Indianapolis Colts vs. Jacksonville Jaguars: 2017 Week 13 Recap

Game story

In Week 13 of the 2017 NFL season on 2017-12-03, the Jacksonville Jaguars took care of business against the Indianapolis Colts, pulling away with a 30–10 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q3 with 18 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

J. Brissett (Indianapolis Colts) paced the passing game, with -5.48 total EPA, and -4.7% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, B. Bortles (Jacksonville Jaguars) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +19.43 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+13.1% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when Jacksonville Jaguars changed the game: (9:05) (Punt formation) 3-B.Nortman pass short middle to 80-J.O'Shaughnessy to IND 22 for 29 yards (28-C.Milton). Fake Punt

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 B. Bortles · Jacksonville Jaguars · Passing · +19.43 total EPA · 40 snaps · +0.49 EPA/play
2. 2 K. Cole · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +5.72 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.91 EPA/play
3. 3 J. O'Shaughnessy · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +4.49 total EPA · 1 snaps · +4.49 EPA/play
4. 4 M. Lee · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +4.36 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.44 EPA/play
5. 5 M. Lewis · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +4.21 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.70 EPA/play
6. 6 D. Westbrook · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +4.12 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.46 EPA/play
7. 7 B. Nortman · Jacksonville Jaguars · Passing · +3.55 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.77 EPA/play
8. 8 D. Moncrief · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +2.98 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.37 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Jacksonville Jaguars — M. Lee (B. Bortles pass) (Q1 51:23)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — K. Cole (B. Bortles pass) (Q2 32:00)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — L. Fournette (Q3 25:38)
• Indianapolis Colts — T. Hilton (J. Brissett pass) (Q3 21:49)

Field goals

• Jacksonville Jaguars — J. Lambo (Q2 42:46)
• Indianapolis Colts — A. Vinatieri (Q2 37:05)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — J. Lambo (Q3 15:37)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — J. Lambo (Q4 2:57)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 7–0. Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the IND 4 (Q1 51:23) — (6:23) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles pass short middle to 11-M.Lee for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the IND 15 (Q1 51:18) — 4-J.Lambo extra point is GOOD, Center-49-C.Holba, Holder-3-B.Nortman..

The second quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 9–3. Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the IND 12 (Q2 42:46) — (12:46) 4-J.Lambo 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-C.Holba, Holder-3-B.Nortman.; Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the JAX 9 (Q2 37:05) — (7:05) 4-A.Vinatieri 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-2-R.Sanchez.; Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the IND 8 (Q2 32:00) — (2:00) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles pass short right to 84-K.Cole for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN..

The third quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 11–7. Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the IND 5 (Q3 25:38) — (10:38) (Shotgun) 27-L.Fournette up the middle for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars registered a safety from the IND 2 (Q3 25:34) — (Pass formation) TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 5-B.Bortles pass to 89-M.Lewis is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.; Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the JAX 40 (Q3 21:49); Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the JAX 15 (Q3 21:40) — 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-2-R.Sanchez.; Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the IND 5 (Q3 15:37) — (:37) 4-J.Lambo 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-C.Holba, Holder-3-B.Nortman..

