Indianapolis Colts vs. Jacksonville Jaguars: 2005 Week 14 Recap

Game story

In Week 14 of the 2005 NFL season on 2005-12-11, the Indianapolis Colts took care of business against the Jacksonville Jaguars, pulling away with a 26–18 final that built a comfortable lead.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 18 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

P. Manning (Indianapolis Colts) paced the passing game, with +17.26 total EPA.

On the individual side, M. Harrison (Indianapolis Colts) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +17.56 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+16.2% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Indianapolis Colts changed the game: (9:32) 18-P.Manning pass to 88-M.Harrison for 65 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught on JJ29.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 M. Harrison · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +17.56 total EPA · 6 snaps · +2.93 EPA/play
2. 2 P. Manning · Indianapolis Colts · Passing · +17.26 total EPA · 41 snaps · +0.42 EPA/play
3. 3 D. Garrard · Jacksonville Jaguars · Passing · +9.72 total EPA · 39 snaps · +0.25 EPA/play
4. 4 J. Smith · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +7.44 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.93 EPA/play
5. 5 R. Wayne · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +7.31 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.83 EPA/play
6. 6 R. Williams · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +3.87 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.93 EPA/play
7. 7 B. Fletcher · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +2.97 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.99 EPA/play
8. 8 E. James · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +2.81 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.31 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Indianapolis Colts — M. Harrison (P. Manning pass) (Q1 49:45)
• Indianapolis Colts — M. Harrison (P. Manning pass) (Q2 39:32)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — D. Garrard (Q4 4:09)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — J. Smith (D. Garrard pass) (Q4 1:58)

Field goals

• Jacksonville Jaguars — J. Scobee (Q2 44:15)
• Indianapolis Colts — M. Vanderjagt (Q2 30:05)
• Indianapolis Colts — M. Vanderjagt (Q3 23:19)
• Indianapolis Colts — M. Vanderjagt (Q3 15:49)
• Indianapolis Colts — M. Vanderjagt (Q4 12:17)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 7–0. Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the JAX 9 (Q1 49:45) — (4:45) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass to 88-M.Harrison for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q1 49:40) — 13-M.Vanderjagt extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith..

The second quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 10–3. Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the IND 9 (Q2 44:15) — (14:15) 10-J.Scobee 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-2-C.Hanson.; Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the JAX 65 (Q2 39:32) — (9:32) 18-P.Manning pass to 88-M.Harrison for 65 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught on JJ29.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q2 39:21) — 13-M.Vanderjagt extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.; Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the JAX 22 (Q2 30:05) — (:05) 13-M.Vanderjagt 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith..

The third quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 6–0. Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the JAX 16 (Q3 23:19) — (8:19) 13-M.Vanderjagt 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.; Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the JAX 20 (Q3 15:49) — (:49) 13-M.Vanderjagt 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith..

