Indianapolis Colts vs. New England Patriots: 2022 Week 9 Recap

Game story

In Week 9 of the 2022 NFL season on 2022-11-06, the New England Patriots took care of business against the Indianapolis Colts, pulling away with a 26–3 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 13 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

S. Ehlinger (Indianapolis Colts) paced the passing game, with -25.91 total EPA, and -16.2% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, H. Henry (New England Patriots) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +5.36 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-9.2% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Indianapolis Colts changed the game: (7:05) 6-M.Haack punt is BLOCKED by 31-Jo.Jones, Center-46-L.Rhodes, RECOVERED by NE-41-B.Schooler at IND 8. 41-B.Schooler to IND 2 for 6 yards (6-M.Haack).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 H. Henry · New England Patriots · Receiving · +5.36 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.34 EPA/play
2. 2 J. Taylor · New England Patriots · Receiving · +0.89 total EPA · 1 snaps · +0.89 EPA/play
3. 3 M. Alie-Cox · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +0.66 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.33 EPA/play
4. 4 J. Meyers · New England Patriots · Rushing · +0.49 total EPA · 1 snaps · +0.49 EPA/play
5. 5 D. Jackson · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +0.24 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.08 EPA/play
6. 6 M. Jones · New England Patriots · Rushing · +0.00 total EPA · 1 snaps · +0.00 EPA/play
7. 7 A. Pierce · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · -0.09 total EPA · 2 snaps · -0.05 EPA/play
8. 8 P. Campbell · Indianapolis Colts · Rushing · -0.40 total EPA · 1 snaps · -0.40 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• New England Patriots — R. Stevenson (M. Jones pass) (Q2 36:18)
• New England Patriots — S. Ehlinger (Q4 4:07)

Field goals

• New England Patriots — N. Folk (Q2 43:35)
• New England Patriots — N. Folk (Q2 38:55)
• Indianapolis Colts — C. McLaughlin (Q3 23:04)
• New England Patriots — N. Folk (Q3 19:22)
• New England Patriots — N. Folk (Q4 10:13)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The second quarter: New England Patriots won the period 13–0. New England Patriots connected on a field goal from the IND 31 (Q2 43:35) — (13:35) 6-N.Folk 49 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-7-J.Bailey.; New England Patriots connected on a field goal from the IND 24 (Q2 38:55) — (8:55) 6-N.Folk 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-7-J.Bailey.; New England Patriots found the end zone from the IND 3 (Q2 36:18) — (6:18) (Shotgun) 10-M.Jones pass short left to 38-R.Stevenson for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New England Patriots added 1 points from the IND 15 (Q2 36:12) — 6-N.Folk extra point is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-7-J.Bailey..

The third quarter: The quarter finished even at 3–3. Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the NE 22 (Q3 23:04) — (8:04) 7-C.McLaughlin 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-6-M.Haack.; New England Patriots connected on a field goal from the IND 25 (Q3 19:22) — (4:22) 6-N.Folk 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-7-J.Bailey..

