FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 4 · September 29, 2013 · 11 min read

Indianapolis Colts vs. Jacksonville Jaguars: 2013 Week 4 Recap

Colts defeat Jaguars 37–3 in Week 4

A.Luck led Fantasy Impact as Colts prevailed in a 37–3 Week 4 finish.

Indianapolis Colts 37 3–1 Winner
Final 37–3
Jacksonville Jaguars 3 0–4
Winner
Indianapolis Colts
Final score
37–3
Halftime
Indianapolis Colts 20–3 Jacksonville Jaguars
Top passer
A. Luck
FantasyHQ MVP
A.Luck
Game date
September 29, 2013

Top fantasy performers · Colts

  • A.Luck 21/43 · 269 YDS · 3 TD +11.4 Fantasy Impact
  • R.Wayne 5 REC · 100 YDS · 1 TD +8.9 Fantasy Impact
  • Dyami Brown
    Dyami Brown 3 CAR · 65 YDS +6.0 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Jaguars

  • C.Harbor 2 REC · 39 YDS +2.5 Fantasy Impact
  • M.Jones-Drew 1 REC · 5 YDS -0.1 Fantasy Impact
  • J.Forsett 1 CAR · 3 YDS -0.3 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Indianapolis Colts defeated the Jacksonville Jaguars 37–3 in Week 4 of the 2013 NFL season on 2013-09-29, a matchup that controlled the game from start to finish. The decisive swing (-21.9% win probability) came in the second quarter when Jacksonville Jaguars swung the momentum.

In Week 4 of the 2013 NFL season on 2013-09-29, the Indianapolis Colts took care of business against the Jacksonville Jaguars, pulling away with a 37–3 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 20 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

A. Luck (Indianapolis Colts) paced the passing game, with +11.38 total EPA, and +5.5% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, A. Luck (Indianapolis Colts) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +11.38 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-21.9% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Jacksonville Jaguars changed the game: (12:36) (Shotgun) 11-B.Gabbert pass short left intended for 84-C.Shorts INTERCEPTED by 20-D.Butler at JAX 41. 20-D.Butler for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Indianapolis Colts020143037
Jacksonville Jaguars300003

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 A. Luck · Indianapolis Colts · Passing · +11.38 total EPA · 43 snaps · +0.26 EPA/play
  2. 2 R. Wayne · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +8.87 total EPA · 11 snaps · +0.81 EPA/play
  3. 3 D. Brown · Indianapolis Colts · Rushing · +5.96 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.99 EPA/play
  4. 4 C. Fleener · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +5.67 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.81 EPA/play
  5. 5 C. Harbor · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +2.55 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.85 EPA/play
  6. 6 M. Hasselbeck · Indianapolis Colts · Passing · +2.45 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.82 EPA/play
  7. 7 D. Jones · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +1.62 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.62 EPA/play
  8. 8 D. Brown · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +0.12 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.06 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

A. Luck — IND · Passing

A. Luck posted the highest total EPA (+11.38) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Indianapolis Colts's efficiency. Across 43 counted snaps, they averaged +0.26 EPA per play.

The signature play (-7.81 EPA) came from Jacksonville Jaguars: (12:36) (Shotgun) 11-B.Gabbert pass short left intended for 84-C.Shorts INTERCEPTED by 20-D.Butler at JAX 41. 20-D.Butler for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Indianapolis Colts — D. Butler (Q2 42:36)
  • Indianapolis Colts — T. Richardson (Q2 35:56)
  • Indianapolis Colts — C. Fleener (A. Luck pass) (Q3 27:22)
  • Indianapolis Colts — R. Wayne (A. Luck pass) (Q3 16:26)

Field goals

  • Jacksonville Jaguars — J. Scobee (Q1 53:18)
  • Indianapolis Colts — A. Vinatieri (Q2 44:46)
  • Indianapolis Colts — A. Vinatieri (Q2 31:38)
  • Indianapolis Colts — A. Vinatieri (Q4 1:55)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 3–0. Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the IND 35 (Q1 53:18) — (8:18) 10-J.Scobee 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Tinker, Holder-19-B.Anger..

