FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 17 · January 1, 2012 · 11 min read

Indianapolis Colts vs. Jacksonville Jaguars: 2011 Week 17 Recap

Jaguars defeat Colts 19–13 in Week 17

R.Wayne led Fantasy Impact as Jaguars prevailed in a 13–19 Week 17 finish.

Indianapolis Colts 13 2–14
Final 13–19
Jacksonville Jaguars 19 5–11 Winner
Winner
Jacksonville Jaguars
Final score
13–19
Halftime
Indianapolis Colts 3–10 Jacksonville Jaguars
Top passer
D. Orlovsky
FantasyHQ MVP
R.Wayne
Game date
January 1, 2012

Top fantasy performers · Colts

  • R.Wayne 8 REC · 73 YDS +6.5 Fantasy Impact
  • A.Collie 9 REC · 96 YDS · 1 TD +6.2 Fantasy Impact
  • D.Orlovsky 27/44 · 249 YDS · 1 TD +2.8 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Jaguars

  • CJ West
    CJ West 1 REC · 23 YDS · 1 TD +2.9 Fantasy Impact
  • Marcedes Lewis
    Marcedes Lewis 3 REC · 33 YDS +1.4 Fantasy Impact
  • K.Osgood 2 REC · 19 YDS +0.9 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Jacksonville Jaguars defeated the Indianapolis Colts 19–13 in Week 17 of the 2011 NFL season on 2012-01-01, a matchup that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half. The decisive swing (-16.1% win probability) came in the second quarter when Jacksonville Jaguars swung the momentum.

In Week 17 of the 2011 NFL season on 2012-01-01, the Jacksonville Jaguars took care of business against the Indianapolis Colts, pulling away with a 19–13 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 10 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

D. Orlovsky (Indianapolis Colts) paced the passing game, with +2.83 total EPA, and +4.5% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, R. Wayne (Indianapolis Colts) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +6.50 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-16.1% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Jacksonville Jaguars changed the game: (10:18) 11-B.Gabbert sacked at JAX 39 for -11 yards (98-R.Mathis). FUMBLES (98-R.Mathis) [98-R.Mathis], RECOVERED by IND-98-R.Mathis at JAX 36. 98-R.Mathis to JAX 36 for no gain (65-W.Rackley).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Indianapolis Colts0337013
Jacksonville Jaguars7363019

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 R. Wayne · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +6.50 total EPA · 11 snaps · +0.59 EPA/play
  2. 2 A. Collie · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +6.21 total EPA · 11 snaps · +0.56 EPA/play
  3. 3 C. West · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +2.89 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.44 EPA/play
  4. 4 D. Orlovsky · Indianapolis Colts · Passing · +2.83 total EPA · 44 snaps · +0.06 EPA/play
  5. 5 M. Lewis · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +1.42 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.36 EPA/play
  6. 6 D. Brown · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +1.04 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.52 EPA/play
  7. 7 K. Osgood · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +0.94 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.47 EPA/play
  8. 8 M. Owens · Jacksonville Jaguars · Rushing · +0.80 total EPA · 1 snaps · +0.80 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

R. Wayne — IND · Receiving

R. Wayne posted the highest total EPA (+6.50) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Indianapolis Colts's efficiency. Across 11 counted snaps, they averaged +0.59 EPA per play.

The signature play (-5.40 EPA) came from Jacksonville Jaguars: (10:18) 11-B.Gabbert sacked at JAX 39 for -11 yards (98-R.Mathis). FUMBLES (98-R.Mathis) [98-R.Mathis], RECOVERED by IND-98-R.Mathis at JAX 36. 98-R.Mathis to JAX 36 for no gain (65-W.Rackley).

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Jacksonville Jaguars — C. West (B. Gabbert pass) (Q1 48:16)
  • Indianapolis Colts — A. Collie (D. Orlovsky pass) (Q4 3:27)

Field goals

  • Indianapolis Colts — A. Vinatieri (Q2 42:05)
  • Jacksonville Jaguars — J. Scobee (Q2 31:06)
  • Indianapolis Colts — A. Vinatieri (Q3 24:09)
  • Jacksonville Jaguars — J. Scobee (Q3 22:38)
  • Jacksonville Jaguars — J. Scobee (Q3 20:52)
  • Jacksonville Jaguars — J. Scobee (Q4 6:35)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 7–0. Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the IND 23 (Q1 48:16) — (3:16) (Shotgun) 11-B.Gabbert pass deep middle to 17-C.West for 23 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the IND 2 (Q1 48:10) — (Kick formation) 10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-2-N.Harris..

