Indianapolis Colts vs. Miami Dolphins: 2009 Week 2 Recap

Game story

In Week 2 of the 2009 NFL season on 2009-09-21, the Indianapolis Colts took care of business against the Miami Dolphins, pulling away with a 27–23 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 24 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

C. Pennington (Miami Dolphins) paced the passing game, with +7.00 total EPA, and +12.9% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, P. Manning (Indianapolis Colts) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +15.68 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+32.3% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Indianapolis Colts changed the game: (3:29) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short right to 85-P.Garcon for 48 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 P. Manning · Indianapolis Colts · Passing · +15.68 total EPA · 26 snaps · +0.60 EPA/play
2. 2 D. Clark · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +13.72 total EPA · 8 snaps · +1.71 EPA/play
3. 3 T. Ginn · Miami Dolphins · Receiving · +9.02 total EPA · 16 snaps · +0.56 EPA/play
4. 4 C. Pennington · Miami Dolphins · Passing · +7.00 total EPA · 34 snaps · +0.21 EPA/play
5. 5 R. Brown · Miami Dolphins · Rushing · +6.52 total EPA · 26 snaps · +0.25 EPA/play
6. 6 P. Garcon · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +3.95 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.32 EPA/play
7. 7 D. Bess · Miami Dolphins · Receiving · +2.68 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.89 EPA/play
8. 8 D. Brown · Indianapolis Colts · Rushing · +1.94 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.48 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Indianapolis Colts — D. Clark (P. Manning pass) (Q1 60:00)
• Miami Dolphins — R. Brown (Q1 53:49)
• Miami Dolphins — R. Brown (Q4 13:29)
• Indianapolis Colts — D. Brown (Q4 10:12)
• Indianapolis Colts — P. Garcon (P. Manning pass) (Q4 3:29)

Field goals

• Miami Dolphins — D. Carpenter (Q2 43:26)
• Indianapolis Colts — A. Vinatieri (Q2 39:20)
• Miami Dolphins — D. Carpenter (Q2 30:47)
• Indianapolis Colts — A. Vinatieri (Q2 30:02)
• Miami Dolphins — D. Carpenter (Q4 3:55)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the MIA 80 (Q1 60:00) — (15:00) 18-P.Manning pass deep middle to 44-D.Clark for 80 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the MIA 2 (Q1 59:48) — 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-1-P.McAfee.; Miami Dolphins found the end zone from the IND 14 (Q1 53:49) — (8:49) Direct snap to R.Brown. (Shotgun) 23-R.Brown right guard for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Miami Dolphins added 1 points from the IND 2 (Q1 53:42) — 5-D.Carpenter extra point is GOOD, Center-92-J.Denney, Holder-2-B.Fields..

The second quarter: The quarter finished even at 6–6. Miami Dolphins connected on a field goal from the IND 27 (Q2 43:26) — (13:26) 5-D.Carpenter 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-92-J.Denney, Holder-2-B.Fields.; Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the MIA 25 (Q2 39:20) — (9:20) 4-A.Vinatieri 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-1-P.McAfee.; Miami Dolphins connected on a field goal from the IND 27 (Q2 30:47) — (:47) 5-D.Carpenter 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-92-J.Denney, Holder-2-B.Fields.; Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the MIA 30 (Q2 30:02) — (:02) 4-A.Vinatieri 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-1-P.McAfee..

