FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 18 · January 9, 2022 · 11 min read

Indianapolis Colts vs. Jacksonville Jaguars: 2021 Week 18 Recap

Jaguars defeat Colts 26–11 in Week 18

Michael Pittman led Fantasy Impact as Jaguars prevailed in a 11–26 Week 18 finish.

Indianapolis Colts 11 9–8
Final 11–26
Jacksonville Jaguars 26 3–14 Winner
Winner
Jacksonville Jaguars
Final score
11–26
Halftime
Indianapolis Colts 3–13 Jacksonville Jaguars
Top passer
Carson Wentz
FantasyHQ MVP
Michael Pittman
Game date
January 9, 2022

Top fantasy performers · Colts

  • Michael Pittman
    Michael Pittman 6 REC · 64 YDS · 1 TD +9.0 Fantasy Impact
  • T.Hilton 2 REC · 39 YDS +1.4 Fantasy Impact
  • N.Hines 2 REC · 19 YDS +1.1 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Jaguars

  • Trevor Lawrence
    Trevor Lawrence 23/39 · 231 YDS · 2 TD +8.3 Fantasy Impact
  • Marcus Jones
    Marcus Jones 7 REC · 88 YDS · 1 TD +8.3 Fantasy Impact
  • Laviska Shenault Jr.
    Laviska Shenault Jr. 5 REC · 62 YDS +2.3 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Jacksonville Jaguars defeated the Indianapolis Colts 26–11 in Week 18 of the 2021 NFL season on 2022-01-09, a matchup that controlled the game from start to finish. The decisive swing (-10.1% win probability) came in the third quarter when Indianapolis Colts swung the momentum.

In Week 18 of the 2021 NFL season on 2022-01-09, the Jacksonville Jaguars took care of business against the Indianapolis Colts, pulling away with a 26–11 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 11 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

C. Wentz (Indianapolis Colts) paced the passing game, with -11.36 total EPA, and -4.8% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, M. Pittman (Indianapolis Colts) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +9.00 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-10.1% win probability) landed in the third quarter when Indianapolis Colts changed the game: (12:40) 2-C.Wentz sacked at IND 29 for -9 yards (54-D.Wilson). FUMBLES (54-D.Wilson) [54-D.Wilson], RECOVERED by JAX-52-D.Hamilton at IND 23. The Replay Official reviewed the fumble ruling, and the pl

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Indianapolis Colts0308011
Jacksonville Jaguars76103026

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 M. Pittman · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +9.00 total EPA · 8 snaps · +1.13 EPA/play
  2. 2 T. Lawrence · Jacksonville Jaguars · Passing · +8.35 total EPA · 39 snaps · +0.21 EPA/play
  3. 3 M. Jones · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +8.31 total EPA · 8 snaps · +1.04 EPA/play
  4. 4 L. Shenault · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +2.32 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.33 EPA/play
  5. 5 L. Treadwell · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +1.94 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.39 EPA/play
  6. 6 R. Armstead · Jacksonville Jaguars · Rushing · +1.85 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.21 EPA/play
  7. 7 T. Hilton · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +1.41 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.28 EPA/play
  8. 8 N. Hines · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +1.13 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.38 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

M. Pittman — IND · Receiving

M. Pittman posted the highest total EPA (+9.00) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Indianapolis Colts's efficiency. Across 8 counted snaps, they averaged +1.13 EPA per play.

The signature play (-6.50 EPA) came from Indianapolis Colts: (12:40) 2-C.Wentz sacked at IND 29 for -9 yards (54-D.Wilson). FUMBLES (54-D.Wilson) [54-D.Wilson], RECOVERED by JAX-52-D.Hamilton at IND 23. The Replay Official reviewed the fumble ruling, and the play was Upheld. The r

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Jacksonville Jaguars — L. Treadwell (T. Lawrence pass) (Q1 52:55)
  • Jacksonville Jaguars — M. Jones (T. Lawrence pass) (Q3 18:17)
  • Indianapolis Colts — M. Pittman (C. Wentz pass) (Q4 4:31)

Field goals

  • Indianapolis Colts — M. Badgley (Q2 39:12)
  • Jacksonville Jaguars — M. Wright (Q2 33:11)
  • Jacksonville Jaguars — M. Wright (Q2 30:02)
  • Jacksonville Jaguars — M. Wright (Q3 26:37)
  • Jacksonville Jaguars — M. Wright (Q4 8:20)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 7–0. Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the IND 2 (Q1 52:55); Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the IND 15 (Q1 52:48) — 15-M.Wright extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-19-J.Charlton..

