FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 16 · December 18, 2008 · 12 min read

Indianapolis Colts vs. Jacksonville Jaguars: 2008 Week 16 Recap

Colts defeat Jaguars 31–24 in Week 16

Paul Manning led Fantasy Impact as Colts prevailed in a 31–24 Week 16 finish.

Indianapolis Colts 31 11–4 Winner
Final 31–24
Jacksonville Jaguars 24 5–10
Winner
Indianapolis Colts
Final score
31–24
Halftime
Indianapolis Colts 7–17 Jacksonville Jaguars
Top passer
D. Garrard
FantasyHQ MVP
Paul Manning
Game date
December 18, 2008

Top fantasy performers · Colts

  • Paul Manning 29/35 · 365 YDS · 3 TD +30.9 Fantasy Impact
  • R.Wayne 7 REC · 108 YDS · 1 TD +13.4 Fantasy Impact
  • Dean Clark
    Dean Clark 8 REC · 105 YDS · 1 TD +9.6 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Jaguars

  • D.Northcutt 8 REC · 101 YDS · 1 TD +6.8 Fantasy Impact
  • M.Jones-Drew 7 REC · 71 YDS +4.7 Fantasy Impact
  • Marcedes Lewis
    Marcedes Lewis 6 REC · 55 YDS +4.5 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Indianapolis Colts defeated the Jacksonville Jaguars 31–24 in Week 16 of the 2008 NFL season on 2008-12-18, a matchup that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half. The decisive swing (-35.3% win probability) came in the fourth quarter when Jacksonville Jaguars swung the momentum.

In Week 16 of the 2008 NFL season on 2008-12-18, the Indianapolis Colts took care of business against the Jacksonville Jaguars, pulling away with a 31–24 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 17 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

D. Garrard (Jacksonville Jaguars) paced the passing game, with +4.26 total EPA, and +7.9% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, P. Manning (Indianapolis Colts) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +30.92 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-35.3% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Jacksonville Jaguars changed the game: (4:58) 9-D.Garrard pass short left intended for 11-R.Williams INTERCEPTED by 31-K.Ratliff at JAX 35. 31-K.Ratliff for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Indianapolis Colts07717031
Jacksonville Jaguars71070024

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 P. Manning · Indianapolis Colts · Passing · +30.92 total EPA · 35 snaps · +0.88 EPA/play
  2. 2 R. Wayne · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +13.44 total EPA · 7 snaps · +1.92 EPA/play
  3. 3 D. Clark · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +9.61 total EPA · 8 snaps · +1.20 EPA/play
  4. 4 D. Northcutt · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +6.84 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.85 EPA/play
  5. 5 D. Rhodes · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +5.10 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.85 EPA/play
  6. 6 M. Jones-Drew · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +4.67 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.67 EPA/play
  7. 7 M. Lewis · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +4.52 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.75 EPA/play
  8. 8 D. Garrard · Jacksonville Jaguars · Passing · +4.26 total EPA · 46 snaps · +0.09 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

P. Manning — IND · Passing

P. Manning posted the highest total EPA (+30.92) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Indianapolis Colts's efficiency. Across 35 counted snaps, they averaged +0.88 EPA per play.

The signature play (-7.15 EPA) came from Jacksonville Jaguars: (4:58) 9-D.Garrard pass short left intended for 11-R.Williams INTERCEPTED by 31-K.Ratliff at JAX 35. 31-K.Ratliff for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Jacksonville Jaguars — D. Northcutt (D. Garrard pass) (Q1 56:05)
  • Jacksonville Jaguars — D. Garrard (Q2 41:43)
  • Indianapolis Colts — R. Wayne (P. Manning pass) (Q2 38:46)
  • Indianapolis Colts — D. Rhodes (P. Manning pass) (Q3 25:32)
  • Jacksonville Jaguars — M. Owens (Q3 17:33)
  • Indianapolis Colts — D. Clark (P. Manning pass) (Q4 12:36)
  • Indianapolis Colts — K. Ratliff (Q4 4:58)

Field goals

  • Jacksonville Jaguars — J. Scobee (Q2 30:06)
  • Indianapolis Colts — A. Vinatieri (Q4 6:34)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 7–0. Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the IND 28 (Q1 56:05) — (11:05) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass deep right to 86-D.Northcutt for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the IND 2 (Q1 55:59) — 10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-6-S.Weatherford..