The fourth quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 14–10. Miami Dolphins found the end zone from the IND 3 (Q4 13:29) — (13:29) 23-R.Brown up the middle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Miami Dolphins added 1 points from the IND 2 (Q4 13:23) — 5-D.Carpenter extra point is GOOD, Center-92-J.Denney, Holder-2-B.Fields.; Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the MIA 15 (Q4 10:12) — (10:12) 31-D.Brown up the middle for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the MIA 2 (Q4 10:06) — 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-1-P.McAfee.; Miami Dolphins connected on a field goal from the IND 27 (Q4 3:55) — (3:55) 5-D.Carpenter 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-92-J.Denney, Holder-2-B.Fields.; Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the MIA 48 (Q4 3:29) — (3:29) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short right to 85-P.Garcon for 48 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the MIA 2 (Q4 3:18) — 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-1-P.McAfee..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Indianapolis Colts (Q4 3:29) — (3:29) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short right to 85-P.Garcon for 48 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +32.3% · EPA +5.21]
• Indianapolis Colts (Q1 60:00) — (15:00) 18-P.Manning pass deep middle to 44-D.Clark for 80 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +25.3% · EPA +6.99]
• Miami Dolphins (Q4 0:06) — (:06) 10-C.Pennington pass deep right intended for 82-B.Hartline INTERCEPTED by 41-A.Bethea at IND -5. Touchback. [WPA -24.0% · EPA -1.62]
• Miami Dolphins (Q4 6:43) — (6:43) 10-C.Pennington pass deep middle to 19-T.Ginn to IND 34 for 21 yards (33-M.Bullitt). [WPA +13.8% · EPA +2.30]
• Indianapolis Colts (Q4 10:12) — (10:12) 31-D.Brown up the middle for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +13.6% · EPA +2.36]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Indianapolis Colts (Q1 60:00) — (15:00) 18-P.Manning pass deep middle to 44-D.Clark for 80 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +25.3% · EPA +6.99]
• Indianapolis Colts (Q4 3:29) — (3:29) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short right to 85-P.Garcon for 48 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +32.3% · EPA +5.21]
• Indianapolis Colts (Q4 12:37) — (12:37) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass deep middle to 44-D.Clark to MIA 27 for 49 yards (37-Y.Bell). [WPA +9.4% · EPA +3.84]
• Miami Dolphins (Q3 23:43) — (8:43) 5-D.Carpenter 49 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-92-J.Denney, Holder-2-B.Fields. [WPA -4.9% · EPA -2.70]

Quarterback report card

C.Pennington led all passers in efficiency for Miami Dolphins, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• C.Pennington (Miami Dolphins) · 34 dropbacks · 64.7% completion · +12.9% CPOE · +0.21 EPA/play · +7.00 total EPA
• P.Manning (Indianapolis Colts) · 26 dropbacks · 53.8% completion · +5.5% CPOE · +0.60 EPA/play · +15.68 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Indianapolis Colts generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.40 vs +0.14), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

• Indianapolis Colts: 8 drives, +21.10 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
• Miami Dolphins: 8 drives, +14.64 total EPA, 5 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Indianapolis Colts leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
• P. Manning (Indianapolis Colts) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• C. Pennington (MIA) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
• P. Manning (IND) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q1 60:00 · MIA 80 · Score 6-0
   (15:00) 18-P.Manning pass deep middle to 44-D.Clark for 80 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
2. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q1 59:48 · MIA 2 · Score 7-0
   4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-1-P.McAfee.
3. Miami Dolphins TD (+6) — Q1 53:49 · IND 14 · Score 7-6
   (8:49) Direct snap to R.Brown. (Shotgun) 23-R.Brown right guard for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
4. Miami Dolphins XP (+1) — Q1 53:42 · IND 2 · Score 7-7
   5-D.Carpenter extra point is GOOD, Center-92-J.Denney, Holder-2-B.Fields.
5. Miami Dolphins FG (+3) — Q2 43:26 · IND 27 · Score 7-10
   (13:26) 5-D.Carpenter 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-92-J.Denney, Holder-2-B.Fields.
6. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q2 39:20 · MIA 25 · Score 10-10
   (9:20) 4-A.Vinatieri 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-1-P.McAfee.
7. Miami Dolphins FG (+3) — Q2 30:47 · IND 27 · Score 10-13
   (:47) 5-D.Carpenter 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-92-J.Denney, Holder-2-B.Fields.
8. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q2 30:02 · MIA 30 · Score 13-13
   (:02) 4-A.Vinatieri 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-1-P.McAfee.
9. Miami Dolphins TD (+6) — Q4 13:29 · IND 3 · Score 13-19
   (13:29) 23-R.Brown up the middle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
10. Miami Dolphins XP (+1) — Q4 13:23 · IND 2 · Score 13-20
    5-D.Carpenter extra point is GOOD, Center-92-J.Denney, Holder-2-B.Fields.
11. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q4 10:12 · MIA 15 · Score 19-20
    (10:12) 31-D.Brown up the middle for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
12. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q4 10:06 · MIA 2 · Score 20-20
    4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-1-P.McAfee.
13. Miami Dolphins FG (+3) — Q4 3:55 · IND 27 · Score 20-23
    (3:55) 5-D.Carpenter 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-92-J.Denney, Holder-2-B.Fields.
14. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q4 3:29 · MIA 48 · Score 26-23
    (3:29) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short right to 85-P.Garcon for 48 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
15. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q4 3:18 · MIA 2 · Score 27-23
    4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-1-P.McAfee.