The fourth quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 3–0. Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the IND 21 (Q4 2:57) — (2:57) (Field Goal formation) 4-J.Lambo 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-C.Holba, Holder-3-B.Nortman..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q1 54:05) — (9:05) (Punt formation) 3-B.Nortman pass short middle to 80-J.O'Shaughnessy to IND 22 for 29 yards (28-C.Milton). Fake Punt [WPA +13.1% · EPA +4.49]
• Indianapolis Colts (Q2 30:44) — (:44) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass deep middle intended for 13-T.Hilton INTERCEPTED by 20-J.Ramsey at JAX 7. 20-J.Ramsey to JAX 25 for 18 yards (73-J.Haeg). [WPA -8.9% · EPA -4.26]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q1 46:05) — (1:05) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles pass deep left to 12-D.Westbrook pushed ob at IND 28 for 22 yards (20-D.Butler). [WPA +5.7% · EPA +2.99]
• Indianapolis Colts (Q2 40:23) — (10:23) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass short middle to 80-C.Rogers to IND 42 for 5 yards (44-M.Jack). PENALTY on JAX-44-M.Jack, Face Mask (15 Yards), 15 yards, enforced at IND 42. [WPA +4.6% · EPA +2.48]
• Indianapolis Colts (Q2 40:05) — (10:05) 25-M.Mack right end to JAX 18 for 25 yards (44-M.Jack; 42-B.Church). [WPA +4.5% · EPA +1.79]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Indianapolis Colts (Q3 21:49) — (6:49) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass short middle to 13-T.Hilton for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN [93-C.Campbell]. Penalty on JAX-22-A.Colvin, Defensive Holding, declined. [WPA +2.2% · EPA +6.53]
• Indianapolis Colts (Q4 6:11) — (6:11) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass short middle intended for 80-C.Rogers INTERCEPTED by 39-T.Gipson at JAX 41. 39-T.Gipson to JAX 48 for 7 yards (13-T.Hilton). [WPA -0.9% · EPA -4.86]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q1 54:05) — (9:05) (Punt formation) 3-B.Nortman pass short middle to 80-J.O'Shaughnessy to IND 22 for 29 yards (28-C.Milton). Fake Punt [WPA +13.1% · EPA +4.49]
• Indianapolis Colts (Q2 30:44) — (:44) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass deep middle intended for 13-T.Hilton INTERCEPTED by 20-J.Ramsey at JAX 7. 20-J.Ramsey to JAX 25 for 18 yards (73-J.Haeg). [WPA -8.9% · EPA -4.26]

Quarterback report card

J.Brissett led all passers in efficiency for Indianapolis Colts, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• J.Brissett (Indianapolis Colts) · 45 dropbacks · 46.7% completion · -4.7% CPOE · -0.12 EPA/play · -5.48 total EPA
• B.Bortles (Jacksonville Jaguars) · 40 dropbacks · 65.0% completion · +11.5% CPOE · +0.49 EPA/play · +19.43 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Jacksonville Jaguars held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.20 vs -0.06), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

• Indianapolis Colts: 9 drives, -5.20 total EPA, 2 scoring drives
• Jacksonville Jaguars: 9 drives, +16.01 total EPA, 6 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Jacksonville Jaguars leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• B. Bortles (Jacksonville Jaguars) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• J. Brissett (IND) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
• B. Bortles (JAX) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q1 51:23 · IND 4 · Score 0-6
   (6:23) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles pass short middle to 11-M.Lee for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
2. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q1 51:18 · IND 15 · Score 0-7
   4-J.Lambo extra point is GOOD, Center-49-C.Holba, Holder-3-B.Nortman.
3. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q2 42:46 · IND 12 · Score 0-10
   (12:46) 4-J.Lambo 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-C.Holba, Holder-3-B.Nortman.
4. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q2 37:05 · JAX 9 · Score 3-10
   (7:05) 4-A.Vinatieri 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-2-R.Sanchez.
5. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q2 32:00 · IND 8 · Score 3-16
   (2:00) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles pass short right to 84-K.Cole for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
6. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q3 25:38 · IND 5 · Score 3-22
   (10:38) (Shotgun) 27-L.Fournette up the middle for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
7. Jacksonville Jaguars Safety (+2) — Q3 25:34 · IND 2 · Score 3-24
   (Pass formation) TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 5-B.Bortles pass to 89-M.Lewis is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.
8. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q3 21:49 · JAX 40 · Score 9-24
   (6:49) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass short middle to 13-T.Hilton for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN [93-C.Campbell]. Penalty on JAX-22-A.Colvin, Defensive Holding, declined.
9. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q3 21:40 · JAX 15 · Score 10-24
   4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-2-R.Sanchez.
10. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q3 15:37 · IND 5 · Score 10-27
    (:37) 4-J.Lambo 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-C.Holba, Holder-3-B.Nortman.
11. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q4 2:57 · IND 21 · Score 10-30
    (2:57) (Field Goal formation) 4-J.Lambo 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-C.Holba, Holder-3-B.Nortman.