The second quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 10–7. Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the IND 2 (Q2 41:43) — (11:43) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard up the middle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the IND 2 (Q2 41:37) — 10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-6-S.Weatherford.; Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the JAX 41 (Q2 38:46) — (8:46) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass deep right to 87-R.Wayne for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q2 38:39) — 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.; Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the IND 26 (Q2 30:06) — (:06) 10-J.Scobee 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-6-S.Weatherford..

The third quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the JAX 10 (Q3 25:32) — (10:32) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short middle to 38-D.Rhodes for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q3 25:26) — 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.; Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the IND 2 (Q3 17:33) — (2:33) 24-M.Owens up the middle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the IND 2 (Q3 17:28) — 10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-6-S.Weatherford..

The fourth quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 17–0. Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the JAX 1 (Q4 12:36) — (12:36) 18-P.Manning pass short right to 44-D.Clark for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q4 12:31) — 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.; Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the JAX 27 (Q4 6:34) — (6:34) 4-A.Vinatieri 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.; Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the IND 72 (Q4 4:58) — (4:58) 9-D.Garrard pass short left intended for 11-R.Williams INTERCEPTED by 31-K.Ratliff at JAX 35. 31-K.Ratliff for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q4 4:48) — 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 4:58) — (4:58) 9-D.Garrard pass short left intended for 11-R.Williams INTERCEPTED by 31-K.Ratliff at JAX 35. 31-K.Ratliff for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -35.3% · EPA -7.15]
  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 0:12) — (:12) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard sacked at IND 16 for -9 yards (93-D.Freeney). [WPA -14.7% · EPA -3.73]
  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 3:48) — (3:48) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard sacked at 50 for -16 yards (79-R.Brock). [WPA -11.4% · EPA -2.95]
  • Indianapolis Colts (Q2 38:46) — (8:46) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass deep right to 87-R.Wayne for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +9.9% · EPA +5.04]
  • Indianapolis Colts (Q4 10:38) — (10:38) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short middle to 44-D.Clark ran ob at IND 49 for 21 yards. [WPA +9.8% · EPA +2.09]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 4:58) — (4:58) 9-D.Garrard pass short left intended for 11-R.Williams INTERCEPTED by 31-K.Ratliff at JAX 35. 31-K.Ratliff for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -35.3% · EPA -7.15]
  • Indianapolis Colts (Q2 38:46) — (8:46) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass deep right to 87-R.Wayne for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +9.9% · EPA +5.04]
  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q1 56:05) — (11:05) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass deep right to 86-D.Northcutt for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +8.2% · EPA +3.81]
  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 0:12) — (:12) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard sacked at IND 16 for -9 yards (93-D.Freeney). [WPA -14.7% · EPA -3.73]

Quarterback report card

D.Garrard led all passers in efficiency for Jacksonville Jaguars, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • D.Garrard (Jacksonville Jaguars) · 46 dropbacks · 60.9% completion · +7.9% CPOE · +0.09 EPA/play · +4.26 total EPA
  • P.Manning (Indianapolis Colts) · 35 dropbacks · 82.9% completion · +23.5% CPOE · +0.88 EPA/play · +30.92 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatIndianapolis ColtsJacksonville Jaguars
Offensive EPA/play+0.276+0.124
Offensive success rate58.9%59.8%
Pass EPA/play+0.883+0.093
Rush EPA/play-0.449+0.110
Defensive EPA/play-0.124-0.276
Defensive success rate40.2%41.1%

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Indianapolis Colts generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.28 vs +0.12), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