The second quarter: The quarter finished even at 3–3. Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the JAX 30 (Q2 42:05) — (12:05) (Field Goal formation) 4-A.Vinatieri 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-1-P.McAfee.; Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the IND 7 (Q2 31:06) — (1:06) (Field Goal formation) 10-J.Scobee 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-2-N.Harris..

The third quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 6–3. Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the JAX 2 (Q3 24:09) — (9:09) (Field Goal formation) 4-A.Vinatieri 20 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-1-P.McAfee.; Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the IND 14 (Q3 22:38) — (7:38) (Field Goal formation) 10-J.Scobee 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-2-N.Harris.; Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the IND 29 (Q3 20:52) — (5:52) (Field Goal formation) 10-J.Scobee 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-2-N.Harris..

The fourth quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 7–3. Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the IND 21 (Q4 6:35) — (6:35) (Field Goal formation) 10-J.Scobee 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-2-N.Harris.; Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the JAX 12 (Q4 3:27) — (3:27) (No Huddle) 6-D.Orlovsky pass short left to 17-A.Collie for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q4 3:22) — 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-1-P.McAfee..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q2 40:18) — (10:18) 11-B.Gabbert sacked at JAX 39 for -11 yards (98-R.Mathis). FUMBLES (98-R.Mathis) [98-R.Mathis], RECOVERED by IND-98-R.Mathis at JAX 36. 98-R.Mathis to JAX 36 for no gain (65-W.Rackley). [WPA -16.1% · EPA -5.40]
  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q1 59:48) — (14:48) 32-M.Jones-Drew right end to JAX 42 for 13 yards (51-P.Angerer). [WPA +10.9% · EPA +1.24]
  • Indianapolis Colts (Q2 38:50) — (8:50) 34-D.Carter up the middle to JAX 28 for -1 yards (69-L.Douzable; 93-T.Alualu). [WPA -9.9% · EPA -3.59]
  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q3 24:01) — (9:01) 32-M.Jones-Drew up the middle pushed ob at IND 15 for 56 yards (21-K.Thomas). M.Jones-Drew breaks Jaguars single season rushing yards record. [WPA +9.8% · EPA +3.46]
  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q1 53:09) — (8:09) 32-M.Jones-Drew right end to IND 1 for no gain (51-P.Angerer; 90-J.Anderson). [WPA -8.8% · EPA -2.92]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q2 40:18) — (10:18) 11-B.Gabbert sacked at JAX 39 for -11 yards (98-R.Mathis). FUMBLES (98-R.Mathis) [98-R.Mathis], RECOVERED by IND-98-R.Mathis at JAX 36. 98-R.Mathis to JAX 36 for no gain (65-W.Rackley). [WPA -16.1% · EPA -5.40]
  • Indianapolis Colts (Q4 10:44) — (10:44) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 6-D.Orlovsky sacked at JAX 47 for -7 yards (94-J.Mincey). FUMBLES (94-J.Mincey), RECOVERED by JAX-91-G.Selvie at IND 46. 91-G.Selvie to IND 46 for no gain (72-J.Linkenbach [WPA -8.4% · EPA -4.88]
  • Indianapolis Colts (Q2 38:50) — (8:50) 34-D.Carter up the middle to JAX 28 for -1 yards (69-L.Douzable; 93-T.Alualu). [WPA -9.9% · EPA -3.59]
  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q3 24:01) — (9:01) 32-M.Jones-Drew up the middle pushed ob at IND 15 for 56 yards (21-K.Thomas). M.Jones-Drew breaks Jaguars single season rushing yards record. [WPA +9.8% · EPA +3.46]

Quarterback report card

D.Orlovsky led all passers in efficiency for Indianapolis Colts, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • D.Orlovsky (Indianapolis Colts) · 44 dropbacks · 61.4% completion · +4.5% CPOE · +0.06 EPA/play · +2.83 total EPA
  • B.Gabbert (Jacksonville Jaguars) · 22 dropbacks · 50.0% completion · -4.5% CPOE · -0.35 EPA/play · -7.64 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatIndianapolis ColtsJacksonville Jaguars
Offensive EPA/play-0.088-0.010
Offensive success rate42.5%41.7%
Pass EPA/play+0.064-0.347
Rush EPA/play-0.406+0.027
Defensive EPA/play+0.010+0.088
Defensive success rate58.3%57.5%

