Indianapolis Colts vs. Las Vegas Raiders: 2018 Week 8 Recap

Game story

In Week 8 of the 2018 NFL season on 2018-10-28, the Indianapolis Colts took care of business against the Las Vegas Raiders, pulling away with a 42–28 final that built a comfortable lead.

The highest-scoring period was Q3 with 22 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

A. Luck (Indianapolis Colts) paced the passing game, with +18.08 total EPA, and +6.3% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, A. Luck (Indianapolis Colts) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +18.08 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+13.0% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Indianapolis Colts changed the game: (10:50) (Shotgun) 25-M.Mack up the middle for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 A. Luck · Indianapolis Colts · Passing · +18.08 total EPA · 35 snaps · +0.52 EPA/play
2. 2 D. Carr · Las Vegas Raiders · Passing · +11.93 total EPA · 29 snaps · +0.41 EPA/play
3. 3 M. Mack · Indianapolis Colts · Rushing · +9.30 total EPA · 25 snaps · +0.37 EPA/play
4. 4 J. Cook · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +7.78 total EPA · 5 snaps · +1.56 EPA/play
5. 5 J. Doyle · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +6.98 total EPA · 7 snaps · +1.00 EPA/play
6. 6 E. Ebron · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +4.32 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.44 EPA/play
7. 7 D. Inman · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +2.95 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.42 EPA/play
8. 8 M. Alie-Cox · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +2.78 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.78 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Indianapolis Colts — M. Alie-Cox (A. Luck pass) (Q1 53:27)
• Las Vegas Raiders — S. Roberts (D. Carr pass) (Q2 42:01)
• Las Vegas Raiders — J. Cook (D. Carr pass) (Q2 36:20)
• Las Vegas Raiders — D. Carr (Q3 24:51)
• Indianapolis Colts — E. Ebron (A. Luck pass) (Q3 22:45)
• Las Vegas Raiders — B. LaFell (D. Carr pass) (Q3 16:06)
• Indianapolis Colts — M. Mack (Q4 10:50)
• Indianapolis Colts — J. Doyle (A. Luck pass) (Q4 5:33)
• Indianapolis Colts — M. Mack (Q4 3:03)

Field goals

• Indianapolis Colts — R. Sanchez (Q2 45:00)
• Indianapolis Colts — unlisted player (Q1 45:00)
• Indianapolis Colts — A. Vinatieri (Q2 30:29)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 10–0. Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the LV 26 (Q1 53:27) — (8:27) 12-A.Luck pass deep left to 81-M.Alie-Cox for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the LV 15 (Q1 53:21) — 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-2-R.Sanchez.; Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal (Q1 45:00) — END QUARTER 1.

The second quarter: Las Vegas Raiders won the period 14–6. Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the IND 35 (Q2 45:00) — 2-R.Sanchez kicks 65 yards from IND 35 to end zone, Touchback.; Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the IND 31 (Q2 42:01) — (12:01) 4-D.Carr pass deep right to 10-S.Roberts for 31 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the IND 15 (Q2 41:56) — 8-D.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-5-J.Townsend.; Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the IND 25 (Q2 36:20); Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the IND 15 (Q2 36:13) — 8-D.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-5-J.Townsend.; Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the LV 7 (Q2 30:29) — (:29) 4-A.Vinatieri 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-2-R.Sanchez..

The third quarter: Las Vegas Raiders won the period 14–8. Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the IND 1 (Q3 24:51); Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the IND 15 (Q3 24:49) — 8-D.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-5-J.Townsend. LV-74-T.Clemmings was injured during the play. He is Out.; Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the LV 20 (Q3 22:45) — (7:45) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass deep right to 85-E.Ebron for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts registered a safety from the LV 2 (Q3 22:39) — (Pass formation) TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 12-A.Luck pass to 80-C.Rogers is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.; Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the IND 6 (Q3 16:06) — (1:06) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short middle to 19-B.LaFell for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the IND 15 (Q3 16:01) — 8-D.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-5-J.Townsend..