The second quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 20–0. Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the JAX 4 (Q2 44:46) — (14:46) (Field Goal formation) 4-A.Vinatieri 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee.; Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the IND 66 (Q2 42:36); Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q2 41:48) — (Kick formation) 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee.; Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the JAX 1 (Q2 35:56) — (5:56) 34-T.Richardson left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q2 35:54) — (Kick formation) 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee.; Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the JAX 28 (Q2 31:38) — (1:38) (Field Goal formation) 4-A.Vinatieri 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee..

The third quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 14–0. Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the JAX 31 (Q3 27:22) — (12:22) 12-A.Luck pass deep middle to 80-C.Fleener for 31 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q3 27:15) — 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee.; Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the JAX 5 (Q3 16:26) — (1:26) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass short middle to 87-R.Wayne for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q3 16:22) — (Kick formation) 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee..

The fourth quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 3–0. Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the JAX 10 (Q4 1:55) — (1:55) 4-A.Vinatieri 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q2 42:36) — (12:36) (Shotgun) 11-B.Gabbert pass short left intended for 84-C.Shorts INTERCEPTED by 20-D.Butler at JAX 41. 20-D.Butler for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -21.9% · EPA -7.81]
  • Indianapolis Colts (Q1 54:29) — (9:29) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass short right intended for 13-T.Hilton INTERCEPTED by 24-W.Blackmon at IND 42. 24-W.Blackmon to IND 41 for 1 yard (13-T.Hilton). [WPA -10.9% · EPA -4.08]
  • Indianapolis Colts (Q2 37:58) — (7:58) (Shotgun) 31-D.Brown up the middle to JAX 17 for 50 yards (20-M.Harris). [WPA +10.1% · EPA +3.74]
  • Indianapolis Colts (Q1 48:20) — (3:20) 12-A.Luck pass deep middle to 87-R.Wayne to JAX 34 for 24 yards (55-G.Hayes). [WPA +9.9% · EPA +2.19]
  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q1 55:23) — (10:23) 11-B.Gabbert pass deep left intended for 84-C.Shorts INTERCEPTED by 23-V.Davis at IND 32. 23-V.Davis ran ob at IND 32 for no gain. [WPA -8.0% · EPA -3.04]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q2 42:36) — (12:36) (Shotgun) 11-B.Gabbert pass short left intended for 84-C.Shorts INTERCEPTED by 20-D.Butler at JAX 41. 20-D.Butler for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -21.9% · EPA -7.81]
  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 4:55) — (4:55) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 11-B.Gabbert pass short right intended for 18-A.Sanders INTERCEPTED by 27-J.Gordy at IND 46. 27-J.Gordy to JAX 47 for 7 yards (80-J.Ebert). [WPA +0.0% · EPA -4.25]
  • Indianapolis Colts (Q1 54:29) — (9:29) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass short right intended for 13-T.Hilton INTERCEPTED by 24-W.Blackmon at IND 42. 24-W.Blackmon to IND 41 for 1 yard (13-T.Hilton). [WPA -10.9% · EPA -4.08]
  • Indianapolis Colts (Q2 37:58) — (7:58) (Shotgun) 31-D.Brown up the middle to JAX 17 for 50 yards (20-M.Harris). [WPA +10.1% · EPA +3.74]

Quarterback report card

A.Luck led all passers in efficiency for Indianapolis Colts, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • A.Luck (Indianapolis Colts) · 43 dropbacks · 48.8% completion · +5.5% CPOE · +0.26 EPA/play · +11.38 total EPA
  • B.Gabbert (Jacksonville Jaguars) · 40 dropbacks · 42.5% completion · -5.4% CPOE · -0.50 EPA/play · -19.98 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatIndianapolis ColtsJacksonville Jaguars
Offensive EPA/play+0.181-0.311
Offensive success rate48.9%35.1%
Pass EPA/play+0.301-0.500
Rush EPA/play+0.019-0.402
Defensive EPA/play+0.311-0.181
Defensive success rate64.9%51.1%

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Indianapolis Colts generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.18 vs -0.31), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

