Indianapolis Colts vs. Las Vegas Raiders: 2020 Week 14 Recap

Game story

In Week 14 of the 2020 NFL season on 2020-12-13, the Indianapolis Colts took care of business against the Las Vegas Raiders, pulling away with a 44–27 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 24 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

D. Carr (Las Vegas Raiders) paced the passing game, with +0.78 total EPA, and -0.8% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, P. Rivers (Indianapolis Colts) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +18.28 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+17.3% win probability) landed in the third quarter when Indianapolis Colts changed the game: (7:36) (Shotgun) 28-J.Taylor right tackle for 62 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 P. Rivers · Indianapolis Colts · Passing · +18.28 total EPA · 30 snaps · +0.61 EPA/play
2. 2 T. Hilton · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +10.83 total EPA · 7 snaps · +1.55 EPA/play
3. 3 N. Agholor · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +4.40 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.49 EPA/play
4. 4 J. Taylor · Indianapolis Colts · Rushing · +4.24 total EPA · 20 snaps · +0.21 EPA/play
5. 5 J. Doyle · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +3.07 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.02 EPA/play
6. 6 D. Waller · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +2.98 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.30 EPA/play
7. 7 M. Pittman · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +2.83 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.57 EPA/play
8. 8 F. Moreau · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +2.31 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.16 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Indianapolis Colts — T. Hilton (P. Rivers pass) (Q1 48:05)
• Las Vegas Raiders — F. Moreau (D. Carr pass) (Q1 45:18)
• Las Vegas Raiders — N. Agholor (D. Carr pass) (Q2 40:43)
• Indianapolis Colts — T. Hilton (P. Rivers pass) (Q2 39:10)
• Indianapolis Colts — J. Taylor (Q3 22:36)
• Indianapolis Colts — J. Taylor (Q4 9:27)
• Indianapolis Colts — K. Willis (Q4 5:32)
• Las Vegas Raiders — D. Carr (Q4 1:04)

Field goals

• Indianapolis Colts — R. Blankenship (Q1 53:57)
• Indianapolis Colts — R. Blankenship (Q2 30:01)
• Las Vegas Raiders — D. Carlson (Q3 24:45)
• Las Vegas Raiders — D. Carlson (Q3 15:17)
• Indianapolis Colts — R. Blankenship (Q4 6:55)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 10–7. Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the LV 7 (Q1 53:57) — (8:57) 3-R.Blankenship 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-6-R.Allen.; Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the LV 7 (Q1 48:05) — (3:05) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 17-P.Rivers pass short left to 13-T.Hilton for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the LV 15 (Q1 47:59) — 3-R.Blankenship extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-6-R.Allen.; Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the IND 47 (Q1 45:18) — (:18) 4-D.Carr pass deep middle to 87-F.Moreau for 47 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the IND 15 (Q1 45:09) — 2-D.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole..

The second quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 10–7. Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the IND 21 (Q2 40:43) — (10:43) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass deep middle to 15-N.Agholor for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the IND 15 (Q2 40:38) — 2-D.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole.; Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the LV 41 (Q2 39:10) — (9:10) (Shotgun) 17-P.Rivers pass deep left to 13-T.Hilton for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN [99-A.Key].; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the LV 15 (Q2 39:03) — 3-R.Blankenship extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-6-R.Allen.; Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the LV 2 (Q2 30:01) — (:01) 3-R.Blankenship 20 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-6-R.Allen..

The third quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 7–6. Las Vegas Raiders connected on a field goal from the IND 7 (Q3 24:45) — (9:45) 2-D.Carlson 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole.; Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the LV 62 (Q3 22:36) — (7:36) (Shotgun) 28-J.Taylor right tackle for 62 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the LV 15 (Q3 22:27) — 3-R.Blankenship extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-6-R.Allen.; Las Vegas Raiders connected on a field goal from the IND 5 (Q3 15:17) — (:17) 2-D.Carlson 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole..