The fourth quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 21–0. Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the LV 4 (Q4 10:50) — (10:50) (Shotgun) 25-M.Mack up the middle for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the LV 15 (Q4 10:47); Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the LV 10 (Q4 5:33) — (5:33) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass short left to 84-J.Doyle for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the LV 15 (Q4 5:28) — 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-2-R.Sanchez.; Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the LV 1 (Q4 3:03) — (3:03) (Shotgun) 25-M.Mack up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the LV 15 (Q4 2:55) — 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-2-R.Sanchez..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Indianapolis Colts (Q4 10:50) — (10:50) (Shotgun) 25-M.Mack up the middle for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +13.0% · EPA +2.52]
• Indianapolis Colts (Q3 22:45) — (7:45) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass deep right to 85-E.Ebron for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +12.5% · EPA +3.25]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q3 16:06) — (1:06) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short middle to 19-B.LaFell for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +12.2% · EPA +2.57]
• Indianapolis Colts (Q4 5:33) — (5:33) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass short left to 84-J.Doyle for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +11.4% · EPA +1.82]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q4 5:28) — (5:28) 28-D.Martin left tackle to LV 26 for 1 yard (53-D.Leonard). FUMBLES (53-D.Leonard), RECOVERED by IND-49-M.Adams at LV 27. 49-M.Adams to LV 27 for no gain (28-D.Martin). [WPA -10.5% · EPA -4.74]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Las Vegas Raiders (Q4 5:28) — (5:28) 28-D.Martin left tackle to LV 26 for 1 yard (53-D.Leonard). FUMBLES (53-D.Leonard), RECOVERED by IND-49-M.Adams at LV 27. 49-M.Adams to LV 27 for no gain (28-D.Martin). [WPA -10.5% · EPA -4.74]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q2 36:20) — (6:20) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short right to 87-J.Cook for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner broke the plane ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands [WPA +8.5% · EPA +3.42]
• Indianapolis Colts (Q3 24:49) — (9:49) 25-M.Mack left tackle pushed ob at LV 26 for 49 yards (42-K.Joseph). [WPA +7.1% · EPA +3.35]
• Indianapolis Colts (Q3 22:45) — (7:45) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass deep right to 85-E.Ebron for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +12.5% · EPA +3.25]

Quarterback report card

A.Luck led all passers in efficiency for Indianapolis Colts, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• A.Luck (Indianapolis Colts) · 35 dropbacks · 62.9% completion · +6.3% CPOE · +0.52 EPA/play · +18.08 total EPA
• D.Carr (Las Vegas Raiders) · 29 dropbacks · 72.4% completion · +6.0% CPOE · +0.41 EPA/play · +11.93 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Indianapolis Colts generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.30 vs +0.14), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

• Indianapolis Colts: 9 drives, +27.23 total EPA, 7 scoring drives
• Las Vegas Raiders: 9 drives, +9.80 total EPA, 4 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Indianapolis Colts leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• A. Luck (Indianapolis Colts) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• A. Luck (IND) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
• D. Carr (LV) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q1 53:27 · LV 26 · Score 6-0
   (8:27) 12-A.Luck pass deep left to 81-M.Alie-Cox for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
2. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q1 53:21 · LV 15 · Score 7-0
   4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-2-R.Sanchez.
3. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q2 45:00 · IND 35 · Score 10-0
   2-R.Sanchez kicks 65 yards from IND 35 to end zone, Touchback.
4. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q1 45:00 · Score 10-0
   END QUARTER 1
5. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q2 42:01 · IND 31 · Score 10-6
   (12:01) 4-D.Carr pass deep right to 10-S.Roberts for 31 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
6. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q2 41:56 · IND 15 · Score 10-7
   8-D.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-5-J.Townsend.
7. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q2 36:20 · IND 25 · Score 10-13
   (6:20) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short right to 87-J.Cook for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner broke the plane ruling, and the play wa
8. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q2 36:13 · IND 15 · Score 10-14
   8-D.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-5-J.Townsend.
9. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q2 30:29 · LV 7 · Score 13-14
   (:29) 4-A.Vinatieri 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-2-R.Sanchez.
10. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q3 24:51 · IND 1 · Score 13-20
    (9:51) 4-D.Carr up the middle to IND 1 for no gain (96-D.Autry). PENALTY on IND-23-K.Moore II, Defensive Offside,0 yards,enforced at IND 1 - No Play. Oakland ch
11. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q3 24:49 · IND 15 · Score 13-21
    8-D.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-5-J.Townsend. LV-74-T.Clemmings was injured during the play. He is Out.
12. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q3 22:45 · LV 20 · Score 19-21
    (7:45) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass deep right to 85-E.Ebron for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
13. Indianapolis Colts Safety (+2) — Q3 22:39 · LV 2 · Score 21-21
    (Pass formation) TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 12-A.Luck pass to 80-C.Rogers is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.
14. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q3 16:06 · IND 6 · Score 21-27
    (1:06) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short middle to 19-B.LaFell for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
15. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q3 16:01 · IND 15 · Score 21-28
    8-D.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-5-J.Townsend.
16. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q4 10:50 · LV 4 · Score 27-28
    (10:50) (Shotgun) 25-M.Mack up the middle for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
17. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q4 10:47 · LV 15 · Score 28-28
    4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-2-R.Sanchez. PENALTY on LV-20-D.Worley, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced between downs.
18. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q4 5:33 · LV 10 · Score 34-28
    (5:33) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass short left to 84-J.Doyle for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
19. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q4 5:28 · LV 15 · Score 35-28
    4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-2-R.Sanchez.
20. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q4 3:03 · LV 1 · Score 41-28
    (3:03) (Shotgun) 25-M.Mack up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
21. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q4 2:55 · LV 15 · Score 42-28
    4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-2-R.Sanchez.