  • Indianapolis Colts: 12 drives, +16.61 total EPA, 6 scoring drives
  • Jacksonville Jaguars: 12 drives, -22.98 total EPA, 2 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Indianapolis Colts leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • A. Luck (Indianapolis Colts) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • A. Luck (IND) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
  • B. Gabbert (JAX) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q1 53:18 · IND 35 · Score 0-3
    (8:18) 10-J.Scobee 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Tinker, Holder-19-B.Anger.
  2. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q2 44:46 · JAX 4 · Score 3-3
    (14:46) (Field Goal formation) 4-A.Vinatieri 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee.
  3. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q2 42:36 · IND 66 · Score 9-3
    (12:36) (Shotgun) 11-B.Gabbert pass short left intended for 84-C.Shorts INTERCEPTED by 20-D.Butler at JAX 41. 20-D.Butler for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q2 41:48 · JAX 2 · Score 10-3
    (Kick formation) 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee.
  5. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q2 35:56 · JAX 1 · Score 16-3
    (5:56) 34-T.Richardson left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
  6. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q2 35:54 · JAX 2 · Score 17-3
    (Kick formation) 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee.
  7. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q2 31:38 · JAX 28 · Score 20-3
    (1:38) (Field Goal formation) 4-A.Vinatieri 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee.
  8. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q3 27:22 · JAX 31 · Score 26-3
    (12:22) 12-A.Luck pass deep middle to 80-C.Fleener for 31 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  9. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q3 27:15 · JAX 2 · Score 27-3
    4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee.
  10. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q3 16:26 · JAX 5 · Score 33-3
    (1:26) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass short middle to 87-R.Wayne for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  11. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q3 16:22 · JAX 2 · Score 34-3
    (Kick formation) 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee.
  12. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q4 1:55 · JAX 10 · Score 37-3
    (1:55) 4-A.Vinatieri 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars?

The Indianapolis Colts beat the Jacksonville Jaguars 37-3 in Week 4, 2013 on 2013-09-29.

What was the final score of Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars?

The final score was Indianapolis Colts 37, Jacksonville Jaguars 3 (IND 37-3 JAX) in Week 4, 2013 on 2013-09-29.

What was the score by quarter in Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars?

Q1: Indianapolis Colts 0, Jacksonville Jaguars 3; Q2: Indianapolis Colts 20, Jacksonville Jaguars 0; Q3: Indianapolis Colts 14, Jacksonville Jaguars 0; Q4: Indianapolis Colts 3, Jacksonville Jaguars 0; Final: Indianapolis Colts 37, Jacksonville Jaguars 3.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars?

Indianapolis Colts touchdown — D. Butler (Q2 42:36) Indianapolis Colts touchdown — T. Richardson (Q2 35:56) Indianapolis Colts touchdown — C. Fleener (A. Luck pass) (Q3 27:22) Indianapolis Colts touchdown — R. Wayne (A. Luck pass) (Q3 16:26) Jacksonville Jaguars field goal — J. Scobee (Q1 53:18, 3 pts) Indianapolis Colts field goal — A. Vinatieri (Q2 44:46, 3 pts) Indianapolis Colts field goal — A. Vinatieri (Q2 31:38, 3 pts) Indianapolis Colts field goal — A. Vinatieri (Q4 1:55, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars?

A. Luck (Indianapolis Colts), 48.8% completion, +5.5% CPOE, +0.26 EPA per dropback, +11.38 total passing EPA. B. Gabbert (Jacksonville Jaguars), 42.5% completion, -5.4% CPOE, -0.50 EPA per dropback, -19.98 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars?

A. Luck (Indianapolis Colts) led the game in total EPA with +11.38 on passing plays. across 43 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-7.81 EPA): (12:36) (Shotgun) 11-B.Gabbert pass short left intended for 84-C.Shorts INTERCEPTED by 20-D.Butler at JAX 41. 20-D.Butler for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN.. The biggest win-probability swing was -21.9%.

Season records after this game

Indianapolis Colts

Entered 2-1 Now 3-1 W

Jacksonville Jaguars

Entered 0-3 Now 0-4 L