Indianapolis Colts vs. Kansas City Chiefs: 2019 Week 5 Recap

Game story

In Week 5 of the 2019 NFL season on 2019-10-06, the Indianapolis Colts took care of business against the Kansas City Chiefs, pulling away with a 19–13 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 13 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

P. Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs) paced the passing game, with -1.23 total EPA, and -3.6% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, B. Pringle (Kansas City Chiefs) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +7.76 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-17.9% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Indianapolis Colts changed the game: (7:27) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass short left intended for 85-E.Ebron INTERCEPTED by 32-T.Mathieu at KC 7. 32-T.Mathieu to KC 37 for 30 yards (7-J.Brissett).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 B. Pringle · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +7.76 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.97 EPA/play
2. 2 M. Mack · Indianapolis Colts · Rushing · +3.84 total EPA · 29 snaps · +0.13 EPA/play
3. 3 M. Hardman · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +3.73 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.62 EPA/play
4. 4 T. Hilton · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +2.53 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.63 EPA/play
5. 5 A. Sherman · Kansas City Chiefs · Rushing · +2.16 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.16 EPA/play
6. 6 T. Kelce · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +1.98 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.20 EPA/play
7. 7 J. Doyle · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +1.97 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.66 EPA/play
8. 8 Z. Pascal · Indianapolis Colts · Rushing · +1.30 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.30 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Indianapolis Colts — J. Brissett (Q1 48:47)
• Kansas City Chiefs — B. Pringle (P. Mahomes pass) (Q2 44:19)

Field goals

• Kansas City Chiefs — H. Butker (Q1 54:05)
• Indianapolis Colts — A. Vinatieri (Q2 41:16)
• Indianapolis Colts — A. Vinatieri (Q2 30:13)
• Indianapolis Colts — A. Vinatieri (Q4 7:44)
• Indianapolis Colts — A. Vinatieri (Q4 2:30)
• Kansas City Chiefs — H. Butker (Q4 1:19)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 7–3. Kansas City Chiefs connected on a field goal from the IND 11 (Q1 54:05) — (9:05) 7-H.Butker 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.; Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the KC 1 (Q1 48:47) — (3:47) 7-J.Brissett scrambles right end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the KC 15 (Q1 48:44) — 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez..

The second quarter: Kansas City Chiefs won the period 7–6. Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the IND 27 (Q2 44:19) — (14:19) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep right to 13-B.Pringle for 27 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the IND 15 (Q2 44:08) — 7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.; Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the KC 14 (Q2 41:16) — (11:16) 4-A.Vinatieri 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.; Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the KC 14 (Q2 30:13) — (:13) 4-A.Vinatieri 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez..

The fourth quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 6–3. Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the KC 13 (Q4 7:44) — (7:44) 4-A.Vinatieri 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.; Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the KC 12 (Q4 2:30) — (2:30) 4-A.Vinatieri 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.; Kansas City Chiefs connected on a field goal from the IND 18 (Q4 1:19) — (1:19) 7-H.Butker 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Indianapolis Colts (Q2 37:27) — (7:27) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass short left intended for 85-E.Ebron INTERCEPTED by 32-T.Mathieu at KC 7. 32-T.Mathieu to KC 37 for 30 yards (7-J.Brissett). [WPA -17.9% · EPA -5.80]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q3 23:43) — (8:43) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle intended for 42-A.Sherman INTERCEPTED by 58-B.Okereke at IND 26. 58-B.Okereke to 50 for 24 yards (75-C.Erving). The Replay Official reviewed the interce [WPA -15.9% · EPA -3.30]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q2 44:19) — (14:19) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep right to 13-B.Pringle for 27 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +14.7% · EPA +4.33]
• Indianapolis Colts (Q2 42:23) — (12:23) 7-J.Brissett pass incomplete deep middle to 11-D.Cain. PENALTY on KC-21-B.Breeland, Defensive Pass Interference, 53 yards, enforced at IND 35 - No Play. [WPA +11.9% · EPA +3.46]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q1 46:37) — (1:37) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 87-T.Kelce to IND 31 for 17 yards (31-Q.Wilson). [WPA +10.5% · EPA +2.34]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Indianapolis Colts (Q2 37:27) — (7:27) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass short left intended for 85-E.Ebron INTERCEPTED by 32-T.Mathieu at KC 7. 32-T.Mathieu to KC 37 for 30 yards (7-J.Brissett). [WPA -17.9% · EPA -5.80]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q2 44:19) — (14:19) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep right to 13-B.Pringle for 27 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +14.7% · EPA +4.33]
• Indianapolis Colts (Q2 42:23) — (12:23) 7-J.Brissett pass incomplete deep middle to 11-D.Cain. PENALTY on KC-21-B.Breeland, Defensive Pass Interference, 53 yards, enforced at IND 35 - No Play. [WPA +11.9% · EPA +3.46]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q3 23:43) — (8:43) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle intended for 42-A.Sherman INTERCEPTED by 58-B.Okereke at IND 26. 58-B.Okereke to 50 for 24 yards (75-C.Erving). The Replay Official reviewed the interce [WPA -15.9% · EPA -3.30]

Quarterback report card

P.Mahomes led all passers in efficiency for Kansas City Chiefs, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• P.Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs) · 49 dropbacks · 44.9% completion · -3.6% CPOE · -0.03 EPA/play · -1.23 total EPA
• J.Brissett (Indianapolis Colts) · 37 dropbacks · 48.6% completion · -1.3% CPOE · -0.05 EPA/play · -1.80 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Indianapolis Colts generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.04 vs -0.07), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

• Indianapolis Colts: 10 drives, +3.36 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
• Kansas City Chiefs: 10 drives, -5.79 total EPA, 3 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Indianapolis Colts leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
• B. Pringle (Kansas City Chiefs) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• P. Mahomes (KC) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Kansas City Chiefs FG (+3) — Q1 54:05 · IND 11 · Score 0-3
   (9:05) 7-H.Butker 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
2. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q1 48:47 · KC 1 · Score 6-3
   (3:47) 7-J.Brissett scrambles right end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
3. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q1 48:44 · KC 15 · Score 7-3
   4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.
4. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q2 44:19 · IND 27 · Score 7-9
   (14:19) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep right to 13-B.Pringle for 27 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
5. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q2 44:08 · IND 15 · Score 7-10
   7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
6. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q2 41:16 · KC 14 · Score 10-10
   (11:16) 4-A.Vinatieri 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.
7. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q2 30:13 · KC 14 · Score 13-10
   (:13) 4-A.Vinatieri 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.
8. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q4 7:44 · KC 13 · Score 16-10
   (7:44) 4-A.Vinatieri 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.
9. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q4 2:30 · KC 12 · Score 19-10
   (2:30) 4-A.Vinatieri 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.
10. Kansas City Chiefs FG (+3) — Q4 1:19 · IND 18 · Score 19-13
    (1:19) 7-H.Butker 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.