The second quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 6–3. Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the JAX 23 (Q2 39:12) — (9:12) 6-M.Badgley 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.; Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the IND 4 (Q2 33:11) — (3:11) 15-M.Wright 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-19-J.Charlton.; Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the IND 2 (Q2 30:02) — (:02) 15-M.Wright 20 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-19-J.Charlton..

The third quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 10–0. Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the IND 21 (Q3 26:37) — (11:37) 15-M.Wright 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-19-J.Charlton.; Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the IND 3 (Q3 18:17) — (3:17) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short right to 11-M.Jones for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the IND 15 (Q3 18:08) — 15-M.Wright extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-19-J.Charlton..

The fourth quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 8–3. Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the IND 13 (Q4 8:20) — (8:20) 15-M.Wright 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-19-J.Charlton.; Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the JAX 12 (Q4 4:31) — (4:31) (Shotgun) 2-C.Wentz pass short left to 11-M.Pittman for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts registered a safety from the JAX 2 (Q4 4:26) — TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 2-C.Wentz pass to 11-M.Pittman is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Indianapolis Colts (Q3 27:40) — (12:40) 2-C.Wentz sacked at IND 29 for -9 yards (54-D.Wilson). FUMBLES (54-D.Wilson) [54-D.Wilson], RECOVERED by JAX-52-D.Hamilton at IND 23. The Replay Official reviewed the fumble ruling, and the pl [WPA -10.1% · EPA -6.50]
  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q1 58:51) — (13:51) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short left to 11-M.Jones to JAX 39 for 17 yards (26-R.Ya-Sin; 37-K.Willis). [WPA +8.2% · EPA +3.25]
  • Indianapolis Colts (Q2 42:54) — (12:54) 28-J.Taylor up the middle to JAX 30 for 5 yards (38-A.Cisco). [WPA +8.0% · EPA +1.92]
  • Indianapolis Colts (Q1 45:29) — (:29) (Shotgun) 2-C.Wentz pass deep middle to 13-T.Hilton to JAX 44 for 33 yards (21-N.Lawson). [WPA +7.0% · EPA +3.44]
  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q1 56:38) — (11:38) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short right to 11-M.Jones pushed ob at IND 49 for 12 yards (23-K.Moore). [WPA +6.6% · EPA +2.09]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Indianapolis Colts (Q3 27:40) — (12:40) 2-C.Wentz sacked at IND 29 for -9 yards (54-D.Wilson). FUMBLES (54-D.Wilson) [54-D.Wilson], RECOVERED by JAX-52-D.Hamilton at IND 23. The Replay Official reviewed the fumble ruling, and the pl [WPA -10.1% · EPA -6.50]
  • Indianapolis Colts (Q3 21:59) — (6:59) (Shotgun) 2-C.Wentz pass deep left intended for 81-M.Alie-Cox INTERCEPTED by 54-D.Wilson at IND 46. 54-D.Wilson to IND 45 for 1 yard (81-M.Alie-Cox). [WPA -4.7% · EPA -4.44]
  • Indianapolis Colts (Q4 13:02) — (13:02) 28-J.Taylor up the middle to JAX 1 for no gain (26-S.Griffin; 41-J.Allen). [WPA -0.6% · EPA -4.02]
  • Indianapolis Colts (Q4 4:31) — (4:31) (Shotgun) 2-C.Wentz pass short left to 11-M.Pittman for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -0.1% · EPA +3.54]

Quarterback report card

C.Wentz led all passers in efficiency for Indianapolis Colts, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • C.Wentz (Indianapolis Colts) · 41 dropbacks · 41.5% completion · -4.8% CPOE · -0.28 EPA/play · -11.36 total EPA
  • T.Lawrence (Jacksonville Jaguars) · 39 dropbacks · 59.0% completion · +4.5% CPOE · +0.21 EPA/play · +8.35 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatIndianapolis ColtsJacksonville Jaguars
Offensive EPA/play-0.206+0.049
Offensive success rate39.1%44.4%
Pass EPA/play-0.277+0.214
Rush EPA/play-0.337-0.132
Defensive EPA/play-0.049+0.206
Defensive success rate55.6%60.9%