The fourth quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 15–3. Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the JAX 28 (Q4 12:17) — (12:17) 13-M.Vanderjagt 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.; Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the IND 5 (Q4 4:09) — (4:09) 9-D.Garrard up the middle for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the IND 2 (Q4 4:08) — 10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-2-C.Hanson.; Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the IND 1 (Q4 1:58) — (1:58) 9-D.Garrard pass to 82-J.Smith for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars registered a safety from the IND 2 (Q4 1:54) — (Pass formation) TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 9-D.Garrard rushes up the middle. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Indianapolis Colts (Q2 39:32) — (9:32) 18-P.Manning pass to 88-M.Harrison for 65 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught on JJ29. [WPA +16.2% · EPA +6.18]
• Indianapolis Colts (Q2 42:28) — (12:28) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning sacked at IND 46 for -6 yards (97-R.Hayward). [WPA -8.8% · EPA -1.66]
• Indianapolis Colts (Q2 34:35) — (4:35) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass to 88-M.Harrison to IND 29 for 24 yards (35-D.Cooper). PENALTY on JAX, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced at IND 29. Play Challenged by JAX and Upheld. (Tim [WPA +8.1% · EPA +3.48]
• Indianapolis Colts (Q1) — GAME Captains: JJ - 33,98,82,95; IC - 50,18,88 [WPA -7.2% · EPA -1.63]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q2 41:08) — (11:08) 11-R.Williams right end to JAX 15 for -7 yards (21-B.Sanders). [WPA -5.9% · EPA -1.71]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Indianapolis Colts (Q2 39:32) — (9:32) 18-P.Manning pass to 88-M.Harrison for 65 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught on JJ29. [WPA +16.2% · EPA +6.18]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 9:19) — (9:19) 9-D.Garrard up the middle to IND 2 for 5 yards (98-R.Mathis). FUMBLES (98-R.Mathis), RECOVERED by IND-42-J.David at IND 3. 42-J.David to IND 3 for no gain (65-C.Naeole). [WPA -0.2% · EPA -4.48]
• Indianapolis Colts (Q2 34:00) — (4:00) 18-P.Manning pass to 87-R.Wayne to JAX 14 for 38 yards (37-D.Grant). PENALTY on JAX-54-M.Peterson, Unnecessary Roughness, 7 yards, enforced at JAX 14. [WPA +4.8% · EPA +3.70]
• Indianapolis Colts (Q2 34:35) — (4:35) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass to 88-M.Harrison to IND 29 for 24 yards (35-D.Cooper). PENALTY on JAX, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced at IND 29. Play Challenged by JAX and Upheld. (Tim [WPA +8.1% · EPA +3.48]

Quarterback report card

P.Manning led all passers in efficiency for Indianapolis Colts, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• P.Manning (Indianapolis Colts) · 41 dropbacks · 58.5% completion · +0.42 EPA/play · +17.26 total EPA
• D.Garrard (Jacksonville Jaguars) · 39 dropbacks · 66.7% completion · +0.25 EPA/play · +9.72 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Indianapolis Colts generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.17 vs +0.05), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

• Indianapolis Colts: 13 drives, +15.01 total EPA, 7 scoring drives
• Jacksonville Jaguars: 11 drives, +4.20 total EPA, 3 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Indianapolis Colts leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• M. Harrison (Indianapolis Colts) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q1 49:45 · JAX 9 · Score 6-0
   (4:45) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass to 88-M.Harrison for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
2. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q1 49:40 · JAX 2 · Score 7-0
   13-M.Vanderjagt extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.
3. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q2 44:15 · IND 9 · Score 7-3
   (14:15) 10-J.Scobee 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-2-C.Hanson.
4. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q2 39:32 · JAX 65 · Score 13-3
   (9:32) 18-P.Manning pass to 88-M.Harrison for 65 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught on JJ29.
5. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q2 39:21 · JAX 2 · Score 14-3
   13-M.Vanderjagt extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.
6. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q2 30:05 · JAX 22 · Score 17-3
   (:05) 13-M.Vanderjagt 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.
7. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q3 23:19 · JAX 16 · Score 20-3
   (8:19) 13-M.Vanderjagt 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.
8. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q3 15:49 · JAX 20 · Score 23-3
   (:49) 13-M.Vanderjagt 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.
9. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q4 12:17 · JAX 28 · Score 26-3
   (12:17) 13-M.Vanderjagt 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.
10. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q4 4:09 · IND 5 · Score 26-9
    (4:09) 9-D.Garrard up the middle for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
11. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q4 4:08 · IND 2 · Score 26-10
    10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-2-C.Hanson.
12. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q4 1:58 · IND 1 · Score 26-16
    (1:58) 9-D.Garrard pass to 82-J.Smith for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
13. Jacksonville Jaguars Safety (+2) — Q4 1:54 · IND 2 · Score 26-18
    (Pass formation) TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 9-D.Garrard rushes up the middle. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.