The fourth quarter: New England Patriots won the period 10–0. New England Patriots connected on a field goal from the IND 10 (Q4 10:13) — (10:13) 6-N.Folk 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-7-J.Bailey.; New England Patriots found the end zone from the NE 94 (Q4 4:07); New England Patriots added 1 points from the IND 15 (Q4 3:59) — 6-N.Folk extra point is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-7-J.Bailey..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Indianapolis Colts (Q2 37:05) — (7:05) 6-M.Haack punt is BLOCKED by 31-Jo.Jones, Center-46-L.Rhodes, RECOVERED by NE-41-B.Schooler at IND 8. 41-B.Schooler to IND 2 for 6 yards (6-M.Haack). [WPA -9.2% · EPA -5.00]
• Indianapolis Colts (Q1 57:50) — (12:50) (Shotgun) 4-S.Ehlinger sacked at IND 22 for -8 yards (9-M.Judon). PENALTY on NE-95-D.Ekuale, Roughing the Passer, 15 yards, enforced at IND 30 - No Play. [WPA +7.4% · EPA +2.55]
• Indianapolis Colts (Q1 53:20) — (8:20) (Shotgun) 4-S.Ehlinger sacked at NE 48 for -8 yards (9-M.Judon). [WPA -6.4% · EPA -2.47]
• New England Patriots (Q2 43:40) — (13:40) (Shotgun) 10-M.Jones pass incomplete deep right to 38-R.Stevenson. [WPA -5.9% · EPA -1.84]
• New England Patriots (Q1 55:17) — (10:17) (Shotgun) 10-M.Jones sacked at NE 6 for -3 yards (sack split by 99-D.Buckner and 91-Y.Ngakoue). [WPA -5.6% · EPA -1.66]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Indianapolis Colts (Q4 4:07) — (4:07) (Shotgun) 4-S.Ehlinger pass short left intended for 83-K.Granson INTERCEPTED by 31-Jo.Jones at IND 17. 31-Jo.Jones for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -0.3% · EPA -5.32]
• Indianapolis Colts (Q2 37:05) — (7:05) 6-M.Haack punt is BLOCKED by 31-Jo.Jones, Center-46-L.Rhodes, RECOVERED by NE-41-B.Schooler at IND 8. 41-B.Schooler to IND 2 for 6 yards (6-M.Haack). [WPA -9.2% · EPA -5.00]
• New England Patriots (Q3 27:46) — (12:46) (Shotgun) 10-M.Jones pass short left to 16-J.Meyers to NE 39 for 8 yards (58-B.Okereke). FUMBLES (58-B.Okereke), RECOVERED by IND-58-B.Okereke at NE 40. [WPA -4.0% · EPA -4.32]
• New England Patriots (Q4 14:17) — (14:17) (Shotgun) 10-M.Jones pass deep middle to 85-H.Henry to IND 14 for 30 yards (26-R.McLeod, 32-J.Blackmon). [WPA +1.7% · EPA +3.37]

Quarterback report card

S.Ehlinger led all passers in efficiency for Indianapolis Colts, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• S.Ehlinger (Indianapolis Colts) · 44 dropbacks · 34.1% completion · -16.2% CPOE · -0.59 EPA/play · -25.91 total EPA
• M.Jones (New England Patriots) · 34 dropbacks · 58.8% completion · -0.7% CPOE · -0.38 EPA/play · -12.83 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

New England Patriots held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (-0.22 vs -0.54), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

• Indianapolis Colts: 15 drives, -44.35 total EPA, 2 scoring drives
• New England Patriots: 15 drives, -17.72 total EPA, 5 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• New England Patriots leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• H. Henry (New England Patriots) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• S. Ehlinger (IND) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. New England Patriots FG (+3) — Q2 43:35 · IND 31 · Score 0-3
   (13:35) 6-N.Folk 49 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-7-J.Bailey.
2. New England Patriots FG (+3) — Q2 38:55 · IND 24 · Score 0-6
   (8:55) 6-N.Folk 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-7-J.Bailey.
3. New England Patriots TD (+6) — Q2 36:18 · IND 3 · Score 0-12
   (6:18) (Shotgun) 10-M.Jones pass short left to 38-R.Stevenson for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
4. New England Patriots XP (+1) — Q2 36:12 · IND 15 · Score 0-13
   6-N.Folk extra point is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-7-J.Bailey.
5. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q3 23:04 · NE 22 · Score 3-13
   (8:04) 7-C.McLaughlin 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-6-M.Haack.
6. New England Patriots FG (+3) — Q3 19:22 · IND 25 · Score 3-16
   (4:22) 6-N.Folk 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-7-J.Bailey.
7. New England Patriots FG (+3) — Q4 10:13 · IND 10 · Score 3-19
   (10:13) 6-N.Folk 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-7-J.Bailey.
8. New England Patriots TD (+6) — Q4 4:07 · NE 94 · Score 3-25
   (4:07) (Shotgun) 4-S.Ehlinger pass short left intended for 83-K.Granson INTERCEPTED by 31-Jo.Jones at IND 17. 31-Jo.Jones for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
9. New England Patriots XP (+1) — Q4 3:59 · IND 15 · Score 3-26
   6-N.Folk extra point is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-7-J.Bailey.