By the numbers

Jacksonville Jaguars held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.05 vs -0.21), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

  • Indianapolis Colts: 9 drives, -14.24 total EPA, 2 scoring drives
  • Jacksonville Jaguars: 10 drives, +3.97 total EPA, 6 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Jacksonville Jaguars leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • M. Pittman (Indianapolis Colts) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • C. Wentz (IND) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
  • T. Lawrence (JAX) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q1 52:55 · IND 2 · Score 0-6
    (7:55) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short left to 18-L.Treadwell for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. IND-23-K.Moore was injured during the play. His return is Questionable.
  2. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q1 52:48 · IND 15 · Score 0-7
    15-M.Wright extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-19-J.Charlton.
  3. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q2 39:12 · JAX 23 · Score 3-7
    (9:12) 6-M.Badgley 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.
  4. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q2 33:11 · IND 4 · Score 3-10
    (3:11) 15-M.Wright 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-19-J.Charlton.
  5. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q2 30:02 · IND 2 · Score 3-13
    (:02) 15-M.Wright 20 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-19-J.Charlton.
  6. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q3 26:37 · IND 21 · Score 3-16
    (11:37) 15-M.Wright 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-19-J.Charlton.
  7. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q3 18:17 · IND 3 · Score 3-22
    (3:17) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short right to 11-M.Jones for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  8. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q3 18:08 · IND 15 · Score 3-23
    15-M.Wright extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-19-J.Charlton.
  9. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q4 8:20 · IND 13 · Score 3-26
    (8:20) 15-M.Wright 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-19-J.Charlton.
  10. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q4 4:31 · JAX 12 · Score 9-26
    (4:31) (Shotgun) 2-C.Wentz pass short left to 11-M.Pittman for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  11. Indianapolis Colts Safety (+2) — Q4 4:26 · JAX 2 · Score 11-26
    TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 2-C.Wentz pass to 11-M.Pittman is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars?

The Jacksonville Jaguars beat the Indianapolis Colts 26-11 in Week 18, 2021 on 2022-01-09.

What was the final score of Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars?

The final score was Indianapolis Colts 11, Jacksonville Jaguars 26 (IND 11-26 JAX) in Week 18, 2021 on 2022-01-09.

What was the score by quarter in Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars?

Q1: Indianapolis Colts 0, Jacksonville Jaguars 7; Q2: Indianapolis Colts 3, Jacksonville Jaguars 6; Q3: Indianapolis Colts 0, Jacksonville Jaguars 10; Q4: Indianapolis Colts 8, Jacksonville Jaguars 3; Final: Indianapolis Colts 11, Jacksonville Jaguars 26.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars?

Jacksonville Jaguars touchdown — L. Treadwell (T. Lawrence pass) (Q1 52:55) Jacksonville Jaguars touchdown — M. Jones (T. Lawrence pass) (Q3 18:17) Indianapolis Colts touchdown — M. Pittman (C. Wentz pass) (Q4 4:31) Indianapolis Colts field goal — M. Badgley (Q2 39:12, 3 pts) Jacksonville Jaguars field goal — M. Wright (Q2 33:11, 3 pts) Jacksonville Jaguars field goal — M. Wright (Q2 30:02, 3 pts) Jacksonville Jaguars field goal — M. Wright (Q3 26:37, 3 pts) Jacksonville Jaguars field goal — M. Wright (Q4 8:20, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars?

C. Wentz (Indianapolis Colts), 41.5% completion, -4.8% CPOE, -0.28 EPA per dropback, -11.36 total passing EPA. T. Lawrence (Jacksonville Jaguars), 59.0% completion, +4.5% CPOE, +0.21 EPA per dropback, +8.35 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars?

M. Pittman (Indianapolis Colts) led the game in total EPA with +9.00 on receiving plays. across 8 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-6.50 EPA): (12:40) 2-C.Wentz sacked at IND 29 for -9 yards (54-D.Wilson). FUMBLES (54-D.Wilson) [54-D.Wilson], RECOVERED by JAX-52-D.Hamilton at IND 23. The Replay Official reviewed the fumbl. The biggest win-probability swing was -10.1%.

Season records after this game

Indianapolis Colts

Entered 9-7 Now 9-8 L

Jacksonville Jaguars

Entered 2-14 Now 3-14 W