The fourth quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 17–7. Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the LV 3 (Q4 9:27) — (9:27) (Shotgun) Direct snap to 21-N.Hines. 28-J.Taylor right tackle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the LV 15 (Q4 9:23); Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the LV 17 (Q4 6:55) — (6:55) 3-R.Blankenship 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-6-R.Allen.; Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the IND 52 (Q4 5:32); Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the LV 15 (Q4 5:22) — 3-R.Blankenship extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-6-R.Allen.; Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the IND 5 (Q4 1:04) — (1:04) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 4-D.Carr scrambles left end for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the IND 15 (Q4 0:55) — 2-D.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Indianapolis Colts (Q3 22:36) — (7:36) (Shotgun) 28-J.Taylor right tackle for 62 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +17.3% · EPA +5.78]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q2 35:40) — (5:40) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short left to 83-D.Waller pushed ob at IND 30 for 29 yards (23-K.Moore). PENALTY on IND-23-K.Moore, Horse Collar Tackle, 15 yards, enforced at IND 30. [WPA +14.2% · EPA +4.15]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q1 45:18) — (:18) 4-D.Carr pass deep middle to 87-F.Moreau for 47 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +13.2% · EPA +3.84]
• Indianapolis Colts (Q2 39:10) — (9:10) (Shotgun) 17-P.Rivers pass deep left to 13-T.Hilton for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN [99-A.Key]. [WPA +12.3% · EPA +3.67]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q2 33:35) — (3:35) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass deep left intended for 83-D.Waller INTERCEPTED by 23-K.Moore at IND -8. Touchback. [WPA -12.2% · EPA -4.65]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Las Vegas Raiders (Q4 5:32) — (5:32) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short right intended for 30-J.Richard INTERCEPTED by 37-K.Willis at 50. 37-K.Willis for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -0.6% · EPA -9.69]
• Indianapolis Colts (Q3 22:36) — (7:36) (Shotgun) 28-J.Taylor right tackle for 62 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +17.3% · EPA +5.78]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q4 9:23) — (9:23) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short left to 13-H.Renfrow to LV 25 for no gain (23-K.Moore). FUMBLES (23-K.Moore), touched at LV 28, RECOVERED by IND-76-T.Stallworth at LV 26. [WPA -2.6% · EPA -5.76]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q2 33:35) — (3:35) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass deep left intended for 83-D.Waller INTERCEPTED by 23-K.Moore at IND -8. Touchback. [WPA -12.2% · EPA -4.65]

Quarterback report card

D.Carr led all passers in efficiency for Las Vegas Raiders, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• D.Carr (Las Vegas Raiders) · 47 dropbacks · 66.0% completion · -0.8% CPOE · +0.02 EPA/play · +0.78 total EPA
• P.Rivers (Indianapolis Colts) · 30 dropbacks · 63.3% completion · +1.9% CPOE · +0.61 EPA/play · +18.28 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Indianapolis Colts generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.28 vs +0.01), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

• Indianapolis Colts: 10 drives, +23.23 total EPA, 7 scoring drives
• Las Vegas Raiders: 9 drives, +0.56 total EPA, 6 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Indianapolis Colts leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• P. Rivers (Indianapolis Colts) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q1 53:57 · LV 7 · Score 3-0
   (8:57) 3-R.Blankenship 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-6-R.Allen.
2. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q1 48:05 · LV 7 · Score 9-0
   (3:05) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 17-P.Rivers pass short left to 13-T.Hilton for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
3. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q1 47:59 · LV 15 · Score 10-0
   3-R.Blankenship extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-6-R.Allen.
4. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q1 45:18 · IND 47 · Score 10-6
   (:18) 4-D.Carr pass deep middle to 87-F.Moreau for 47 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
5. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q1 45:09 · IND 15 · Score 10-7
   2-D.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole.
6. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q2 40:43 · IND 21 · Score 10-13
   (10:43) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass deep middle to 15-N.Agholor for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
7. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q2 40:38 · IND 15 · Score 10-14
   2-D.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole.
8. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q2 39:10 · LV 41 · Score 16-14
   (9:10) (Shotgun) 17-P.Rivers pass deep left to 13-T.Hilton for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN [99-A.Key].
9. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q2 39:03 · LV 15 · Score 17-14
   3-R.Blankenship extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-6-R.Allen.
10. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q2 30:01 · LV 2 · Score 20-14
    (:01) 3-R.Blankenship 20 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-6-R.Allen.
11. Las Vegas Raiders FG (+3) — Q3 24:45 · IND 7 · Score 20-17
    (9:45) 2-D.Carlson 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole.
12. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q3 22:36 · LV 62 · Score 26-17
    (7:36) (Shotgun) 28-J.Taylor right tackle for 62 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
13. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q3 22:27 · LV 15 · Score 27-17
    3-R.Blankenship extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-6-R.Allen.
14. Las Vegas Raiders FG (+3) — Q3 15:17 · IND 5 · Score 27-20
    (:17) 2-D.Carlson 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole.
15. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q4 9:27 · LV 3 · Score 33-20
    (9:27) (Shotgun) Direct snap to 21-N.Hines. 28-J.Taylor right tackle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
16. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q4 9:23 · LV 15 · Score 34-20
    3-R.Blankenship extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-6-R.Allen. PENALTY on LV-27-T.Mullen, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced between downs.
17. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q4 6:55 · LV 17 · Score 37-20
    (6:55) 3-R.Blankenship 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-6-R.Allen.
18. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q4 5:32 · IND 52 · Score 43-20
    (5:32) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short right intended for 30-J.Richard INTERCEPTED by 37-K.Willis at 50. 37-K.Willis for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
19. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q4 5:22 · LV 15 · Score 44-20
    3-R.Blankenship extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-6-R.Allen.
20. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q4 1:04 · IND 5 · Score 44-26
    (1:04) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 4-D.Carr scrambles left end for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
21. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q4 0:55 · IND 15 · Score 44-27
    2-D.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole.