the margin was 4 points. Pittsburgh Steelers won 28-24 in a game that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

Season records after this game

Indianapolis Colts

Entered 10-4 Now 10-5 L

Pittsburgh Steelers

Entered 11-3 Now 12-3 W