By the numbers

Jacksonville Jaguars held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (-0.01 vs -0.09), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

  • Indianapolis Colts: 11 drives, -7.05 total EPA, 3 scoring drives
  • Jacksonville Jaguars: 10 drives, -0.71 total EPA, 5 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Jacksonville Jaguars leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
  • R. Wayne (Indianapolis Colts) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • D. Orlovsky (IND) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
  • B. Gabbert (JAX) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q1 48:16 · IND 23 · Score 0-6
    (3:16) (Shotgun) 11-B.Gabbert pass deep middle to 17-C.West for 23 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q1 48:10 · IND 2 · Score 0-7
    (Kick formation) 10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-2-N.Harris.
  3. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q2 42:05 · JAX 30 · Score 3-7
    (12:05) (Field Goal formation) 4-A.Vinatieri 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-1-P.McAfee.
  4. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q2 31:06 · IND 7 · Score 3-10
    (1:06) (Field Goal formation) 10-J.Scobee 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-2-N.Harris.
  5. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q3 24:09 · JAX 2 · Score 6-10
    (9:09) (Field Goal formation) 4-A.Vinatieri 20 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-1-P.McAfee.
  6. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q3 22:38 · IND 14 · Score 6-13
    (7:38) (Field Goal formation) 10-J.Scobee 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-2-N.Harris.
  7. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q3 20:52 · IND 29 · Score 6-16
    (5:52) (Field Goal formation) 10-J.Scobee 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-2-N.Harris.
  8. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q4 6:35 · IND 21 · Score 6-19
    (6:35) (Field Goal formation) 10-J.Scobee 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-2-N.Harris.
  9. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q4 3:27 · JAX 12 · Score 12-19
    (3:27) (No Huddle) 6-D.Orlovsky pass short left to 17-A.Collie for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  10. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q4 3:22 · JAX 2 · Score 13-19
    4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-1-P.McAfee.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars?

The Jacksonville Jaguars beat the Indianapolis Colts 19-13 in Week 17, 2011 on 2012-01-01.

What was the final score of Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars?

The final score was Indianapolis Colts 13, Jacksonville Jaguars 19 (IND 13-19 JAX) in Week 17, 2011 on 2012-01-01.

What was the score by quarter in Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars?

Q1: Indianapolis Colts 0, Jacksonville Jaguars 7; Q2: Indianapolis Colts 3, Jacksonville Jaguars 3; Q3: Indianapolis Colts 3, Jacksonville Jaguars 6; Q4: Indianapolis Colts 7, Jacksonville Jaguars 3; Final: Indianapolis Colts 13, Jacksonville Jaguars 19.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars?

Jacksonville Jaguars touchdown — C. West (B. Gabbert pass) (Q1 48:16) Indianapolis Colts touchdown — A. Collie (D. Orlovsky pass) (Q4 3:27) Indianapolis Colts field goal — A. Vinatieri (Q2 42:05, 3 pts) Jacksonville Jaguars field goal — J. Scobee (Q2 31:06, 3 pts) Indianapolis Colts field goal — A. Vinatieri (Q3 24:09, 3 pts) Jacksonville Jaguars field goal — J. Scobee (Q3 22:38, 3 pts) Jacksonville Jaguars field goal — J. Scobee (Q3 20:52, 3 pts) Jacksonville Jaguars field goal — J. Scobee (Q4 6:35, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars?

D. Orlovsky (Indianapolis Colts), 61.4% completion, +4.5% CPOE, +0.06 EPA per dropback, +2.83 total passing EPA. B. Gabbert (Jacksonville Jaguars), 50.0% completion, -4.5% CPOE, -0.35 EPA per dropback, -7.64 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars?

R. Wayne (Indianapolis Colts) led the game in total EPA with +6.50 on receiving plays. across 11 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-5.40 EPA): (10:18) 11-B.Gabbert sacked at JAX 39 for -11 yards (98-R.Mathis). FUMBLES (98-R.Mathis) [98-R.Mathis], RECOVERED by IND-98-R.Mathis at JAX 36. 98-R.Mathis to JAX 36 for no gain (6. The biggest win-probability swing was -16.1%.

Was Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars a close game?

Yes — the margin was 6 points. Jacksonville Jaguars won 19-13 in a game that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

Season records after this game

Indianapolis Colts

Entered 2-13 Now 2-14 L

Jacksonville Jaguars

Entered 4-11 Now 5-11 W