  • Indianapolis Colts: 10 drives, +20.14 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
  • Jacksonville Jaguars: 9 drives, +10.76 total EPA, 5 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Indianapolis Colts leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
  • P. Manning (Indianapolis Colts) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • D. Garrard (JAX) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
  • P. Manning (IND) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q1 56:05 · IND 28 · Score 0-6
    (11:05) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass deep right to 86-D.Northcutt for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q1 55:59 · IND 2 · Score 0-7
    10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-6-S.Weatherford.
  3. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q2 41:43 · IND 2 · Score 0-13
    (11:43) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard up the middle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q2 41:37 · IND 2 · Score 0-14
    10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-6-S.Weatherford.
  5. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q2 38:46 · JAX 41 · Score 6-14
    (8:46) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass deep right to 87-R.Wayne for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  6. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q2 38:39 · JAX 2 · Score 7-14
    4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.
  7. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q2 30:06 · IND 26 · Score 7-17
    (:06) 10-J.Scobee 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-6-S.Weatherford.
  8. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q3 25:32 · JAX 10 · Score 13-17
    (10:32) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short middle to 38-D.Rhodes for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  9. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q3 25:26 · JAX 2 · Score 14-17
    4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.
  10. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q3 17:33 · IND 2 · Score 14-23
    (2:33) 24-M.Owens up the middle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  11. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q3 17:28 · IND 2 · Score 14-24
    10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-6-S.Weatherford.
  12. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q4 12:36 · JAX 1 · Score 20-24
    (12:36) 18-P.Manning pass short right to 44-D.Clark for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
  13. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q4 12:31 · JAX 2 · Score 21-24
    4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.
  14. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q4 6:34 · JAX 27 · Score 24-24
    (6:34) 4-A.Vinatieri 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.
  15. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q4 4:58 · IND 72 · Score 30-24
    (4:58) 9-D.Garrard pass short left intended for 11-R.Williams INTERCEPTED by 31-K.Ratliff at JAX 35. 31-K.Ratliff for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  16. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q4 4:48 · JAX 2 · Score 31-24
    4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars?

The Indianapolis Colts beat the Jacksonville Jaguars 31-24 in Week 16, 2008 on 2008-12-18.

What was the final score of Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars?

The final score was Indianapolis Colts 31, Jacksonville Jaguars 24 (IND 31-24 JAX) in Week 16, 2008 on 2008-12-18.

What was the score by quarter in Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars?

Q1: Indianapolis Colts 0, Jacksonville Jaguars 7; Q2: Indianapolis Colts 7, Jacksonville Jaguars 10; Q3: Indianapolis Colts 7, Jacksonville Jaguars 7; Q4: Indianapolis Colts 17, Jacksonville Jaguars 0; Final: Indianapolis Colts 31, Jacksonville Jaguars 24.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars?

Jacksonville Jaguars touchdown — D. Northcutt (D. Garrard pass) (Q1 56:05) Jacksonville Jaguars touchdown — D. Garrard (Q2 41:43) Indianapolis Colts touchdown — R. Wayne (P. Manning pass) (Q2 38:46) Indianapolis Colts touchdown — D. Rhodes (P. Manning pass) (Q3 25:32) Jacksonville Jaguars touchdown — M. Owens (Q3 17:33) Indianapolis Colts touchdown — D. Clark (P. Manning pass) (Q4 12:36) Indianapolis Colts touchdown — K. Ratliff (Q4 4:58) Jacksonville Jaguars field goal — J. Scobee (Q2 30:06, 3 pts) Indianapolis Colts field goal — A. Vinatieri (Q4 6:34, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars?

D. Garrard (Jacksonville Jaguars), 60.9% completion, +7.9% CPOE, +0.09 EPA per dropback, +4.26 total passing EPA. P. Manning (Indianapolis Colts), 82.9% completion, +23.5% CPOE, +0.88 EPA per dropback, +30.92 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars?

P. Manning (Indianapolis Colts) led the game in total EPA with +30.92 on passing plays. across 35 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-7.15 EPA): (4:58) 9-D.Garrard pass short left intended for 11-R.Williams INTERCEPTED by 31-K.Ratliff at JAX 35. 31-K.Ratliff for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN.. The biggest win-probability swing was -35.3%.

Was Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars a close game?

Yes — the margin was 7 points. Indianapolis Colts won 31-24 in a game that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

Season records after this game

Indianapolis Colts

Entered 10-4 Now 11-4 W

Jacksonville Jaguars

Entered 5-9 Now 5-10 L